Hoyvík and B71 are set to face off in the Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild, with the away side favoured to win according to the model's pick. B71's recent form is impressive, having won two of their last four matches, including a 3-1 victory over EB / Streymur II. In contrast, Hoyvík has been inconsistent, coming off a win but also experiencing a recent dip in form. The model suggests that this match will be high-scoring, with an expected total of 3.4 goals and a most likely total of 3.
The model's most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 10.6%. The home side, Hoyvík, has struggled at home, scoring an average of 0.75 goals per match against stronger opponents, while conceding 2.5 goals. B71, on the other hand, has excelled away from home, scoring 2.27 goals per match against weaker opponents, while conceding 1.45 goals.
The model's selection is an Away win, with a probability of 48%. The other selections include Over 1.5, with a probability of 85.8%. The home win percentage is 28%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away win percentage is 48%.
The win extends Hoyvík's recent woes, as they fell to a 0-3 defeat at home against B71. This result follows their loss to the same opponent just last time out. Meanwhile, B71's winning streak continues, having now taken three consecutive victories. The model got it right, backing the away win, which was the correct call given the pre-match probability of 48%. The model's selection was indeed correct, as B71 secured a convincing 3-0 victory. The model's suggested picks largely came in, with Over 1.5 goals hitting, as expected, at 85.8%.
Hoyvík| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 1.83 | 0.93 | 1.87 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (11) | 0.73 | 2.18 | 0.60 | 2.60 | 0.83 | 1.83 |
| vs Weaker (16) | 1.12 | 1.69 | 1.11 | 1.56 | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
B71| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.47 | 1.37 | 2.73 | 1.00 | 2.20 | 1.73 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (28) | 2.50 | 1.39 | 2.79 | 1.00 | 2.21 | 1.79 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
| B71 goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 11% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Hoyvík| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.73 | 0.44 | 0.75 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (11) | 0.36 | 1.18 | 0.20 | 1.40 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (16) | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
B71| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 0.63 | 1.33 | 0.40 | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (28) | 1.14 | 0.64 | 1.36 | 0.43 | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Hoyvík| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 1.07 | 0.50 | 1.12 | 0.36 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (11) | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.20 | 0.33 | 0.83 |
| vs Weaker (16) | 0.44 | 1.12 | 0.60 | 1.10 | 0.17 | 1.17 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
B71| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.33 | 0.73 | 1.40 | 0.60 | 1.27 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (28) | 1.36 | 0.75 | 1.43 | 0.57 | 1.29 | 0.93 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 85.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 22/06/24 | A | 1-2 | |
| 27/04/24 | A | 2-0 | |
| 28/10/23 | H | 0-2 | |
| 05/08/23 | A | 3-1 | |
| 06/04/23 | H | 2-1 |
Hoyvík| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 03/07/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 27/06/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 20/06/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 25/10/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 19/10/24 | A | 2-2 | |
| 05/10/24 | H | 3-3 | |
| 29/09/24 | H | 1-4 | |
| 22/09/24 | A | 1-1 |
B71| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 7-0 | |
| 04/07/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 28/06/26 | A | 1-6 | |
| 20/06/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 25/10/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 03/10/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 27/09/25 | H | 7-1 | |
| 20/09/25 | H | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | B71 | 8 | 22 | 88% | 2.8 | 31 | 8 | +23 | 4.9 | 100% | 100% | 62% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | 1.0 | - |
| 2 | Víkingur II | 8 | 21 | 88% | 2.6 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 4.4 | 100% | 75% | 62% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.1 | 1.2 | - |
| 3 | Suduroy | 8 | 19 | 75% | 2.4 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 3.5 | 88% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 | 0.6 | - |
| 4 | ÍF II | 7 | 15 | 71% | 2.1 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 5.4 | 100% | 100% | 71% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 5 | TB | 9 | 14 | 44% | 1.6 | 21 | 21 | +0 | 4.7 | 100% | 100% | 78% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | - |
| 6 | Hoyvík | 8 | 9 | 38% | 1.1 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 2.8 | 75% | 62% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | - |
| 7 | HB II | 9 | 7 | 22% | 0.8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 3.4 | 89% | 78% | 56% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 2.1 | - |
| 8 | B36 II | 8 | 6 | 25% | 0.8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 5.1 | 88% | 88% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 3.1 | - |
| 9 | NSÍ II | 7 | 3 | 14% | 0.4 | 6 | 26 | -20 | 4.6 | 86% | 86% | 86% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 3.7 | - |
| 10 | EB / Streymur II | 8 | 1 | 0% | 0.1 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 4.5 | 100% | 88% | 88% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | - |