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Igalo vs Iskra (Montenegro) Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Igalo
Igalo
Vs
47%
30%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Iskra (Montenegro)
Iskra (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Igalo win✗ Miss
47.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) win✓ Hit
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IgaloIgalo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D32W21W20W01L01L01L30W32W00DA·MLA02/10H·IBA06/10A·ISK19/10H·LOV26/10A·MLA30/10H·GRB03/11A·RUD17/11H·KOM23/11H·MLA01/12A·IBA01/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.901.801.070.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.381.121.621.621.120.62
vs Weaker (14)1.210.642.000.430.430.86
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L11D00D30W11D10W02L01L11DA·GRB06/10H·IGA19/10H·MLA23/10A·RUD26/10H·KOM30/10A·MLA03/11H·IBA09/11A·LOV23/11A·MLA30/11H·GRB02/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.101.001.130.801.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.601.200.751.380.431.00
vs Weaker (15)1.201.001.290.861.121.12
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.2%
Under 1.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.2%
Under 2.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.4%
Under 3.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.1%
No
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
0-1 ✓
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
Igalo goals ↓
Iskra (Montenegro) goals →
01234
012%8.1%4.0%1.1%0.2%
114%14%5.4%1.6%0.3%
210%8.6%3.7%1.1%0.2%
34.6%3.9%1.7%0.5%0.1%
41.6%1.3%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Igalo goals (down), columns = Iskra (Montenegro) goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
2.19
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.88
Lovćen
1.59
Igalo
1.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.31
Grbalj
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Kom
0.88
Ibar
0.75
Igalo is 0.19 points better than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.31).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.75
Mladost DG
1.69
Igalo
1.62
Lovćen
1.56
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.16
Grbalj
1.03
Kom
0.88
Ibar
0.72
Igalo is 0.47 goals better than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Mladost DG
0.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.97
Igalo
1.09
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.12
Lovćen
1.19
Grbalj
1.53
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.69
Ibar
1.69
Kom
1.69
Igalo is 0.03 goals better than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IgaloIgalo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L10W00D01L01L00D00D12L00DA·MLA02/10H·IBA06/10A·ISK19/10H·LOV26/10A·MLA30/10H·GRB03/11A·RUD17/11H·KOM23/11H·MLA01/12A·IBA01/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.530.730.270.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.690.621.000.380.38
vs Weaker (14)0.290.360.430.430.140.29
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D00D20W01L00D00D01L01LA·GRB06/10H·IGA19/10H·MLA23/10A·RUD26/10H·KOM30/10A·MLA03/11H·IBA09/11A·LOV23/11A·MLA30/11H·GRB02/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.530.270.600.330.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.070.800.120.750.000.86
vs Weaker (15)0.530.270.430.430.620.12
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Igalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IgaloIgalo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W11D20W00D00D01L30W20W00DA·MLA02/10H·IBA06/10A·ISK19/10H·LOV26/10A·MLA30/10H·GRB03/11A·RUD17/11H·KOM23/11H·MLA01/12A·IBA01/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.371.270.330.530.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.880.441.000.620.750.25
vs Weaker (14)0.930.291.570.000.290.57
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D00D10W10W10W02L00D10WA·GRB06/10H·IGA19/10H·MLA23/10A·RUD26/10H·KOM30/10A·MLA03/11H·IBA09/11A·LOV23/11A·MLA30/11H·GRB02/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.730.530.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.530.400.620.620.430.14
vs Weaker (15)0.670.730.860.430.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Igalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
IGA wins
1
Draws
1
I( wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Igalo vs Iskra (Montenegro) · H/A from IGA
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24AIskra (Montenegro) Vs IGA1-2
25/08/24HIGA Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-0
07/04/24HIGA Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-1
03/12/23AIskra (Montenegro) Vs IGA2-1
04/10/23HIGA Vs Iskra (Montenegro)3-1
12/08/23AIskra (Montenegro) Vs IGA0-1

IgaloIgalo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25AIbar Vs IGA0-0
01/12/24HIGA Vs Mladost Lješkopolje3-2
23/11/24HIGA Vs Kom3-0
17/11/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs IGA1-0
03/11/24HIGA Vs Grbalj0-1
30/10/24AMladost DG Vs IGA1-0
26/10/24HIGA Vs Lovćen2-0
19/10/24AIskra (Montenegro) Vs IGA1-2
06/10/24HIGA Vs Ibar3-2
02/10/24AMladost Lješkopolje Vs IGA1-1

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25HI( Vs Grbalj1-1
30/11/24AMladost DG Vs I(1-0
23/11/24ALovćen Vs I(2-0
09/11/24HI( Vs Ibar1-0
03/11/24AMladost Lješkopolje Vs I(1-1
30/10/24HI( Vs Kom3-0
26/10/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs I(0-0
23/10/24HI( Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-1
19/10/24HI( Vs Igalo1-2
06/10/24AGrbalj Vs I(0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Igalo
Igalo
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.32
HomeWWLWW1.52
AwayDWLLD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.282.562.00
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %16%24%8%
Scored1.201.401.00
Conceded1.081.161.00
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet32%28%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Iskra (Montenegro)
Iskra (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.20
HomeLDWWD1.46
AwayWDDLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%23%
AVG goals2.222.332.12
Over 1.5 %64%71%58%
Over 2.5 %38%46%31%
Over 3.5 %16%12%19%
Scored0.981.170.81
Conceded1.241.171.31
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3270
66%
2.2
5424+30
2.4
78%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.70.8
-
2Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3260
53%
1.9
5631+25
2.7
78%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
3LovćenLovćen3251
44%
1.6
5038+12
2.8
78%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
4IgaloIgalo3248
41%
1.5
5235+17
2.7
75%
41%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
5Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3242
34%
1.3
3736+1
2.3
72%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
6GrbaljGrbalj3237
28%
1.2
3349-16
2.6
81%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
7Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3233
22%
1.0
4254-12
3.0
84%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
8KomKom3228
22%
0.9
2854-26
2.6
66%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
9IbarIbar3224
19%
0.8
2354-31
2.4
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Montenegro: Second League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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