ÍF II are clear favourites, the model giving them a 64% chance of victory. Their recent 2-game winning streak and a 3-1 win over EB / Streymur II underline the advantage of playing at home, where they average 2.0 goals scored and concede 2.33 against similarly matched opponents. Hoyvík, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, averaging only 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded, and their last outing ended 0-3 away to Suduroy. The expected total of 4.4 goals points to a high-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline 2-1 for ÍF II at 7.6%. The model’s pick is a home win, and the probabilities for a draw and an away win are 18% and 19% respectively. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (99%), Home over 0.5 goals (94.3% with a 6% edge), Over 1.5 (94.1% with an 8% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (92.5%), Away under 1.5 HT goals (92.3% with a 4% edge), Under 7.5 (91.8%) and Home +2 handicap (91.6%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
ÍF II win
63.9%
Avg Implied 60.9% · @ 1.48
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Dafabet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Draw
17.6%
Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.50
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
1xBet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Hoyvík win
18.5%
Avg Implied 19.1% · @ 4.71
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.16
Dafabet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Betfair
4.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ÍF II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
2.03
2.93
1.86
2.00
2.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.67
1.00
3.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (7)
1.86
2.29
2.00
2.33
1.75
2.25
vs Weaker (20)
2.90
1.85
3.40
1.60
2.40
2.10
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.83
0.88
2.00
1.07
1.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (10)
0.80
2.20
0.75
2.75
0.83
1.83
vs Weaker (16)
1.12
1.62
1.00
1.70
1.33
1.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (29%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
94.1%
@ 1.07+7.4%
Under 1.5
5.9%
@ 7.00-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
7.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82.0%
@ 1.29+10.9%
Under 2.5
18.0%
@ 3.17-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
2.92
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
64.9%
@ 1.71+11.4%
Under 3.5
35.1%
@ 1.97-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.83
Both teams to score
Yes
75.3%
@ 1.40+9.8%
No
24.7%
@ 2.65-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.36
No
Marathonbet
2.75
1xBet
2.56
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
7.6%@ 8.38+2.7%
3-1
7.3%@ 9.62+3.0%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.50+2.4%
1-1
5.8%@ 9.75+1.6%
3-2
5.8%@ 14.00+2.8%
4-1
5.2%@ 14.00+2.3%
2-0
4.8%@ 10.25+0.8%
3-0
4.6%@ 12.00+1.2%
ÍF II goals ↓
Hoyvík goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.7%
1.3%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
1
2.8%
5.8%
4.2%
2.2%
0.9%
2
4.8%
7.6%
6.0%
3.2%
1.2%
3
4.6%
7.3%
5.8%
3.0%
1.2%
4
3.3%
5.2%
4.1%
2.2%
0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ÍF II goals (down), columns = Hoyvík goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
ÍF II is 1.02 points better than Hoyvík in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
ÍF II is 2.68 goals better than Hoyvík in terms of goals scored per game (3.43 vs 0.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
ÍF II and Hoyvík are level in goals conceded per game (both 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ÍF II or Draw
81.5%
Avg Implied 81.4% · @ 1.12
Edge
+0.1%
64%
18%
19%
covers ÍF II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
ÍF II or Hoyvík
82.4%
Avg Implied 80.6% · @ 1.13
Edge
+1.9%
64%
18%
19%
covers ÍF II + Hoyvík
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Draw or Hoyvík
36.1%
Avg Implied 38.0% · @ 2.40
Edge
-2.0%
64%
18%
19%
covers Draw + Hoyvík
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.35
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ÍF II over/under 0.5
Over
94.3%
@ 1.04+4.2%
Under
5.7%
@ 9.50-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Under
1xBet
9.50
Betfair
9.50
ÍF II over/under 1.5
Over
78.1%
@ 1.32+8.7%
Under
21.9%
@ 2.99-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.36
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.78
ÍF II over/under 2.5
Over
54.8%
@ 1.99+8.5%
Under
45.2%
@ 1.72-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.62
ÍF II over/under 3.5
Over
32.4%
@ 3.62+7.1%
Under
67.6%
@ 1.23-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Betfair
3.25
Under
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.17
Hoyvík over/under 0.5
Over
79.3%
@ 1.27+7.7%
Under
20.7%
@ 3.21-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
2.92
Hoyvík over/under 1.5
Over
46.7%
@ 2.36+7.8%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.50-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.54
Marathonbet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Under
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.40
Hoyvík over/under 2.5
Over
21.0%
@ 6.00+5.5%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.10-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Betfair
5.50
Under
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.07
Hoyvík over/under 3.5
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ÍF II, so a minus line means ÍF II give that many goals of a start and Hoyvík receive them. At -1, ÍF II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ÍF II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ÍF II)
ÍF II -2
27.3%
@ 3.34+0.9%
Draw -2
17.8%
@ 4.55-1.6%
Hoyvík +2
55.0%
@ 1.62+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.34
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Marathonbet
1.62
Handicap -1 (ÍF II)
ÍF II -1
45.0%
@ 2.13+3.5%
Draw -1
18.9%
@ 4.01-3.1%
Hoyvík +1
36.1%
@ 2.42-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
3.92
10Bet
3.90
Away
10Bet
2.50
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.35
Handicap +1 (ÍF II)
ÍF II +1
81.5%
Draw +1
10.1%
Hoyvík -1
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ÍF II)
ÍF II +2
91.6%
Draw +2
5.3%
Hoyvík -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ÍF II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.83
1.07
0.43
1.00
1.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.33
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
1.00
1.30
0.50
1.20
1.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.38
0.88
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.20
0.25
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.56
0.40
0.70
1.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.8%
@ 1.14+0.1%
Under 0.5
18.2%
@ 5.05-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.11
Under
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
4.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.1%
@ 1.80-2.5%
Under 1.5
51.9%
@ 1.85+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
Betfair
1.75
Betano
1.75
Under
Betfair
1.95
Pinnacle
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.80
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.8%
@ 3.80+2.4%
Under 2.5
73.2%
@ 1.23-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Betfair
3.60
Under
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
70.5%
@ 1.40+4.3%
Under
29.5%
@ 2.75-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.75
ÍF II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
41.1%
@ 2.92+9.3%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.35-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Pinnacle
2.63
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.30
ÍF II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
13.8%
@ 8.00+2.2%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.05-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Under
1xBet
1.05
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.1%
@ 2.08-12.5%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.61+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.57
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.9%
@ 8.00-4.7%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.05+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Under
1xBet
1.05
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ÍF II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.20
1.86
1.43
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.71
1.67
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.65
0.85
2.10
1.10
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.07
0.50
1.12
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
0.44
1.06
0.60
1.00
0.17
1.17
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.2%
@ 1.08-3.3%
Under 0.5
17.8%
@ 6.40+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
57.6%
@ 1.48-3.9%
Under 1.5
42.4%
@ 2.37+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.44
Under
Marathonbet
2.47
1xBet
2.27
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
34.9%
@ 2.47-2.0%
Under 2.5
65.1%
@ 1.45+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.34
Under
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.40
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
72.2%
@ 1.25-0.5%
Under
27.8%
@ 3.34+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.34
ÍF II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
45.9%
Under
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
22.4%
Under
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 2H
Over
38.1%
@ 1.82-11.9%
Under
61.9%
@ 1.82+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.82
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 2H
Over
8.7%
Under
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
94.3%
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+4.2%
Over 1.5
94.1%
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
-
+7.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.1%
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
-
-2.2%
Under 6.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.4%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+1.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
-
-3.3%
Over 2.5
82.0%
1.29
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
+10.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
81.8%
1.14
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.11
-
-
-
+0.1%
Home or Draw
81.5%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
+0.1%
Home +1 handicap
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
79.3%
1.27
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.25
-
-
-
+7.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
79.0%
1.10
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
-5.5%
Home over 1.5 goals
78.1%
1.32
Marathonbet
1.36
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
+8.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
75.3%
1.40
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.36
-
-
-
+9.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
73.2%
1.23
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
-2.4%
Home over 0.5 2H goals
72.2%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
-0.5%
Under 5.5
71.2%
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-
-12.0%
Home over 0.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.40
1xBet
1.40
-
-
-
-
+4.3%
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Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
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B71
Víkingur II
Suduroy
TB
HB II
B36 II
NSÍ II
EB / Streymur II