Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.40
0.87
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.80
0.60
1.20
0.80
0.40
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.80
0.30
0.70
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Slaven Belupo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.60
0.93
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.20
0.40
1.60
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.65
0.70
0.60
0.90
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.53
0.53
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
1.10
0.20
1.00
0.00
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.40
0.70
0.30
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Slaven Belupo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.80
0.40
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.30
0.60
0.40
0.60
2.20
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.55
0.90
0.40
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Under 11.5 corners
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 1.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Under 5.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Istra 1961
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Salim Fago Lawal36%
Smail Prevljak31%
Saydou Bangura20%
Saydou Bangura17%
Emil Frederiksen12%
Vinko RoziÄ12%
Charles Adah Agada8%
Antonio MauriÄ7%
Israel Ayuma7%
Stjepan LonÄar6%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ5%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ3%
Marcel Heister3%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ3%
Leo Å tulac0%
Ville Koski0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Danijel Dejan Djuric0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dario MareÅ”iÄ37%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn25%
Marcel Heister23%
Vinko RoziÄ23%
Mohamed Nasraoui21%
Raul Kumar19%
Stjepan LonÄar19%
Samuli Miettinen18%
Antonio MauriÄ18%
Ville Koski18%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ17%
Allen Obando17%
Niko Å epiÄ15%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ13%
Smail Prevljak12%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Alejandro Jay11%
Dukan Ahmeti8%
Israel Ayuma7%
Emil Frederiksen6%
Franko KoliÄ6%
Filip Taraba5%
Leo Å tulac0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rene Hrvatin20%
Salim Fago Lawal18%
Stjepan LonÄar16%
Emil Frederiksen16%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Silvio GoriÄan9%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ7%
Marcel Heister7%
Smail Prevljak6%
Vinko RoziÄ4%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Leo Å tulac0%
Ville Koski0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Israel Ayuma0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saydou Bangura20%
Salim Fago Lawal20%
Smail Prevljak12%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Vinko RoziÄ8%
Israel Ayuma7%
Stjepan LonÄar6%
Antonio MauriÄ4%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ3%
Emil Frederiksen3%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Marcel Heister0%
Leo Å tulac0%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ0%
Ville Koski0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
NK Slaven Belupo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ36%
Josip MitroviÄ24%
Marko Dabro23%
Ilija Nestorovski22%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ20%
Ivan BožiÄ17%
Andrija FilipoviÄ14%
Alen GrgiÄ12%
Ante Å uto12%
Leonard Žuta11%
Ljuban Crepulja11%
Filip KruŔelj8%
Mihail Caimacov7%
Filip Mažar7%
Adrian Liber7%
Ivan ÄubeliÄ6%
Michael Agbekpornu6%
Igor Lepinjica4%
Tomislav BožiÄ4%
Marko LeÅ”koviÄ0%
Ivan ÄoviÄ0%
Vinko MeÄimorec0%
Filip JoviÄ0%
Osman HadžikiÄ0%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ0%
Karlo IŔasegi0%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
Antonio Jakir0%
Zvonimir KataliniÄ0%
Leon BoŔnjak0%
Ernis Qestaj0%
Marko AÅ”ÄiÄ0%
Marko Petrovic0%
Gabrijel Å ivalec0%
Losika Ratshukudu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan ÄoviÄ50%
Michael Agbekpornu35%
Marko Petrovic33%
Ilija Nestorovski30%
Ante Å uto29%
Andrija FilipoviÄ29%
Marko LeÅ”koviÄ25%
Zvonimir KataliniÄ23%
Mihail Caimacov21%
Leon BoŔnjak21%
Ivan BožiÄ17%
Filip KruŔelj15%
Antonio Jakir15%
Josip MitroviÄ14%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ12%
Leonard Žuta11%
Ivan ÄubeliÄ9%
Tomislav BožiÄ7%
Osman HadžikiÄ7%
Filip Mažar7%
Vinko MeÄimorec7%
Karlo IŔasegi6%
Igor Lepinjica4%
Ljuban Crepulja4%
Adrian Liber0%
Alen GrgiÄ0%
Filip JoviÄ0%
Marko Dabro0%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ0%
Ernis Qestaj0%
Marko AÅ”ÄiÄ0%
Gabrijel Å ivalec0%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ0%
Losika Ratshukudu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Losika Ratshukudu33%
Ante Å uto29%
Ljuban Crepulja14%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ14%
Alen GrgiÄ12%
Filip KruŔelj12%
Ilija Nestorovski9%
Marko Dabro8%
Leon BoŔnjak7%
Josip MitroviÄ7%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ6%
Karlo IŔasegi6%
Michael Agbekpornu6%
Leonard Žuta6%
Gabrijel Å ivalec6%
Marko LeÅ”koviÄ0%
Adrian Liber0%
Ivan ÄoviÄ0%
Vinko MeÄimorec0%
Ivan BožiÄ0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Tomislav BožiÄ0%
Filip JoviÄ0%
Osman HadžikiÄ0%
Andrija FilipoviÄ0%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
Ivan ÄubeliÄ0%
Antonio Jakir0%
Filip Mažar0%
Zvonimir KataliniÄ0%
Igor Lepinjica0%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ0%
Ernis Qestaj0%
Marko AÅ”ÄiÄ0%
Marko Petrovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ50%
Ilija Nestorovski43%
Marko Dabro31%
Ivan BožiÄ17%
Alen GrgiÄ12%
Ivan ÄubeliÄ12%
Ante Å uto12%
Zvonimir KataliniÄ8%
Josip MitroviÄ7%
Michael Agbekpornu6%
Marko LeÅ”koviÄ0%
Adrian Liber0%
Ivan ÄoviÄ0%
Vinko MeÄimorec0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Tomislav BožiÄ0%
Filip JoviÄ0%
Leonard Žuta0%
Osman HadžikiÄ0%
Ljuban Crepulja0%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ0%
Karlo IŔasegi0%
Andrija FilipoviÄ0%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
Antonio Jakir0%
Filip Mažar0%
Igor Lepinjica0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
Leon BoŔnjak0%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ0%
Ernis Qestaj0%
Marko AÅ”ÄiÄ0%
Marko Petrovic0%
Gabrijel Å ivalec0%
Losika Ratshukudu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
VUK (13)
€2m
Istra 1961's squad is €3m more valuable than NK Slaven Belupo's (€11m vs €8m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
Istra 1961's attack is €1m more valuable than NK Slaven Belupo's (€4m vs €3m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
VUK (2)
€0m
Istra 1961 and NK Slaven Belupo have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
VUK (5)
€1m
Istra 1961's defence is €2m more valuable than NK Slaven Belupo's (€5m vs €3m).
Croatia: HNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →