PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Hoyvík vs B36 II Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2024
Time: 18:30
Final 1-2
Hoyvík
Hoyvík
Vs
45%
22%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
B36 II
B36 II
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Hoyvík’s recent slump - three straight defeats - sets a cautious tone, yet the model still favours a home win with a 45% probability, a draw at 22% and an away win at 33%. The expected total of 3.9 goals signals a high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 8.6% chance. Hoyvík, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while B36 II, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages 1.58 scored and 2.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 90.5%, Over 2.5 at 74.1%, and BTTS Yes at 73.5%. These picks reflect the offensive potential and the likelihood of both teams finding the net. The predicted outcome remains a Hoyvík victory, despite the recent form and the balanced goal expectations.

Results analysis

The upset came as Hoyvík, the pre-match favourite, fell short, with B36 II snatching a 2-1 away win. Hoyvík’s recent run of LLLWL after a 0-3 loss to Suduroy had left the home side looking shaky, while B36 II’s LLLWL streak, following a 3-5 defeat to B71, suggested they were still finding form. The model had tipped a home victory at 45% probability, but that call was wrong. The model’s other selections - Over 1.5 (90.5%), Over 2.5 (74.1%) and BTTS Yes (73.5%) - all hit, confirming the match’s high-scoring nature. The final score of 1-2 settled the outcome, with B36 II securing the win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hoyvík win✗ Miss
45.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
B36 II win✓ Hit
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HoyvíkHoyvík

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-634L41W31W03L61W10W20W20W02L02LA·SKÁ19/08H·KÍ 26/08H·B6801/09H·VÍK18/09A·EB 23/09H·HB 29/09A·NSI07/10H·B3621/10H·B7128/10A·NSÍ09/03
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.711.961.691.691.732.20
vs Stronger (3)1.002.001.001.501.003.00
vs Similar (15)1.602.271.832.501.442.11
vs Weaker (10)2.101.501.800.802.402.20
Clean sheet %14% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

B36 IIB36 II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L30W14L10W23L13L73W02L13L11DA·B7119/08H·EB 26/08A·SKÁ01/09H·HB 16/09A·KÍ 22/09H·NSI30/09A·B6807/10A·HOY21/10A·VÍK28/10H·SUD09/03
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.932.002.001.331.872.67
vs Stronger (23)1.782.172.001.641.582.67
vs Similar (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Weaker (6)2.671.502.330.333.002.67
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%319%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.5%
Under 1.5
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.1%
Under 2.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.5%
No
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
1-2 ✓
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
2-3
4.3%
Hoyvík goals ↓
B36 II goals →
01234
02.9%2.9%3.3%1.9%0.9%
13.6%8.6%6.9%4.1%1.8%
24.6%8.1%7.2%4.3%1.9%
33.2%5.7%5.0%3.0%1.3%
41.7%3.0%2.6%1.5%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hoyvík goals (down), columns = B36 II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Víkingur II
2.00
Suduroy
1.74
B71
1.63
TB
1.59
AB
1.52
B36 II
1.52
NSÍ II
1.22
KÍ II
1.11
Hoyvík
0.74
HB II
0.44
Hoyvík is 0.78 points worse than B36 II in terms of average points per game (0.74 vs 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Víkingur II
2.67
Suduroy
2.07
B36 II
1.85
AB
1.74
B71
1.63
NSÍ II
1.44
TB
1.41
KÍ II
1.19
HB II
0.96
Hoyvík
0.89
Hoyvík is 0.96 goals worse than B36 II in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.85).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TB
0.89
B71
1.07
AB
1.11
Suduroy
1.30
Víkingur II
1.30
B36 II
1.52
KÍ II
1.85
NSÍ II
1.89
Hoyvík
2.00
HB II
2.93
Hoyvík is 0.48 goals worse than B36 II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.52).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HoyvíkHoyvík

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W10W01L41W10W10W20W00D02LH·B3612/08H·KÍ 26/08H·B6801/09H·VÍK18/09A·EB 23/09H·HB 29/09A·NSI07/10H·B3621/10H·B7128/10A·NSÍ09/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.921.000.540.921.31
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.500.001.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.850.920.831.000.860.86
vs Weaker (10)1.201.001.400.201.001.80
Clean sheet %46% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

B36 IIB36 II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L20W12L10W20W01L41W02L01L00DA·B7119/08H·EB 26/08A·SKÁ01/09H·HB 16/09A·KÍ 22/09H·NSI30/09A·B6807/10A·HOY21/10A·VÍK28/10H·SUD09/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.870.930.670.871.07
vs Stronger (23)0.871.000.910.820.831.17
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (6)1.170.501.330.331.000.67
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HoyvíkHoyvík

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W21W02L20W00D10W00D02L00DH·B3612/08H·KÍ 26/08H·B6801/09H·VÍK18/09A·EB 23/09H·HB 29/09A·NSI07/10H·B3621/10H·B7128/10A·NSÍ09/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.960.691.150.770.77
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.691.231.001.500.431.00
vs Weaker (10)0.900.500.400.601.400.40
Clean sheet %31% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

B36 IIB36 II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W02L00D03L12L32W00D12L11DA·B7119/08H·EB 26/08A·SKÁ01/09H·HB 16/09A·KÍ 22/09H·NSI30/09A·B6807/10A·HOY21/10A·VÍK28/10H·SUD09/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.131.070.671.001.60
vs Stronger (23)0.911.171.090.820.751.50
vs Similar (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Weaker (6)1.501.001.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.574.1%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes73.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (18)
€1m
BI (6)
€0m
VI (5)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
HI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (8)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
BI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (7)
€0m
VI (3)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
HOY wins
1
Draws
1
BI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hoyvík vs B36 II · H/A from HOY
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23HHOY Vs B36 II2-0
12/08/23HHOY Vs B36 II2-2
13/05/23AB36 II Vs HOY3-0

HoyvíkHoyvík

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/24ANSÍ II Vs HOY2-0
28/10/23HHOY Vs B710-2
21/10/23HHOY Vs B36 II2-0
07/10/23ANSI Runavik Vs HOY0-2
29/09/23HHOY Vs HB II1-0
23/09/23AEB / Streymur II Vs HOY1-6
18/09/23HHOY Vs Víkingur II0-3
01/09/23HHOY Vs B68 II3-1
26/08/23HHOY Vs KÍ II4-1
19/08/23ASkála Vs HOY4-3

B36 IIB36 II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/24HBI Vs Suduroy1-1
28/10/23AVíkingur II Vs BI3-1
21/10/23AHoyvík Vs BI2-0
07/10/23AB68 II Vs BI3-7
30/09/23HBI Vs NSI Runavik1-3
22/09/23AKÍ II Vs BI3-2
16/09/23HBI Vs HB II1-0
01/09/23ASkála Vs BI4-1
26/08/23HBI Vs EB / Streymur II3-0
19/08/23AB71 Vs BI3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hoyvík
Hoyvík
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.32
HomeWLWWL1.69
AwayLLWWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%54%27%
AVG goals3.683.383.93
Over 1.5 %93%92%93%
Over 2.5 %68%77%60%
Over 3.5 %43%38%47%
Scored1.711.691.73
Conceded1.961.692.20
BTTS64%62%67%
Clean Sheet14%15%13%
Corners---
Cards---
B36 II
B36 II
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.16
HomeLWWLD1.40
AwayLLWLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals3.903.404.40
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %74%68%80%
Over 3.5 %56%44%68%
Scored1.941.961.92
Conceded1.961.442.48
BTTS68%68%68%
Clean Sheet14%24%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Víkingur IIVíkingur II2754
59%
2.0
7235+37
4.0
93%
74%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.3
-
2SuduroySuduroy2747
44%
1.7
5635+21
3.4
85%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
3B71B712744
44%
1.6
4429+15
2.7
81%
48%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
4TBTB2743
37%
1.6
3824+14
2.3
74%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
5ABAB2741
37%
1.5
4730+17
2.9
81%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.1
-
6B36 IIB36 II2741
41%
1.5
5041+9
3.4
85%
67%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
7NSÍ IINSÍ II2733
33%
1.2
3951-12
3.3
78%
63%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8KÍ IIKÍ II2730
33%
1.1
3250-18
3.0
89%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
9HoyvíkHoyvík2720
15%
0.7
2454-30
2.9
81%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
10HB IIHB II2712
7%
0.4
2679-53
3.9
96%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.9
-
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →

← all matches