Jagiellonia’s attacking rhythm, averaging 1.67 goals at home against weaker opposition, and Slask Wroclaw’s balanced away form, scoring and conceding one each against stronger teams, set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The model projects a 51% chance of a home win, 23% for a draw, and 26% for an away victory, making a Jagiellonia win the clear favourite. The expected total of 3.6 goals aligns with the most probable total of three, with a 21% probability for that figure. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.5% chance. Recent form adds context: Jagiellonia, after a defeat to Lech Poznan, is looking to rebound, while Slask Wroclaw, fresh from a win over Pogon Szczecin, seeks to maintain momentum. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1% with a 6% edge, Under 7.5 at 96.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.6% with a 4% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.5%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.9% with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 at 92.7%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.5% with a 5% edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Jagiellonia win
50.9%
Avg Implied 55.4% · @ 1.67
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.71
Dafabet
1.71
Unibet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Draw
22.7%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 4.01
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.26
Dafabet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Slask Wroclaw win
26.4%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.31
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.55
Unibet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.46
Betfair
4.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Jagiellonia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.13
1.53
1.27
1.73
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (9)
1.89
1.44
1.20
1.80
2.75
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.61
1.06
1.67
1.00
1.56
1.11
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.37
1.73
1.20
2.13
1.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
2.00
1.50
1.70
1.40
2.21
1.57
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
2.00
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Jagiellonia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.3%
@ 1.16+7.9%
Under 1.5
11.7%
@ 4.73-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.04
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69.8%
@ 1.56+9.8%
Under 2.5
30.2%
@ 2.34-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
48.5%
@ 2.38+9.5%
Under 3.5
51.5%
@ 1.52-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.60
Betano
2.42
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Both teams to score
Yes
69.0%
@ 1.57+10.2%
No
31.0%
@ 2.25-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
William Hil
1.57
No
10Bet
2.35
BetVictor
2.30
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.26
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%@ 7.48+3.5%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.48+3.1%
2-2
6.8%@ 12.10+3.1%
1-2
6.4%@ 12.92+3.0%
3-1
6.4%@ 11.28+2.4%
2-0
6.0%@ 9.03+1.1%
1-0
4.9%@ 8.69-0.3%
3-2
4.8%@ 17.33+2.2%
Jagiellonia goals ↓
Slask Wroclaw goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
3.2%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
1
4.9%
9.5%
6.4%
3.2%
1.2%
2
6.0%
9.0%
6.8%
3.4%
1.3%
3
4.2%
6.4%
4.8%
2.4%
0.9%
4
2.2%
3.3%
2.5%
1.2%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jagiellonia goals (down), columns = Slask Wroclaw goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Jagiellonia is 0.80 points better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Jagiellonia is 0.47 goals better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Jagiellonia is 0.10 goals better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Jagiellonia is 10.4 percentage points better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of average possession (58% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Jagiellonia
For 4.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slask Wroclaw
For 3.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Jagiellonia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.5
9.1
4.0
4.1
4.0
26.4
28.4
24.6
vs Stronger (3)
9.5
6.0
13.0
3.3
4.0
3.0
25.0
26.0
24.0
vs Similar (19)
9.4
9.2
9.5
3.9
3.7
4.1
27.4
30.0
24.5
vs Weaker (28)
9.3
10.0
8.6
4.2
4.5
4.0
25.9
27.4
24.6
% over line
47%
45%
48%
52%
57%
48%
71%
77%
65%
% under line
53%
55%
52%
48%
43%
52%
29%
23%
35%
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
9.5
11.5
0.8
1.0
0.6
23.3
22.0
24.7
vs Stronger (5)
9.8
9.0
10.5
1.8
1.7
2.0
23.0
24.5
21.5
vs Similar (38)
10.9
9.8
12.0
0.8
1.1
0.6
23.5
20.8
26.2
vs Weaker (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
67%
67%
8%
12%
4%
75%
67%
83%
% under line
33%
33%
33%
92%
88%
96%
25%
33%
17%
This opponent (Jagiellonia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
10.7
Wieczysta Kraków
10.4
Pogon Szczecin
10.3
Lech Poznan
10.3
Zaglebie Lubin
10.2
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Radomiak Radom
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Cracovia Krakow
10.1
Piast Gliwice
10.0
GKS Katowice
9.9
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.4
Widzew Łódź
9.2
Legia Warszawa
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.2
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.8
Raków Częstochowa
4.7
Slask Wroclaw
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.6
Jagiellonia
4.6
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Pogon Szczecin
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Wisla Plock
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
Wisla Krakow
3.7
GKS Katowice
3.7
Piast Gliwice
3.6
Wieczysta Kraków
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.9
Wieczysta Kraków
26.6
Jagiellonia
26.6
Widzew Łódź
26.4
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Wisla Krakow
25.7
Korona Kielce
25.6
Cracovia Krakow
25.3
Motor Lublin
25.2
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Zaglebie Lubin
24.7
Slask Wroclaw
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.2
Lech Poznan
24.1
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
GKS Katowice
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.8
Wisla Plock
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.0%
@ 1.92+7.5%
Under 9.5
44.0%
@ 1.80-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Unibet
1.68
Under
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.9%
@ 1.56-6.8%
Under 3.5
48.1%
@ 2.22+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
Under
Superbet
2.22
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.3%
Under 21.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Jagiellonia or Draw
73.6%
Avg Implied 78.2% · @ 1.19
Edge
-4.7%
51%
23%
26%
covers Jagiellonia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Jagiellonia or Slask Wroclaw
77.3%
Avg Implied 77.3% · @ 1.21
Edge
-0.0%
51%
23%
26%
covers Jagiellonia + Slask Wroclaw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Draw or Slask Wroclaw
49.1%
Avg Implied 44.4% · @ 2.10
Edge
+4.7%
51%
23%
26%
covers Draw + Slask Wroclaw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
BetVictor
2.10
Bet365
2.10
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Jagiellonia over/under 0.5
Over
87.8%
@ 1.11+4.2%
Under
12.2%
@ 5.68-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Jagiellonia over/under 1.5
Over
62.2%
@ 1.59+3.7%
Under
37.8%
@ 2.24-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
BetVictor
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.22
Jagiellonia over/under 2.5
Over
35.2%
@ 2.80+2.2%
Under
64.8%
@ 1.38-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
BetVictor
2.80
Betano
2.80
Under
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Jagiellonia over/under 3.5
Over
16.3%
@ 5.59-0.4%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.12+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5
Over
77.6%
@ 1.38+10.6%
Under
22.4%
@ 2.81-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.97
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.84
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5
Over
44.1%
@ 2.84+11.4%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.38-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.95
Unibet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.89
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.85
Under
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5
Over
19.0%
@ 6.95+5.6%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.07-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.60
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Slask Wroclaw over/under 3.5
Over
6.5%
@ 16.75+0.8%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.01-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Jagiellonia, so a minus line means Jagiellonia give that many goals of a start and Slask Wroclaw receive them. At -1, Jagiellonia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Jagiellonia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Jagiellonia)
Jagiellonia -2
15.2%
@ 5.23-2.0%
Draw -2
15.5%
@ 4.83-3.1%
Slask Wroclaw +2
69.3%
@ 1.40+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Superbet
5.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Handicap -1 (Jagiellonia)
Jagiellonia -1
30.7%
@ 2.71-2.3%
Draw -1
20.1%
@ 3.69-4.0%
Slask Wroclaw +1
49.1%
@ 2.08+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.67
Unibet
2.65
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Away
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Handicap +1 (Jagiellonia)
Jagiellonia +1
73.6%
@ 1.19-0.1%
Draw +1
14.1%
@ 5.61-1.6%
Slask Wroclaw -1
12.4%
@ 8.19+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.75
Marathonbet
4.25
Away
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.20
Marathonbet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Jagiellonia)
Jagiellonia +2
87.6%
@ 1.05+0.5%
Draw +2
7.8%
@ 11.00-0.5%
Slask Wroclaw -2
4.6%
@ 20.00-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
10Bet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Jagiellonia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
0.87
0.47
0.93
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (9)
1.11
0.44
0.80
0.40
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.50
0.78
0.44
0.89
0.56
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
0.60
0.60
1.20
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.71
0.60
0.80
1.21
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Jagiellonia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.3%
@ 1.27-1.8%
Under 0.5
28.7%
@ 3.44+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Betano
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.6%
@ 2.24-4.8%
Under 1.5
63.4%
@ 1.59+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Bet365
2.25
Under
Betano
1.67
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
BetVictor
1.58
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 5.03-4.7%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.14+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jagiellonia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
58.0%
@ 1.59-0.3%
Under
42.0%
@ 2.23+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.67
10Bet
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.30
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Jagiellonia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.7%
@ 3.76-4.9%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.23+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Jagiellonia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.8%
@ 9.42-5.1%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.2%
@ 2.27-4.6%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.57+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Unibet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.31
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.22
Under
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.53
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.9%
@ 7.67-4.2%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.05+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.10
Superbet
7.70
1xBet
7.30
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
@ 20.25-3.6%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Jagiellonia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.67
0.80
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.00
0.40
1.40
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
0.78
0.56
0.89
0.56
0.67
0.56
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.77
1.13
0.60
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.04
0.79
1.10
0.60
1.00
0.93
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Jagiellonia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.9%
@ 1.15-0.7%
Under 0.5
20.1%
@ 4.79+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Under
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.80
Superbet
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.4%
@ 1.80-2.3%
Under 1.5
50.6%
@ 1.92+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Unibet
1.84
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Under
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.3%
@ 3.44-7.7%
Under 2.5
80.7%
@ 1.27+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.65
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Under
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jagiellonia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.8%
@ 1.42-0.7%
Under
35.2%
@ 2.70+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.85
Superbet
2.67
Betano
2.57
Jagiellonia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
24.9%
@ 2.88-7.3%
Under
75.1%
@ 1.37+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
Superbet
2.92
10Bet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Jagiellonia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.7%
@ 6.93-6.6%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.07+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.90
1xBet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.4%
@ 1.93-3.6%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.79+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.5%
@ 5.68-3.8%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.11+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.25
Betano
5.70
Superbet
5.65
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
@ 15.25-4.3%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
Under 7.5
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
93.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-0.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.3%
1.07
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
-
-
+6.6%
Under 6.5
92.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-1.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+4.2%
Over 19.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
88.3%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+7.9%
Home over 0.5 goals
87.8%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Unibet
1.11
+4.2%
Home +2 handicap
87.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
10Bet
1.05
-
-
-
+0.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.5%
1.11
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
+3.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.14
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+4.7%
Under 5.5
84.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-3.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
83.7%
1.12
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+0.4%
Over 21.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
82.1%
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+11.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
81.0%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
-5.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.27
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
+7.7%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.3%
1.23
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
+4.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.15
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
-0.7%
Away over 0.5 goals
77.6%
1.38
1xBet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
+10.6%
Home or Away
77.3%
1.21
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
-0.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.1%
1.37
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.35
+7.3%
Home or Draw
73.6%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
-4.7%
Home +1 handicap
73.6%
1.19
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
-0.1%
Over 2.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.3%
1.27
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
-1.8%
Over 23.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
70.6%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
-7.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Jagiellonia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nik Prelec75%
Youssuf Sylla33%
Jesús Imaz25%
Sergio Lozano25%
Guilherme Montóia25%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Taras Romanczuk0%
Kamil Jóźwiak0%
Kajetan Szmyt0%
Rodrigo Conceição0%
Norbert Wojtuszek0%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos0%
Bernardo Vital0%
Sławomir Abramowicz0%
Jeremy Agbonifo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guilherme Montóia50%
Kamil Jóźwiak33%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos33%
Bernardo Vital33%
Jeremy Agbonifo33%
Nik Prelec25%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Taras Romanczuk0%
Jesús Imaz0%
Kajetan Szmyt0%
Rodrigo Conceição0%
Norbert Wojtuszek0%
Sergio Lozano0%
Youssuf Sylla0%
Sławomir Abramowicz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kajetan Szmyt25%
Sergio Lozano25%
Nik Prelec25%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Taras Romanczuk0%
Jesús Imaz0%
Kamil Jóźwiak0%
Rodrigo Conceição0%
Norbert Wojtuszek0%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos0%
Bernardo Vital0%
Youssuf Sylla0%
Sławomir Abramowicz0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Jeremy Agbonifo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Imaz50%
Kajetan Szmyt25%
Sergio Lozano25%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Taras Romanczuk0%
Kamil Jóźwiak0%
Rodrigo Conceição0%
Norbert Wojtuszek0%
Nik Prelec0%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos0%
Bernardo Vital0%
Youssuf Sylla0%
Sławomir Abramowicz0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Jeremy Agbonifo0%
Slask Wroclaw
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Piotr Samiec-Talar40%
Przemysław Banaszak40%
Eniss Shabani25%
Luka Marjanac20%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eniss Shabani50%
Michał Rosiak40%
Lamine Ba25%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz20%
Jorge Yriarte20%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Piotr Samiec-Talar0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Piotr Samiec-Talar40%
Michał Mokrzycki33%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Piotr Samiec-Talar20%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Jagiellonia's squad is €23m more valuable than Slask Wroclaw's (€30m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Jagiellonia's attack is €10m more valuable than Slask Wroclaw's (€12m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Jagiellonia and Slask Wroclaw have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Jagiellonia's defence is €13m more valuable than Slask Wroclaw's (€15m vs €2m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa