ÍF II are the clear favourites to win at home against HB II, a result the model rates at 74 %. The team’s home form is strong, averaging 3.88 goals scored and conceding only 1.12 against weaker opponents, while HB II struggles on the road, scoring just 0.83 and conceding 2.92 against stronger sides. The expected total of 5.0 goals and a 38 % chance of 6 + goals underline a high-scoring affair. The single most likely scoreline is 3-1, with a 7.2 % probability, which is the model’s pick for the final result. Home win, draw and away win probabilities are 74 %, 14 % and 13 % respectively. Suggested picks include Home over 0.5 goals (97 %), Over 1.5 (96.4 %), Home +2 handicap (94.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (92.9 %), Over 2.5 (87.8 %), Home or Draw (87.4 %), Home +1 handicap (87.4 %) and Home or Away (86.4 %). The recent 9-3 victory over B36 II and a 5-0 win over Hoyvík give both sides momentum, but ÍF II’s superior home advantage makes them the most probable winners.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
ÍF II win
75.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
13.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB II win
11.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ÍF II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
2.03
2.93
1.86
2.00
2.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.67
1.00
3.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (7)
1.86
2.29
2.00
2.33
1.75
2.25
vs Weaker (20)
2.90
1.85
3.40
1.60
2.40
2.10
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.70
1.20
2.47
0.87
2.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.83
2.62
0.92
2.23
0.73
3.09
vs Similar (6)
1.83
3.00
3.00
4.00
1.25
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (35%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
95.8%
Under 1.5
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86.2%
Under 2.5
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
71.3%
Under 3.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
73.5%
No
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
4-1
6.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.6%
ÍF II goals ↓
HB II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.2%
0.7%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
1
2.3%
4.2%
2.7%
1.3%
0.4%
2
4.7%
6.6%
4.6%
2.2%
0.8%
3
5.4%
7.6%
5.3%
2.5%
0.9%
4
4.6%
6.5%
4.6%
2.2%
0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ÍF II goals (down), columns = HB II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
ÍF II is 1.37 points better than HB II in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
ÍF II is 2.10 goals better than HB II in terms of goals scored per game (3.43 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
ÍF II is 0.11 goals better than HB II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ÍF II or Draw
88.7%
Avg Implied -
75%
13%
11%
covers ÍF II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ÍF II or HB II
86.6%
Avg Implied -
75%
13%
11%
covers ÍF II + HB II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or HB II
24.7%
Avg Implied -
75%
13%
11%
covers Draw + HB II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ÍF II over/under 0.5
Over
96.8%
Under
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5
Over
85.7%
Under
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5
Over
66.8%
Under
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 3.5
Over
45.0%
Under
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 0.5
Over
75.6%
Under
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5
Over
41.2%
Under
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 3.5
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ÍF II, so a minus line means ÍF II give that many goals of a start and HB II receive them. At -1, ÍF II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ÍF II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ÍF II)
ÍF II -2
39.9%
Draw -2
18.5%
HB II +2
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (ÍF II)
ÍF II -1
58.4%
Draw -1
16.9%
HB II +1
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (ÍF II)
ÍF II +1
88.7%
Draw +1
6.7%
HB II -1
4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ÍF II)
ÍF II +2
95.4%
Draw +2
3.1%
HB II -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ÍF II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.83
1.07
0.43
1.00
1.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.33
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
1.00
1.30
0.50
1.20
1.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.17
0.47
1.40
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.33
1.08
0.31
1.23
0.36
0.91
vs Similar (6)
0.83
1.50
1.50
2.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ÍF II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.20
1.86
1.43
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.71
1.67
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.65
0.85
2.10
1.10
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.53
0.73
1.07
0.47
2.00
vs Stronger (24)
0.50
1.54
0.62
1.00
0.36
2.18
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home over 0.5 goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →