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Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 2-2
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Vs
38%
32%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli meet in a Germany 2. Bundesliga match on August 14, 2026, with Holstein Kiel coming off a draw against SV Darmstadt 98, while FC St. Pauli drew against SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The model predicts a home win with a 38% chance, a draw at 32%, and an away win at 30%. The most likely match result is a home win, with an expected total of 2.2 goals, and the most likely score is 1-1 with a 14.7% chance.

Holstein Kiel has scored an average of 1.42 goals and conceded 1.17 at home against similar opponents, while FC St. Pauli has scored 0.56 and conceded 1.22 away against similar opponents. The model's selection is Under 3.5 goals with an 81.8% chance, offering a 15% edge.

The model's suggested picks include Under 3.5 goals at 81.8%, and Home win at 38%, Draw at 32%, and Away win at 30%. The home win percentage is 38%, the draw percentage is 32%, and the away win percentage is 30%.

Results analysis

The draw between Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli has extended Holstein Kiel's run of coming off a draw, with their last five results reading DDLLW. The match ended 2-2, a result that was among the most likely, with a probability of 28%. The model had picked a home win, a selection that was not correct, given the actual result was a draw. The model's selection had a probability of 38% of winning. The model's selection of under 3.5 goals missed, with a probability of 81.8%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holstein Kiel win✗ Miss
38.4%
Avg Implied 38.9% · @ 2.39
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.49
Betano
2.47
10Bet
2.45
Dafabet
2.43
BetVictor
2.40
Draw✓ Hit
31.6%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.42
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.66
BetVictor
3.50
Betano
3.50
Marathonbet
3.46
1xBet
3.46
FC St. Pauli win✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.75
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.90
Dafabet
2.85
Bet365
2.80
Pinnacle
2.79
Betano
2.77

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L32W00D21W30W10W20W13L12L22DH·1. 14/03A·VFL22/03H·PRE05/04A·FOR10/04H·1. 17/04A·HER25/04H·EIN02/05H·1. 09/05A·DYN17/05A·SV 08/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.471.401.001.331.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.431.501.501.071.361.93
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L12L11D05L11D02L12L12L13L11DA·BOR13/03H·SC 22/03A·UNI05/04H·BAY11/04H·1. 17/04A·1. 25/04H·FSV03/05A·RB 09/05H·VFL16/05H·SPV09/08← Bundesliga2. Bundesliga →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.770.801.730.671.80
vs Stronger (11)0.822.270.801.800.832.67
vs Similar (19)0.681.470.801.700.561.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.0%
@ 1.23-10.2%
Under 1.5
34.0%
@ 3.93+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.23
Betfair
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.9%
@ 1.75-15.9%
Under 2.5
62.1%
@ 2.04+15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
SBO
1.80
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Unibet
2.06
Betfair
2.05
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.2%
@ 2.81-15.0%
Under 3.5
81.8%
@ 1.40+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.95
Betano
2.95
Pinnacle
2.93
10Bet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.7%
@ 1.60-12.3%
No
54.3%
@ 2.21+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.63
888Sport
1.62
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.62
No
Betfair
2.30
Unibet
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Betano
2.20

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%@ 6.34+7.6%
0-0
12.4%@ 11.21+8.3%
1-0
11.7%@ 8.87+6.7%
0-1
9.9%@ 9.49+5.2%
2-1
7.9%@ 8.71+2.7%
2-0
7.7%@ 12.25+4.1%
1-2
6.8%@ 9.36+2.0%
0-2
5.7%@ 13.59+2.4%
Holstein Kiel goals ↓
FC St. Pauli goals →
01234
012%9.9%5.7%1.9%0.5%
112%15%6.8%2.3%0.6%
27.7%7.9%4.0%1.4%0.3%
33.1%3.1%1.6%0.5%0.1%
40.9%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Holstein Kiel goals (down), columns = FC St. Pauli goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.14
Hannover 96
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.58
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Energie Cottbus
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.07
Holstein Kiel is 0.38 points worse than FC St. Pauli in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.18
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.67
FC St. Pauli
1.62
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Energie Cottbus
1.12
VfL Osnabrück
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
Holstein Kiel is 0.32 goals worse than FC St. Pauli in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
VfL Wolfsburg
0.93
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
FC St. Pauli
1.26
Hannover 96
1.29
Hertha BSC
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Energie Cottbus
1.82
VfL Osnabrück
1.87
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
Holstein Kiel is 0.15 goals worse than FC St. Pauli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

For 5.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

160489310645355371133271121216985101458A·SV A·DYNH·1. H·EINA·HERH·1. A·FORH·PREA·VFLH·1.
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.1

🟨 Cards

1103232223244214233653555458366118A·SV A·DYNH·1. H·EINA·HERH·1. A·FORH·PREA·VFLH·1.
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 26.7

⚠️ Fouls

330161517141311131215699131315122211181331312425211826273331A·SV A·DYNH·1. H·EINA·HERH·1. A·FORH·PREA·VFLH·1.
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

For 5.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

17092895377668534273222111781412137954H·SPVH·VFLA·RB H·FSVA·1. H·1. H·BAYA·UNIH·SC A·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

5012323114112311211524153323H·SPVH·VFLA·RB H·FSVA·1. H·1. H·BAYA·UNIH·SC A·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.4 · Against 6.8 · Total 14.2

⚠️ Fouls

1804569951086762978109679915141813816181516H·SPVH·VFLA·RB H·FSVA·1. H·1. H·BAYA·UNIH·SC A·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.410.05.24.85.726.125.726.5
vs Stronger (7)10.69.011.83.13.33.019.320.018.8
vs Similar (41)10.010.49.65.54.96.027.026.527.5
vs Weaker (2)12.514.011.07.56.09.031.527.036.0
% over line54%46%62%78%79%77%80%79%81%
% under line46%54%38%22%21%23%20%21%19%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.99.03.53.83.319.719.719.7
vs Stronger (21)8.88.59.13.54.12.820.021.019.0
vs Similar (29)10.011.09.03.63.53.619.518.820.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%50%50%46%50%42%32%35%29%
% under line50%50%50%54%50%58%68%65%71%
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
VfL Wolfsburg
11.4
VfL Osnabrück
11.0
Dynamo Dresden
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.7
Hertha BSC
10.4
SV Darmstadt 98
10.4
Hannover 96
10.3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
Holstein Kiel
10.2
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.2
1. FC Magdeburg
10.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.1
1. FC Nürnberg
9.9
Arminia Bielefeld
9.8
FC St. Pauli
9.5
Karlsruher SC
9.2
1. FC Heidenheim
9.1
Energie Cottbus
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Holstein Kiel
5.2
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.1
1. FC Nürnberg
4.9
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.9
VfL Bochum
4.8
Hannover 96
4.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.7
1. FC Magdeburg
4.7
Hertha BSC
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.6
VfL Osnabrück
4.6
SV Darmstadt 98
4.3
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
Arminia Bielefeld
4.1
VfL Wolfsburg
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.7
FC St. Pauli
3.6
Energie Cottbus
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Hannover 96
26.5
Holstein Kiel
26.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.5
Arminia Bielefeld
25.5
VfL Osnabrück
25.3
1. FC Nürnberg
24.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.7
Hertha BSC
24.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
23.9
SV Darmstadt 98
23.9
1. FC Magdeburg
23.6
Dynamo Dresden
23.1
Karlsruher SC
23.1
VfL Bochum
23.1
Energie Cottbus
22.0
1. FC Heidenheim
20.9
VfL Wolfsburg
20.8
FC St. Pauli
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.0%
@ 1.76+3.2%
Under 9.5
44.0%
@ 1.97-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
Unibet
1.72
Under
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Unibet
1.96
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.93
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.5%
Under 3.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.3%
@ 1.32-4.0%
Under 21.5
35.7%
@ 2.85+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
2.85

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W00D00D30W00D10W02L02L20WH·1. 14/03A·VFL22/03H·PRE05/04A·FOR10/04H·1. 17/04A·HER25/04H·EIN02/05H·1. 09/05A·DYN17/05A·SV 08/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.670.470.670.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.680.750.710.500.641.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W01L00D01L02L01L01L00DA·BOR13/03H·SC 22/03A·UNI05/04H·BAY11/04H·1. 17/04A·1. 25/04H·FSV03/05A·RB 09/05H·VFL16/05H·SPV09/08← Bundesliga2. Bundesliga →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.630.200.470.330.80
vs Stronger (11)0.270.730.400.200.171.17
vs Similar (19)0.260.580.100.600.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D00D21W00D10W10W11D10W02LH·1. 14/03A·VFL22/03H·PRE05/04A·FOR10/04H·1. 17/04A·HER25/04H·EIN02/05H·1. 09/05A·DYN17/05A·SV 08/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.730.530.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.750.750.790.570.710.93
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L01L04L11D01L10W11D12L11DA·BOR13/03H·SC 22/03A·UNI05/04H·BAY11/04H·1. 17/04A·1. 25/04H·FSV03/05A·RB 09/05H·VFL16/05H·SPV09/08← Bundesliga2. Bundesliga →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.130.601.270.331.00
vs Stronger (11)0.551.550.401.600.671.50
vs Similar (19)0.420.890.701.100.110.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.8%1.40
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
+15.0%✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls78.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Holstein Kiel
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Phil Harres75%
Guillermo Balzi50%
Jonas Therkelsen25%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Jonas Meffert0%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Hiroki Sekine0%
Leon Parduzi0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kasper Davidsen75%
Ivan Nekić50%
Jonas Therkelsen50%
Hiroki Sekine50%
Timon Weiner33%
Leon Parduzi33%
Jonas Meffert25%
Guillermo Balzi25%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Phil Harres0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Phil Harres50%
Adrián Kaprálik50%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Jonas Meffert0%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Guillermo Balzi0%
Jonas Therkelsen0%
Hiroki Sekine0%
Leon Parduzi0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Phil Harres75%
Guillermo Balzi25%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Jonas Meffert0%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Jonas Therkelsen0%
Hiroki Sekine0%
Leon Parduzi0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
FC St. Pauli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taichi Hara25%
Martijn Kaars25%
Marcus Mathisen25%
Branimir Hrgota0%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcus Mathisen50%
Arkadiusz Pyrka50%
Ricky-Jade Jones33%
Joel Chima Fujita33%
David Nemeth25%
Mathias Rasmussen25%
Tomoya Ando25%
Branimir Hrgota0%
Eric Smith0%
Taichi Hara0%
Martijn Kaars0%
Ben Voll0%
Louis Oppie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Branimir Hrgota25%
Taichi Hara25%
Arkadiusz Pyrka25%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Martijn Kaars0%
Marcus Mathisen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Martijn Kaars75%
Branimir Hrgota25%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Taichi Hara0%
Marcus Mathisen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (33)
€154m
FSP (27)
€46m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
HB (24)
€25m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
EC (26)
€11m
VO (25)
€10m
Holstein Kiel's squad is €12m less valuable than FC St. Pauli's (€34m vs €46m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (10)
€56m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FK (9)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
HB (8)
€8m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
EC (10)
€4m
SGF (6)
€4m
Holstein Kiel's attack is €2m more valuable than FC St. Pauli's (€12m vs €10m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (8)
€32m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
VO (7)
€3m
EC (4)
€2m
Holstein Kiel's midfield is €9m less valuable than FC St. Pauli's (€7m vs €15m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (15)
€66m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
HB (10)
€13m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
EC (12)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
Holstein Kiel's defence is €6m less valuable than FC St. Pauli's (€16m vs €21m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
HK wins
1
Draws
6
FSP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli · H/A from HK
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25HHK Vs FC St. Pauli1-2
29/11/24AFC St. Pauli Vs HK3-1
23/02/24HHK Vs FC St. Pauli3-4
17/09/23AFC St. Pauli Vs HK5-1
19/05/23HHK Vs FC St. Pauli3-4
08/11/22AFC St. Pauli Vs HK0-0
17/12/21HHK Vs FC St. Pauli3-0
25/07/21AFC St. Pauli Vs HK3-0

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26ASV Darmstadt 98 Vs HK2-2
17/05/26ADynamo Dresden Vs HK2-1
09/05/26HHK Vs 1. FC Magdeburg1-3
02/05/26HHK Vs Eintracht Braunschweig2-0
25/04/26AHertha BSC Vs HK0-1
17/04/26HHK Vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern3-0
10/04/26AFortuna Düsseldorf Vs HK1-2
05/04/26HHK Vs Preußen Münster0-0
22/03/26AVfL Bochum Vs HK2-3
14/03/26HHK Vs 1. FC Nürnberg2-3

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/26HFSP Vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-1
16/05/26HFSP Vs VfL Wolfsburg1-3
09/05/26ARB Leipzig Vs FSP2-1
03/05/26HFSP Vs FSV Mainz 051-2
25/04/26A1. FC Heidenheim Vs FSP2-0
17/04/26HFSP Vs 1. FC Köln1-1
11/04/26HFSP Vs Bayern München0-5
05/04/26AUnion Berlin Vs FSP1-1
22/03/26HFSP Vs SC Freiburg1-2
13/03/26ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs FSP2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.10
HomeLDWWL1.12
AwayWWWLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.982.793.15
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %32%21%42%
Scored1.341.331.35
Conceded1.641.461.81
BTTS66%58%73%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners10.1810.3810.00
Cards5.224.755.65
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.78
HomeLDLLD0.92
AwayWLDLL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%19%12%
AVG goals2.442.422.46
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %44%46%42%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored0.820.850.79
Conceded1.621.581.67
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet14%12%17%
Corners9.509.929.04
Cards3.613.923.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
11. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg39
100%
3.0
113+8
4.7
100%
100%
67%
9.7
67%
3.0
33%
20.3
33%
40
1413123.71.0
49%
2Hertha BSCHertha BSC39
100%
3.0
104+6
4.7
67%
67%
67%
10.7
33%
5.7
100%
28.0
100%
25
83133.31.3
49%
3VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg37
67%
2.3
62+4
2.7
33%
33%
33%
14.3
100%
1.7
0%
24.0
67%
154
5632662.00.7
-
41. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim36
67%
2.0
1010+0
6.7
100%
100%
100%
11.0
67%
4.3
67%
18.3
33%
33
157123.33.3
-
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg36
67%
2.0
66+0
4.0
100%
67%
33%
9.7
67%
5.7
67%
25.3
67%
21
10472.02.0
54%
61. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern35
33%
1.7
21+1
1.0
33%
33%
0%
11.7
67%
4.7
67%
26.7
100%
28
125110.70.3
48%
7SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth34
33%
1.3
78-1
5.0
100%
67%
67%
11.7
67%
3.3
67%
20.0
67%
19
4592.32.7
48%
8Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC34
33%
1.3
46-2
3.3
67%
67%
33%
15.0
100%
3.3
33%
28.3
100%
31
164121.32.0
48%
9Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig33
33%
1.0
97+2
5.3
67%
67%
67%
12.7
100%
5.7
100%
23.0
67%
21
7593.02.3
44%
10Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld33
33%
1.0
56-1
3.7
100%
100%
33%
13.3
100%
3.0
33%
25.7
67%
18
7471.72.0
52%
11VfL BochumVfL Bochum33
33%
1.0
12-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.3
33%
6.3
100%
27.3
100%
19
6580.30.7
46%
12Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus33
33%
1.0
68-2
4.7
100%
100%
67%
13.7
67%
3.3
67%
26.3
100%
11
4252.02.7
-
13Hannover 96Hannover 9633
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
11.7
67%
3.0
33%
20.0
33%
33
1011120.71.3
56%
14VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück33
33%
1.0
47-3
3.7
67%
67%
33%
10.0
67%
4.0
33%
21.0
67%
10
5331.32.3
-
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
67%
67%
33%
12.3
100%
4.3
67%
18.3
33%
19
6481.32.7
50%
16FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli32
0%
0.7
45-1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
10.0
67%
4.7
67%
21.3
67%
46
1015211.31.7
-
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel32
0%
0.7
46-2
3.3
100%
67%
67%
9.3
67%
6.7
100%
31.7
100%
34
127161.32.0
52%
18SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 9831
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
12.3
100%
4.7
100%
25.0
67%
24
9680.71.3
51%
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches