The contest between K. Lierse S.K. and Liège is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home win probability stands at 34%, a draw at 28%, and an away win at 38%. The average number of goals expected is 2.7, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% chance. K. Lierse, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.36 conceded, while Liège, on the road, averages 1.0 scored and 1.75 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Under 6.5 (97.9% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.6% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (95.6% with a 4% edge), and Away under 3.5 goals (94.6% with a 3% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
K. Lierse S.K. win
33.8%
Avg Implied 36.3% · @ 2.50
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.65
Superbet
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.60
Pinnacle
2.51
Draw
28.1%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.30
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.41
Betano
3.35
Bet365
3.30
Liège win
38.0%
Avg Implied 36.1% · @ 2.52
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.67
Dafabet
2.60
Unibet
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Marathonbet
2.53
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
K. Lierse S.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.37
1.14
1.43
1.12
1.31
vs Stronger (3)
2.67
3.33
4.00
4.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.19
1.09
1.36
1.10
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.47
1.69
1.25
1.07
1.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.42
1.50
1.79
1.29
1.00
1.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.33
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.6%
@ 1.22+0.8%
Under 1.5
23.4%
@ 3.83-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Unibet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.92
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.78
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.0%
@ 1.75-2.5%
Under 2.5
49.0%
@ 2.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Bet365
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Under
Unibet
2.08
Bet365
2.05
Betfair
2.05
Pinnacle
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.9%
@ 2.79-4.1%
Under 3.5
71.1%
@ 1.38+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.87
Betano
2.82
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.78
Under
Unibet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
56.3%
@ 1.59-1.6%
No
43.7%
@ 2.19+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
No
Unibet
2.30
1xBet
2.21
Superbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 5.91+6.1%
1-2
8.6%@ 8.43+3.5%
0-1
8.1%@ 8.64+3.1%
2-1
8.0%@ 8.39+2.9%
0-0
7.8%@ 10.42+3.7%
1-0
7.5%@ 8.63+2.5%
0-2
6.5%@ 11.72+2.9%
2-0
5.7%@ 12.08+2.1%
K. Lierse S.K. goals ↓
Liège goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
8.1%
6.5%
3.1%
1.1%
1
7.5%
13%
8.6%
4.0%
1.4%
2
5.7%
8.0%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.5%
3.5%
2.5%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = K. Lierse S.K. goals (down), columns = Liège goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
2.00
Dender
1.77
Liège
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
Francs Borains
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.01
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Excelsior Virton
0.95
Club Brugge II
0.66
K. Lierse S.K. is 0.47 points worse than Liège in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.82
Beerschot VA
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Patro Eisden
1.38
Liège
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.04
Club Brugge II
1.03
Francs Borains
1.03
Excelsior Virton
0.97
K. Lierse S.K. is 0.28 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Dender
1.09
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Sporting Hasselt
1.92
Excelsior Virton
2.05
K. Lierse S.K. is 0.09 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
K. Lierse S.K. is 2.9 percentage points better than Liège in terms of average possession (47% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
K. Lierse S.K.
For 3.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 12.4 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
For 4.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
K. Lierse S.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.8
9.3
3.9
3.5
4.2
27.0
25.9
28.1
vs Stronger (3)
8.5
7.0
10.0
3.7
7.0
2.0
24.0
24.0
24.0
vs Similar (40)
9.1
9.2
9.1
4.2
3.7
4.7
27.5
27.1
27.9
vs Weaker (7)
9.0
5.0
11.0
2.3
0.5
3.0
24.0
9.0
31.5
% over line
47%
35%
58%
56%
45%
64%
81%
71%
89%
% under line
53%
65%
42%
44%
55%
36%
19%
29%
11%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.6
10.2
2.9
3.0
2.8
24.4
25.3
23.4
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
10.3
10.2
10.4
3.1
3.2
3.0
24.1
25.5
22.7
vs Weaker (5)
11.0
13.5
6.0
2.0
2.3
1.5
27.7
24.0
35.0
% over line
50%
50%
50%
44%
48%
39%
64%
67%
61%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
56%
52%
61%
36%
33%
39%
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
RSC Anderlecht II
9.9
Francs Borains
9.7
Dender
9.7
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.3
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
Excelsior Virton
9.0
Patro Eisden
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
RSC Anderlecht II
4.6
Liège
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.4
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7
Dender
3.4
Excelsior Virton
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.4
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.2
Club Brugge II
27.1
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
24.9
Beerschot VA
24.5
Dender
21.3
Excelsior Virton
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.9%
@ 1.72-10.8%
Under 9.5
57.1%
@ 2.00+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Unibet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.01
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.1%
Under 3.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.9%
Under 21.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
K. Lierse S.K. or Draw
62.0%
Avg Implied 63.6% · @ 1.45
Edge
-1.7%
34%
28%
38%
covers K. Lierse S.K. + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.46
William Hil
1.44
K. Lierse S.K. or Liège
71.9%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.9%
34%
28%
38%
covers K. Lierse S.K. + Liège
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Draw or Liège
66.2%
Avg Implied 63.6% · @ 1.45
Edge
+2.6%
34%
28%
38%
covers Draw + Liège
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5
Over
73.1%
@ 1.24-1.5%
Under
26.9%
@ 3.62+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.81
Unibet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.65
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5
Over
37.7%
@ 2.22-4.0%
Under
62.3%
@ 1.59+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.60
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5
Over
14.6%
@ 4.89-4.3%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.14+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 3.5
Over
4.4%
@ 11.42-3.9%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Liège over/under 0.5
Over
75.4%
@ 1.24+0.9%
Under
24.6%
@ 3.62-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Superbet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.60
Liège over/under 1.5
Over
40.9%
@ 2.23-0.5%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.58+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Liège over/under 2.5
Over
16.7%
@ 4.89-2.1%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.14+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Liège over/under 3.5
Over
5.4%
@ 11.58-2.8%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.03+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
10.50
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to K. Lierse S.K., so a minus line means K. Lierse S.K. give that many goals of a start and Liège receive them. At -1, K. Lierse S.K. must win by two or more to land; a one-goal K. Lierse S.K. win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (K. Lierse S.K.)
K. Lierse S.K. -2
5.4%
@ 9.02-4.2%
Draw -2
10.1%
@ 6.33-3.6%
Liège +2
84.5%
@ 1.13+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (K. Lierse S.K.)
K. Lierse S.K. -1
15.5%
@ 4.95-2.6%
Draw -1
18.3%
@ 4.25-2.7%
Liège +1
66.2%
@ 1.47+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Unibet
4.60
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Handicap +1 (K. Lierse S.K.)
K. Lierse S.K. +1
62.0%
@ 1.46+0.7%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 4.27-1.2%
Liège -1
18.4%
@ 5.01+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Handicap +2 (K. Lierse S.K.)
K. Lierse S.K. +2
81.6%
@ 1.13+3.8%
Draw +2
11.6%
@ 6.65-1.6%
Liège -2
6.8%
@ 9.85-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.40
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
K. Lierse S.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.57
0.43
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.67
2.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.38
0.55
0.36
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
1.06
0.62
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.81
1.07
0.71
0.50
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.9%
@ 1.33-2.0%
Under 0.5
32.1%
@ 3.08+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.55-3.5%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.45+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.62
10Bet
2.55
Under
Unibet
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 6.04-5.2%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.09+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betfair
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.9%
@ 1.97+0.0%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.74-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
Under
Unibet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.4%
@ 6.26-1.3%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.08+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.35
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
@ 15.88-3.5%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Liège over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.5%
@ 1.96-3.5%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.74+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
2.02
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Under
Unibet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Liège over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.4%
@ 5.99-3.9%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.09+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Liège over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.4%
@ 15.88-3.7%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
K. Lierse S.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.57
1.00
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
2.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.81
0.55
1.00
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (6)
0.17
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.62
0.62
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.69
0.71
0.57
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (K. Lierse S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.5%
@ 1.19-0.8%
Under 0.5
23.5%
@ 4.07+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.7%
@ 1.94-3.9%
Under 1.5
56.3%
@ 1.76+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Under
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.8%
@ 3.97-5.4%
Under 2.5
82.2%
@ 1.20+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.3%
@ 1.71-1.8%
Under
47.7%
@ 2.01+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.1%
@ 4.41-1.7%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.16+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
K. Lierse S.K. over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.4%
@ 11.00-4.1%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Liège over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.8%
@ 1.69-3.8%
Under
49.2%
@ 2.04+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.98
Liège over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.5%
@ 4.40-6.5%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.17+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
Liège over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.1%
@ 10.38-5.9%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+3.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
94.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+2.8%
Under 5.5
94.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+4.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.09
Betfair
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.10
+5.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+3.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+1.3%
Under 4.5
86.1%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
+4.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+6.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
85.4%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+4.3%
Away +2 handicap
84.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+7.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
83.3%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.13
+2.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.16
+5.4%
Home +2 handicap
81.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+3.8%
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+1.7%
Over 21.5 fouls
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
79.1%
1.36
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
-
-
-
+12.3%
Over 1.5
76.6%
1.22
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+0.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.5%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-0.8%
Away over 0.5 goals
75.4%
1.24
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
+0.9%
Home over 0.5 goals
73.1%
1.24
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
-1.5%
Under 5.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.9%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.26
-0.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
1.38
Unibet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
+4.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
K. Lierse S.K. · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandre Stanic36%
Mauro Lenaerts33%
Daan De Peuter29%
Jenthe Mertens24%
Emmanuel Matuta17%
Pietro Perdichizzi14%
Bryan Adinany14%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne14%
Samih El Touile8%
Dirk Asare7%
Victor Daguin5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Mansour Sy0%
Wout De Buyser0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Kiany Vroman0%
Toni Lun Bončina0%
Noam Mayoka-Tika0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Jano Willems0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Yann Gboua0%
Thiebe Van Elsuwege0%
Elton Yeboah0%
Yassin Hidraoui0%
Hugo Masaki0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Vincent De Vos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiebe Van Elsuwege40%
Jenthe Mertens35%
Daan De Peuter29%
Victor Daguin27%
Wout De Buyser25%
Yassin Hidraoui25%
Hugo Masaki25%
Noam Mayoka-Tika23%
Dirk Asare20%
Alexandre Stanic18%
Samih El Touile17%
Bo De Kerf17%
Mauro Lenaerts17%
Pietro Perdichizzi14%
Bryan Adinany14%
Elton Yeboah14%
Jano Willems12%
Kiany Vroman11%
Sam Vanderhallen8%
Vincent De Vos7%
Emmanuel Matuta6%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Mansour Sy0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Toni Lun Bončina0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Yann Gboua0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Adinany21%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne14%
Dirk Asare13%
Jenthe Mertens12%
Victor Daguin9%
Emmanuel Matuta6%
Noam Mayoka-Tika5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Pietro Perdichizzi0%
Mansour Sy0%
Wout De Buyser0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Kiany Vroman0%
Toni Lun Bončina0%
Alexandre Stanic0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Jano Willems0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Samih El Touile0%
Yann Gboua0%
Thiebe Van Elsuwege0%
Elton Yeboah0%
Yassin Hidraoui0%
Hugo Masaki0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Daan De Peuter0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Mauro Lenaerts0%
Vincent De Vos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandre Stanic36%
Bryan Adinany36%
Samih El Touile17%
Mauro Lenaerts17%
Toni Lun Bončina11%
Victor Daguin9%
Pietro Perdichizzi7%
Dirk Asare7%
Emmanuel Matuta6%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne5%
Jarno De Smet0%
Jenthe Mertens0%
Mansour Sy0%
Wout De Buyser0%
Pieter De Schrijver0%
Kiany Vroman0%
Noam Mayoka-Tika0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Jano Willems0%
Sam Vanderhallen0%
Yann Gboua0%
Thiebe Van Elsuwege0%
Elton Yeboah0%
Yassin Hidraoui0%
Hugo Masaki0%
Tiago Vermeulen0%
Daan De Peuter0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Vincent De Vos0%
Liège · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frederic Soelle Soelle33%
Simon Paulet25%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Alexis Lefebvre14%
Alexis De Sart12%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Kevin Shkurti7%
Jonathan D'Ostilio6%
Abian Arslan6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Benoit Bruggeman5%
Reno Wilmots0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Bustin45%
Oumar Diouf30%
Reno Wilmots26%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Stephen Reynaerts25%
Kevin Shkurti21%
Alexis Lefebvre19%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Victor Corneillie14%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Martin Wasinski8%
Abian Arslan6%
Alexis De Sart6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Kylian Hazard0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Eric N'jo0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Wasinski21%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Eric N'jo14%
Jonathan D'Ostilio12%
Kylian Hazard11%
Oumar Diouf10%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Alexis De Sart6%
Reno Wilmots4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Abian Arslan0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frederic Soelle Soelle22%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Alexis Lefebvre10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Simon Paulet8%
Alexis De Sart0%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Abian Arslan0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Beerschot VA
Excelsior Virton
Club Brugge II
Dender
Lokeren-Temse
Francs Borains
Sporting Hasselt
AS Eupen
Patro Eisden
KRC Genk II
KAA Gent II
Seraing United
RSC Anderlecht II