KAA Gent II are poised to win, with a 42% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 33% chance of RSC Anderlecht II taking the win. The model picks a home win as the most likely outcome. The match is expected to see 3.2 goals on average, with the most probable total being three goals at 22%. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 11.6% probability. Gent’s home form shows they average 1.27 goals scored and 1.82 conceded against similar opposition, while Anderlecht’s away form averages 1.58 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 97.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.6% with a 3% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.4% with a 5% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.0% with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 at 94.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.2% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.8% with a 5% edge, and Over 19.5 fouls at 93.3%. Gent entered the game after a win, while Anderlecht come off three consecutive defeats.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
KAA Gent II win
42.9%
Avg Implied 43.5% · @ 2.09
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
Superbet
2.12
Draw
25.7%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.51
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.70
Dafabet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.69
Superbet
3.55
Unibet
3.55
RSC Anderlecht II win
31.4%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 2.98
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.09
Unibet
3.05
Superbet
3.05
Betano
3.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
KAA Gent II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.63
1.36
1.71
1.25
1.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.72
1.27
1.82
1.29
1.64
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.20
1.67
1.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (RSC Anderlecht II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RSC Anderlecht II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.73
1.31
1.44
1.64
2.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.32
1.92
1.08
1.54
1.58
2.33
vs Weaker (5)
2.20
0.80
2.33
1.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (KAA Gent II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.8%
@ 1.16+2.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
@ 4.64-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Pinnacle
4.97
1xBet
4.65
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.57+0.7%
Under 2.5
39.8%
@ 2.31-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.55
Under
Betfair
2.45
Pinnacle
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Bet365
2.35
Superbet
2.30
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.9%
@ 2.40-0.7%
Under 3.5
62.1%
@ 1.51+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.62
Betano
2.52
Betfair
2.45
Pinnacle
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Both teams to score
Yes
63.0%
@ 1.48+0.8%
No
37.0%
@ 2.44-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.47
No
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.50
Unibet
2.48
1xBet
2.47
William Hil
2.45
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%@ 6.54+5.1%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.85+3.5%
1-2
7.6%@ 9.55+3.1%
2-2
6.4%@ 10.09+2.2%
1-0
6.4%@ 9.30+1.8%
2-0
6.3%@ 11.00+2.4%
0-0
5.5%@ 13.46+2.3%
0-1
5.3%@ 11.15+1.4%
KAA Gent II goals ↓
RSC Anderlecht II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
5.3%
4.5%
2.1%
0.8%
1
6.4%
12%
7.6%
3.6%
1.3%
2
6.3%
9.0%
6.4%
3.1%
1.1%
3
3.6%
5.1%
3.6%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.5%
2.2%
1.5%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KAA Gent II goals (down), columns = RSC Anderlecht II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
2.00
Dender
1.77
Liège
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
Francs Borains
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.01
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Excelsior Virton
0.95
Club Brugge II
0.66
KAA Gent II is 0.31 points better than RSC Anderlecht II in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.82
Beerschot VA
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Patro Eisden
1.38
Liège
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KRC Genk II
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.04
Club Brugge II
1.03
Francs Borains
1.03
Excelsior Virton
0.97
KAA Gent II is 0.12 goals worse than RSC Anderlecht II in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Dender
1.09
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
Club Brugge II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Sporting Hasselt
1.92
Excelsior Virton
2.05
KAA Gent II is 0.12 goals better than RSC Anderlecht II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
KAA Gent II is 5.0 percentage points better than RSC Anderlecht II in terms of average possession (57% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
KAA Gent II
For 4.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RSC Anderlecht II
For 5.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KAA Gent II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
9.5
9.0
10.0
2.7
3.1
2.3
26.3
25.7
26.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
9.3
8.3
10.3
2.5
2.8
2.3
26.8
26.6
27.0
vs Weaker (6)
10.0
11.0
8.5
3.3
4.0
2.7
24.4
23.0
26.5
% over line
48%
42%
55%
41%
44%
39%
79%
92%
67%
% under line
52%
58%
45%
59%
56%
61%
21%
8%
33%
This opponent (RSC Anderlecht II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RSC Anderlecht II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.2
10.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
26.8
25.5
28.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
10.6
10.6
10.5
3.4
3.5
3.4
27.1
26.1
28.4
vs Weaker (6)
7.8
7.3
9.0
3.3
3.0
4.0
24.8
21.3
35.0
% over line
55%
50%
62%
42%
42%
42%
80%
75%
88%
% under line
45%
50%
38%
58%
58%
58%
20%
25%
12%
This opponent (KAA Gent II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
RSC Anderlecht II
9.9
Francs Borains
9.7
Dender
9.7
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.3
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
Excelsior Virton
9.0
Patro Eisden
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
RSC Anderlecht II
4.6
Liège
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.4
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7
Dender
3.4
Excelsior Virton
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.4
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.2
Club Brugge II
27.1
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
24.9
Beerschot VA
24.5
Dender
21.3
Excelsior Virton
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.8%
@ 1.82-2.3%
Under 9.5
51.2%
@ 1.90+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Unibet
2.10
Bet365
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.8%
Under 3.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.0%
Under 21.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
KAA Gent II or Draw
72.5%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.33
Edge
+3.2%
43%
26%
31%
covers KAA Gent II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
10Bet
1.35
KAA Gent II or RSC Anderlecht II
76.1%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.8%
43%
26%
31%
covers KAA Gent II + RSC Anderlecht II
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Draw or RSC Anderlecht II
51.4%
Avg Implied 56.4% · @ 1.64
Edge
-5.0%
43%
26%
31%
covers Draw + RSC Anderlecht II
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Unibet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
KAA Gent II over/under 0.5
Over
85.7%
@ 1.16+5.6%
Under
14.3%
@ 4.65-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Unibet
4.75
Superbet
4.65
10Bet
4.33
KAA Gent II over/under 1.5
Over
57.9%
@ 1.82+6.9%
Under
42.1%
@ 1.89-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
Unibet
1.96
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
KAA Gent II over/under 2.5
Over
30.8%
@ 3.58+5.1%
Under
69.2%
@ 1.24-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.70
Marathonbet
3.55
1xBet
3.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
KAA Gent II over/under 3.5
Over
13.3%
@ 8.15+1.7%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.07-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betano
7.30
Under
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 0.5
Over
76.2%
@ 1.25+2.3%
Under
23.8%
@ 3.54-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.77
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.56
Marathonbet
3.56
Superbet
3.55
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 1.5
Over
42.0%
@ 2.26+0.9%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.57-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 2.5
Over
17.5%
@ 5.06-0.8%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.13+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Betano
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 3.5
Over
5.8%
@ 11.38-2.6%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to KAA Gent II, so a minus line means KAA Gent II give that many goals of a start and RSC Anderlecht II receive them. At -1, KAA Gent II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal KAA Gent II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (KAA Gent II)
KAA Gent II -2
13.3%
@ 7.60+1.4%
Draw -2
15.0%
@ 6.08+0.2%
RSC Anderlecht II +2
71.8%
@ 1.23-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Unibet
7.00
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
Unibet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.19
Handicap -1 (KAA Gent II)
KAA Gent II -1
28.2%
@ 3.72+4.2%
Draw -1
20.4%
@ 4.05-1.7%
RSC Anderlecht II +1
51.4%
@ 1.66-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.45
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
3.80
Unibet
3.80
Away
Unibet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Handicap +1 (KAA Gent II)
KAA Gent II +1
72.5%
@ 1.33+5.6%
Draw +1
14.8%
@ 4.83-3.7%
RSC Anderlecht II -1
12.7%
@ 6.06-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.20
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Handicap +2 (KAA Gent II)
KAA Gent II +2
87.3%
@ 1.11+4.5%
Draw +2
8.1%
@ 9.00-2.1%
RSC Anderlecht II -2
4.6%
@ 13.00-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Away
Bet365
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
KAA Gent II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.71
0.71
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.76
0.64
0.73
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (RSC Anderlecht II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RSC Anderlecht II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.69
0.81
0.79
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.96
0.54
0.85
0.75
1.08
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.40
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KAA Gent II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.7%
@ 1.27+1.2%
Under 0.5
26.3%
@ 3.36-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Under
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.34
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.4%
@ 2.28-2.3%
Under 1.5
61.6%
@ 1.56+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
10Bet
2.35
William Hil
2.30
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathonbet
2.26
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.6%
@ 5.13-6.5%
Under 2.5
88.4%
@ 1.13+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Betano
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Betano
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KAA Gent II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
52.0%
@ 1.73-1.5%
Under
48.0%
@ 1.99+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Unibet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
KAA Gent II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.8%
@ 4.69-2.8%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.15+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.70
1xBet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
KAA Gent II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.5%
@ 11.38-4.8%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.1%
@ 2.00-1.1%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.72+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
1xBet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.74
Unibet
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.2%
@ 6.16-3.7%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.08+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
5.90
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
@ 17.00-3.4%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
KAA Gent II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.64
1.00
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.96
0.64
1.09
0.79
0.86
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (RSC Anderlecht II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RSC Anderlecht II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.62
0.62
0.86
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.96
0.54
0.69
0.83
1.25
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (KAA Gent II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.16-0.9%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 4.63+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.65
William Hil
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.9%
@ 1.79-1.7%
Under 1.5
50.1%
@ 1.91+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Under
Unibet
1.96
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.4%
@ 3.41-5.6%
Under 2.5
78.6%
@ 1.26+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
William Hil
3.40
Betano
3.35
Under
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KAA Gent II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.2%
@ 1.52-5.6%
Under
44.8%
@ 2.36+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.45
Superbet
2.37
Betano
2.32
10Bet
2.30
KAA Gent II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.4%
@ 3.47-5.1%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.25+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.48
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
KAA Gent II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.7%
@ 8.63-5.0%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.04+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.50
1xBet
8.90
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.1%
@ 1.71-1.9%
Under
47.9%
@ 2.01+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Under
1xBet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
10Bet
1.95
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.2%
@ 4.51-3.2%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.16+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
RSC Anderlecht II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.0%
@ 11.12-4.5%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Under 7.5
97.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.5%
Under 6.5
94.4%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
+0.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
94.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+2.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+3.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Betano
1.13
+6.5%
Under 5.5
87.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Betano
1.07
Unibet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-0.7%
Home +2 handicap
87.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+4.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
86.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
-
-
-
-1.7%
Over 21.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.7%
1.16
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.12
+5.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.2%
1.15
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+2.8%
Over 1.5
82.8%
1.16
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
+2.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.8%
1.16
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+3.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
82.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
+0.8%
Over 2.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-0.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.26
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+5.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.25
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
-
+5.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
76.2%
1.25
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
+2.3%
Home or Away
76.1%
1.24
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+1.8%
Over 23.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
74.8%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-2.8%
Under 11.5 corners
74.4%
1.36
Unibet
1.45
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.27
-
-
+6.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.7%
1.27
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
+1.2%
Home or Draw
72.5%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
10Bet
1.35
+3.2%
Home +1 handicap
72.5%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
-
+5.6%
Under 5.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
71.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
-1.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
KAA Gent II · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tibe De Vlieger50%
David Mukuna-Trouet40%
Abubakar Abdullahi33%
Victor Vandenbroucke33%
El Hadji Seck31%
Ruslan Vydysh29%
Jassim Mazouz25%
Ibrahima Cisse17%
Ali Donny Sylla9%
Mohamed Soumah7%
Simon Buggea7%
Mamadou Diallo6%
Gyano Vanderdonck5%
Kjell Peersman0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Bram Lagae0%
Wout Asselman0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Gilles De Meyer0%
Hannes Vernemmen0%
Moctar Diop0%
Abdul Rachid Ayinde0%
Viktor Noi Vidarsson0%
Oleksandr Soroka0%
Mohammed El Âdfaoui0%
Bas Evers0%
Briek Morel0%
Preben Blondeel0%
Joachim Djamba-Shango0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bram Lagae50%
Tibe De Vlieger50%
Mohamed Soumah43%
Ibrahima Cisse33%
Victor Vandenbroucke33%
Hannes Vernemmen23%
Wout Asselman22%
Abubakar Abdullahi19%
Mamadou Diallo17%
Jassim Mazouz12%
Preben Blondeel11%
David Mukuna-Trouet10%
Abdul Rachid Ayinde10%
Gyano Vanderdonck9%
Oleksandr Soroka9%
Briek Morel8%
Gilles De Meyer5%
Ali Donny Sylla4%
Ruslan Vydysh4%
Kjell Peersman0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Moctar Diop0%
Viktor Noi Vidarsson0%
Mohammed El Âdfaoui0%
Bas Evers0%
Simon Buggea0%
El Hadji Seck0%
Joachim Djamba-Shango0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tibe De Vlieger25%
Moctar Diop20%
Gyano Vanderdonck18%
Abubakar Abdullahi14%
Jassim Mazouz12%
Ruslan Vydysh12%
Mohammed El Âdfaoui11%
David Mukuna-Trouet10%
Abdul Rachid Ayinde10%
Oleksandr Soroka9%
Briek Morel8%
Hannes Vernemmen8%
El Hadji Seck8%
Wout Asselman6%
Ali Donny Sylla4%
Mohamed Soumah0%
Kjell Peersman0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Bram Lagae0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Gilles De Meyer0%
Mamadou Diallo0%
Viktor Noi Vidarsson0%
Bas Evers0%
Simon Buggea0%
Preben Blondeel0%
Joachim Djamba-Shango0%
Ibrahima Cisse0%
Victor Vandenbroucke0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahima Cisse33%
El Hadji Seck23%
Wout Asselman22%
David Mukuna-Trouet20%
Moctar Diop20%
Abubakar Abdullahi19%
Mamadou Diallo11%
Mohammed El Âdfaoui11%
Gyano Vanderdonck5%
Ruslan Vydysh4%
Mohamed Soumah0%
Kjell Peersman0%
Matties Volckaert0%
Bram Lagae0%
Tibe De Vlieger0%
Jassim Mazouz0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Gilles De Meyer0%
Hannes Vernemmen0%
Abdul Rachid Ayinde0%
Ali Donny Sylla0%
Viktor Noi Vidarsson0%
Oleksandr Soroka0%
Bas Evers0%
Briek Morel0%
Simon Buggea0%
Preben Blondeel0%
Joachim Djamba-Shango0%
Victor Vandenbroucke0%
RSC Anderlecht II · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mathys Angely33%
Majeed Ashimeru25%
Samuel Ntanda25%
Devon De Corte20%
Pape Aliya N'dao20%
Terry Van De Ven18%
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni17%
Elyess Dao12%
Anas Tajaouart10%
Gassimou Sylla10%
Alexander De Ridder10%
Enzo Sternal9%
Joshua Nga Kana9%
Jayden Onia Seke7%
Mohamed Amine Mahroug5%
Joachim Imbrechts0%
Thomas Foket0%
Alexis Flips0%
Zoumana Keita0%
Kaïs Barry0%
Michiel Haentjens0%
Nunzio Engwanda0%
Cedric Hatenboer0%
Jarne Flies0%
Basile Vroninks0%
Ludovick Wola-Wetshay0%
Joël Kana0%
Dacosta Antwi0%
Babatunde Akomolede0%
Joel Matadi0%
Dwight Ede Eriyo0%
Adjani Mujangi Bia0%
Omar Sarr0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elyess Dao38%
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni33%
Dacosta Antwi31%
Joël Kana30%
Majeed Ashimeru25%
Alexis Flips25%
Omar Sarr25%
Jarne Flies17%
Kaïs Barry14%
Ludovick Wola-Wetshay14%
Jayden Onia Seke14%
Mohamed Amine Mahroug14%
Alexander De Ridder14%
Nunzio Engwanda12%
Pape Aliya N'dao10%
Zoumana Keita9%
Michiel Haentjens9%
Basile Vroninks9%
Samuel Ntanda6%
Devon De Corte5%
Joachim Imbrechts0%
Thomas Foket0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
Enzo Sternal0%
Mathys Angely0%
Cedric Hatenboer0%
Gassimou Sylla0%
Terry Van De Ven0%
Babatunde Akomolede0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
Joel Matadi0%
Dwight Ede Eriyo0%
Adjani Mujangi Bia0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cedric Hatenboer25%
Kaïs Barry14%
Anas Tajaouart10%
Mohamed Amine Mahroug10%
Alexander De Ridder10%
Enzo Sternal9%
Joshua Nga Kana9%
Dwight Ede Eriyo9%
Jayden Onia Seke7%
Samuel Ntanda6%
Devon De Corte5%
Joachim Imbrechts0%
Thomas Foket0%
Majeed Ashimeru0%
Alexis Flips0%
Zoumana Keita0%
Michiel Haentjens0%
Nunzio Engwanda0%
Mathys Angely0%
Elyess Dao0%
Jarne Flies0%
Basile Vroninks0%
Ludovick Wola-Wetshay0%
Gassimou Sylla0%
Joël Kana0%
Terry Van De Ven0%
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni0%
Dacosta Antwi0%
Babatunde Akomolede0%
Pape Aliya N'dao0%
Joel Matadi0%
Adjani Mujangi Bia0%
Omar Sarr0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pape Aliya N'dao35%
Elyess Dao25%
Jarne Flies17%
Jayden Onia Seke14%
Anas Tajaouart10%
Alexander De Ridder10%
Enzo Sternal9%
Terry Van De Ven9%
Babatunde Akomolede7%
Samuel Ntanda6%
Devon De Corte5%
Joachim Imbrechts0%
Thomas Foket0%
Majeed Ashimeru0%
Alexis Flips0%
Zoumana Keita0%
Kaïs Barry0%
Michiel Haentjens0%
Nunzio Engwanda0%
Mathys Angely0%
Cedric Hatenboer0%
Basile Vroninks0%
Ludovick Wola-Wetshay0%
Gassimou Sylla0%
Joël Kana0%
Mohamed Amine Mahroug0%
Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni0%
Dacosta Antwi0%
Joshua Nga Kana0%
Joel Matadi0%
Dwight Ede Eriyo0%
Adjani Mujangi Bia0%
Omar Sarr0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (26)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KGI (19)
€6m
KLS (21)
€5m
LOK (16)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
SH (8)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
KAA Gent II's squad is €1m less valuable than RSC Anderlecht II's (€6m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (9)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KGI (7)
€2m
LOK (5)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
SH (4)
€1m
KAA Gent II's attack is €1m less valuable than RSC Anderlecht II's (€2m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DEN (6)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
AE (9)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KGI (4)
€1m
FB (5)
€1m
LOK (3)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
SH (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
KAA Gent II and RSC Anderlecht II have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
AE (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
LOK (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
SH (3)
€1m
EV (6)
€1m
KAA Gent II and RSC Anderlecht II have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Beerschot VA
Excelsior Virton
Club Brugge II
Dender
Lokeren-Temse
Francs Borains
Sporting Hasselt
K. Lierse S.K.
AS Eupen
Liège
Patro Eisden
KRC Genk II
Seraing United