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Jarun vs Zrinski Jurjevac Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 3-0
Jarun
Jarun
Vs
41%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zrinski Jurjevac
Zrinski Jurjevac
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Jarun win✓ Hit
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac win✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

JarunJarun

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L10W10W02L12L00D20W05L10W12LH·ORI08/03A·SES14/03A·DUB22/03H·SES28/03A·OPA04/04H·VUK11/04A·RUD19/04H·BSK26/04A·CRO04/05A·DUG10/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.130.931.640.940.69
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.001.221.001.831.000.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L01L01L13L05L01L03L06L03L03LA·RUD09/03H·BSK15/03A·HNK22/03H·ORI29/03A·DUB05/04H·SES12/04A·OPA18/04H·VUK25/04A·RUD03/05H·BSK10/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.502.070.401.800.602.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.502.070.401.800.602.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Jarun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
Jarun goals ↓
Zrinski Jurjevac goals →
01234
09.5%8.0%5.2%2.0%0.6%
110.0%14%7.2%2.7%0.8%
27.7%8.7%4.9%1.9%0.5%
33.5%4.0%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.2%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jarun goals (down), columns = Zrinski Jurjevac goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
Jarun is 0.85 points better than Zrinski Jurjevac in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 0.27).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
Jarun is 0.55 goals better than Zrinski Jurjevac in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.45).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
Jarun is 0.97 goals better than Zrinski Jurjevac in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 2.15).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JarunJarun

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D00D01L10W00D20W03L00D00DH·ORI08/03A·SES14/03A·DUB22/03H·SES28/03A·OPA04/04H·VUK11/04A·RUD19/04H·BSK26/04A·CRO04/05A·DUG10/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.360.790.560.12
vs Stronger (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.520.480.420.920.600.13
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D00D00D01L01L11D03L01L01LH·HNK18/02A·DUB22/02H·OPA01/03A·RUD09/03H·BSK15/03A·HNK22/03H·ORI29/03A·DUB05/04H·SES12/04H·VUK25/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.700.250.690.290.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.270.700.250.690.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Jarun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jarun over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JarunJarun

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W01L02L00D00D02L10W12LH·ORI08/03A·SES14/03A·DUB22/03H·SES28/03A·OPA04/04H·VUK11/04A·RUD19/04H·BSK26/04A·CRO04/05A·DUG10/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.570.860.380.56
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.480.740.580.920.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinski Jurjevac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L01L00D01L00D00D02L02L00D05LH·HNK18/02A·DUB22/02H·OPA01/03A·RUD09/03H·BSK15/03A·HNK22/03H·ORI29/03A·DUB05/04H·SES12/04H·VUK25/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.170.190.940.501.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.331.170.190.940.501.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Jarun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jarun over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinski Jurjevac over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
JAR wins
0
Draws
3
ZJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Jarun vs Zrinski Jurjevac · H/A from JAR
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/24HJAR Vs Zrinski Jurjevac2-1
18/08/24AZrinski Jurjevac Vs JAR0-2
12/05/24HJAR Vs Zrinski Jurjevac1-2
30/10/23HJAR Vs Zrinski Jurjevac0-1
14/08/23AZrinski Jurjevac Vs JAR2-0

JarunJarun

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25ADugopolje Vs JAR2-1
04/05/25ACroatia Zmijavci Vs JAR0-1
26/04/25HJAR Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo0-5
19/04/25ARudes Vs JAR0-2
11/04/25HJAR Vs Vukovar0-0
04/04/25AOpatija Vs JAR2-1
28/03/25HJAR Vs Sesvete0-2
22/03/25ADubrava Zagreb Vs JAR0-1
14/03/25ASesvete Vs JAR0-1
08/03/25HJAR Vs Orijent 19191-2

Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25HZJ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo0-3
03/05/25ARudes Vs ZJ3-0
25/04/25HZJ Vs Vukovar0-6
18/04/25AOpatija Vs ZJ3-0
12/04/25HZJ Vs Sesvete0-1
05/04/25ADubrava Zagreb Vs ZJ5-0
29/03/25HZJ Vs Orijent 19191-3
22/03/25AHNK Cibalia Vs ZJ1-0
15/03/25HZJ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo0-1
09/03/25ARudes Vs ZJ1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Jarun
Jarun
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.12
HomeDLLDL0.88
AwayWLWWL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%20%36%
AVG goals2.142.561.72
Over 1.5 %68%80%56%
Over 2.5 %36%52%20%
Over 3.5 %14%24%4%
Scored0.961.040.88
Conceded1.181.520.84
BTTS48%60%36%
Clean Sheet30%16%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Zrinski Jurjevac
Zrinski Jurjevac
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 10 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.22
HomeLLLLL1.20
AwayLLLLL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals2.342.242.44
Over 1.5 %62%68%56%
Over 2.5 %44%32%56%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored0.920.960.88
Conceded1.421.281.56
BTTS28%20%36%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3372
64%
2.2
5514+41
2.1
58%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.4
-
2OpatijaOpatija3368
58%
2.1
4820+28
2.1
64%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.50.6
-
3Orijent 1919Orijent 19193356
42%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
76%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
4SesveteSesvete3349
42%
1.5
3632+4
2.1
52%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.0
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3346
36%
1.4
4739+8
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.2
-
6Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3346
42%
1.4
3536-1
2.2
61%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.1
-
7Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3346
39%
1.4
4042-2
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3340
30%
1.2
3343-10
2.3
58%
45%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
9RudesRudes3339
30%
1.2
3133-2
1.9
61%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3110.91.0
-
10JarunJarun3337
27%
1.1
3339-6
2.2
70%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
11DugopoljeDugopolje3331
18%
0.9
3352-19
2.6
79%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.6
-
12Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac339
3%
0.3
1571-56
2.6
67%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.2
-
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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