PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Igalo vs Rudar (Montenegro) Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 0-0
Igalo
Igalo
Vs
39%
29%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This match between Igalo and Rudar (Montenegro) in the Montenegro Second League is finely balanced, with both teams having a realistic chance of claiming the three points. Igalo's recent form has been steady, coming off a draw against Zeta, while Rudar (Montenegro) has been on a two-game winning run, but their last match ended in a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Brskovo.

The model predicts a home win for Igalo, with a 39% chance of success, closely followed by a draw at 29% and an away win for Rudar (Montenegro) at 32%. The expected total number of goals in this match is 2.6. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13.7%.

Igalo has been scoring an average of 0.89 goals at home, while conceding 1.78 goals, against weaker opponents. Rudar (Montenegro) has been scoring an average of 1 goal away, while conceding 2.83 goals, against stronger opponents.

The model's selection is the home win, with the model also selecting Over 1.5 goals at 75% and Under 3.5 goals at 73%. The home win percentage is 39%, the draw percentage is 29%, and the away win percentage is 32%.

Results analysis

A stunning draw in the Montenegro: Second League, as Igalo held Rudar (Montenegro) to a 0-0 scoreline, extending their sequence of draws to three games. The win extends Rudar's run of two consecutive victories. The model's selection, a home win, was wrong, with a pre-match probability of 39%. The model's call was incorrect. The model's selection, a home win, was the pre-match favourite. The model's other selection, Over 1.5, missed with a 75% probability, while Under 3.5 hit with a 73% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Igalo win✗ Miss
39.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) win✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IgaloIgalo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W02L02L00D02L02L01L10W02L13LH·INT18/03A·RUD22/03H·BER28/03A·LOV04/04A·KOM08/04A·MLA12/04H·ISK18/04A·GRB26/04H·OTR02/05A·INT10/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.800.711.790.381.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.302.100.401.800.202.40
vs Weaker (20)0.651.650.891.780.451.55
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W23L02L12L04L11D41W10W12LA·LOV18/03H·IGA22/03A·MLA28/03H·ISK04/04H·GRB08/04A·OTR12/04H·INT18/04H·KOM26/04A·BER03/05H·LOV10/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.401.881.000.791.86
vs Stronger (12)1.421.751.830.671.002.83
vs Similar (18)1.331.171.901.200.621.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.8%
Under 2.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-0 ✓
8.5%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
Igalo goals ↓
Rudar (Montenegro) goals →
01234
08.5%7.7%5.5%2.3%0.7%
18.8%14%7.7%3.2%1.0%
27.0%8.7%5.3%2.2%0.7%
33.3%4.0%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.1%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Igalo goals (down), columns = Rudar (Montenegro) goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.06
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Berane
1.39
Kom
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Zeta
1.00
Igalo
0.89
Internacional Podgorica
0.64
Brskovo
0.00
Igalo is 0.45 points worse than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.25
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Internacional Podgorica
0.86
Igalo
0.58
Brskovo
0.50
Zeta
0.50
Igalo is 0.84 goals worse than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of goals scored per game (0.58 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Otrant-Olympic
0.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Igalo
1.55
Internacional Podgorica
2.11
Brskovo
3.50
Igalo is 0.26 goals worse than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IgaloIgalo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L00D01L02L00D00D01L01LH·INT18/03A·RUD22/03H·BER28/03A·LOV04/04A·KOM08/04A·MLA12/04H·ISK18/04A·GRB26/04H·OTR02/05A·INT10/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.130.730.290.710.000.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.101.100.201.000.001.20
vs Weaker (20)0.150.550.330.560.000.55
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D01L11D02L10W20W00D12LA·LOV18/03H·IGA22/03A·MLA28/03H·ISK04/04H·GRB08/04A·OTR12/04H·INT18/04H·KOM26/04A·BER03/05H·LOV10/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.631.120.500.070.79
vs Stronger (12)0.500.831.000.330.001.33
vs Similar (18)0.720.501.200.600.120.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Igalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (24)
€2m
OTR (27)
€1m
R( (36)
€0m
GRB (36)
€0m
LOV (45)
€0m
BER (36)
€0m
KOM (37)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (0)
€0m
OTR (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (0)
€0m
OTR (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (0)
€0m
OTR (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Igalo vs Rudar (Montenegro) · H/A from IGA
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/26ARudar (Montenegro) Vs IGA2-0
16/11/25HIGA Vs Rudar (Montenegro)0-0
20/09/25ARudar (Montenegro) Vs IGA4-0
18/05/25ARudar (Montenegro) Vs IGA3-2
02/04/25HIGA Vs Rudar (Montenegro)2-2
17/11/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs IGA1-0
22/09/24HIGA Vs Rudar (Montenegro)1-1

IgaloIgalo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26AInternacional Podgorica Vs IGA3-1
02/05/26HIGA Vs Otrant-Olympic0-2
26/04/26AGrbalj Vs IGA0-1
18/04/26HIGA Vs Iskra (Montenegro)0-1
12/04/26AMladost Lješkopolje Vs IGA2-0
08/04/26AKom Vs IGA2-0
04/04/26ALovćen Vs IGA0-0
28/03/26HIGA Vs Berane0-2
22/03/26ARudar (Montenegro) Vs IGA2-0
18/03/26HIGA Vs Internacional Podgorica3-0

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HR( Vs Lovćen1-2
03/05/26ABerane Vs R(0-1
26/04/26HR( Vs Kom4-1
18/04/26HR( Vs Internacional Podgorica1-1
12/04/26AOtrant-Olympic Vs R(4-0
08/04/26HR( Vs Grbalj1-2
04/04/26HR( Vs Iskra (Montenegro)0-2
28/03/26AMladost Lješkopolje Vs R(3-2
22/03/26HR( Vs Igalo2-0
18/03/26ALovćen Vs R(1-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Igalo
Igalo
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.08
HomeLWLLL1.44
AwayDLLWL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%44%12%
AVG goals2.482.802.16
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %42%52%32%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.021.480.56
Conceded1.461.321.60
BTTS32%28%36%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.34
HomeLLDWL1.72
AwayLLLLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%52%24%
AVG goals2.722.842.60
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.421.841.00
Conceded1.301.001.60
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3674
64%
2.1
8131+50
3.1
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.20.9
-
2GrbaljGrbalj3667
58%
1.9
6342+21
2.9
86%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3664
47%
1.8
5134+17
2.4
64%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
4Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3851
37%
1.3
5449+5
2.7
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
5BeraneBerane3650
33%
1.4
4536+9
2.2
72%
36%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6KomKom3650
42%
1.4
4743+4
2.5
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LovćenLovćen3648
39%
1.3
3445-11
2.2
56%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
8Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3647
36%
1.3
3946-7
2.4
53%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.3
-
9IgaloIgalo3834
21%
0.9
2259-37
2.1
63%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
10Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3623
14%
0.6
3176-45
3.0
86%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11ZetaZeta22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
12BrskovoBrskovo20
0%
0.0
17-6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.5
-
Montenegro: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

← all matches