This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
0.93
0.93
0.53
1.13
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
1.05
0.92
1.08
0.38
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.60
1.40
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ibiza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
55.2%
Under 1.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.1%
@ 2.49-10.8%
Under 2.5
72.9%
@ 1.52+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.0%
Under 3.5
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.2%
No
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.7%
1-0
15.3%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
0-2 ✓
5.2%
Ibiza goals ↓
Sporting Gijon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
18%
12%
5.2%
1.4%
0.3%
1
15%
15%
5.2%
1.4%
0.3%
2
8.4%
6.7%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
3
2.9%
2.3%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ibiza goals (down), columns = Sporting Gijon goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Ibiza is 0.14 points better than Sporting Gijon in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Ibiza is 0.24 goals better than Sporting Gijon in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Ibiza is 0.26 goals worse than Sporting Gijon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ibiza
For 4.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 13.3 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
For 3.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ibiza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
9.7
9.1
10.3
3.8
4.4
3.1
27.4
28.2
26.5
vs Stronger (13)
9.4
8.0
11.0
3.7
4.3
3.0
27.4
28.7
25.8
vs Similar (7)
10.3
11.7
9.2
3.9
4.7
3.2
27.3
27.0
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
40%
60%
50%
60%
40%
95%
100%
90%
% under line
50%
60%
40%
50%
40%
60%
5%
0%
10%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.2
8.6
4.3
4.3
4.4
25.0
25.1
25.0
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
-
9.5
2.5
-
2.5
23.5
-
23.5
vs Similar (32)
8.3
8.2
8.4
4.4
3.9
4.9
25.0
24.4
25.7
vs Weaker (16)
8.5
8.0
8.9
4.5
5.3
3.9
25.3
26.9
24.1
% over line
30%
32%
28%
68%
64%
72%
70%
68%
72%
% under line
70%
68%
72%
32%
36%
28%
30%
32%
28%
This opponent (Ibiza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Amorebieta
9.8
Ibiza
9.7
Valladolid
9.3
Huesca
9.1
Almeria
9.1
Fuenlabrada
9.1
Lugo
9.0
Zaragoza
9.0
Eibar
8.9
Malaga
8.9
Ponferradina
8.7
Real Sociedad II
8.7
FC Cartagena
8.7
Mirandes
8.7
Burgos
8.6
Girona
8.5
Tenerife
8.4
Sporting Gijon
8.4
Alcorcon
8.2
Oviedo
8.2
Leganes
7.9
Las Palmas
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.3
Tenerife
5.5
FC Cartagena
5.5
Girona
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Malaga
5.2
Las Palmas
5.2
Almeria
5.2
Oviedo
5.0
Lugo
5.0
Alcorcon
4.8
Zaragoza
4.8
Leganes
4.6
Ponferradina
4.5
Mirandes
4.5
Huesca
4.4
Sporting Gijon
4.3
Burgos
4.1
Amorebieta
3.9
Ibiza
3.8
Real Sociedad II
3.6
Eibar
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Las Palmas
31.5
Fuenlabrada
31.0
FC Cartagena
30.9
Leganes
30.0
Tenerife
29.7
Malaga
28.9
Girona
28.3
Huesca
27.9
Alcorcon
27.9
Ibiza
27.4
Zaragoza
27.2
Almeria
27.1
Valladolid
27.0
Lugo
26.9
Oviedo
26.8
Mirandes
26.7
Ponferradina
26.4
Amorebieta
25.7
Burgos
25.3
Sporting Gijon
25.0
Eibar
24.2
Real Sociedad II
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.7%
Under 9.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.2%
Under 3.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.7%
Under 21.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ibiza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.50
0.40
0.60
0.20
0.40
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.31
0.43
0.43
0.33
0.17
vs Similar (7)
0.14
0.86
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
0.37
0.20
0.20
0.13
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.15
0.30
0.17
0.25
0.12
0.38
vs Weaker (8)
0.12
0.50
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Ibiza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ibiza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ibiza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ibiza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ibiza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.65
0.55
0.60
0.40
0.70
0.70
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.69
0.43
0.57
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (7)
1.00
0.29
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.73
0.73
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.75
0.75
0.83
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (8)
0.62
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ibiza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ibiza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ibiza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ibiza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
72.9%
1.52
-
-
-
-
-
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ibiza · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alejandro Sanchez33%
Cristian Herrera20%
Ekain Zenitagoia13%
Juan Fernández10%
Mateusz Bogusz9%
Coke9%
Papakouli Diop8%
Lukáš Juliš8%
Kaxe8%
Miguel Villar Miki7%
Fausto Grillo6%
Darío Poveda6%
Suleiman Camara5%
Nolito4%
Iván Morante3%
Daniel Fuzato0%
Javi Vázquez0%
Gonzalo Escobar0%
Kevin Appin0%
Williams Alarcón0%
Marcos Mauro0%
Alejandro Gálvez0%
Martín Pascual0%
German Parreño Boix0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
David Goldar0%
Armando Shashoua0%
Miguel Azeez0%
Zé Carlos0%
José Menargues0%
Francisco Grima0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Álvaro García0%
Javier Serrano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Goldar46%
German Parreño Boix40%
Alejandro Gálvez38%
Fausto Grillo35%
Álvaro García33%
Isma Ruiz31%
Miguel Azeez30%
Martín Pascual29%
Juan Fernández29%
Iván Morante28%
Javier Serrano27%
Gonzalo Escobar26%
Marcos Mauro25%
Javi Vázquez24%
Papakouli Diop23%
Cristian Herrera23%
Suleiman Camara22%
Sergio Castel Martínez19%
Nolito19%
José Menargues18%
Ekain Zenitagoia18%
Coke17%
Zé Carlos17%
Francisco Grima16%
Lukáš Juliš15%
Kevin Appin14%
Daniel Fuzato11%
Armando Shashoua10%
Kaxe8%
Miguel Villar Miki7%
Williams Alarcón0%
Mateusz Bogusz0%
Darío Poveda0%
Alejandro Sanchez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Williams Alarcón17%
Ekain Zenitagoia10%
José Menargues9%
Kevin Appin9%
Lukáš Juliš8%
Miguel Villar Miki7%
Sergio Castel Martínez6%
Javi Vázquez6%
Darío Poveda6%
Suleiman Camara5%
Nolito4%
Iván Morante3%
Cristian Herrera3%
Daniel Fuzato0%
Gonzalo Escobar0%
Mateusz Bogusz0%
Marcos Mauro0%
Juan Fernández0%
Papakouli Diop0%
Coke0%
Alejandro Gálvez0%
Martín Pascual0%
Fausto Grillo0%
German Parreño Boix0%
David Goldar0%
Kaxe0%
Armando Shashoua0%
Miguel Azeez0%
Zé Carlos0%
Francisco Grima0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Álvaro García0%
Javier Serrano0%
Alejandro Sanchez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cristian Herrera23%
Mateusz Bogusz18%
Ekain Zenitagoia13%
Suleiman Camara8%
Lukáš Juliš8%
Kaxe8%
Sergio Castel Martínez6%
Darío Poveda6%
Coke4%
Daniel Fuzato0%
Javi Vázquez0%
Nolito0%
Gonzalo Escobar0%
Kevin Appin0%
Williams Alarcón0%
Marcos Mauro0%
Juan Fernández0%
Papakouli Diop0%
Alejandro Gálvez0%
Martín Pascual0%
Fausto Grillo0%
German Parreño Boix0%
David Goldar0%
Miguel Villar Miki0%
Armando Shashoua0%
Miguel Azeez0%
Zé Carlos0%
José Menargues0%
Francisco Grima0%
Isma Ruiz0%
Álvaro García0%
Iván Morante0%
Javier Serrano0%
Alejandro Sanchez0%
Sporting Gijon · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Otero33%
Alejo Sarco33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Vázquez33%
Guille Rosas33%
Nacho Martín33%
Aimar Duñabeitia33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Iosifov33%
Juan Otero0%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Otero33%
Rubén Yáñez0%
Pablo Vázquez0%
Álex Corredera0%
Konrad de la Fuente0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
César Gelabert0%
Pablo García0%
Guille Rosas0%
Nacho Martín0%
Aimar Duñabeitia0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →