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HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919 Result & Analysis

Date: 14/09/2024
Time: 14:30
Final 1-1
HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

HNK Cibalia win✗ Miss
43.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L42W21W11D12L15L20W40W11D02LA·BSK27/04H·SOL04/05A·DUG11/05H·JAR18/05A·SES23/05H·VUK01/06H·RUD17/08A·BSK24/08H·JAR01/09A·VUK09/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.601.141.361.121.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.131.601.141.361.121.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D00D00D21W21W00D01L02L20WA·BSK12/05H·SOL18/05A·DUG25/05H·JAR01/06A·KUS09/06H·KUS14/06H·CRO17/08H·SES23/08A·ZRI01/09H·DUG07/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.130.870.730.931.53
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.881.150.850.770.921.54
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
HNK Cibalia goals ↓
Orijent 1919 goals →
01234
08.8%7.4%4.9%1.8%0.5%
19.7%14%7.0%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.0%5.1%1.9%0.5%
33.8%4.3%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.4%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HNK Cibalia goals (down), columns = Orijent 1919 goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
HNK Cibalia is 0.30 points worse than Orijent 1919 in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.70).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
HNK Cibalia is 0.03 goals better than Orijent 1919 in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.39).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
HNK Cibalia is 0.24 goals worse than Orijent 1919 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 0.94).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L01L01L00D01L10W10W01L00DA·BSK27/04H·SOL04/05A·DUG11/05H·JAR18/05A·SES23/05H·VUK01/06H·RUD17/08A·BSK24/08H·JAR01/09A·VUK09/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.470.430.430.190.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.300.470.430.430.190.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D00D11D10W00D00D00D10WA·BSK12/05H·SOL18/05A·DUG25/05H·JAR01/06A·KUS09/06H·KUS14/06H·CRO17/08H·SES23/08A·ZRI01/09H·DUG07/09
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.530.600.330.330.73
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.460.540.620.380.310.69
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L30W20W10W12L14L10W30W10W02LA·BSK27/04H·SOL04/05A·DUG11/05H·JAR18/05A·SES23/05H·VUK01/06H·RUD17/08A·BSK24/08H·JAR01/09A·VUK09/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.130.710.930.941.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.831.130.710.930.941.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D00D10W11D00D01L02L10WA·BSK12/05H·SOL18/05A·DUG25/05H·JAR01/06A·KUS09/06H·KUS14/06H·CRO17/08H·SES23/08A·ZRI01/09H·DUG07/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.270.400.600.80
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.420.620.230.380.620.85
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
HNK Cibalia and Orijent 1919 have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
HNK Cibalia and Orijent 1919 have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HNK Cibalia and Orijent 1919 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
HNK Cibalia and Orijent 1919 have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
HC wins
1
Draws
1
O1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HNK Cibalia vs Orijent 1919 · H/A from HC
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/24HHC Vs Orijent 19191-1
24/02/24HHC Vs Orijent 19191-0
30/09/23AOrijent 1919 Vs HC0-3
13/05/23HHC Vs Orijent 19193-2
26/11/22AOrijent 1919 Vs HC3-1
10/09/22HHC Vs Orijent 19191-0

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/24AVukovar Vs HC2-0
01/09/24HHC Vs Jarun1-1
24/08/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs HC0-4
17/08/24HHC Vs Rudes2-0
01/06/24HHC Vs Vukovar1-5
23/05/24ASesvete Vs HC2-1
18/05/24HHC Vs Jarun1-1
11/05/24ADugopolje Vs HC1-2
04/05/24HHC Vs Solin4-2
27/04/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs HC1-0

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/09/24HO1 Vs Dugopolje2-0
01/09/24AZrinski Jurjevac Vs O12-0
23/08/24HO1 Vs Sesvete0-1
17/08/24HO1 Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-0
14/06/24HO1 Vs Kustosija2-1
09/06/24AKustosija Vs O11-2
01/06/24HO1 Vs Jarun0-0
25/05/24ADugopolje Vs O10-0
18/05/24HO1 Vs Solin2-2
12/05/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs O10-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.26
HomeWDLWD1.52
AwayLWLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.562.402.72
Over 1.5 %76%60%92%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.161.241.08
Conceded1.401.161.64
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.16
HomeDWDLW1.40
AwayWDDWL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals2.602.123.08
Over 1.5 %66%56%76%
Over 2.5 %44%32%56%
Over 3.5 %28%16%40%
Scored1.221.201.24
Conceded1.380.921.84
BTTS46%32%60%
Clean Sheet28%40%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3372
64%
2.2
5514+41
2.1
58%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.4
-
2OpatijaOpatija3368
58%
2.1
4820+28
2.1
64%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.50.6
-
3Orijent 1919Orijent 19193356
42%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
76%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
4SesveteSesvete3349
42%
1.5
3632+4
2.1
52%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.0
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3346
36%
1.4
4739+8
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.2
-
6Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3346
42%
1.4
3536-1
2.2
61%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.1
-
7Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3346
39%
1.4
4042-2
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3340
30%
1.2
3343-10
2.3
58%
45%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
9RudesRudes3339
30%
1.2
3133-2
1.9
61%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3110.91.0
-
10JarunJarun3337
27%
1.1
3339-6
2.2
70%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
11DugopoljeDugopolje3331
18%
0.9
3352-19
2.6
79%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.6
-
12Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac339
3%
0.3
1571-56
2.6
67%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.2
-
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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