The contest between Hoyvík and Suduroy is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win at 41%. The expected total of goals is 3.0, yet the most probable total is 2 goals, a 24% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.5% probability, signalling a tight affair.
Hoyvík, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Suduroy, on the road to a stronger opponent, averages 0.92 scored and 2.0 conceded. This contrast suggests a cautious start but a potential late surge.
The model’s selections are diverse: Home under 2.5 HT goals99.1%, Under 7.598.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals98.7%, Under 6.596.9%, Home under 3.5 goals94.8%, Home under 1.5 HT goals93.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals93.4%, and Away under 3.5 goals92.5%. Each reflects a high probability of fewer goals.
Probabilities for outcomes are 33% home win, 27% draw, and 41% away win. The match is poised for a low-scoring, closely contested game with Suduroy holding a slight edge.
Results analysis
Hoyvík’s run of three straight defeats ended as the model’s favourite, Suduroy, secured a 3-0 away victory, matching the predicted outcome. The Pythia model had picked an away win with a 41% probability, and that call proved correct. The match’s final score of 0-3 aligned with the most likely 1-2 result, though the actual tally exceeded the 2-goal expectation. Every suggested selection hit: Under 7.5 goals (98.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.6%), Under 6.5 (96.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (93.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (92.5%), and Under 5.5 (92.0%). Suduroy’s win extended their three-game winning streak, while Hoyvík’s form continued to falter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hoyvík win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Suduroy win✓ Hit
40.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hoyvík
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.93
0.93
1.93
1.00
1.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (10)
0.80
2.20
0.75
2.75
0.83
1.83
vs Weaker (16)
1.12
1.81
1.11
1.56
1.14
2.14
Clean sheet %
17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suduroy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
2.27
1.73
2.87
1.20
1.67
vs Stronger (21)
1.05
2.76
1.20
3.60
0.91
2.00
vs Similar (9)
2.44
1.11
2.80
1.40
2.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.7%
Under 2.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.3%
Under 3.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
Hoyvík goals ↓
Suduroy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
7.0%
6.4%
3.3%
1.3%
1
6.1%
12%
8.9%
4.6%
1.8%
2
5.0%
7.9%
6.2%
3.2%
1.3%
3
2.3%
3.6%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hoyvík goals (down), columns = Suduroy goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
Hoyvík is 1.25 points worse than Suduroy in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 2.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
Hoyvík is 2.12 goals worse than Suduroy in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 2.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
Hoyvík is 1.38 goals worse than Suduroy in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hoyvík or Draw✗ Miss
59.3%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
41%
covers Hoyvík + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík or Suduroy✓ Hit
73.3%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
41%
covers Hoyvík + Suduroy
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Suduroy✓ Hit
67.3%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
41%
covers Draw + Suduroy
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.4%
Under
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.2%
Under
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.5%
Under
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
20.9%
Under
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hoyvík, so a minus line means Hoyvík give that many goals of a start and Suduroy receive them. At -1, Hoyvík must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hoyvík win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hoyvík)Actual: Suduroy
Hoyvík -2
5.5%
Draw -2
9.8%
Suduroy +2
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Hoyvík)Actual: Suduroy
Hoyvík -1
15.3%
Draw -1
17.4%
Suduroy +1
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Hoyvík)Actual: Suduroy
Hoyvík +1
59.3%
Draw +1
19.8%
Suduroy -1
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Hoyvík)Actual: Suduroy
Hoyvík +2
79.1%
Draw +2
12.5%
Suduroy -2
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hoyvík
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.40
0.80
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.20
0.25
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.56
0.44
0.56
1.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suduroy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.00
0.47
1.27
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (21)
0.57
1.19
0.50
1.50
0.64
0.91
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.56
0.40
0.80
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.5%
Under 0.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.6%
Under 1.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.8%
Under 2.5
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
63.4%
Under
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
25.2%
Under
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hoyvík
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.17
0.53
1.13
0.33
1.20
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
0.44
1.25
0.67
1.00
0.14
1.57
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suduroy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.27
1.27
1.60
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (21)
0.48
1.57
0.70
2.10
0.27
1.09
vs Similar (9)
1.78
0.56
2.40
0.60
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.9%
Under 0.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.7%
Under 1.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.1%
Under 2.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
35.2%
Under
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.2%
Under
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
64.1%
Under
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.6%
Under
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 0.5 HT goals
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
B71
Víkingur II
ÍF II
TB
HB II
B36 II
NSÍ II
EB / Streymur II