Iğdır FK are favoured to win this Turkey 1. Lig clash against Manisa F.K., with a 45% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of an away win. The model expects 2.7 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal game, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.1% probability. Iğdır’s home form shows an average of 1.53 goals scored and 1.27 conceded against similar opposition, while Manisa, playing away, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.87 conceded to comparable teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.2%) and Under 5.5 (94.0%). The home side’s recent run of LLWDL, after two straight defeats, and Manisa’s DWWWL, coming off a draw, set the tone for a tight encounter.
Results analysis
Iğdır FK extended a two-game winning run with a 4-2 victory over Manisa F.K., confirming the model’s home win prediction. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 45% probability, and the model’s call proved correct. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 (99.3%) and Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%) were both successful, as were Under 6.5 (97.8%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%). Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.8%) and Under 5.5 (93.9%) missed, while Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.7%) and Away under 3.5 goals (96.8%) hit. The match saw 6 total goals, exceeding the expected 2.7 and the most likely score of 2-1.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Iğdır FK win✓ Hit
44.8%
Avg Implied 45.2% · @ 2.02
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.14
William Hil
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Dafabet
2.06
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.36
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.55
Dafabet
3.45
Betano
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Manisa F.K. win✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.29
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.45
Dafabet
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.31
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Iğdır FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.27
1.36
1.29
1.12
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.23
1.27
1.36
1.29
1.12
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manisa F.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.23
2.20
0.60
1.20
1.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.76
1.24
2.36
0.57
1.20
1.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Iğdır FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
@ 1.25+3.0%
Under 1.5
22.8%
@ 3.58-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.79
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.82+0.6%
Under 2.5
48.2%
@ 1.91-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Betano
1.83
SBO
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.93
SBO
1.93
Betano
1.91
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.6%
@ 3.01-1.2%
Under 3.5
70.4%
@ 1.34+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.11
BetVictor
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.1%
@ 1.67+0.9%
No
43.9%
@ 2.06-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
BetVictor
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
William Hil
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%@ 6.06+5.8%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.69+3.6%
1-0
8.8%@ 7.27+2.8%
2-0
7.8%@ 9.43+3.2%
0-0
7.6%@ 10.34+3.4%
1-2
7.0%@ 10.32+2.8%
0-1
6.4%@ 9.84+2.0%
2-2
5.5%@ 12.11+1.9%
Iğdır FK goals ↓
Manisa F.K. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
6.4%
4.5%
1.8%
0.5%
1
8.8%
13%
7.0%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.3%
5.5%
2.2%
0.6%
3
4.1%
4.8%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.6%
1.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iğdır FK goals (down), columns = Manisa F.K. goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Iğdır FK is 0.20 points better than Manisa F.K. in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Iğdır FK is 0.60 goals worse than Manisa F.K. in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Iğdır FK is 0.80 goals better than Manisa F.K. in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Iğdır FK is 6.6 percentage points worse than Manisa F.K. in terms of average possession (49% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Iğdır FK
For 3.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 10.5 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manisa F.K.
For 3.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Iğdır FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.7
7.9
4.1
4.2
4.0
23.6
22.9
24.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
8.8
9.7
7.9
4.1
4.2
4.0
23.6
22.9
24.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
59%
27%
58%
60%
56%
59%
55%
64%
% under line
57%
41%
73%
42%
40%
44%
41%
45%
36%
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manisa F.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.3
8.7
4.7
4.9
4.6
23.8
24.2
23.3
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
8.0
8.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
25.3
31.0
22.5
vs Similar (47)
8.6
8.3
8.8
4.8
4.8
4.7
23.6
23.9
23.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
38%
42%
70%
80%
60%
62%
62%
62%
% under line
60%
62%
58%
30%
20%
40%
38%
38%
38%
This opponent (Iğdır FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Bodrum FK
9.1
Antalyaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Iğdır FK
9.0
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Mardin 1969
8.6
Manisa F.K.
8.5
Pendikspor
8.4
İstanbulspor
8.4
Boluspor
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.8
Muğlaspor
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.8
Batman Petrolspor
5.8
Antalyaspor
5.3
Pendikspor
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Vanspor FK
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Iğdır FK
4.8
Bandırmaspor
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.6
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.6
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
30.8
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
28.7
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.4
Pendikspor
26.5
Batman Petrolspor
26.2
Mardin 1969
25.6
Boluspor
25.6
Kayserispor
24.8
Bandırmaspor
24.2
Bodrum FK
24.1
Keçiörengücü
23.7
Sivasspor
23.7
Iğdır FK
23.6
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Sarıyer
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.3
Ümraniyespor
23.2
Esenler Erokspor
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.4%
@ 2.18+2.1%
Under 9.5
55.6%
@ 1.60-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.56
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.2%
Under 21.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Iğdır FK or Draw✓ Hit
72.3%
Avg Implied 72.4% · @ 1.27
Edge
-0.2%
45%
27%
28%
covers Iğdır FK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Iğdır FK or Manisa F.K.✓ Hit
72.6%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.25
Edge
-0.6%
45%
27%
28%
covers Iğdır FK + Manisa F.K.
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Manisa F.K.✗ Miss
55.2%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.69
Edge
+0.7%
45%
27%
28%
covers Draw + Manisa F.K.
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Iğdır FK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.0%
@ 1.19+1.3%
Under
21.0%
@ 4.16-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.24
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
Pinnacle
4.31
Superbet
4.20
Iğdır FK over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.3%
@ 1.99-0.2%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.73+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
BetVictor
2.00
Betano
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Under
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.75
BetVictor
1.73
Iğdır FK over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
20.7%
@ 4.13-1.7%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.19+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
Pinnacle
4.23
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Under
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Iğdır FK over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
7.4%
@ 9.47-2.6%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.04+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.4%
@ 1.35+1.4%
Under
30.6%
@ 2.88-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.11
Betfair
3.00
Betano
2.92
Marathonbet
2.91
1xBet
2.91
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.2%
@ 2.79-0.1%
Under
66.8%
@ 1.39+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.83
Superbet
2.82
BetVictor
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 6.99-1.6%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.07+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
BetVictor
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.70
Under
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Manisa F.K. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 17.12-2.3%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Iğdır FK, so a minus line means Iğdır FK give that many goals of a start and Manisa F.K. receive them. At -1, Iğdır FK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Iğdır FK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Iğdır FK)Actual: Draw
Iğdır FK -2
9.5%
@ 7.97-1.7%
Draw -2
13.9%
@ 5.83-1.4%
Manisa F.K. +2
76.6%
@ 1.22+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Bet365
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (Iğdır FK)Actual: Iğdır FK
Iğdır FK -1
23.4%
@ 3.63-0.7%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 3.62-2.7%
Manisa F.K. +1
55.2%
@ 1.69+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.78
10Bet
3.60
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.35
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.20
Away
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
Unibet
1.56
Handicap +1 (Iğdır FK)Actual: Iğdır FK
Iğdır FK +1
72.3%
@ 1.25+1.1%
Draw +1
16.0%
@ 5.20-1.2%
Manisa F.K. -1
11.7%
@ 7.67+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
6.85
Handicap +2 (Iğdır FK)Actual: Iğdır FK
Iğdır FK +2
88.3%
@ 1.06+0.4%
Draw +2
8.0%
@ 12.00+0.3%
Manisa F.K. -2
3.7%
@ 21.00-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Iğdır FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
0.64
0.43
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.70
0.47
0.64
0.43
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manisa F.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
0.93
0.47
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.83
0.62
1.00
0.43
0.67
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Iğdır FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.6%
@ 1.35+2.4%
Under 0.5
29.4%
@ 2.92-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
BetVictor
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.02
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.0%
@ 2.64-0.8%
Under 1.5
66.0%
@ 1.41+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.72
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
BetVictor
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 6.46-1.9%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.08+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iğdır FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.4%
@ 1.87-0.3%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.84+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Iğdır FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.9%
@ 5.37-3.3%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.11+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Iğdır FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
3.2%
@ 10.00-6.1%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.6%
@ 2.28-0.0%
Under
59.4%
@ 1.56+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 7.73-1.7%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.05+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Iğdır FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.71
0.86
0.38
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.80
0.71
0.86
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manisa F.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
1.27
0.13
0.53
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.93
0.62
1.36
0.14
0.53
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Iğdır FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.8%
@ 1.21+0.5%
Under 0.5
23.2%
@ 3.88-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
Betano
3.85
Superbet
3.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.4%
@ 2.00-3.9%
Under 1.5
57.6%
@ 1.72+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.5%
@ 4.17-5.6%
Under 2.5
83.5%
@ 1.19+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iğdır FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.7%
@ 1.61-3.6%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.17+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.69
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.24
Betano
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.00
Iğdır FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.2%
@ 3.75-4.4%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.22+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.95
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
Iğdır FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 8.95-5.0%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.03+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.6%
@ 1.89-2.2%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.80+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.77
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 5.40-3.0%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.11+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.60
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 10.00-6.7%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
96.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
92.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.3%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.11
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
+3.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.9%
1.11
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.6%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+1.6%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.5%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.22
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.3%
1.19
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
+1.7%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
79.0%
1.19
Marathonbet
1.24
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.0%
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
-
-
-
-0.1%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
77.2%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.8%
1.21
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.18
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
76.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
-
-
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.6%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
72.3%
1.27
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.26
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
72.3%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.35
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
BetVictor
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.4%
1.34
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
+1.2%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Iğdır FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
A. Öztürk33%
Loic Kouagba33%
Giovanni Crociata33%
Douglas Tanque33%
Gökcan Kaya33%
Felix Afena-Gyan33%
Doğan Erdoğan0%
J. Szumski0%
Soner Gönül0%
Dino Hotić0%
Hüseyin Karabey0%
Moustapha Camara0%
Arda Çolak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Doğan Erdoğan67%
Hüseyin Karabey67%
Giovanni Crociata33%
Dino Hotić33%
Felix Afena-Gyan33%
Arda Çolak33%
A. Öztürk0%
Loic Kouagba0%
J. Szumski0%
Douglas Tanque0%
Gökcan Kaya0%
Soner Gönül0%
Moustapha Camara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Loic Kouagba33%
Soner Gönül33%
Dino Hotić33%
Hüseyin Karabey33%
Moustapha Camara33%
Doğan Erdoğan0%
A. Öztürk0%
Giovanni Crociata0%
J. Szumski0%
Douglas Tanque0%
Gökcan Kaya0%
Felix Afena-Gyan0%
Arda Çolak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Douglas Tanque33%
Dino Hotić33%
Felix Afena-Gyan33%
Doğan Erdoğan0%
A. Öztürk0%
Loic Kouagba0%
Giovanni Crociata0%
J. Szumski0%
Gökcan Kaya0%
Soner Gönül0%
Hüseyin Karabey0%
Moustapha Camara0%
Arda Çolak0%
Manisa F.K.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julien Anziani67%
Yusuf Talum33%
Y. Benrahou0%
B. Touré0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
K. Yurdakul0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Y. Benrahou33%
B. Touré33%
K. Yurdakul33%
Julien Anziani0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Y. Benrahou33%
C. Sylla33%
B. Touré0%
Julien Anziani0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
K. Yurdakul0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julien Anziani67%
Y. Benrahou0%
B. Touré0%
Christophe Herelle0%
V. Karakuş0%
Yusuf Talum0%
K. Yurdakul0%
C. Sylla0%
Noha Lemina0%
A. Vargas0%
Osman Kahraman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Iğdır FK and Manisa F.K. have a similar squad value (both €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Iğdır FK's attack is €1m more valuable than Manisa F.K.'s (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Iğdır FK and Manisa F.K. have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Iğdır FK and Manisa F.K. have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Keçiörengücü
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor