Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.40
0.21
0.21
0.38
0.56
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.70
0.40
0.40
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.25
0.25
0.11
0.11
0.36
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sibenik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.47
0.80
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.67
0.80
0.60
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.29
0.57
0.30
0.90
0.27
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.64
0.36
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.50
0.60
0.20
0.80
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.65
0.67
0.44
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sibenik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sibenik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.47
0.93
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.00
0.60
1.20
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.57
0.40
0.80
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sibenik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 2.5
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Under 11.5 corners
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
BTTS No
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Istra 1961
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Erceg43%
Darwin Matheus25%
Mounsef Bakrar23%
Vinko PetkoviÄ15%
Reda Boultam9%
Einar Galilea6%
Frano Mlinar6%
Facundo CƔseres6%
Abdallahi Mahmoud6%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ4%
Luka Marin3%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ3%
Luka Hujber3%
Matej Vuk0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Lovro MajkiÄ0%
Filip Antovski0%
Zoran JosipoviÄ0%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Bartol BariÅ”iÄ0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Mauro PerkoviÄ0%
Mihael Rovis0%
Luka BradariÄ0%
Prince Mumba0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Marin Žgomba0%
Kristijan Kopljar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Antonio MauriÄ50%
Ante Erceg38%
Einar Galilea35%
Iurie Iovu33%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ25%
Luka Hujber24%
Abdallahi Mahmoud22%
Mihael Rovis22%
Prince Mumba22%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ19%
Mauro PerkoviÄ18%
Luka Marin17%
Luka BradariÄ17%
Kristijan Kopljar17%
Frano Mlinar16%
Reda Boultam14%
Oleksandr Petrusenko13%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ12%
Facundo CƔseres12%
Lovro MajkiÄ11%
Vinko PetkoviÄ8%
Matej Vuk0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Filip Antovski0%
Zoran JosipoviÄ0%
Darwin Matheus0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Bartol BariÅ”iÄ0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Mounsef Bakrar0%
Marin Žgomba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ12%
Facundo CƔseres12%
Filip Antovski10%
Reda Boultam9%
Luka Marin7%
Mounsef Bakrar6%
Ante Erceg5%
Oleksandr Petrusenko3%
Luka Hujber3%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Matej Vuk0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Frano Mlinar0%
Lovro MajkiÄ0%
Einar Galilea0%
Zoran JosipoviÄ0%
Darwin Matheus0%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ0%
Vinko PetkoviÄ0%
Abdallahi Mahmoud0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Bartol BariÅ”iÄ0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Mauro PerkoviÄ0%
Mihael Rovis0%
Luka BradariÄ0%
Prince Mumba0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Marin Žgomba0%
Kristijan Kopljar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ante Erceg24%
Mounsef Bakrar16%
Reda Boultam9%
Vinko PetkoviÄ8%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Matej Vuk0%
Luka Marin0%
Luka Hujber0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Frano Mlinar0%
Lovro MajkiÄ0%
Einar Galilea0%
Filip Antovski0%
Zoran JosipoviÄ0%
Darwin Matheus0%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ0%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ0%
Abdallahi Mahmoud0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Facundo CƔseres0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Bartol BariÅ”iÄ0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Mauro PerkoviÄ0%
Mihael Rovis0%
Luka BradariÄ0%
Prince Mumba0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Marin Žgomba0%
Kristijan Kopljar0%
Sibenik
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan DeliÄ19%
Ivan DolÄek17%
Duje Äop14%
Burgui12%
Patrick Salomon7%
Bernardo MatiÄ7%
Amer HiroŔ6%
Zoran KvržiÄ6%
Haruki Arai6%
Karlo Å peljak4%
Stefan PeriÄ3%
Marcos Mina3%
Mislav MatiÄ3%
Marko Äira0%
Marcel Äanadi0%
Josip KvesiÄ0%
Juan Mesa0%
Dejan RadonjiÄ0%
Dario ÄanaÄija0%
Lovre RogiÄ0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Dino Skorup0%
Leon KrekoviÄ0%
Mario ÄuriÄ0%
Josip KneževiÄ0%
Nikola ÄoriÄ0%
Matija Rom0%
Doni GrdiÄ0%
Iker Pozo0%
Sacha MarasoviÄ0%
Niko Rak0%
Ivica VidoviÄ0%
Marko Soldo0%
Moses Barnabas0%
Josip Baturina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Doni GrdiÄ33%
Nikola ÄoriÄ29%
Bernardo MatiÄ27%
Amer HiroŔ25%
Matija Rom25%
Marko Äira20%
Marcos Mina20%
Ivan DeliÄ19%
Mislav MatiÄ18%
Ivan DolÄek17%
Stefan PeriÄ17%
Mario ÄuriÄ17%
Josip KneževiÄ17%
Ivica VidoviÄ17%
Dejan RadonjiÄ15%
Duje Äop14%
Iker Pozo14%
Dino Skorup13%
Marko Soldo13%
Juan Mesa12%
Haruki Arai9%
Patrick Salomon7%
Josip KvesiÄ7%
Niko Rak7%
Zoran KvržiÄ6%
Lovre RogiÄ6%
Leon KrekoviÄ6%
Dario ÄanaÄija6%
Karlo Å peljak4%
Marcel Äanadi0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Burgui0%
Sacha MarasoviÄ0%
Moses Barnabas0%
Josip Baturina0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan DeliÄ19%
Sacha MarasoviÄ12%
Duje Äop10%
Ivan DolÄek7%
Marko Soldo7%
Amer HiroŔ6%
Mislav MatiÄ6%
Zoran KvržiÄ6%
Karlo Å peljak4%
Marcos Mina3%
Haruki Arai3%
Marko Äira0%
Marcel Äanadi0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Patrick Salomon0%
Josip KvesiÄ0%
Juan Mesa0%
Dejan RadonjiÄ0%
Dario ÄanaÄija0%
Lovre RogiÄ0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Dino Skorup0%
Leon KrekoviÄ0%
Mario ÄuriÄ0%
Josip KneževiÄ0%
Nikola ÄoriÄ0%
Burgui0%
Bernardo MatiÄ0%
Matija Rom0%
Doni GrdiÄ0%
Iker Pozo0%
Niko Rak0%
Ivica VidoviÄ0%
Moses Barnabas0%
Josip Baturina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Duje Äop19%
Ivan DeliÄ19%
Marcel Äanadi10%
Josip KneževiÄ8%
Ivan DolÄek7%
Zoran KvržiÄ6%
Karlo Å peljak4%
Haruki Arai3%
Marko Äira0%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Patrick Salomon0%
Josip KvesiÄ0%
Juan Mesa0%
Dejan RadonjiÄ0%
Dario ÄanaÄija0%
Lovre RogiÄ0%
Antonio ÄakoviÄ0%
Dino Skorup0%
Leon KrekoviÄ0%
Mario ÄuriÄ0%
Nikola ÄoriÄ0%
Burgui0%
Marcos Mina0%
Mislav MatiÄ0%
Bernardo MatiÄ0%
Amer HiroŔ0%
Matija Rom0%
Doni GrdiÄ0%
Iker Pozo0%
Sacha MarasoviÄ0%
Niko Rak0%
Ivica VidoviÄ0%
Marko Soldo0%
Moses Barnabas0%
Josip Baturina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Croatia: HNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →