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Kauno Žalgiris II vs Garliava Result & Analysis

Date: 29/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Kauno Žalgiris II
Kauno Žalgiris II
Vs
42%
24%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Garliava
Garliava
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris II win✗ Miss
42.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Garliava win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W11D22D01L14L01L50W02L02L10WA·JON12/03A·EKR20/03H·TRA25/03A·BFA01/04H·TRA10/04A·BAB14/04H·MIN21/04A·ŠIL30/04H·FA 15/05A·BE119/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.302.002.000.670.83
vs Stronger (9)1.221.332.002.000.600.80
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L02L11D00D21W11D33D21W11D30WA·BAB10/03H·ŠIL18/03A·BE126/03H·NEV01/04A·NEP07/04H·JON15/04A·TRA22/04H·TRA28/04A·MIN13/05H·FA 20/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.501.211.361.501.62
vs Stronger (28)1.251.431.211.361.291.50
vs Similar (2)3.002.50--3.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.1%
Under 2.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.3%
No
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-2 ✓
7.0%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.3%
Kauno Žalgiris II goals ↓
Garliava goals →
01234
04.1%4.2%4.1%2.2%0.9%
14.9%10%7.6%4.1%1.7%
25.3%8.6%7.0%3.8%1.5%
33.3%5.3%4.3%2.3%0.9%
41.5%2.4%2.0%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kauno Žalgiris II goals (down), columns = Garliava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.31
Be1 NFA
1.83
Babrungas
1.70
Minija
1.66
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.66
Nevėžis
1.66
Šilas
1.52
Trakai II
1.48
Garliava
1.33
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.27
FA Šiauliai II
1.10
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.07
Panevėžys II
1.03
Žalgiris II
0.93
Jonava
0.41
Kauno Žalgiris II is 0.27 points worse than Garliava in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.76
Babrungas
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.66
Trakai II
1.59
FA Šiauliai II
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.53
Nevėžis
1.52
Panevėžys II
1.50
Minija
1.45
Garliava
1.43
Ekranas
1.40
BFA
1.33
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.33
Šilas
1.17
Jonava
0.86
Kauno Žalgiris II is 0.10 goals worse than Garliava in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.03
Nevėžis
1.10
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.14
Trakai II
1.14
Garliava
1.23
Minija
1.28
BFA
1.37
Ekranas
1.63
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.63
Babrungas
1.63
Šilas
1.87
Panevėžys II
1.97
Žalgiris II
2.20
FA Šiauliai II
2.20
Jonava
2.62
Kauno Žalgiris II is 0.40 goals worse than Garliava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D01L13L01L30W01L00D00DA·JON12/03A·EKR20/03H·TRA25/03A·BFA01/04H·TRA10/04A·BAB14/04H·MIN21/04A·ŠIL30/04H·FA 15/05A·BE119/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.801.251.000.000.67
vs Stronger (9)0.560.781.251.000.000.60
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D10W00D00D10W11D20W10W10WA·BAB10/03H·ŠIL18/03A·BE126/03H·NEV01/04A·NEP07/04H·JON15/04A·TRA22/04H·TRA28/04A·MIN13/05H·FA 20/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.710.360.500.81
vs Stronger (28)0.610.540.710.360.500.71
vs Similar (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D00D01L00D20W01L02L10WA·JON12/03A·EKR20/03H·TRA25/03A·BFA01/04H·TRA10/04A·BAB14/04H·MIN21/04A·ŠIL30/04H·FA 15/05A·BE119/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.751.000.670.17
vs Stronger (9)0.670.560.751.000.600.20
vs Similar (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Garliava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarliavaGarliava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L01L00D21W01L22D01L01L20WA·BAB10/03H·ŠIL18/03A·BE126/03H·NEV01/04A·NEP07/04H·JON15/04A·TRA22/04H·TRA28/04A·MIN13/05H·FA 20/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.501.001.000.81
vs Stronger (28)0.640.890.501.000.790.79
vs Similar (2)2.501.00--2.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Garliava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris II and Garliava have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris II and Garliava have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
Kauno Žalgiris II and Garliava have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KŽI wins
0
Draws
0
GAR wins

Head-to-head

Kauno Žalgiris II vs Garliava · H/A from KŽI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/23ABe1 NFA Vs KŽI0-1
15/05/23HKŽI Vs FA Šiauliai II0-2
30/04/23AŠilas Vs KŽI2-0
21/04/23HKŽI Vs Minija5-0
14/04/23ABabrungas Vs KŽI1-0
10/04/23HKŽI Vs Trakai II1-4
01/04/23ABFA Vs KŽI1-0
25/03/23HKŽI Vs TransINVEST Vilnius2-2
20/03/23AEkranas Vs KŽI1-1
12/03/23AJonava Vs KŽI0-2

GarliavaGarliava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23HGAR Vs FA Šiauliai II3-0
13/05/23AMinija Vs GAR1-1
28/04/23HGAR Vs Trakai II2-1
22/04/23ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs GAR3-3
15/04/23HGAR Vs Jonava1-1
07/04/23ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs GAR1-2
01/04/23HGAR Vs Nevėžis0-0
26/03/23ABe1 NFA Vs GAR1-1
18/03/23HGAR Vs Šilas0-2
10/03/23ABabrungas Vs GAR3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kauno Žalgiris II
Kauno Žalgiris II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.10
HomeDLWL1.00
AwayDLLLW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%25%33%
AVG goals2.504.001.50
Over 1.5 %70%100%50%
Over 2.5 %30%75%0%
Over 3.5 %30%75%0%
Scored1.202.000.67
Conceded1.302.000.83
BTTS30%50%17%
Clean Sheet30%25%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Garliava
Garliava
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW1.18
HomeLDDWW1.30
AwayLDWDD1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals2.732.353.10
Over 1.5 %78%80%75%
Over 2.5 %45%40%50%
Over 3.5 %28%15%40%
Scored1.151.101.20
Conceded1.571.251.90
BTTS48%45%50%
Clean Sheet25%30%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius2967
72%
2.3
8029+51
3.8
90%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.0
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA2953
55%
1.8
4830+18
2.7
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3051
50%
1.7
6049+11
3.6
93%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2948
45%
1.7
5433+21
3.0
76%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5NevėžisNevėžis2948
45%
1.7
4432+12
2.6
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6MinijaMinija2948
48%
1.7
4237+5
2.7
83%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Trakai IITrakai II2943
41%
1.5
4633+13
2.7
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
8GarliavaGarliava3040
30%
1.3
4337+6
2.7
80%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9EkranasEkranas3039
37%
1.3
4249-7
3.0
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10BFABFA3038
33%
1.3
4041-1
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11ŠilasŠilas2335
48%
1.5
2743-16
3.0
78%
57%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3033
30%
1.1
4766-19
3.8
90%
77%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3032
27%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
14Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3031
27%
1.0
4559-14
3.5
83%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
15Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3028
23%
0.9
4666-20
3.7
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.2
-
16JonavaJonava2912
10%
0.4
2576-51
3.5
93%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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