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Hoyvík vs Suduroy Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
Hoyvík
Hoyvík
Vs
25%
23%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Suduroy
Suduroy
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Suduroy's recent three-game winning streak, including a 2-1 victory over B36 II, has propelled them to the top spot in the model's predictions. The model rates them highly due to their away form, particularly against opponents with similar strength, where they average 2 goals scored and 1.75 conceded.

However, Suduroy faces a challenging task at Hoyvik's home ground, where the home side has a 12% chance of winning. The model predicts an away win, with a 68% probability, and a 21% chance of a draw. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely total being 2 goals.

The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a 12% probability. Hoyvik averages 1 goal scored and 1.82 conceded at home, while Suduroy averages 2 goals scored and 1.75 conceded away from home.

The model's selection is the Away win, with a 68% probability. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with an 80.6% probability.

Results analysis

Hoyvík's 1-0 win over Suduroy extends their run of consecutive wins to three, coming off the back of a win against the same opponent just last week. The actual result was a home win, a surprise given the pre-match favourite was a Suduroy away win, which the Pythia prediction model had assigned a 52% probability of occurring. However, the model's call was incorrect. The model had selected an Away win, but the actual result was a Home win. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals also missed, with a probability of 86.3%, while the most likely score was a 1-1 draw with a 10.2% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hoyvík win✓ Hit
24.7%
Avg Implied 9.8% · @ 9.11
Edge
+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
10.50
Dafabet
10.00
1xBet
9.25
Unibet
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 13.7% · @ 6.53
Edge
+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.70
1xBet
6.65
Marathonbet
6.65
Suduroy win✗ Miss
52.0%
Avg Implied 76.4% · @ 1.17
Edge
-24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Dafabet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HoyvíkHoyvík

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D14L33D22D01L10W12L31W02LA·KÍ 14/09A·AB22/09H·VÍK29/09H·SUD05/10A·B3619/10H·TB25/10A·HB 20/06H·ÍF 27/06A·B3603/07A·VÍK01/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.900.932.001.001.80
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.001.001.001.50
vs Similar (11)0.732.180.602.600.831.83
vs Weaker (16)1.121.811.111.781.141.86
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SuduroySuduroy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L12L22D22D04L02L22D20W40W21WH·07 14/09A·HB 20/09A·TB28/09H·EB 05/10H·VIK19/10A·B3625/10H·TB19/06A·EB 27/06A·NSÍ04/07H·B3601/08← Meistaradeildin1. Deild →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.401.132.931.201.87
vs Stronger (22)1.052.771.183.270.912.27
vs Similar (8)1.501.381.002.002.000.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.3%
@ 1.02-4.4%
Under 1.5
13.7%
@ 10.00+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.02
Under
1xBet
10.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
66.1%
@ 1.18-9.9%
Under 2.5
33.9%
@ 3.74+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
BetVictor
1.14
Under
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.84
BetVictor
3.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.3%
@ 1.52-14.9%
Under 3.5
55.7%
@ 2.21+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Unibet
1.50
BetVictor
1.45
Under
Unibet
2.28
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Superbet
2.25
BetVictor
1.96
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.8%
@ 1.53+7.2%
No
34.2%
@ 2.16-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
BetVictor
1.44
No
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.20
BetVictor
1.95

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%@ 13.75+7.2%
1-2
9.4%@ 9.30+5.0%
0-2
6.9%@ 9.03+2.3%
2-2
6.5%@ 16.25+3.9%
1-3
6.4%@ 8.97+1.8%
2-1
6.3%@ 25.00+4.7%
0-1
5.8%@ 13.25+2.7%
0-3
4.7%@ 8.55-0.2%
Hoyvík goals ↓
Suduroy goals →
01234
04.2%5.8%6.9%4.7%2.4%
13.6%10%9.4%6.4%3.3%
23.1%6.3%6.5%4.4%2.2%
31.4%2.9%2.9%2.0%1.0%
40.5%1.0%1.0%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hoyvík goals (down), columns = Suduroy goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
Hoyvík is 1.25 points worse than Suduroy in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 2.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
Hoyvík is 2.12 goals worse than Suduroy in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 2.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
Hoyvík is 1.38 goals worse than Suduroy in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HoyvíkHoyvík

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L01L21W20W00D00D12L30W01LA·KÍ 14/09A·AB22/09H·VÍK29/09H·SUD05/10A·B3619/10H·TB25/10A·HB 20/06H·ÍF 27/06A·B3603/07A·VÍK01/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.470.800.670.80
vs Stronger (3)0.330.331.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (11)0.361.180.201.400.501.00
vs Weaker (16)0.750.620.560.561.000.71
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SuduroySuduroy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D11D01L02L01L11D10W20W01LH·07 14/09A·HB 20/09A·TB28/09H·EB 05/10H·VIK19/10A·B3625/10H·TB19/06A·EB 27/06A·NSÍ04/07H·B3601/08← Meistaradeildin1. Deild →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.030.331.270.730.80
vs Stronger (22)0.551.180.451.360.641.00
vs Similar (8)0.500.620.001.001.000.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HoyvíkHoyvík

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W13L12L02L01L10W00D01L01LA·KÍ 14/09A·AB22/09H·VÍK29/09H·SUD05/10A·B3619/10H·TB25/10A·HB 20/06H·ÍF 27/06A·B3603/07A·VÍK01/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.070.471.200.330.93
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.361.000.401.200.330.83
vs Weaker (16)0.381.120.561.220.141.00
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SuduroySuduroy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D21W02L01L11D10W20W20WH·07 14/09A·HB 20/09A·TB28/09H·EB 05/10H·VIK19/10A·B3625/10H·TB19/06A·EB 27/06A·NSÍ04/07H·B3601/08← Meistaradeildin1. Deild →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.370.801.670.471.07
vs Stronger (22)0.501.590.731.910.271.27
vs Similar (8)1.000.751.001.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.3%1.02
1xBet
1.02
-----4.4%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (6)
€0m
VI (5)
€0m
E/S (7)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
HI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (3)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
E/S (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
E/S (6)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
BI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VI (3)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
E/S (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
HOY wins
1
Draws
2
SUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hoyvík vs Suduroy · H/A from HOY
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24HHOY Vs Suduroy3-3
01/06/24HHOY Vs Suduroy1-4
14/04/24ASuduroy Vs HOY6-0

HoyvíkHoyvík

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26AVíkingur II Vs HOY2-0
03/07/26AB36 II Vs HOY1-3
27/06/26HHOY Vs ÍF II1-2
20/06/26AHB II Vs HOY0-1
25/10/24HHOY Vs TB0-1
19/10/24AB36 II Vs HOY2-2
05/10/24HHOY Vs Suduroy3-3
29/09/24HHOY Vs Víkingur II1-4
22/09/24AAB Vs HOY1-1
14/09/24AKÍ II Vs HOY2-1

SuduroySuduroy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HSUD Vs B36 II2-1
04/07/26ANSÍ II Vs SUD0-4
27/06/26AEB / Streymur II Vs SUD0-2
19/06/26HSUD Vs TB2-2
25/10/25AB36 Torshavn Vs SUD2-0
19/10/25HSUD Vs Vikingur Gota0-4
05/10/25HSUD Vs EB / Streymur2-2
28/09/25ATB Vs SUD2-2
20/09/25AHB Torshavn Vs SUD2-1
14/09/25HSUD Vs 07 Vestur0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hoyvík
Hoyvík
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.06
HomeLLDLL1.04
AwayDDWWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals3.063.003.12
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.221.161.28
Conceded1.841.841.84
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Suduroy
Suduroy
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.16
HomeLDLDW1.33
AwayLDLWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%23%
AVG goals3.503.713.31
Over 1.5 %88%92%85%
Over 2.5 %66%71%62%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.521.581.46
Conceded1.982.121.85
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1B71B71822
88%
2.8
318+23
4.9
100%
100%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.91.0
-
2Víkingur IIVíkingur II821
88%
2.6
2510+15
4.4
100%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.2
-
3SuduroySuduroy819
75%
2.4
235+18
3.5
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.6
-
4ÍF IIÍF II715
71%
2.1
2414+10
5.4
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.42.0
-
5TBTB914
44%
1.6
2121+0
4.7
100%
100%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.32.3
-
6HoyvíkHoyvík89
38%
1.1
616-10
2.8
75%
62%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
7HB IIHB II97
22%
0.8
1219-7
3.4
89%
78%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
8B36 IIB36 II86
25%
0.8
1625-9
5.1
88%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.1
-
9NSÍ IINSÍ II73
14%
0.4
626-20
4.6
86%
86%
86%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.7
-
10EB / Streymur IIEB / Streymur II81
0%
0.1
828-20
4.5
100%
88%
88%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
-
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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