Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HNK Gorica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.47
0.80
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.54
0.00
0.43
0.50
0.67
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.82
0.88
1.12
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.60
0.40
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.89
0.75
0.50
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.48
0.55
0.36
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HNK Gorica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.47
0.87
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
0.85
0.71
0.71
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.29
0.76
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.53
0.67
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
0.75
0.75
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.71
0.45
0.64
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 1.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 3.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
HNK Gorica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Erceg32%
Jurica PrŔir22%
Filip ÄuiÄ19%
Iker Pozo13%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Žan Trontelj9%
Ante Kavelj9%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ6%
Jakov FilipoviÄ6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Marijan Äabraja3%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Theo Epailly0%
Elvir DurakoviÄ0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Medin Gashi0%
Wisdom Sule0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iker Pozo32%
Jurica PrŔir25%
Marijan Äabraja23%
Filip ÄuiÄ20%
Ognjen BakiÄ19%
Filip ÄuiÄ19%
Stefan PeriÄ17%
Ante Erceg16%
Wisdom Sule15%
Mateo LeŔ14%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ13%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Žan Trontelj12%
Vanja Pelko12%
Jakov FilipoviÄ9%
Davor MatijaŔ9%
Ante Kavelj9%
Elvir DurakoviÄ6%
Luka VrziÄ4%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Theo Epailly0%
Medin Gashi0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip ÄuiÄ20%
Bruno BogojeviÄ19%
Iker Pozo16%
Marijan Äabraja13%
Medin Gashi13%
Žan Trontelj12%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Wisdom Sule8%
Theo Epailly7%
Ante Kavelj6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ3%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Ante Erceg0%
Elvir DurakoviÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Filip ÄuiÄ44%
Ante Erceg21%
Bruno BogojeviÄ12%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Wisdom Sule8%
Elvir DurakoviÄ6%
Ognjen BakiÄ4%
Luka VrziÄ4%
Ivan FioliÄ0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ0%
Marijan Äabraja0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Žan Trontelj0%
Iker Pozo0%
Theo Epailly0%
Filip ÄuiÄ0%
Vanja Pelko0%
Medin Gashi0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Zvonimir JosiÄ0%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleks StojakoviÄ24%
Marko PajaÄ20%
David Virgili Fernandez20%
Fabijan Krivak18%
Cheick Mbacke Diop17%
Ibrahim Sabra15%
Leon Belcar14%
Mody Boune14%
Mirko SuŔak13%
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ12%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ11%
Aleksandar Trajkovski10%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj8%
Domagoj AntoliÄ8%
Marko VeÅ”oviÄ4%
Marin Leovac0%
Mario Å itum0%
Mihael Žaper0%
Josip Posavec0%
Denis Kolinger0%
Hubert Sobol0%
Dimitrije KamenoviÄ0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Luka DajÄer0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka SavatoviÄ0%
Franjo Posavac0%
Ivan KatiÄ0%
Matija SubotiÄ0%
Noa Godec0%
Anes HuskiÄ0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Pavle SmiljaniÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan KatiÄ40%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ30%
Marko PajaÄ27%
Denis Kolinger23%
Cheick Mbacke Diop20%
Luka DajÄer17%
Cheick Mbacke Diop17%
Domagoj AntoliÄ15%
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ15%
Tino JukiÄ15%
Aleks StojakoviÄ15%
Leon Belcar14%
Mody Boune14%
Marin Leovac12%
Marcel Lorber10%
Mirko SuŔak9%
Marko VeÅ”oviÄ8%
Mario Å itum6%
Josip Posavec6%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj4%
Mihael Žaper0%
Aleksandar Trajkovski0%
Hubert Sobol0%
Dimitrije KamenoviÄ0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ0%
David Virgili Fernandez0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Fabijan Krivak0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka SavatoviÄ0%
Franjo Posavac0%
Ibrahim Sabra0%
Matija SubotiÄ0%
Noa Godec0%
Anes HuskiÄ0%
Pavle SmiljaniÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Trajkovski20%
Marko PajaÄ17%
Marko VeÅ”oviÄ15%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj8%
Domagoj AntoliÄ8%
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ8%
Ibrahim Sabra8%
Leon Belcar7%
Matija SubotiÄ6%
Fabijan Krivak6%
Aleks StojakoviÄ6%
Mirko SuŔak4%
Marin Leovac0%
Mario Å itum0%
Mihael Žaper0%
Josip Posavec0%
Denis Kolinger0%
Hubert Sobol0%
Dimitrije KamenoviÄ0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ0%
David Virgili Fernandez0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Luka DajÄer0%
Mody Boune0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka SavatoviÄ0%
Franjo Posavac0%
Ivan KatiÄ0%
Noa Godec0%
Anes HuskiÄ0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Pavle SmiljaniÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Sabra23%
David Virgili Fernandez20%
Aleks StojakoviÄ15%
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ12%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ7%
Fabijan Krivak6%
Tino JukiÄ4%
Denis Kolinger3%
Marin Leovac0%
Mario Å itum0%
Mihael Žaper0%
Josip Posavec0%
Marko PajaÄ0%
Aleksandar Trajkovski0%
Domagoj AntoliÄ0%
Marko VeÅ”oviÄ0%
Hubert Sobol0%
Dimitrije KamenoviÄ0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Luka DajÄer0%
Leon Belcar0%
Mody Boune0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka SavatoviÄ0%
Franjo Posavac0%
Ivan KatiÄ0%
Matija SubotiÄ0%
Noa Godec0%
Anes HuskiÄ0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Mirko SuŔak0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Pavle SmiljaniÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
VUK (13)
€2m
HNK Gorica's squad is €2m less valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€9m vs €10m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
HNK Gorica's attack is €1m more valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€4m vs €3m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
VUK (2)
€0m
HNK Gorica's midfield is €2m less valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€2m vs €3m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
VUK (5)
€1m
HNK Gorica's defence is €1m less valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€3m vs €4m).
Croatia: HNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →