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Igalo vs Grbalj Result & Analysis

Date: 06/09/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-2
Igalo
Igalo
Vs
62%
24%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Igalo win✗ Miss
62.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grbalj win✓ Hit
13.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IgaloIgalo

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-850W21W21W02L20W23L80W10W10W00DH·IBA19/04A·ISK23/04H·LOV27/04A·MLA03/05H·GRB10/05A·RUD18/05H·KOM24/05H·KOM16/08H·MLA23/08A·ISK31/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.932.200.800.931.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.361.072.001.170.881.00
vs Weaker (16)1.750.812.330.561.001.14
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D02L02L11D11D43W11D02L20WH·ISK19/04A·LOV23/04H·MLA27/04A·IGA10/05H·RUD14/05A·KOM18/05H·MLA24/05H·RUD16/08A·BER23/08H·LOV31/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.371.401.400.801.33
vs Stronger (16)1.001.381.121.500.881.25
vs Similar (9)1.221.781.601.800.751.75
vs Weaker (5)1.200.602.000.000.671.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%018%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.7%
No
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.7%
Igalo goals ↓
Grbalj goals →
01234
08.8%4.7%2.1%0.5%0.1%
113%11%3.8%0.9%0.2%
213%9.5%3.5%0.9%0.2%
37.8%5.7%2.1%0.5%0.1%
43.5%2.6%1.0%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Igalo goals (down), columns = Grbalj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.06
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Berane
1.39
Kom
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Zeta
1.00
Igalo
0.89
Internacional Podgorica
0.64
Brskovo
0.00
Igalo is 0.97 points worse than Grbalj in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.25
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Internacional Podgorica
0.86
Igalo
0.58
Zeta
0.50
Brskovo
0.50
Igalo is 1.17 goals worse than Grbalj in terms of goals scored per game (0.58 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Otrant-Olympic
0.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Igalo
1.55
Internacional Podgorica
2.11
Brskovo
3.50
Igalo is 0.39 goals worse than Grbalj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IgaloIgalo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D01L10W02L30W10W00D00DH·IBA19/04A·ISK23/04H·LOV27/04A·MLA03/05H·GRB10/05A·RUD18/05H·KOM24/05H·KOM16/08H·MLA23/08A·ISK31/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.670.530.270.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.360.640.500.830.250.50
vs Weaker (16)0.560.380.780.330.290.43
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L01L01L00D21W10W01L10WH·ISK19/04A·LOV23/04H·MLA27/04A·IGA10/05H·RUD14/05A·KOM18/05H·MLA24/05H·RUD16/08A·BER23/08H·LOV31/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.670.870.270.67
vs Stronger (16)0.560.810.621.000.500.62
vs Similar (9)0.331.000.601.000.001.00
vs Weaker (5)0.400.201.000.000.000.33
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Igalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IgaloIgalo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W20W21W01L10W21W50W00D10W00DH·IBA19/04A·ISK23/04H·LOV27/04A·MLA03/05H·GRB10/05A·RUD18/05H·KOM24/05H·KOM16/08H·MLA23/08A·ISK31/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.431.530.270.670.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.000.431.500.330.620.50
vs Weaker (16)1.190.441.560.220.710.71
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L01L10W11D22D01L01L10WH·ISK19/04A·LOV23/04H·MLA27/04A·IGA10/05H·RUD14/05A·KOM18/05H·MLA24/05H·RUD16/08A·BER23/08H·LOV31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.730.530.530.67
vs Stronger (16)0.440.560.500.500.380.62
vs Similar (9)0.890.781.000.800.750.75
vs Weaker (5)0.800.401.000.000.670.67
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Igalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (4)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (1)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (5)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
IGA wins
2
Draws
3
GRB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Igalo vs Grbalj · H/A from IGA
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25HIGA Vs Grbalj2-0
23/03/25AGrbalj Vs IGA1-1
03/11/24HIGA Vs Grbalj0-1
11/09/24AGrbalj Vs IGA0-2
05/05/24AGrbalj Vs IGA1-0
20/03/24HIGA Vs Grbalj0-0
05/11/23AGrbalj Vs IGA2-1
13/09/23HIGA Vs Grbalj2-1

IgaloIgalo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25AIskra (Montenegro) Vs IGA0-0
23/08/25HIGA Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-0
16/08/25HIGA Vs Kom1-0
24/05/25HIGA Vs Kom8-0
18/05/25ARudar (Montenegro) Vs IGA3-2
10/05/25HIGA Vs Grbalj2-0
03/05/25AMladost DG Vs IGA2-0
27/04/25HIGA Vs Lovćen2-1
23/04/25AIskra (Montenegro) Vs IGA1-2
19/04/25HIGA Vs Ibar5-0

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25HGRB Vs Lovćen2-0
23/08/25ABerane Vs GRB2-0
16/08/25HGRB Vs Rudar (Montenegro)1-1
24/05/25HGRB Vs Mladost Lješkopolje4-3
18/05/25AKom Vs GRB1-1
14/05/25HGRB Vs Rudar (Montenegro)1-1
10/05/25AIgalo Vs GRB2-0
27/04/25HGRB Vs Mladost DG0-2
23/04/25ALovćen Vs GRB1-1
19/04/25HGRB Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Igalo
Igalo
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.54
HomeWWWWW1.92
AwayDWLLD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%58%25%
AVG goals2.302.731.83
Over 1.5 %66%69%62%
Over 2.5 %30%38%21%
Over 3.5 %20%31%8%
Scored1.381.850.88
Conceded0.920.880.96
BTTS38%35%42%
Clean Sheet38%46%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.34
HomeLDWDW1.58
AwayLDLDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.462.852.04
Over 1.5 %78%85%71%
Over 2.5 %36%46%25%
Over 3.5 %20%27%12%
Scored1.081.310.83
Conceded1.381.541.21
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3674
64%
2.1
8131+50
3.1
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.9
-
2GrbaljGrbalj3667
58%
1.9
6342+21
2.9
86%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3664
47%
1.8
5134+17
2.4
64%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
4Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3851
37%
1.3
5449+5
2.7
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
5BeraneBerane3650
33%
1.4
4536+9
2.2
72%
36%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6KomKom3650
42%
1.4
4743+4
2.5
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LovćenLovćen3648
39%
1.3
3445-11
2.2
56%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
8Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3647
36%
1.3
3946-7
2.4
53%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9IgaloIgalo3834
21%
0.9
2259-37
2.1
63%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
10Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3623
14%
0.6
3176-45
3.0
86%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11ZetaZeta22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
12BrskovoBrskovo20
0%
0.0
17-6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.5
-
Montenegro: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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