HNK Hajduk Split are favourites to win this match, given their recent success, including a 4-0 win over FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The model predicts a home win, with a 52% chance of HNK Hajduk Split emerging victorious. The probability of a draw is 25%, while NK Osijek have a 24% chance of winning. The expected total number of goals is 3.1, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The single most likely correct score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.4%.
Looking at the form of both teams, HNK Hajduk Split have a strong home record, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 1.2 per match against weaker opponents. Meanwhile, NK Osijek have struggled on the road, scoring 1 goal and conceding 2.5 per match against stronger opponents.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (84.7%), Over 1.5 (82.4%), and the home win (52%). The home win percentage is 52%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 24%.
Results analysis
HNK Hajduk Split’s unbeaten run extends as they beat NK Osijek 4-0, confirming the model’s home-win pick and its 52 % probability. The match finished with a decisive 4-0 scoreline, matching the actual result. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.7 %, Under 7.5 hit at 98.6 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.3 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.5 %, Under 6.5 hit at 96.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 93.8 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 93.0 %, while Home under 2.5 2H goals missed at 93.0 %. All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every pick’s outcome is reported.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
HNK Hajduk Split win✓ Hit
51.5%
Avg Implied 45.1% · @ 2.04
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.50
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.81
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.70
888Sport
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
NK Osijek win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.21
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.00
888Sport
3.80
Unibet
3.45
Dafabet
3.25
Betano
3.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HNK Hajduk Split
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.23
2.07
1.14
1.75
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.55
1.45
2.00
1.00
1.17
1.83
vs Weaker (19)
2.11
1.11
2.11
1.22
2.10
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.37
0.60
1.00
1.27
1.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
2.67
0.00
2.50
0.50
2.75
vs Similar (19)
0.89
1.11
0.73
0.82
1.12
1.50
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.80
0.50
0.50
2.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.4%
@ 1.23+6.9%
Under 1.5
17.6%
@ 3.77-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Under
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
3.94
1xBet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.6%
@ 1.77+6.7%
Under 2.5
40.4%
@ 1.99-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.83
SBO
1.82
888Sport
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Under
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.09
Pinnacle
2.07
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
1.99
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.2%
@ 2.90+5.2%
Under 3.5
62.8%
@ 1.36-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
888Sport
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.99
Under
BetVictor
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.6%
@ 1.65+4.7%
No
39.4%
@ 2.09-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.75
10Bet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.67
No
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Marathonbet
2.20
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.12
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 6.24+4.5%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.65+4.0%
2-0
8.0%@ 9.45+3.4%
1-0
7.5%@ 7.49+1.7%
1-2
6.3%@ 9.94+2.0%
3-1
6.0%@ 13.69+2.9%
2-2
5.9%@ 11.83+2.2%
0-0
5.6%@ 10.91+1.6%
HNK Hajduk Split goals ↓
NK Osijek goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
4.5%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
1
7.5%
11%
6.3%
2.6%
0.8%
2
8.0%
9.7%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
5.0%
6.0%
3.7%
1.5%
0.5%
4
2.3%
2.8%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HNK Hajduk Split goals (down), columns = NK Osijek goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.39
HNK Hajduk Split
1.89
NK Varazdin
1.50
HNK Rijeka
1.47
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.22
Istra 1961
1.19
NK Slaven Belupo
1.14
HNK Gorica
1.14
Rudes
1.11
NK Osijek
0.97
HNK Hajduk Split is 0.92 points better than NK Osijek in terms of average points per game (1.89 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.58
HNK Hajduk Split
1.69
HNK Rijeka
1.36
NK Varazdin
1.31
NK Slaven Belupo
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.11
HNK Gorica
1.11
Istra 1961
1.08
Rudes
1.08
NK Osijek
0.75
HNK Hajduk Split is 0.94 goals better than NK Osijek in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 0.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Zagreb
0.78
HNK Hajduk Split
1.00
HNK Rijeka
1.00
NK Varazdin
1.28
HNK Gorica
1.33
NK Osijek
1.36
Istra 1961
1.39
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.44
Rudes
1.65
NK Slaven Belupo
1.69
HNK Hajduk Split is 0.36 goals better than NK Osijek in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
HNK Hajduk Split
58%
Dinamo Zagreb
58%
HNK Rijeka
52%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
50%
Istra 1961
50%
NK Osijek
49%
NK Slaven Belupo
49%
HNK Gorica
46%
NK Varazdin
44%
HNK Hajduk Split is 8.9 percentage points better than NK Osijek in terms of average possession (58% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
HNK Hajduk Split
For 5.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NK Osijek
For 7.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 12.8 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
HNK Hajduk Split
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.1
9.6
4.1
4.2
4.0
27.3
27.1
27.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
10.7
11.3
9.8
5.1
4.7
5.4
28.3
26.2
30.8
vs Weaker (36)
8.9
8.1
9.5
3.8
4.1
3.5
27.0
27.5
26.6
% over line
50%
50%
50%
56%
54%
58%
88%
90%
86%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
44%
46%
42%
12%
10%
14%
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.1
9.2
4.3
4.3
4.3
26.8
26.9
26.7
vs Stronger (10)
11.1
11.4
10.8
3.4
3.6
3.2
25.7
25.8
25.6
vs Similar (33)
9.8
10.9
8.7
4.6
4.8
4.5
26.9
27.0
26.8
vs Weaker (7)
10.3
11.3
9.5
4.3
3.3
5.0
27.7
28.0
27.5
% over line
51%
65%
38%
58%
62%
54%
88%
96%
81%
% under line
49%
35%
62%
42%
38%
46%
12%
4%
19%
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
NK Osijek
10.1
Rudes
9.8
Dinamo Zagreb
9.6
HNK Hajduk Split
9.4
Istra 1961
9.3
HNK Rijeka
9.3
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
9.2
NK Varazdin
9.2
HNK Gorica
8.9
NK Slaven Belupo
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
NK Osijek
4.8
NK Varazdin
4.7
HNK Rijeka
4.7
HNK Hajduk Split
4.6
Istra 1961
4.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4.4
Dinamo Zagreb
4.3
HNK Gorica
4.2
NK Slaven Belupo
4.1
Rudes
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
HNK Hajduk Split
27.4
NK Osijek
26.8
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
26.5
HNK Rijeka
26.1
HNK Gorica
25.4
Rudes
25.3
NK Slaven Belupo
24.9
NK Varazdin
24.8
Istra 1961
23.4
Dinamo Zagreb
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.0%
@ 1.93+0.0%
Under 9.5
52.0%
@ 1.78-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.76
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.4%
@ 1.36-3.7%
Under 3.5
37.6%
@ 2.65+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.36
Under
Superbet
2.65
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.8%
Under 21.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw✓ Hit
76.2%
Avg Implied 71.7% · @ 1.29
Edge
+4.5%
52%
25%
24%
covers HNK Hajduk Split + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
William Hil
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
HNK Hajduk Split or NK Osijek✓ Hit
75.3%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.25
Edge
+1.0%
52%
25%
24%
covers HNK Hajduk Split + NK Osijek
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
888Sport
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or NK Osijek✗ Miss
48.5%
Avg Implied 54.0% · @ 1.72
Edge
-5.5%
52%
25%
24%
covers Draw + NK Osijek
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.70
SBO
1.70
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.5%
@ 1.19+6.3%
Under
15.5%
@ 4.27-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
888Sport
4.60
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.7%
@ 1.95+8.1%
Under
44.3%
@ 1.77-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Under
888Sport
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
28.7%
@ 3.99+5.5%
Under
71.3%
@ 1.21-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.34
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Under
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
12.0%
@ 9.22+1.8%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.04-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.50
Superbet
8.90
888Sport
8.50
Under
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
NK Osijek over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.4%
@ 1.35+1.5%
Under
29.6%
@ 2.99-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Unibet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
Pinnacle
3.23
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.14
NK Osijek over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.4%
@ 2.69-0.3%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.43+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
888Sport
3.10
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.65
Superbet
2.62
Under
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
NK Osijek over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 6.29-2.4%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.09+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
9.00
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.09
NK Osijek over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 18.38-1.7%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to HNK Hajduk Split, so a minus line means HNK Hajduk Split give that many goals of a start and NK Osijek receive them. At -1, HNK Hajduk Split must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HNK Hajduk Split win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.07
0.73
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.32
0.53
0.09
0.64
0.62
0.38
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
0.00
0.50
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.32+3.5%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 3.12-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.34
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.3%
@ 2.54+3.9%
Under 1.5
59.7%
@ 1.45-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.66
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
BetVictor
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 5.87-0.9%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.10+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.90
Superbet
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
60.9%
@ 1.83+10.3%
Under
39.1%
@ 1.88-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Unibet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.5%
@ 5.15+4.5%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.13-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.20
Marathonbet
5.15
Superbet
5.15
10Bet
4.75
Under
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 13.33-0.9%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.02+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
11.00
Under
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
NK Osijek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.5%
@ 2.19-3.7%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.60+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
Unibet
2.23
Betano
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
NK Osijek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 7.39-5.6%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.06+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.50
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
NK Osijek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 18.75-3.8%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HNK Hajduk Split
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.63
1.07
0.43
1.00
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.09
0.82
1.60
0.20
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (19)
1.00
0.53
0.78
0.56
1.20
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.53
0.27
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.58
0.64
0.18
0.50
1.12
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.20
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.2%
@ 1.20+2.8%
Under 0.5
19.8%
@ 4.11-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.7%
@ 1.98+0.8%
Under 1.5
52.3%
@ 1.75-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
20.4%
@ 4.05-2.6%
Under 2.5
79.6%
@ 1.20+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Betano
3.90
Marathonbet
3.88
Under
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.7%
@ 1.60+4.7%
Under
37.3%
@ 2.21-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Under
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.17
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
27.1%
@ 3.81+2.8%
Under
72.9%
@ 1.22-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
7.0%
@ 9.67-2.6%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
NK Osijek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.1%
@ 1.82-7.7%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.89+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Superbet
1.85
NK Osijek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 5.05-5.8%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.13+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
NK Osijek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 13.25-4.4%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.8%
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.03
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.0%
1.08
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-1.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
87.6%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.09
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.5%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.10
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.5%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.4%
1.23
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.1%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.20
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.5%
1.13
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.2%
1.29
Betano
1.38
William Hil
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.2%
1.30
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.20
-
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.3%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
888Sport
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.1%
1.27
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.8%
1.32
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.5%
1.44
Superbet
1.44
-
-
-
-
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.9%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
-2.8%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
71.3%
1.21
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-5.5%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
70.4%
1.35
10Bet
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Unibet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
+1.5%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
70.1%
1.23
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-1.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
HNK Hajduk Split
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rokas Pukštas75%
Marko Livaja50%
Michele Šego50%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba17%
Šimun Hrgović17%
Marin Šotiček17%
Dario Marešić0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Dalisson de Almeida0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Adrion Pajaziti0%
Toni Silić0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Niko Sigur0%
Luka Hodak0%
Anđelo Šutalo0%
Adam Huram0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrion Pajaziti40%
Mathieu Acapandié40%
Anđelo Šutalo40%
Niko Sigur33%
Luka Hodak33%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck20%
Dalisson de Almeida20%
Marko Livaja17%
Michele Šego17%
Marin Šotiček17%
Dario Marešić0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Toni Silić0%
Šimun Hrgović0%
Rokas Pukštas0%
Adam Huram0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dalisson de Almeida40%
Adrion Pajaziti40%
Šimun Hrgović33%
Marin Šotiček33%
Dario Melnjak25%
Rokas Pukštas25%
Adam Huram25%
Dario Marešić20%
Alberto del Moral20%
Marko Livaja0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Michele Šego0%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba0%
Toni Silić0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Niko Sigur0%
Luka Hodak0%
Anđelo Šutalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rokas Pukštas50%
Adrion Pajaziti40%
Marko Livaja33%
Marin Šotiček33%
Dalisson de Almeida20%
Anđelo Šutalo20%
Šimun Hrgović17%
Dario Marešić0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Michele Šego0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Toni Silić0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Niko Sigur0%
Luka Hodak0%
Adam Huram0%
NK Osijek
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nail Omerović75%
Arnel Jakupović33%
Jona Ježić33%
Ivan Dolček25%
Armando León25%
Marko Malenica0%
Roko Jurišić0%
Marcel Heister0%
Luka Jelenić0%
Senad Mustafic0%
Domagoj Bukvić0%
Luka Vrbančić0%
Šimun Mikolčić0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Admir Ljatifi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Senad Mustafic33%
Domagoj Bukvić25%
Šimun Mikolčić25%
Arnel Jakupović0%
Marko Malenica0%
Ivan Dolček0%
Roko Jurišić0%
Marcel Heister0%
Luka Jelenić0%
Armando León0%
Nail Omerović0%
Luka Vrbančić0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Admir Ljatifi0%
Jona Ježić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcel Heister33%
Roko Jurišić25%
Domagoj Bukvić25%
Luka Vrbančić25%
Arnel Jakupović0%
Marko Malenica0%
Ivan Dolček0%
Luka Jelenić0%
Armando León0%
Nail Omerović0%
Senad Mustafic0%
Šimun Mikolčić0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Admir Ljatifi0%
Jona Ježić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nail Omerović100%
Domagoj Bukvić50%
Jona Ježić33%
Arnel Jakupović0%
Marko Malenica0%
Ivan Dolček0%
Roko Jurišić0%
Marcel Heister0%
Luka Jelenić0%
Armando León0%
Senad Mustafic0%
Luka Vrbančić0%
Šimun Mikolčić0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Admir Ljatifi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
HNK Hajduk Split's squad is €19m more valuable than NK Osijek's (€34m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
HNK Hajduk Split's attack is €6m more valuable than NK Osijek's (€15m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
HNK Hajduk Split's midfield is €6m more valuable than NK Osijek's (€8m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
HNK Hajduk Split's defence is €7m more valuable than NK Osijek's (€11m vs €4m).
Croatia: HNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
Rudes
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica