This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Afturelding
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.50
1.87
1.47
2.27
1.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.82
1.64
1.64
1.45
2.00
1.82
vs Weaker (8)
2.75
1.12
2.50
1.50
3.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
23% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.2%
Under 1.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.0%
Under 2.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.9%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-1 ✓
5.1%
IR Reykjavik goals ↓
Afturelding goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
5.6%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
1
14%
12%
4.1%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
9.2%
3.4%
0.8%
0.2%
3
6.9%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.9%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IR Reykjavik goals (down), columns = Afturelding goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Breidablik
2.29
Thor Akureyri
2.17
Valur Reykjavik
2.17
Grindavik
2.00
KA Akureyri
2.00
KR Reykjavik
2.00
IR Reykjavik
1.80
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.80
Fjolnir
1.60
Keflavik
1.60
IA Akranes
1.57
Afturelding
1.40
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
Selfoss
1.35
Fylkir
1.20
Völsungur
1.09
Leiknir R.
1.00
Fram Reykjavik
1.00
HK Kopavogur
0.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.80
Stjarnan
0.60
Njardvik
0.40
Vestri
0.40
IR Reykjavik is 0.40 points better than Afturelding in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
3.33
Afturelding
3.20
Breidablik
2.86
Thor Akureyri
2.83
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.80
KR Reykjavik
2.60
IA Akranes
2.43
IR Reykjavik
2.40
Leiknir R.
2.40
Keflavik
2.40
KA Akureyri
2.20
Selfoss
1.93
Fylkir
1.80
Fjolnir
1.80
Grindavik
1.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.80
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Fram Reykjavik
1.60
Völsungur
1.55
HK Kopavogur
1.40
Throttur Reykjavik
1.40
Njardvik
1.00
Stjarnan
0.80
Vestri
0.60
IR Reykjavik is 0.80 goals worse than Afturelding in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 3.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Thor Akureyri
0.67
Breidablik
0.71
KA Akureyri
1.20
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.20
Valur Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.57
Fylkir
1.60
Fjolnir
1.60
FH hafnarfjordur
1.60
Vestri
1.60
Throttur Reykjavik
1.80
Fram Reykjavik
1.80
KR Reykjavik
1.80
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.00
Selfoss
2.01
Leiknir R.
2.20
Keflavik
2.20
Stjarnan
2.20
Völsungur
2.50
IR Reykjavik
2.80
Njardvik
2.80
Afturelding
2.80
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3.40
IR Reykjavik and Afturelding are level in goals conceded per game (both 2.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IR Reykjavik or Draw✓ Hit
84.6%
Avg Implied -
58%
26%
15%
covers IR Reykjavik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik or Afturelding✓ Hit
73.6%
Avg Implied -
58%
26%
15%
covers IR Reykjavik + Afturelding
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Afturelding✗ Miss
41.8%
Avg Implied -
58%
26%
15%
covers Draw + Afturelding
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.9%
Under
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.3%
Under
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
23.2%
Under
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.7%
Under
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
52.4%
Under
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
Under
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to IR Reykjavik, so a minus line means IR Reykjavik give that many goals of a start and Afturelding receive them. At -1, IR Reykjavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IR Reykjavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (IR Reykjavik)Actual: Draw
IR Reykjavik -2
14.5%
Draw -2
18.4%
Afturelding +2
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (IR Reykjavik)Actual: IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik -1
32.9%
Draw -1
25.3%
Afturelding +1
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (IR Reykjavik)Actual: IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik +1
84.6%
Draw +1
10.7%
Afturelding -1
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (IR Reykjavik)Actual: IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik +2
95.3%
Draw +2
3.7%
Afturelding -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IR Reykjavik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.79
0.79
0.88
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.81
0.75
0.75
0.93
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Afturelding
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.63
1.13
0.73
0.93
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.00
0.73
1.09
0.82
0.91
0.64
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.38
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IR Reykjavik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.93
0.86
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.50
2.00
2.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.65
0.75
0.58
0.64
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Afturelding
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.87
0.73
0.73
1.33
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.91
0.55
0.64
1.09
1.18
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
0.75
1.25
1.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
IR Reykjavik and Afturelding have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
IR Reykjavik and Afturelding have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
IR Reykjavik and Afturelding have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IR Reykjavik and Afturelding have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Iceland: 1. Deild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →