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Iskra (Montenegro) vs Rudar (Montenegro) Result & Analysis

Date: 24/05/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 3-1
Iskra (Montenegro)
Iskra (Montenegro)
Vs
55%
27%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Iskra (Montenegro) a 55% win probability against Rudar (Montenegro) in the Montenegro: Second League on 2026-05-24, with 27% for the draw and 18% for Rudar (Montenegro). The model estimates around 2.4 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 1-0 the most likely scoreline (13.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (78%), Over 1.5 (70%).

Results analysis

Iskra (Montenegro) finished 3-1 against Rudar (Montenegro) (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 55% home win, 27% draw and 18% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (70%). Missed: Under 3.5 (78%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iskra (Montenegro) win✓ Hit
54.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) win✗ Miss
17.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W20W02L10W10W00D21W22D22D31WH·INT28/03A·RUD04/04A·BER08/04H·LOV12/04A·IGA18/04H·MLA26/04A·KOM03/05A·GRB10/05H·OTR16/05A·INT20/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.971.500.711.441.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.500.600.401.200.60
vs Weaker (20)1.751.202.000.891.551.45
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L02L12L04L11D41W10W12L00D00DA·MLA28/03H·ISK04/04H·GRB08/04A·OTR12/04H·INT18/04H·KOM26/04A·BER03/05H·LOV10/05A·IGA16/05H·MLA20/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.401.881.000.711.86
vs Stronger (14)1.211.501.570.570.862.43
vs Similar (16)1.441.312.111.330.571.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.5%
Under 1.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.2%
Under 2.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1 ✓
4.9%
Iskra (Montenegro) goals ↓
Rudar (Montenegro) goals →
01234
010%6.2%3.0%0.8%0.2%
113%13%4.8%1.3%0.3%
211%9.3%3.8%1.0%0.2%
36.1%4.9%2.0%0.5%0.1%
42.4%2.0%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iskra (Montenegro) goals (down), columns = Rudar (Montenegro) goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.06
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Berane
1.39
Kom
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Zeta
1.00
Igalo
0.89
Internacional Podgorica
0.64
Brskovo
0.00
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.44 points better than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of average points per game (1.78 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.25
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Internacional Podgorica
0.86
Igalo
0.58
Brskovo
0.50
Zeta
0.50
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.00 goals worse than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Otrant-Olympic
0.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Igalo
1.55
Internacional Podgorica
2.11
Brskovo
3.50
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.35 goals better than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D00D00D00D20W11D10W31WH·INT28/03A·RUD04/04A·BER08/04H·LOV12/04A·IGA18/04H·MLA26/04A·KOM03/05A·GRB10/05H·OTR16/05A·INT20/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.500.430.880.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.300.100.200.000.400.20
vs Weaker (20)0.900.650.670.671.090.64
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D02L10W20W00D12L00D00DA·MLA28/03H·ISK04/04H·GRB08/04A·OTR12/04H·INT18/04H·KOM26/04A·BER03/05H·LOV10/05A·IGA16/05H·MLA20/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.631.120.500.070.79
vs Stronger (14)0.430.710.860.290.001.14
vs Similar (16)0.810.561.330.670.140.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (24)
€2m
OTR (27)
€1m
R( (36)
€0m
GRB (36)
€0m
LOV (45)
€0m
BER (36)
€0m
KOM (37)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (0)
€0m
OTR (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (0)
€0m
OTR (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (0)
€0m
OTR (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Iskra (Montenegro) vs Rudar (Montenegro) · H/A from I(
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26ARudar (Montenegro) Vs I(0-2
30/11/25HI( Vs Rudar (Montenegro)2-0
28/09/25ARudar (Montenegro) Vs I(0-1
27/04/25ARudar (Montenegro) Vs I(0-2
12/03/25HI( Vs Rudar (Montenegro)0-2
26/10/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs I(0-0
01/09/24HI( Vs Rudar (Montenegro)0-2
15/04/23ARudar (Montenegro) Vs I(3-1

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/26AInternacional Podgorica Vs I(1-3
16/05/26HI( Vs Otrant-Olympic2-2
10/05/26AGrbalj Vs I(2-2
03/05/26AKom Vs I(1-2
26/04/26HI( Vs Mladost Lješkopolje0-0
18/04/26AIgalo Vs I(0-1
12/04/26HI( Vs Lovćen1-0
08/04/26ABerane Vs I(2-0
04/04/26ARudar (Montenegro) Vs I(0-2
28/03/26HI( Vs Internacional Podgorica4-1

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/26HR( Vs Mladost Lješkopolje0-0
16/05/26AIgalo Vs R(0-0
10/05/26HR( Vs Lovćen1-2
03/05/26ABerane Vs R(0-1
26/04/26HR( Vs Kom4-1
18/04/26HR( Vs Internacional Podgorica1-1
12/04/26AOtrant-Olympic Vs R(4-0
08/04/26HR( Vs Grbalj1-2
04/04/26HR( Vs Iskra (Montenegro)0-2
28/03/26AMladost Lješkopolje Vs R(3-2

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Iskra (Montenegro)
Iskra (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDW1.68
HomeWWWDD1.48
AwayLWWDW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%36%52%
AVG goals2.402.402.40
Over 1.5 %66%64%68%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.421.441.40
Conceded0.980.961.00
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet40%36%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDD1.32
HomeLDWLD1.64
AwayLLLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.622.762.48
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.361.760.96
Conceded1.261.001.52
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3674
64%
2.1
8131+50
3.1
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.20.9
-
2GrbaljGrbalj3667
58%
1.9
6342+21
2.9
86%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3664
47%
1.8
5134+17
2.4
64%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
4Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3851
37%
1.3
5449+5
2.7
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
5BeraneBerane3650
33%
1.4
4536+9
2.2
72%
36%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6KomKom3650
42%
1.4
4743+4
2.5
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LovćenLovćen3648
39%
1.3
3445-11
2.2
56%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
8Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3647
36%
1.3
3946-7
2.4
53%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.3
-
9IgaloIgalo3834
21%
0.9
2259-37
2.1
63%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
10Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3623
14%
0.6
3176-45
3.0
86%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11ZetaZeta22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
12BrskovoBrskovo20
0%
0.0
17-6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.5
-
Montenegro: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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