The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with an expected 4.2 goals and a 25% chance of six or more. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, giving the home side a 7.6% probability. Home win is favoured at 49%, draw 21% and away win 30%. ÍF II, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 3.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, while Suduroy, on the road against a stronger side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.91 conceded. Recent form shows ÍF II on a two-game winning run after a 3-1 win over EB / Streymur II, and Suduroy on a three-game winning run following a 3-0 victory over Hoyvík. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (93.5%), Over 1.5 (92.9%), Home over 0.5 goals (90.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.3%), Under 6.5 (86.6%), Home +2 handicap (84.4%), Away over 0.5 goals (84.3%) and Over 2.5 (79.2%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
ÍF II win
49.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Suduroy win
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ÍF II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
2.03
2.93
1.86
2.00
2.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.67
1.00
3.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (7)
1.86
2.29
2.00
2.33
1.75
2.25
vs Weaker (20)
2.90
1.85
3.40
1.60
2.40
2.10
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suduroy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
2.23
1.73
2.87
1.27
1.60
vs Stronger (21)
1.10
2.71
1.20
3.60
1.00
1.91
vs Similar (9)
2.44
1.11
2.80
1.40
2.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
92.9%
Under 1.5
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79.2%
Under 2.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
77.0%
No
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
7.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
6.0%
3-2
5.6%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
ÍF II goals ↓
Suduroy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.1%
2.1%
2.5%
1.6%
0.7%
1
2.8%
7.1%
6.0%
3.7%
1.7%
2
4.1%
7.6%
7.1%
4.4%
2.0%
3
3.3%
6.0%
5.6%
3.4%
1.6%
4
1.9%
3.6%
3.3%
2.0%
0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ÍF II goals (down), columns = Suduroy goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
ÍF II is 0.23 points worse than Suduroy in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 2.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
ÍF II is 0.55 goals better than Suduroy in terms of goals scored per game (3.43 vs 2.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
ÍF II is 1.38 goals worse than Suduroy in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ÍF II or Draw
70.0%
Avg Implied -
49%
21%
30%
covers ÍF II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ÍF II or Suduroy
79.1%
Avg Implied -
49%
21%
30%
covers ÍF II + Suduroy
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Suduroy
50.9%
Avg Implied -
49%
21%
30%
covers Draw + Suduroy
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ÍF II over/under 0.5
Over
90.6%
Under
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5
Over
68.3%
Under
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5
Over
42.1%
Under
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 3.5
Over
21.4%
Under
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5
Over
84.3%
Under
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5
Over
55.3%
Under
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5
Over
28.3%
Under
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 3.5
Over
11.7%
Under
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ÍF II, so a minus line means ÍF II give that many goals of a start and Suduroy receive them. At -1, ÍF II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ÍF II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ÍF II)
ÍF II -2
15.9%
Draw -2
14.6%
Suduroy +2
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (ÍF II)
ÍF II -1
30.5%
Draw -1
18.6%
Suduroy +1
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (ÍF II)
ÍF II +1
70.0%
Draw +1
14.4%
Suduroy -1
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ÍF II)
ÍF II +2
84.4%
Draw +2
9.0%
Suduroy -2
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ÍF II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.83
1.07
0.43
1.00
1.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.33
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
1.00
1.30
0.50
1.20
1.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suduroy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.47
1.27
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (21)
0.62
1.14
0.50
1.50
0.73
0.82
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.56
0.40
0.80
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ÍF II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.20
1.86
1.43
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.71
1.67
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.65
0.85
2.10
1.10
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suduroy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.27
1.27
1.60
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (21)
0.48
1.57
0.70
2.10
0.27
1.09
vs Similar (9)
1.78
0.56
2.40
0.60
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →