Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.79
0.50
0.69
0.50
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.44
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.52
0.73
0.55
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Varazdin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Varazdin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.50
0.56
0.44
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.60
0.80
0.20
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.45
0.45
0.55
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.86
0.29
0.12
0.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.56
1.00
0.00
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.48
0.82
0.36
0.10
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Varazdin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Varazdin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.37
0.50
0.25
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.40
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.30
0.45
0.09
0.22
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Istra 1961
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Salim Fago Lawal36%
Smail Prevljak31%
Saydou Bangura20%
Saydou Bangura17%
Emil Frederiksen12%
Vinko RoziÄ12%
Charles Adah Agada8%
Antonio MauriÄ7%
Israel Ayuma7%
Stjepan LonÄar6%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ5%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ3%
Marcel Heister3%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ3%
Leo Å tulac0%
Ville Koski0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Danijel Dejan Djuric0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dario MareÅ”iÄ37%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn25%
Marcel Heister23%
Vinko RoziÄ23%
Mohamed Nasraoui21%
Raul Kumar19%
Stjepan LonÄar19%
Samuli Miettinen18%
Antonio MauriÄ18%
Ville Koski18%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ17%
Allen Obando17%
Niko Å epiÄ15%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ13%
Smail Prevljak12%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Alejandro Jay11%
Dukan Ahmeti8%
Israel Ayuma7%
Emil Frederiksen6%
Franko KoliÄ6%
Filip Taraba5%
Leo Å tulac0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rene Hrvatin20%
Salim Fago Lawal18%
Stjepan LonÄar16%
Emil Frederiksen16%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Silvio GoriÄan9%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ7%
Marcel Heister7%
Smail Prevljak6%
Vinko RoziÄ4%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Leo Å tulac0%
Ville Koski0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Israel Ayuma0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saydou Bangura20%
Salim Fago Lawal20%
Smail Prevljak12%
Danijel Dejan Djuric12%
Vinko RoziÄ8%
Israel Ayuma7%
Stjepan LonÄar6%
Antonio MauriÄ4%
Josip RadoÅ”eviÄ3%
Emil Frederiksen3%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Marcel Heister0%
Leo Å tulac0%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ0%
Ville Koski0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Logi Hrafn Róbertsson0%
Alejandro Jay0%
Samuli Miettinen0%
Franko KoliÄ0%
Mohamed Nasraoui0%
Rene Hrvatin0%
Allen Obando0%
Filip Taraba0%
Gustavo AlbarracĆn0%
Jovan IvaniÅ”eviÄ0%
Charles Adah Agada0%
Dukan Ahmeti0%
Salim Fago Lawal0%
Saydou Bangura0%
Raul Kumar0%
Niko Å epiÄ0%
Nik Å kafar ŽužiÄ0%
NK Varazdin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Mamut33%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ33%
Luka MamiÄ25%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ24%
Iuri Tavares20%
Stipe JuriÄ17%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ13%
Matej Vuk11%
Mateo BaraÄ10%
Sven Lesjak9%
David Puclin5%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ4%
Mario Marina4%
Tomislav Duvnjak3%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Petar BoÄkaj0%
Josip SiliÄ0%
Frane Maglica0%
Lamine Ba0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Marko Dabro0%
Vane Jovanov0%
Gregor SikoŔek0%
Rufat Abdullazada0%
Iuri Tavares0%
Mario Mladenovski0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ0%
Leon Belcar0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josip SiliÄ50%
Ivan Mamut33%
Roberto PunÄec32%
Lamine Ba29%
Leon Belcar27%
Tomislav Duvnjak24%
Mario Mladenovski24%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ22%
Iuri Tavares20%
Gregor SikoŔek18%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ18%
Vane Jovanov17%
Matej Vuk14%
Ivan Canjuga12%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ12%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ10%
Petar BoÄkaj9%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ9%
Sven Lesjak9%
Frane Maglica9%
Iuri Tavares8%
Mario Marina7%
Luka MamiÄ7%
Oliver Zelenika6%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
David Puclin0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Stipe JuriÄ0%
Marko Dabro0%
Rufat Abdullazada0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rufat Abdullazada25%
Frane Maglica22%
Iuri Tavares20%
Ivan Canjuga18%
Ivan Mamut17%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ15%
Marko Dabro14%
Gregor SikoŔek9%
Tomislav Duvnjak6%
Mario Mladenovski5%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ5%
Iuri Tavares4%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ4%
Matej Vuk4%
Luka MamiÄ4%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Petar BoÄkaj0%
Mario Marina0%
David Puclin0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Josip SiliÄ0%
Lamine Ba0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Stipe JuriÄ0%
Vane Jovanov0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ0%
Leon Belcar0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Sven Lesjak0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksa LatkoviÄ24%
Ivan Mamut21%
Marko Dabro14%
Luka MamiÄ14%
Leon Belcar13%
Petar BoÄkaj9%
Lamine Ba7%
Iuri Tavares4%
Mario Marina4%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Matej Vuk0%
David Puclin0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Josip SiliÄ0%
Frane Maglica0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Stipe JuriÄ0%
Vane Jovanov0%
Gregor SikoŔek0%
Rufat Abdullazada0%
Iuri Tavares0%
Mario Mladenovski0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ0%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Sven Lesjak0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
VUK (13)
€2m
Istra 1961 and NK Varazdin have a similar squad value (both €11m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
Istra 1961's attack is €1m less valuable than NK Varazdin's (€4m vs €6m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
VUK (2)
€0m
Istra 1961's midfield is €1m more valuable than NK Varazdin's (€2m vs €1m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
VUK (5)
€1m
Istra 1961 and NK Varazdin have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Croatia: HNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →