This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lugo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.33
0.93
0.87
1.13
1.80
vs Stronger (16)
1.06
1.12
0.88
0.50
1.25
1.75
vs Similar (14)
1.00
1.57
1.00
1.29
1.00
1.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.2%
@ 2.14+4.1%
Under 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.69-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
Huesca goals ↓
Lugo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
6.5%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
1
10%
13%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.1%
9.4%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
3
4.7%
4.9%
2.5%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.8%
1.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Huesca goals (down), columns = Lugo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Granada CF
1.79
Levante
1.72
Alaves
1.72
Las Palmas
1.71
Eibar
1.64
Albacete
1.52
FC Andorra
1.40
Oviedo
1.40
FC Cartagena
1.38
Tenerife
1.36
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.29
Leganes
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Huesca
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Villarreal II
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.19
Malaga
1.05
Ponferradina
1.05
Ibiza
0.81
Lugo
0.74
Huesca is 0.50 points better than Lugo in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 0.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Albacete
1.34
Granada CF
1.31
Villarreal II
1.17
Las Palmas
1.17
Mirandes
1.14
Levante
1.13
FC Andorra
1.12
FC Cartagena
1.12
Alaves
1.11
Eibar
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Tenerife
1.00
Ponferradina
0.95
Zaragoza
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Malaga
0.88
Leganes
0.88
Huesca
0.86
Oviedo
0.81
Burgos
0.79
Ibiza
0.79
Lugo
0.64
Huesca is 0.21 goals better than Lugo in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 0.64).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Las Palmas
0.69
Levante
0.70
Granada CF
0.71
Alaves
0.74
Burgos
0.83
Oviedo
0.83
Huesca
0.86
Tenerife
0.88
FC Andorra
0.88
Eibar
0.89
Zaragoza
0.93
Racing Santander
0.95
Leganes
1.00
Malaga
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.17
Albacete
1.20
Ponferradina
1.26
Mirandes
1.29
Villarreal II
1.31
Lugo
1.36
Ibiza
1.57
Huesca is 0.50 goals better than Lugo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Huesca
For 4.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 14.8 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lugo
For 2.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 13.5 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Huesca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.1
10.6
4.2
3.8
4.6
28.0
27.7
28.3
vs Stronger (10)
9.5
9.8
9.2
4.8
6.0
4.0
25.6
24.8
26.5
vs Similar (37)
10.5
10.4
10.7
4.1
3.7
4.5
28.6
28.5
28.6
vs Weaker (3)
11.0
8.0
14.0
3.7
1.0
9.0
28.5
27.0
30.0
% over line
57%
52%
62%
60%
48%
72%
88%
86%
90%
% under line
43%
48%
38%
40%
52%
28%
12%
14%
10%
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lugo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.6
8.3
3.9
3.8
4.1
28.0
27.6
28.3
vs Stronger (26)
8.5
8.9
8.0
4.5
4.4
4.6
28.3
27.4
29.3
vs Similar (24)
9.6
10.4
8.7
3.4
3.0
3.7
27.6
27.8
27.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
52%
38%
54%
44%
64%
88%
81%
95%
% under line
55%
48%
62%
46%
56%
36%
12%
19%
5%
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
9.9
Huesca
9.9
Alaves
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.6
Granada CF
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Burgos
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Levante
9.0
Racing Santander
8.8
Oviedo
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
Las Palmas
8.7
Leganes
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.5
Albacete
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Granada CF
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Albacete
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Levante
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
FC Cartagena
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Leganes
4.9
Huesca
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Alaves
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Lugo
4.6
Eibar
4.3
Ibiza
4.2
Burgos
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.9
Las Palmas
30.7
Leganes
30.0
Albacete
29.4
FC Cartagena
28.9
Ibiza
28.1
Huesca
28.1
Malaga
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Lugo
27.7
Oviedo
27.2
Alaves
26.7
Zaragoza
26.6
Granada CF
25.9
Mirandes
25.6
Levante
25.3
Burgos
24.6
Eibar
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Sporting Gijon
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.9%
Under 9.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.2%
Under 3.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.3%
Under 21.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Huesca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.40
0.53
0.27
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.27
0.55
0.27
0.36
0.27
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lugo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.60
0.13
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (16)
0.44
0.31
0.50
0.00
0.38
0.62
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.50
0.71
0.29
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Huesca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Huesca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.80
0.47
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.33
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.73
0.91
0.55
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lugo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lugo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.33
0.73
0.73
1.13
vs Stronger (16)
0.62
0.81
0.38
0.50
0.88
1.12
vs Similar (14)
0.43
1.07
0.29
1.00
0.57
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Huesca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Huesca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Obeng29%
Juan Carlos18%
Javi Martínez17%
Aboubakary Kanté10%
José Ángel Carrillo10%
Joaquín Muñoz9%
Kevin Omoruyi9%
Oscar Sielva9%
Marc Mateu6%
Jorge Pulido5%
Andrei Rațiu5%
Dani Escriche5%
Jérémy Blasco3%
Florian Miguel3%
Gerard Valentín3%
Andrés Fernández0%
Kento Hashimoto0%
Patrick Soko0%
Juan Villar0%
Cristian Salvador0%
David Timor0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Enzo Lombardo0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Pablo Tomeo0%
Hugo Anglada0%
Manu Rico0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Salvador32%
Oscar Sielva30%
Gerard Valentín29%
Kevin Omoruyi27%
David Timor26%
Rubén Pulido25%
Manu Rico25%
Pablo Tomeo21%
Enzo Lombardo20%
Florian Miguel19%
Jorge Pulido19%
Juan Carlos18%
Joaquín Muñoz18%
Juanjo Nieto17%
Kento Hashimoto15%
Juan Villar14%
Jérémy Blasco14%
Patrick Soko14%
Andrei Rațiu13%
Dani Escriche10%
Aboubakary Kanté10%
Marc Mateu10%
Javi Martínez8%
Ignasi Vilarrasa7%
Andrés Fernández5%
José Ángel Carrillo5%
Samuel Obeng0%
Hugo Anglada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrei Rațiu13%
Gerard Valentín11%
Enzo Lombardo10%
Marc Mateu10%
Joaquín Muñoz9%
Patrick Soko9%
Kevin Omoruyi9%
Samuel Obeng6%
Dani Escriche5%
Oscar Sielva4%
Kento Hashimoto3%
Florian Miguel3%
Jorge Pulido3%
Andrés Fernández0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Javi Martínez0%
Juan Villar0%
Cristian Salvador0%
Juan Carlos0%
David Timor0%
José Ángel Carrillo0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Jérémy Blasco0%
Pablo Tomeo0%
Hugo Anglada0%
Manu Rico0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Obeng18%
Kevin Omoruyi9%
Javi Martínez8%
Florian Miguel5%
Juan Carlos5%
Dani Escriche5%
José Ángel Carrillo5%
Aboubakary Kanté3%
David Timor3%
Jorge Pulido3%
Andrei Rațiu3%
Gerard Valentín3%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Andrés Fernández0%
Kento Hashimoto0%
Patrick Soko0%
Juan Villar0%
Cristian Salvador0%
Marc Mateu0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Enzo Lombardo0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Oscar Sielva0%
Jérémy Blasco0%
Pablo Tomeo0%
Hugo Anglada0%
Manu Rico0%
Lugo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Ramos25%
Sebas Moyano12%
Alberto Rodríguez8%
Manu Barreiro6%
Javier Avilés6%
Xavi Torres6%
Josep Señé6%
Jaume Cuéllar5%
Juanpe4%
Ángel Baena3%
Miguel Loureiro2%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Pablo Clavería0%
Marc Carbo0%
Jose Ricardo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Gui0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Neyder Lozano56%
Patrick Sequeira50%
Jose Ricardo40%
Bruno Pirri38%
Aleksandar Pantić30%
Juanpe26%
Miguel Loureiro25%
Cesar Rodriguez25%
Xavi Torres24%
Pablo Clavería24%
Gui23%
El Hacen19%
Josep Señé18%
Jaume Cuéllar16%
Jordi Calavera15%
Castrín14%
Alberto Rodríguez14%
Andoni López12%
Chris Ramos12%
Marc Carbo10%
Manu Barreiro9%
Javier Avilés6%
Ángel Baena3%
Óscar Whalley3%
Sebas Moyano2%
Marko Šćepović0%
Álex Pérez0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Idrissa Thiam17%
Jaume Cuéllar11%
Jose Ricardo10%
Juanpe9%
Gui8%
Manu Barreiro6%
Ángel Baena6%
Pablo Clavería3%
Miguel Loureiro2%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Xavi Torres0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Javier Avilés0%
Chris Ramos0%
Josep Señé0%
Sebas Moyano0%
Marc Carbo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Ramos46%
Sebas Moyano15%
Javier Avilés12%
Juanpe9%
Manu Barreiro6%
Pablo Clavería3%
Ángel Baena3%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Xavi Torres0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Miguel Loureiro0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Josep Señé0%
Marc Carbo0%
Jose Ricardo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Jaume Cuéllar0%
Gui0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Levante
Alaves
Granada CF
Las Palmas
Eibar
Albacete
FC Andorra
Oviedo
FC Cartagena
Tenerife
Racing Santander
Burgos
Zaragoza
Leganes
Mirandes
Sporting Gijon
Villarreal II
Malaga
Ponferradina
Ibiza