This opponent (Charlton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charlton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.27
1.88
1.38
1.21
1.14
vs Stronger (1)
4.00
4.00
4.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.18
1.18
1.56
1.11
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (12)
1.92
1.17
2.00
1.33
1.83
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.3%
@ 1.63-7.4%
Under 2.5
49.7%
@ 2.22+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.3%
Under 3.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.9%
No
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
4.3%
Ipswich goals ↓
Charlton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
3.9%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
1
12%
11%
3.4%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
9.5%
3.4%
0.8%
0.1%
3
8.7%
6.2%
2.2%
0.5%
0.1%
4
4.3%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ipswich goals (down), columns = Charlton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Plymouth
2.20
Ipswich
2.13
Sheffield Weds
2.09
Barnsley
1.87
Bolton
1.76
Peterboro
1.67
Derby
1.65
Portsmouth
1.52
Wycombe
1.50
Lincoln
1.35
Charlton
1.35
Shrewsbury
1.28
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Exeter
1.22
Burton
1.22
Cheltenham
1.17
Bristol Rvs
1.15
Port Vale
1.07
Oxford
1.02
Cambridge
1.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.98
Accrington
0.96
Morecambe
0.96
Forest Green
0.59
Ipswich is 0.78 points better than Charlton in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 1.35).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.20
Plymouth
1.78
Sheffield Weds
1.76
Barnsley
1.74
Peterboro
1.63
Charlton
1.52
Derby
1.46
Exeter
1.39
Bolton
1.35
Portsmouth
1.33
Wycombe
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.26
Burton
1.24
Fleetwood Town
1.15
Shrewsbury
1.13
Oxford
1.07
Port Vale
1.04
Lincoln
1.02
Morecambe
1.02
Cheltenham
0.98
Milton Keynes Dons
0.96
Cambridge
0.89
Accrington
0.87
Forest Green
0.67
Ipswich is 0.67 goals better than Charlton in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 1.52).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ipswich
0.76
Bolton
0.78
Sheffield Weds
0.80
Derby
1.00
Lincoln
1.02
Barnsley
1.02
Plymouth
1.02
Portsmouth
1.09
Fleetwood Town
1.11
Wycombe
1.11
Peterboro
1.17
Oxford
1.22
Shrewsbury
1.33
Cheltenham
1.33
Charlton
1.43
Milton Keynes Dons
1.43
Cambridge
1.48
Exeter
1.48
Port Vale
1.54
Bristol Rvs
1.59
Accrington
1.67
Morecambe
1.70
Burton
1.72
Forest Green
1.93
Ipswich is 0.67 goals better than Charlton in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ipswich
59%
Bolton
57%
Portsmouth
55%
Derby
55%
Plymouth
54%
Peterboro
54%
Charlton
54%
Oxford
53%
Sheffield Weds
53%
Milton Keynes Dons
53%
Port Vale
52%
Exeter
52%
Barnsley
49%
Fleetwood Town
49%
Accrington
47%
Forest Green
47%
Wycombe
46%
Cambridge
46%
Burton
45%
Cheltenham
43%
Lincoln
43%
Shrewsbury
42%
Morecambe
42%
Ipswich is 5.2 percentage points better than Charlton in terms of average possession (59% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ipswich
For 6.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 8.3 · Total 17.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Charlton
For 4.6 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 9.5 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ipswich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.5
3.8
3.5
4.1
21.3
20.1
22.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (50)
10.5
10.5
10.5
3.8
3.5
4.1
21.3
20.1
22.6
% over line
54%
54%
54%
54%
46%
62%
46%
42%
50%
% under line
46%
46%
46%
46%
54%
38%
54%
58%
50%
This opponent (Charlton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charlton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.5
11.6
3.2
3.8
2.6
21.9
22.0
21.9
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
6.0
11.0
4.0
7.0
1.0
28.0
34.0
22.0
vs Similar (25)
10.4
9.2
11.8
3.4
3.6
3.1
22.8
22.7
23.0
vs Weaker (23)
10.9
10.2
11.5
3.0
3.8
2.3
20.4
20.0
20.8
% over line
68%
60%
76%
44%
52%
36%
58%
64%
52%
% under line
32%
40%
24%
56%
48%
64%
42%
36%
48%
This opponent (Ipswich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wycombe
11.4
Burton
11.3
Bristol Rvs
11.2
Exeter
11.1
Charlton
10.6
Morecambe
10.5
Port Vale
10.5
Ipswich
10.5
Oxford
10.5
Forest Green
10.4
Barnsley
10.3
Plymouth
10.3
Portsmouth
10.2
Derby
10.2
Peterboro
10.1
Bolton
10.0
Accrington
10.0
Fleetwood Town
10.0
Lincoln
10.0
Shrewsbury
10.0
Cambridge
9.4
Sheffield Weds
9.3
Cheltenham
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bristol Rvs
4.4
Accrington
4.3
Fleetwood Town
4.3
Forest Green
4.1
Oxford
4.0
Shrewsbury
4.0
Portsmouth
3.9
Cambridge
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Derby
3.8
Bolton
3.7
Port Vale
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Lincoln
3.5
Sheffield Weds
3.5
Cheltenham
3.5
Peterboro
3.4
Exeter
3.3
Charlton
3.2
Wycombe
3.2
Morecambe
3.2
Plymouth
3.2
Burton
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.8
Accrington
24.7
Oxford
23.9
Peterboro
23.5
Bristol Rvs
23.2
Forest Green
22.9
Fleetwood Town
22.8
Port Vale
22.4
Bolton
22.3
Milton Keynes Dons
22.1
Charlton
21.9
Sheffield Weds
21.8
Lincoln
21.8
Barnsley
21.8
Wycombe
21.7
Plymouth
21.6
Ipswich
21.3
Shrewsbury
21.3
Morecambe
21.1
Cambridge
20.9
Burton
20.5
Derby
20.1
Cheltenham
20.0
Exeter
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
67.2%
Under 9.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.9%
Under 3.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
26.3%
Under 21.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ipswich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.40
1.25
0.38
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (30)
0.97
0.40
1.25
0.38
0.64
0.43
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Charlton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charlton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.47
1.00
0.44
0.79
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.47
0.89
0.33
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.42
1.33
0.50
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ipswich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ipswich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.40
1.12
0.19
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (30)
1.03
0.40
1.12
0.19
0.93
0.64
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Charlton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Charlton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.88
0.94
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
4.00
3.00
4.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.71
0.67
0.78
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.75
0.67
0.83
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ipswich) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ipswich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ipswich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charlton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ipswich · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chuba Akpom33%
Leif Davis33%
Marcelino Núñez33%
Dara O'Shea0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Kasey McAteer0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chuba Akpom0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Leif Davis0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Kasey McAteer0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chuba Akpom33%
Dara O'Shea0%
Leif Davis0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Kasey McAteer0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kasey McAteer33%
Chuba Akpom0%
Dara O'Shea0%
Leif Davis0%
Daizen Maeda0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Charlton · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tyreece Campbell75%
Lloyd Jones60%
Karlan Grant25%
Sonny Carey25%
Ivan Mesík0%
Nathaniel Chalobah0%
Conor Coventry0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Danny McNamara0%
Joe Rankin-Costello0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Millenic Alli0%
Collins Sichenje0%
Miles Leaburn0%
Micah Mbick0%
Alan Nwamba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karlan Grant25%
Joe Rankin-Costello25%
Danny McNamara20%
Lloyd Jones20%
Ivan Mesík0%
Nathaniel Chalobah0%
Conor Coventry0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Sonny Carey0%
Millenic Alli0%
Collins Sichenje0%
Miles Leaburn0%
Tyreece Campbell0%
Micah Mbick0%
Alan Nwamba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sonny Carey50%
Nathaniel Chalobah25%
Conor Coventry25%
Karlan Grant25%
Joe Rankin-Costello25%
Millenic Alli25%
Ivan Mesík0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Danny McNamara0%
Lloyd Jones0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Collins Sichenje0%
Miles Leaburn0%
Tyreece Campbell0%
Micah Mbick0%
Alan Nwamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sonny Carey25%
Tyreece Campbell25%
Ivan Mesík0%
Nathaniel Chalobah0%
Conor Coventry0%
Karlan Grant0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Danny McNamara0%
Lloyd Jones0%
Joe Rankin-Costello0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Millenic Alli0%
Collins Sichenje0%
Miles Leaburn0%
Micah Mbick0%
Alan Nwamba0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
DER (25)
€57m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
WYC (24)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
PET (23)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
FG (4)
€1m
MOR (1)
€0m
Ipswich's squad is €249m more valuable than Charlton's (€280m vs €31m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Ipswich's attack is €112m more valuable than Charlton's (€130m vs €18m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
DER (6)
€14m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
Ipswich's midfield is €62m more valuable than Charlton's (€66m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (13)
€85m
DER (11)
€18m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
FG (2)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Ipswich's defence is €74m more valuable than Charlton's (€85m vs €10m).
England: League One 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Plymouth
Sheffield Weds
Barnsley
Bolton
Peterboro
Derby
Portsmouth
Wycombe
Lincoln
Shrewsbury
Fleetwood Town
Exeter
Burton
Cheltenham
Bristol Rvs
Port Vale
Oxford
Cambridge
Milton Keynes Dons
Morecambe
Accrington
Forest Green