Iskra (Montenegro) will face Otrant-Olympic in the Montenegro Second League on May 16, 2026. The away side's recent form is a storyline to consider, as they come off a draw and have been inconsistent in their last five matches. However, their away scoring and conceding numbers are impressive, with an average of 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded against similar opponents.
Defensively, Iskra (Montenegro) has been solid at home, conceding an average of 0 goals. However, their home scoring numbers are low, with an average of 0.25 goals scored against similar opponents. The expected total goals is 2.2, suggesting a low-scoring match. The model's selection is the Under 3.5 match, with a probability of 81.7%.
The model favours an away win, with a probability of 37%. The home win percentage is 32%, and the draw percentage is 32%. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.7%.
Results analysis
In a stunning upset, Iskra (Montenegro) and Otrant-Olympic played out a 2-2 draw, extending the hosts' winless run. The pre-match favourite, Otrant-Olympic, failed to come through, with the model's selection of an away win proving incorrect. The model's call was wrong, given the actual result was a draw. The model's selection, an away win, had a pre-match probability of 37%. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals also missed, with a probability of 81.7%. The most likely score was a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 14.7%, but ultimately, the final score was 2-2.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Iskra (Montenegro) win✗ Miss
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic win✗ Miss
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Iskra (Montenegro)
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.90
1.43
0.64
1.31
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.30
0.25
0.00
1.17
0.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.65
1.20
1.90
0.90
1.40
1.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Otrant-Olympic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
0.83
2.67
0.87
1.67
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
2.64
0.73
3.17
0.83
2.00
0.60
vs Weaker (19)
1.89
0.89
2.33
0.89
1.50
0.90
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.2%
Under 1.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.1%
Under 2.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.3%
Under 3.5
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.0%
No
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.3%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
Iskra (Montenegro) goals ↓
Otrant-Olympic goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
11%
7.3%
2.8%
0.8%
1
10%
15%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.1%
7.1%
4.1%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.2%
2.5%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iskra (Montenegro) goals (down), columns = Otrant-Olympic goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.06
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Berane
1.39
Kom
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Zeta
1.00
Igalo
0.89
Internacional Podgorica
0.64
Brskovo
0.00
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.28 points worse than Otrant-Olympic in terms of average points per game (1.78 vs 2.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.25
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Internacional Podgorica
0.86
Igalo
0.58
Brskovo
0.50
Zeta
0.50
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.83 goals worse than Otrant-Olympic in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 2.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Otrant-Olympic
0.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Igalo
1.55
Internacional Podgorica
2.11
Brskovo
3.50
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.08 goals worse than Otrant-Olympic in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Iskra (Montenegro)
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.50
0.43
0.69
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.20
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.17
vs Weaker (20)
0.80
0.60
0.70
0.60
0.90
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Otrant-Olympic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.27
1.40
0.13
0.80
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.36
0.27
1.67
0.17
1.00
0.40
vs Weaker (19)
0.95
0.26
1.22
0.11
0.70
0.40
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 10. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 11. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (24)
€2m
OTR (27)
€1m
R( (36)
€0m
GRB (36)
€0m
LOV (45)
€0m
BER (36)
€0m
KOM (37)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (0)
€0m
OTR (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (0)
€0m
OTR (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (0)
€0m
OTR (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 12. Games History
H2H record
7 previous meetings
3
I( wins
4
Draws
0
OTR wins
Head-to-head
Iskra (Montenegro) vs Otrant-Olympic · H/A from I(
Montenegro: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Grbalj
Rudar (Montenegro)
Berane
Kom
Lovćen
Mladost Lješkopolje
Igalo
Internacional Podgorica
Zeta
Brskovo