Hoyvík’s recent slump of three straight losses is tempered by a solid home form against weaker opposition, where they average one goal scored and 1.7 conceded. NSÍ II, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, dropping two defeats in a row and conceding 3.08 goals on average to stronger opponents while scoring 1.67. The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected total of 3.7 goals and the most likely total of three, though the probability of exactly three is only 21%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9% chance. The match outcome probabilities are 48% for a Hoyvík win, 23% for a draw, and 29% for an NSÍ II win, making a Hoyvík victory the favoured result. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (96.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.7%), Under 6.5 (91.5%), Over 1.5 (89.5%), Home over 0.5 goals (87.8%), Home +2 handicap (85.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (83.8%), and Under 5.5 (82.5%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hoyvík win
48.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II win
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hoyvík
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.83
0.88
2.00
1.07
1.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (10)
0.80
2.20
0.75
2.75
0.83
1.83
vs Weaker (16)
1.12
1.62
1.00
1.70
1.33
1.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSÍ II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
3.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
2.70
1.40
2.40
1.93
3.00
vs Stronger (22)
1.50
3.00
1.30
2.90
1.67
3.08
vs Similar (8)
2.12
1.88
1.60
1.40
3.00
2.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.5%
Under 1.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72.0%
Under 2.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
51.3%
Under 3.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
71.5%
No
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
2-0
5.3%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
Hoyvík goals ↓
NSÍ II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.2%
3.1%
3.2%
1.7%
0.7%
1
4.2%
9.0%
6.7%
3.6%
1.5%
2
5.3%
8.6%
7.0%
3.8%
1.6%
3
3.7%
6.0%
4.9%
2.7%
1.1%
4
1.9%
3.2%
2.6%
1.4%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hoyvík goals (down), columns = NSÍ II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
Hoyvík is 0.70 points better than NSÍ II in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 0.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
Hoyvík is 0.11 goals worse than NSÍ II in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
Hoyvík is 1.71 goals better than NSÍ II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 3.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hoyvík or Draw
70.6%
Avg Implied -
48%
23%
29%
covers Hoyvík + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík or NSÍ II
77.4%
Avg Implied -
48%
23%
29%
covers Hoyvík + NSÍ II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or NSÍ II
52.0%
Avg Implied -
48%
23%
29%
covers Draw + NSÍ II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5
Over
87.8%
Under
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5
Over
62.1%
Under
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 3.5
Over
16.2%
Under
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5
Over
80.5%
Under
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5
Over
48.6%
Under
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5
Over
22.5%
Under
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 3.5
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hoyvík, so a minus line means Hoyvík give that many goals of a start and NSÍ II receive them. At -1, Hoyvík must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hoyvík win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hoyvík)
Hoyvík -2
14.0%
Draw -2
14.6%
NSÍ II +2
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Hoyvík)
Hoyvík -1
28.5%
Draw -1
19.4%
NSÍ II +1
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Hoyvík)
Hoyvík +1
70.6%
Draw +1
14.9%
NSÍ II -1
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Hoyvík)
Hoyvík +2
85.5%
Draw +2
8.8%
NSÍ II -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hoyvík
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.38
0.88
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.20
0.25
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.56
0.40
0.70
1.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSÍ II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.37
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.73
vs Stronger (22)
0.77
1.59
0.70
1.10
0.83
2.00
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.75
0.60
0.80
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hoyvík
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.07
0.50
1.12
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
0.44
1.06
0.60
1.00
0.17
1.17
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSÍ II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.33
0.73
1.40
0.93
1.27
vs Stronger (22)
0.73
1.41
0.60
1.80
0.83
1.08
vs Similar (8)
1.12
1.12
1.00
0.60
1.33
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
B71
Víkingur II
Suduroy
ÍF II
TB
HB II
B36 II
EB / Streymur II