IF II, the clear favourite, has a 62% chance of winning, thanks in part to their opponent EB / Streymur II's struggles on the road. The model rates IF II highly, and it's no surprise given their formidable home form, where they've scored an average of 3.33 goals and conceded just 0.33.
However, the model also suggests that the match will be a high-scoring affair, with an expected total of 4.3 goals and a most likely score of 2-1, which has an 8.1% probability. EB / Streymur II, on the other hand, have struggled away from home, scoring just 1 goal on average and conceding 3.15.
The model's selection is the Home win, with a 62% chance of success. The draw percentage is 19%, while the away win percentage is 20%. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 (93.1%), Over 2.5 (79.7%), and BTTS Yes (73.9%), with a notable edge in the first two selections.
Results analysis
The win extends IF II's run, who are now on a 2-game winning streak after defeating EB / Streymur II 3-1. The model's selection, a Home win, proved correct with a pre-match probability of 62%. The actual result was a home win, as predicted. The model's call was correct, as the favourite secured the win. The model's selections largely came in, with Over 1.5 hitting at 93.1%, Over 2.5 hitting at 79.7%, and BTTS Yes also hitting at 73.9%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
ÍF II win✓ Hit
61.9%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.19
Edge
-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Draw✗ Miss
18.5%
Avg Implied 14.4% · @ 6.25
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
6.60
Marathonbet
6.60
Pinnacle
6.29
Superbet
6.00
EB / Streymur II win✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied 9.5% · @ 9.44
Edge
+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
William Hil
11.00
Betfair
10.50
10Bet
8.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ÍF II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
2.10
2.20
2.00
1.87
2.20
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
3.00
1.00
3.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (14)
1.71
2.36
1.71
2.57
1.71
2.14
vs Weaker (12)
2.83
1.50
3.17
0.83
2.50
2.17
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EB / Streymur II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
3.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.93
1.20
2.87
0.87
3.00
vs Stronger (27)
1.04
2.85
1.15
2.69
0.93
3.00
vs Similar (3)
1.00
3.67
1.50
4.00
0.00
3.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.1%
@ 1.04+2.6%
Under 1.5
6.9%
@ 10.00-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.04
Under
1xBet
10.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
79.7%
@ 1.18+1.1%
Under 2.5
20.3%
@ 4.33-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.33
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.5%
@ 1.47-0.5%
Under 3.5
38.5%
@ 2.39+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.42
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.9%
@ 1.47+11.5%
No
26.1%
@ 2.44-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
No
Superbet
2.57
William Hil
2.45
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.34
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.1%@ 8.74+3.4%
3-1 ✓
7.3%@ 8.48+2.5%
1-1
6.5%@ 13.60+3.5%
2-2
6.2%@ 14.20+3.3%
3-2
5.6%@ 14.00+2.7%
2-0
5.2%@ 9.52+1.0%
4-1
5.0%@ 9.98+0.9%
3-0
4.8%@ 9.22+0.3%
ÍF II goals ↓
EB / Streymur II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.0%
1.6%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
1
3.3%
6.5%
4.6%
2.3%
0.9%
2
5.2%
8.1%
6.2%
3.2%
1.2%
3
4.8%
7.3%
5.6%
2.9%
1.1%
4
3.2%
5.0%
3.8%
2.0%
0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ÍF II goals (down), columns = EB / Streymur II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.71
Víkingur II
2.57
Suduroy
2.29
ÍF II
2.00
TB
1.38
Hoyvík
1.29
HB II
0.88
B36 II
0.86
NSÍ II
0.50
EB / Streymur II
0.14
ÍF II is 1.86 points better than EB / Streymur II in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.71
ÍF II
3.50
Víkingur II
3.29
Suduroy
2.86
TB
2.00
B36 II
1.86
HB II
1.50
EB / Streymur II
1.00
Hoyvík
0.86
NSÍ II
0.83
ÍF II is 2.50 goals better than EB / Streymur II in terms of goals scored per game (3.50 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
B71
0.71
Suduroy
0.71
Víkingur II
1.43
Hoyvík
1.86
HB II
2.12
ÍF II
2.17
TB
2.50
B36 II
2.86
NSÍ II
3.50
EB / Streymur II
3.57
ÍF II is 1.40 goals better than EB / Streymur II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 3.57).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ÍF II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.67
0.60
1.07
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (14)
0.57
1.00
0.29
1.00
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.67
1.17
0.17
1.50
1.17
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EB / Streymur II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
1.70
0.27
1.73
0.33
1.67
vs Stronger (27)
0.33
1.70
0.31
1.62
0.36
1.79
vs Similar (3)
0.00
1.67
0.00
2.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ÍF II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.30
1.53
1.40
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.14
1.36
1.43
1.57
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (12)
1.50
0.83
2.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EB / Streymur II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.23
0.93
1.13
0.53
1.33
vs Stronger (27)
0.70
1.15
0.85
1.08
0.57
1.21
vs Similar (3)
1.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
0.00
3.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
93.1%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
79.7%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
73.9%
1.47
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
-
+11.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
B71
Víkingur II
Suduroy
TB
Hoyvík
HB II
B36 II
NSÍ II