The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 4.1 goals and a 24 % chance of six or more. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, a 7.6 % probability, and the favoured result is an away win, with a 46 % chance. Home side ÍF II, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 2.33 conceded, while Víkings II, on the road, averages 1.43 scored and 2.14 conceded. The model’s picks are: Over 1.5 (92.5 %), Over 2.5 (78.3 %), and BTTS Yes (76.7 %). The home win probability stands at 32 %, a draw at 21 %, and the away win at 46 %. Recent form shows ÍF II coming off a win after a 9-3 thrashing, whereas Víkings II are returning from a defeat in a 0-3 loss. All figures are presented exactly as provided.
Results analysis
The latest clash in the Faroe Islands 1. Deild saw the away side extend their winning streak, as Víkingur II finished on a high after a 3-4 victory over ÍF II. The model had correctly picked the away win, assigning a 46% probability to that outcome. Its suggested selections - Over 1.5 (92.5% probability), Over 2.5 (78.3%) and BTTS Yes (76.7%) - all hit, confirming the model’s overall accuracy. The final score of 3-4 matched the predicted 6+ total goals scenario, and the away team’s form, coming off a defeat, proved resilient. The home side’s recent win was a bright spot, but the match outcome aligned with the model’s forecast.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
ÍF II win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II win✓ Hit
46.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
ÍF II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
2.13
2.14
1.86
1.81
2.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
3.00
1.00
3.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (13)
1.62
2.23
1.50
2.33
1.71
2.14
vs Weaker (13)
2.69
1.77
3.17
0.83
2.29
2.57
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Víkingur II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.67
2.19
1.56
2.50
1.79
vs Stronger (6)
2.33
1.67
2.75
1.75
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (12)
1.42
2.00
1.40
1.80
1.43
2.14
vs Weaker (12)
3.25
1.33
2.43
1.29
4.40
1.40
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.5%
Under 1.5
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
78.3%
Under 2.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.5%
Under 3.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
76.7%
No
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-3
5.4%
3-2
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
ÍF II goals ↓
Víkingur II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.3%
2.9%
4.0%
3.0%
1.7%
1
2.3%
7.4%
7.6%
5.7%
3.2%
2
2.8%
6.4%
7.2%
5.4%
3.1%
3
1.8%
4.0%
4.5%
3.4%
1.9%
4
0.8%
1.9%
2.1%
1.6%
0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = ÍF II goals (down), columns = Víkingur II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.71
Víkingur II
2.57
Suduroy
2.29
ÍF II
2.00
TB
1.38
Hoyvík
1.29
HB II
0.88
B36 II
0.86
NSÍ II
0.50
EB / Streymur II
0.14
ÍF II is 0.57 points worse than Víkingur II in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.71
ÍF II
3.50
Víkingur II
3.29
Suduroy
2.86
TB
2.00
B36 II
1.86
HB II
1.50
EB / Streymur II
1.00
Hoyvík
0.86
NSÍ II
0.83
ÍF II is 0.21 goals better than Víkingur II in terms of goals scored per game (3.50 vs 3.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
B71
0.71
Suduroy
0.71
Víkingur II
1.43
Hoyvík
1.86
HB II
2.12
ÍF II
2.17
TB
2.50
B36 II
2.86
NSÍ II
3.50
EB / Streymur II
3.57
ÍF II is 0.74 goals worse than Víkingur II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
ÍF II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
0.71
0.50
1.06
1.06
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.92
0.33
0.83
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.31
0.77
1.17
0.17
1.43
1.29
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Víkingur II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.80
1.38
0.88
1.29
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.92
0.80
1.00
0.86
0.86
vs Weaker (12)
2.08
0.67
2.00
0.71
2.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
ÍF II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.33
1.43
1.36
0.75
1.31
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.31
1.17
1.50
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (13)
1.38
1.00
2.00
0.67
0.86
1.29
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Víkingur II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.87
0.81
0.69
1.21
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
0.83
1.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.58
1.08
0.60
0.80
0.57
1.29
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.67
0.43
0.57
2.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
B71
Suduroy
TB
Hoyvík
HB II
B36 II
NSÍ II
EB / Streymur II