The upcoming match between ÍF II and B36 II in the Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild is expected to be a high-scoring encounter, with 3.6 goals anticipated. ÍF II has been on a 2-game winning run, having defeated TB 3-0 in their last match. They have a strong home record, scoring an average of 3.14 goals at home and conceding just 0.86. Meanwhile, B36 II has been coming off a win, having defeated HB II 3-0, but their away form is concerning, conceding an average of 2.0 goals when facing stronger opponents. The model predicts a home win, with a 39% chance of ÍF II emerging victorious. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 9.8% probability. The model's selection is the Over 1.5, which has an 88.2% chance of occurring, and BTTS Yes, which has a 70.4% chance of happening. The home win percentage is 39%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away win percentage is 37%.
Results analysis
The win extends ÍF II’s recent run, adding a 9-3 triumph to a sequence of two victories and a loss. The match finished 9-3, a home win that was well above the model’s expected total of 3.6 goals. The pre-match favourite was Home win, given a 39 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s selections were: Under 7.5 (97 % probability) missed; Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.4 %) hit; Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.7 %) missed; Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.7 %) missed; Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.3 %) missed; Under 6.5 (92.7 %) missed; Away under 3.5 goals (89.7 %) hit; Home under 3.5 goals (88.7 %) missed. The final score far surpassed every predicted total, underscoring the disparity between expectation and reality.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
ÍF II win✓ Hit
39.4%
Avg Implied 48.6% · @ 1.86
Edge
-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.05
Dafabet
1.92
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.88
William Hil
1.83
Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.75
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.90
1xBet
3.82
Marathonbet
3.82
Pinnacle
3.78
B36 II win✗ Miss
36.8%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.31
Edge
+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.56
Marathonbet
3.50
Dafabet
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Pinnacle
3.31
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ÍF II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.97
2.43
1.71
1.88
2.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.67
1.00
3.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (7)
1.86
2.29
2.00
2.33
1.75
2.25
vs Weaker (20)
2.45
1.75
2.70
1.40
2.20
2.10
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B36 II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.93
1.47
2.27
1.47
1.60
vs Stronger (17)
1.18
2.12
1.44
2.11
0.88
2.12
vs Similar (9)
2.00
1.67
1.60
2.40
2.50
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.75
1.00
3.00
1.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.3%
@ 1.08+2.5%
Under 1.5
11.7%
@ 6.50-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.6%
@ 1.34+1.4%
Under 2.5
30.4%
@ 2.87-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Marathonbet
2.97
1xBet
2.97
Superbet
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.3%
@ 1.84-1.9%
Under 3.5
51.7%
@ 1.85+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.4%
@ 1.33+1.5%
No
29.6%
@ 2.96-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.36
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
No
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
Superbet
2.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%@ 8.20+4.7%
2-1
8.1%@ 8.70+3.3%
1-2
7.8%@ 11.18+4.1%
2-2
7.2%@ 9.52+2.8%
3-1
4.9%@ 11.78+1.4%
1-3
4.6%@ 18.80+2.4%
2-0
4.6%@ 12.60+1.3%
3-2
4.4%@ 14.40+1.5%
ÍF II goals ↓
B36 II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
4.0%
4.3%
2.5%
1.1%
1
4.1%
9.8%
7.8%
4.6%
2.0%
2
4.6%
8.1%
7.2%
4.2%
1.9%
3
2.8%
4.9%
4.4%
2.6%
1.1%
4
1.3%
2.3%
2.0%
1.2%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ÍF II goals (down), columns = B36 II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
ÍF II is 1.39 points better than B36 II in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
ÍF II is 1.43 goals better than B36 II in terms of goals scored per game (3.43 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
ÍF II is 1.12 goals better than B36 II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 3.12).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ÍF II or Draw✓ Hit
63.2%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.26
Edge
-9.4%
39%
24%
37%
covers ÍF II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
ÍF II or B36 II✓ Hit
76.3%
Avg Implied 76.1% · @ 1.20
Edge
+0.2%
39%
24%
37%
covers ÍF II + B36 II
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Draw or B36 II✗ Miss
60.6%
Avg Implied 51.3% · @ 1.79
Edge
+9.3%
39%
24%
37%
covers Draw + B36 II
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.91
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.75
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ÍF II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.9%
@ 1.05-2.4%
Under
16.1%
@ 6.65+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
6.65
ÍF II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.6%
@ 1.45-8.5%
Under
45.4%
@ 2.48+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.48
Marathonbet
2.48
ÍF II over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
27.7%
@ 2.39-10.6%
Under
72.3%
@ 1.49+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
ÍF II over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.9%
@ 1.19+6.3%
Under
17.1%
@ 3.88-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.19
Under
1xBet
3.88
B36 II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
52.7%
@ 2.02+7.1%
Under
47.3%
@ 1.69-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Marathonbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.69
B36 II over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
26.0%
@ 3.80+1.8%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.21-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
B36 II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ÍF II, so a minus line means ÍF II give that many goals of a start and B36 II receive them. At -1, ÍF II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ÍF II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ÍF II)Actual: ÍF II
ÍF II -2
9.4%
@ 4.90-8.5%
Draw -2
12.0%
@ 5.20-4.8%
B36 II +2
78.6%
@ 1.34+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.90
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Away
Marathonbet
1.34
Handicap -1 (ÍF II)Actual: ÍF II
ÍF II -1
21.4%
@ 2.83-9.3%
Draw -1
18.0%
@ 3.98-3.8%
B36 II +1
60.6%
@ 1.83+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.78
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
Away
Marathonbet
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (ÍF II)Actual: ÍF II
ÍF II +1
63.2%
@ 1.32-2.3%
Draw +1
17.3%
@ 4.80-0.6%
B36 II -1
19.5%
@ 5.20+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.32
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Marathonbet
5.20
Handicap +2 (ÍF II)Actual: ÍF II
ÍF II +2
80.5%
Draw +2
11.2%
B36 II -2
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ÍF II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.79
0.43
0.94
1.12
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.33
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (20)
1.00
0.95
0.90
0.50
1.10
1.40
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B36 II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.07
0.67
1.20
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (17)
0.59
1.24
0.67
1.22
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.89
0.60
1.40
1.25
0.25
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.0%
@ 1.16-4.9%
Under 0.5
25.0%
@ 4.60+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.60
William Hil
4.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.7%
@ 1.88-8.0%
Under 1.5
59.3%
@ 1.78+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
William Hil
1.85
Under
Betfair
1.85
Pinnacle
1.82
William Hil
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
15.3%
@ 3.80-8.9%
Under 2.5
84.7%
@ 1.21+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.70
William Hil
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.5%
@ 1.50-4.6%
Under
43.5%
@ 2.35+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.40
1xBet
2.29
ÍF II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.1%
@ 1.87-6.7%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.78+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.77
B36 II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.8%
Under
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ÍF II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.64
1.29
0.94
1.06
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.71
1.67
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.45
0.80
1.80
0.90
1.10
0.70
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B36 II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
0.80
1.07
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (17)
0.59
0.88
0.78
0.89
0.38
0.88
vs Similar (9)
1.11
0.78
1.00
1.00
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.0%
Under 0.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.8%
Under 1.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
24.6%
Under 2.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.9%
Under
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
26.0%
Under
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.3%
Under
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
88.3%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.7%
1.21
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.20
-
-
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
84.5%
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
83.9%
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
-
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
82.9%
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.6%
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
-
-
-
-
+13.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
76.3%
1.20
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.0%
1.16
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
-
-
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
74.0%
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-
-
-1.8%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
72.3%
1.49
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
-
-
+10.6%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
70.8%
1.35
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.32
-
-
+3.5%
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
70.4%
1.33
Superbet
1.36
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
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Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →