The model projects a high-scoring affair with an average of 4.8 goals, leaning toward a 6+ total. The most likely scoreline is 2-2, a 6.8% chance. The favoured result is an away win, with a 45% probability, while the home win sits at 35% and a draw at 19%. The home side, ÍF II, has been prolific at home against weaker opposition, averaging 3.75 goals scored and conceding 1.38. The away side, TB, struggles on the road against stronger teams, scoring only 0.71 and conceding 4.14. Recent form shows ÍF II on a two-game winning streak, whereas TB is coming off a win. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 (95.8%), Away over 0.5 goals (92.2%), Home over 0.5 goals (89.8%), Under 7.5 (88.3%), Over 2.5 (86.1%), BTTS Yes (83.3%), Home or Away (80.5%) and Home under 3.5 goals (80.4%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
ÍF II win
35.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
19.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TB win
45.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ÍF II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
2.03
2.93
1.86
2.00
2.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.67
1.00
3.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (7)
1.86
2.29
2.00
2.33
1.75
2.25
vs Weaker (20)
2.90
1.85
3.40
1.60
2.40
2.10
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
3.27
1.40
3.13
1.27
3.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
4.57
0.71
5.00
0.71
4.14
vs Similar (8)
1.25
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.40
3.40
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.75
2.60
1.80
2.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (35%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
95.8%
Under 1.5
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86.1%
Under 2.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
71.2%
Under 3.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
83.3%
No
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
5.1%
1-1
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
3-3
4.4%
ÍF II goals ↓
TB goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.3%
1.6%
2.6%
2.2%
1.4%
1
1.3%
5.1%
5.9%
5.0%
3.2%
2
2.1%
5.3%
6.8%
5.8%
3.7%
3
1.6%
4.0%
5.1%
4.4%
2.8%
4
0.9%
2.3%
2.9%
2.5%
1.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ÍF II goals (down), columns = TB goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
ÍF II is 0.59 points better than TB in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
ÍF II is 1.10 goals better than TB in terms of goals scored per game (3.43 vs 2.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
ÍF II is 0.33 goals better than TB in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ÍF II or Draw
54.9%
Avg Implied -
35%
19%
45%
covers ÍF II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ÍF II or TB
80.5%
Avg Implied -
35%
19%
45%
covers ÍF II + TB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or TB
64.6%
Avg Implied -
35%
19%
45%
covers Draw + TB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
ÍF II over/under 0.5
Over
89.8%
Under
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5
Over
66.5%
Under
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5
Over
39.9%
Under
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 3.5
Over
19.7%
Under
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5
Over
92.3%
Under
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5
Over
72.4%
Under
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5
Over
47.1%
Under
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 3.5
Over
25.5%
Under
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to ÍF II, so a minus line means ÍF II give that many goals of a start and TB receive them. At -1, ÍF II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal ÍF II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (ÍF II)
ÍF II -2
9.8%
Draw -2
10.5%
TB +2
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (ÍF II)
ÍF II -1
20.3%
Draw -1
15.1%
TB +1
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (ÍF II)
ÍF II +1
54.9%
Draw +1
17.0%
TB -1
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (ÍF II)
ÍF II +2
71.9%
Draw +2
13.1%
TB -2
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ÍF II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.83
1.07
0.43
1.00
1.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.33
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
1.00
1.30
0.50
1.20
1.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.53
0.73
1.67
0.47
1.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
2.00
0.29
2.57
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.60
1.60
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
1.25
1.80
1.40
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ÍF II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.20
1.86
1.43
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.71
1.67
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.65
0.85
2.10
1.10
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.73
0.67
1.47
0.80
2.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
2.57
0.43
2.43
0.43
2.71
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.50
0.80
0.40
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 1.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
B71
Víkingur II
Suduroy
Hoyvík
HB II
B36 II
NSÍ II
EB / Streymur II