Kidderminster vs Aldershot Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026

Time: 11:30

Final 1-1

Kidderminster

49%

27%

24%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Aldershot

England: National League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Kidderminster, coming off a win, hosts struggling Aldershot, who have lost their last five matches. The home win is the model's pick, with a 51% probability, closely followed by a 26% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of an Aldershot victory. The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability. Kidderminster has scored an average of 1.8 goals and conceded 1.6 at home, while Aldershot has scored 1 goal and conceded 1.6 away against stronger opponents. The model suggests an over 1.5 goals selection, with an 78.9% probability. Kidderminster is expected to win 51% of the time, draw 26% of the time, and lose 23% of the time. The suggested picks include an over 1.5 goals selection with 78.9% probability, and a home win with 51% probability.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Kidderminster, fell short of the 49 % chance the model had given it, as the match finished 1-1 for a draw. The game was a surprise, with both sides coming off a 1-1 draw in their previous fixtures. The model’s selection for a home win was incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 at 99.3 % hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6 % hit, Under 6.5 at 97.7 % hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.6 % hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.6 % hit, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.4 % hit, Under 5.5 at 93.8 % hit, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.4 % hit. All probabilities are expressed as percentages and each pick is mentioned only once.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kidderminster win✗ Miss

49.0%

Avg Implied 44.1% · @ 2.07

Edge

+4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.12

Betano

2.12

Superbet

2.12

Pinnacle

2.11

Unibet

2.10

Draw✓ Hit

26.7%

Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.46

Edge

+0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.61

Betfair

3.60

Dafabet

3.55

Betano

3.55

Superbet

3.50

Aldershot win✗ Miss

24.3%

Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.10

Edge

-5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.33

William Hil

3.25

1xBet

3.20

Superbet

3.15

Betano

3.15

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

K
Kidderminster

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.5

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.07	1.20	1.12	1.19	1.00	1.21
vs Stronger (4)	1.00	1.25	1.00	0.50	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (13)	1.31	1.08	1.50	1.00	1.14	1.14
vs Weaker (13)	0.85	1.31	0.88	1.50	0.80	1.00
Clean sheet %	30% (+4pp vs league)

This opponent (Aldershot) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aldershot

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.30	1.63	1.13	1.93	1.47	1.33
vs Stronger (9)	0.78	1.22	0.20	1.60	1.50	0.75
vs Similar (21)	1.52	1.81	1.60	2.10	1.45	1.55
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	17% (-9pp vs league)

This opponent (Kidderminster) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

77.3%

@ 1.20+0.3%

Under 1.5

22.7%

@ 4.03-0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.23

Betano

1.23

Bet365

1.22

10Bet

1.22

BetVictor

1.20

Under

Betfair

4.50

Pinnacle

4.15

BetVictor

4.10

Superbet

4.10

10Bet

4.00

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

52.1%

@ 1.69-3.0%

Under 2.5

47.9%

@ 2.07+3.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.75

Betano

1.72

1xBet

1.70

Marathonbet

1.70

Bet365

1.70

Under

Bet365

2.10

Betfair

2.10

Pinnacle

2.10

Betano

2.10

10Bet

2.10

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

29.9%

@ 2.66-4.8%

Under 3.5

70.1%

@ 1.41+4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.82

Betfair

2.75

10Bet

2.70

Betano

2.67

Unibet

2.63

Under

Betano

1.44

Bet365

1.44

Superbet

1.43

Pinnacle

1.43

10Bet

1.42

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

55.2%

@ 1.57-3.3%

44.8%

@ 2.22+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.62

Betano

1.60

1xBet

1.58

Marathonbet

1.58

William Hil

1.57

William Hil

2.30

Superbet

2.25

BetVictor

2.25

Betfair

2.25

Betano

2.22

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1 ✓

12.7%@ 6.35+5.9%

2-1

9.6%@ 7.95+4.1%

1-0

9.3%@ 8.38+4.2%

2-0

8.7%@ 10.31+4.5%

0-0

7.5%@ 11.47+3.7%

1-2

6.4%@ 9.74+2.0%

0-1

5.9%@ 10.26+1.6%

2-2

5.3%@ 11.08+1.4%

Kidderminster goals ↓

	Aldershot goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	5.9%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.3%	13%	6.4%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.7%	9.6%	5.3%	2.0%	0.5%
3	4.8%	5.3%	2.9%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.2%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kidderminster goals (down), columns = Aldershot goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Barrow

2.18

Harrogate

2.08

Carlisle

2.04

Boreham Wood

1.90

Scunthorpe

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Southend

1.72

Halifax

1.52

Hartlepool

1.48

Kidderminster

1.38

Fylde

1.38

Woking

1.37

Tamworth

1.35

Boston Utd

1.28

Altrincham

1.24

Wealdstone

1.22

Solihull

1.22

Yeovil

1.11

Eastleigh

1.09

Gateshead

1.09

Sutton

1.02

Aldershot

1.00

Kidderminster is 0.38 points better than Aldershot in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Barrow

2.30

Harrogate

2.20

Boreham Wood

2.00

Carlisle

1.87

Southend

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Scunthorpe

1.69

Solihull

1.54

Halifax

1.50

Aldershot

1.50

Woking

1.50

Wealdstone

1.48

Kidderminster

1.45

Fylde

1.45

Boston Utd

1.37

Tamworth

1.37

Sutton

1.28

Eastleigh

1.24

Altrincham

1.20

Hartlepool

1.17

Gateshead

1.17

Yeovil

1.04

Kidderminster is 0.05 goals worse than Aldershot in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Barrow

0.92

Harrogate

0.96

Southend

1.02

Carlisle

1.11

Forest Green

1.11

Woking

1.17

Boreham Wood

1.24

Hartlepool

1.28

Scunthorpe

1.35

Altrincham

1.41

Halifax

1.43

Boston Utd

1.46

Kidderminster

1.46

Fylde

1.46

Yeovil

1.48

Tamworth

1.54

Solihull

1.57

Wealdstone

1.65

Sutton

1.72

Eastleigh

1.74

Aldershot

1.89

Gateshead

1.96

Kidderminster is 0.43 goals better than Aldershot in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 1.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

Boreham Wood

58%

Wealdstone

57%

Sutton

54%

Aldershot

54%

Forest Green

53%

Southend

52%

Altrincham

52%

Gateshead

50%

Woking

50%

Scunthorpe

49%

Carlisle

49%

Solihull

48%

Halifax

48%

Hartlepool

47%

Yeovil

47%

Eastleigh

41%

Tamworth

38%

Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Kidderminster or Draw✓ Hit

75.7%

Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.31

Edge

+5.3%

49%

27%

24%

covers Kidderminster + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.38

Superbet

1.33

Bet365

1.33

Betfair

1.33

BetVictor

1.33

Kidderminster or Aldershot✗ Miss

73.3%

Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.25

Edge

-0.5%

49%

27%

24%

covers Kidderminster + Aldershot

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.30

Betano

1.28

Superbet

1.27

Betfair

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Draw or Aldershot✓ Hit

51.0%

Avg Implied 55.9% · @ 1.65

Edge

-4.8%

49%

27%

24%

covers Draw + Aldershot

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.75

William Hil

1.70

Betfair

1.67

Superbet

1.66

10Bet

1.65

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Kidderminster over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

80.8%

@ 1.18+2.3%

Under

19.2%

@ 4.31-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.20

Bet365

1.18

Superbet

1.18

10Bet

1.18

BetVictor

1.17

Under

Betfair

4.50

BetVictor

4.50

Bet365

4.50

1xBet

4.30

Superbet

4.25

Kidderminster over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

49.2%

@ 1.90+0.6%

Under

50.8%

@ 1.80-0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.97

Betano

1.93

Superbet

1.92

BetVictor

1.91

Betfair

1.91

Under

Pinnacle

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Kidderminster over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

23.0%

@ 3.87-0.9%

Under

77.0%

@ 1.22+0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

4.10

Pinnacle

4.03

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

3.85

Betano

3.75

Under

Betano

1.24

Pinnacle

1.23

Betfair

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Superbet

1.22

Kidderminster over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

8.6%

@ 8.86-2.0%

Under

91.4%

@ 1.05+2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Bet365

10.00

Betfair

8.50

Superbet

8.30

Betano

7.50

Under

Betano

1.07

Bet365

1.06

Superbet

1.05

Betfair

1.05

1xBet

1.03

Aldershot over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

66.9%

@ 1.30-4.3%

Under

33.1%

@ 3.21+4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.32

Pinnacle

1.31

Superbet

1.31

1xBet

1.30

Bet365

1.30

Under

Bet365

3.40

10Bet

3.25

Pinnacle

3.24

BetVictor

3.20

Superbet

3.20

Aldershot over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

30.3%

@ 2.47-7.2%

Under

69.7%

@ 1.48+7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.66

Marathonbet

2.51

1xBet

2.51

BetVictor

2.50

Betfair

2.50

Under

Betano

1.52

Betfair

1.50

Bet365

1.50

10Bet

1.50

Superbet

1.49

Aldershot over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

10.1%

@ 5.74-6.0%

Under

89.9%

@ 1.10+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

Bet365

6.00

1xBet

5.75

BetVictor

5.75

Marathonbet

5.75

Under

Betano

1.13

Bet365

1.12

Superbet

1.11

Betfair

1.11

BetVictor

1.10

Aldershot over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

2.6%

@ 13.75-4.3%

Under

97.4%

@ 1.02+4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

17.00

Superbet

14.00

Betano

10.25

Under

Betano

1.03

Bet365

1.02

Superbet

1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kidderminster, so a minus line means Kidderminster give that many goals of a start and Aldershot receive them. At -1, Kidderminster must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kidderminster win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Kidderminster)Actual: Aldershot

Kidderminster -2

11.4%

@ 7.46-0.4%

Draw -2

15.3%

@ 5.62-0.4%

Aldershot +2

73.3%

@ 1.21+0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

8.50

Betfair

8.50

Superbet

7.40

Marathonbet

7.10

Unibet

5.80

Draw

Betfair

6.00

Bet365

6.00

Marathonbet

5.75

Superbet

5.75

Unibet

4.60

Away

Bet365

1.25

Superbet

1.23

Marathonbet

1.21

Betfair

1.20

Unibet

1.17

Handicap -1 (Kidderminster)Actual: Aldershot

Kidderminster -1

26.7%

@ 3.70+3.0%

Draw -1

22.3%

@ 3.80-0.7%

Aldershot +1

51.0%

@ 1.64-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

4.00

10Bet

3.95

Betfair

3.75

Superbet

3.70

Marathonbet

3.58

Draw

Betfair

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

3.90

10Bet

3.85

Marathonbet

3.74

Away

Superbet

1.68

Betfair

1.67

10Bet

1.65

Marathonbet

1.63

Bet365

1.62

Handicap +1 (Kidderminster)Actual: Kidderminster

Kidderminster +1

75.7%

@ 1.30+8.7%

Draw +1

14.5%

@ 4.73-3.9%

Aldershot -1

9.8%

@ 6.01-4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Superbet

1.34

Bet365

1.33

Betfair

1.30

Marathonbet

1.27

Unibet

1.27

Draw

Betfair

5.00

Bet365

5.00

Superbet

4.85

Marathonbet

4.80

Unibet

4.00

Away

Bet365

6.50

Betfair

6.50

Marathonbet

6.25

Superbet

6.00

Unibet

4.80

Handicap +2 (Kidderminster)Actual: Kidderminster

Kidderminster +2

90.2%

@ 1.09+7.0%

Draw +2

6.8%

@ 8.70-3.6%

Aldershot -2

2.9%

@ 14.33-3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Superbet

1.10

Bet365

1.10

Betfair

1.07

Draw

Betfair

9.00

Bet365

9.00

Superbet

8.10

Away

Betfair

15.00

Bet365

15.00

Superbet

13.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

K
Kidderminster

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.9

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.40	0.63	0.53	0.80	0.27	0.47
vs Stronger (4)	0.25	0.25	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.50
vs Similar (13)	0.46	0.77	0.60	1.00	0.38	0.62
vs Weaker (13)	0.38	0.62	0.50	0.88	0.20	0.20
Clean sheet %	57% (+31pp vs league)

This opponent (Aldershot) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aldershot

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.53	0.87	0.67	1.20	0.40	0.53
vs Stronger (9)	0.22	0.89	0.20	1.20	0.25	0.50
vs Similar (21)	0.67	0.86	0.90	1.20	0.45	0.55
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	40% (+14pp vs league)

This opponent (Kidderminster) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

66.9%

@ 1.32-3.5%

Under 0.5

33.1%

@ 3.13+3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.37

Pinnacle

1.34

BetVictor

1.34

Marathonbet

1.32

1xBet

1.32

Under

Bet365

3.40

William Hil

3.30

Betfair

3.30

Pinnacle

3.22

Superbet

3.15

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

31.8%

@ 2.47-5.8%

Under 1.5

68.2%

@ 1.48+5.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.69

Betano

2.57

William Hil

2.50

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.47

Under

William Hil

1.50

10Bet

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Betfair

1.50

Betano

1.50

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

9.7%

@ 5.91-6.0%

Under 2.5

90.3%

@ 1.10+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.50

BetVictor

6.50

William Hil

6.00

Bet365

6.00

1xBet

5.65

Under

Bet365

1.12

Superbet

1.12

Betano

1.12

William Hil

1.11

1xBet

1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Kidderminster over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

52.4%

@ 1.80+1.3%

Under

47.6%

@ 1.89-1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.87

Pinnacle

1.86

1xBet

1.80

Marathonbet

1.80

Superbet

1.80

Under

Pinnacle

1.93

Unibet

1.90

Superbet

1.90

Betano

1.88

Marathonbet

1.86

Kidderminster over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

15.4%

@ 5.00-3.1%

Under

84.6%

@ 1.13+3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.05

Marathonbet

5.05

Betano

5.00

Superbet

4.90

Under

Betano

1.15

Superbet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.12

1xBet

1.12

Kidderminster over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.4%

@ 12.88-5.0%

Under

97.6%

@ 1.02+5.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

15.00

Betano

10.75

Under

Betano

1.03

Superbet

1.01

Aldershot over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

35.5%

@ 2.14-7.6%

Under

64.5%

@ 1.62+7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.29

Betano

2.15

1xBet

2.14

Marathonbet

2.14

Superbet

2.12

Under

Betano

1.65

Superbet

1.64

Unibet

1.62

Pinnacle

1.60

1xBet

1.60

Aldershot over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

8.1%

@ 6.83-5.5%

Under

91.9%

@ 1.07+5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.10

Marathonbet

7.10

Superbet

6.70

Betano

6.40

Under

Betano

1.09

Superbet

1.08

1xBet

1.05

Marathonbet

1.05

Aldershot over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.4%

@ 17.25-4.1%

Under

98.6%

@ 1.01+4.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

22.00

Betano

12.50

Under

Betano

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

K
Kidderminster

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	0.60	0.53	0.40	0.80	0.80
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	1.00	0.50	0.50	1.00	1.50
vs Similar (13)	0.85	0.38	0.80	0.00	0.88	0.62
vs Weaker (13)	0.46	0.69	0.38	0.62	0.60	0.80
Clean sheet %	60% (+34pp vs league)

This opponent (Aldershot) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aldershot

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	0.77	0.47	0.73	1.07	0.80
vs Stronger (9)	0.56	0.33	0.00	0.40	1.25	0.25
vs Similar (21)	0.86	0.95	0.70	0.90	1.00	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	40% (+14pp vs league)

This opponent (Kidderminster) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

74.8%

Under 0.5

25.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

40.6%

Under 1.5

59.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

18.1%

Under 2.5

81.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Kidderminster over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

51.4%

Under

48.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Kidderminster over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

20.2%

Under

79.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Kidderminster over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

6.6%

Under

93.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aldershot over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

45.1%

Under

54.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aldershot over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

9.5%

Under

90.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aldershot over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

2.4%

Under

97.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.6%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	97.7%	1.01	Betano 1.02	1xBet 1.01	Bet365 1.01	Superbet 1.01	-	+3.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	97.6%	1.02	Betano 1.03	Superbet 1.01	-	-	-	+5.0%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	97.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	97.4%	1.02	Betano 1.03	Bet365 1.02	Superbet 1.01	-	-	+4.3%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	93.8%	1.03	Betano 1.06	Bet365 1.05	Superbet 1.04	BetVictor 1.03	Betfair 1.03	+4.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	93.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	91.9%	1.07	Betano 1.09	Superbet 1.08	1xBet 1.05	Marathonbet 1.05	-	+5.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	91.4%	1.05	Betano 1.07	Bet365 1.06	Superbet 1.05	Betfair 1.05	1xBet 1.03	+2.0%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	90.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	90.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.12	Superbet 1.12	Betano 1.12	William Hil 1.11	1xBet 1.08	+6.0%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	90.2%	1.09	Superbet 1.10	Bet365 1.10	Betfair 1.07	-	-	+7.0%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	89.9%	1.10	Betano 1.13	Bet365 1.12	Superbet 1.11	Betfair 1.11	BetVictor 1.10	+6.0%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	85.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.17	Betano 1.17	Superbet 1.16	Pinnacle 1.16	Unibet 1.13	+4.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	84.6%	1.13	Betano 1.15	Superbet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.12	1xBet 1.12	-	+3.1%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	81.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	80.8%	1.18	Betano 1.20	Bet365 1.18	Superbet 1.18	10Bet 1.18	BetVictor 1.17	+2.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	79.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards	78.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Over 1.5	77.3%	1.20	Pinnacle 1.23	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.22	10Bet 1.22	BetVictor 1.20	+0.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	77.0%	1.22	Betano 1.24	Pinnacle 1.23	Betfair 1.22	Bet365 1.22	Superbet 1.22	+0.9%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards	75.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home or Draw	75.7%	1.31	Betano 1.38	Superbet 1.33	Bet365 1.33	Betfair 1.33	BetVictor 1.33	+5.3%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	75.7%	1.30	Superbet 1.34	Bet365 1.33	Betfair 1.30	Marathonbet 1.27	Unibet 1.27	+8.7%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	74.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	73.3%	1.21	Bet365 1.25	Superbet 1.23	Marathonbet 1.21	Betfair 1.20	Unibet 1.17	+0.8%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	73.3%	1.25	William Hil 1.30	Betano 1.28	Superbet 1.27	Betfair 1.25	Bet365 1.25	-0.5%	✗ Miss
Under 3.5	70.1%	1.41	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.44	Superbet 1.43	Pinnacle 1.43	10Bet 1.42	+4.8%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (11)

€2m

HAR (14)

€1m

FG (4)

€1m

BU (6)

€1m

EAS (5)

€1m

SOU (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€1m

SOL (3)

€0m

ALT (5)

€0m

ALD (4)

€0m

WOK (3)

€0m

YEO (3)

€0m

SCU (2)

€0m

TAM (4)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

WEA (2)

€0m

HAL (2)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

ALD (3)

€0m

HAR (4)

€0m

ALT (3)

€0m

SOL (2)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

WOK (1)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

SOU (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

WEA (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (5)

€1m

HAR (4)

€1m

SOU (2)

€0m

BU (2)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

SCU (0)

€0m

FG (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

ALD (0)

€0m

SOL (0)

€0m

HAL (0)

€0m

WOK (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€0m

BU (3)

€0m

EAS (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

WOK (2)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

SOL (1)

€0m

SOU (1)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

ALD (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

TAM (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings

KID wins

Draws

ALD wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kidderminster vs Aldershot · H/A from KID

Date	H/A	Game	Score
20/01/24	H	KID Vs Aldershot	4-2
11/11/23	A	Aldershot Vs KID	1-0

K
Kidderminster

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	H	KID Vs Eastleigh	1-0
13/09/25	A	AFC Telford United Vs KID	3-1
12/10/24	H	KID Vs Guiseley AFC	0-1
01/10/24	H	KID Vs Buxton	2-0
28/09/24	A	Buxton Vs KID	1-1
14/09/24	H	KID Vs Leek Town	2-1
20/04/24	A	Barnet Vs KID	4-1
13/04/24	H	KID Vs Eastleigh	0-1
06/04/24	H	KID Vs Halifax	0-2
01/04/24	A	Chesterfield Vs KID	1-3

Aldershot

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	H	ALD Vs Hartlepool	0-1
08/08/26	A	Boston Utd Vs ALD	0-1
25/04/26	H	ALD Vs Truro	0-2
18/04/26	A	Brackley Town Vs ALD	2-1
14/04/26	H	ALD Vs Southend	0-2
11/04/26	H	ALD Vs Gateshead	0-1
06/04/26	A	Wealdstone Vs ALD	3-0
03/04/26	H	ALD Vs Sutton	2-2
28/03/26	A	Morecambe Vs ALD	0-2
24/03/26	H	ALD Vs Boreham Wood	1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kidderminster

England: National League

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWLLW	1.04
Home	LWWLW	1.08
Away	DWLDL	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	27%	25%
AVG goals	2.22	2.08	2.38
Over 1.5 %	66%	62%	71%
Over 2.5 %	42%	35%	50%
Over 3.5 %	16%	15%	17%
Scored	0.92	0.92	0.92
Conceded	1.30	1.15	1.46
BTTS	52%	46%	58%
Clean Sheet	26%	31%	21%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	3.68	4.05	3.32

Aldershot

England: National League

Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLLWL	1.06
Home	DLLLL	0.88
Away	LWLLW	1.23

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	25%	35%
AVG goals	3.30	3.33	3.27
Over 1.5 %	86%	88%	85%
Over 2.5 %	66%	67%	65%
Over 3.5 %	40%	46%	35%
Scored	1.48	1.38	1.58
Conceded	1.82	1.96	1.69
BTTS	62%	62%	62%
Clean Sheet	14%	8%	19%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	4.67	5.30	4.04

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sutton	5	12	80%	2.4	7	3	+4	2.0	60%	40%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	0.6	54%
2	Yeovil	5	11	60%	2.2	10	5	+5	3.0	100%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.0	47%
3	Boreham Wood	4	10	75%	2.5	11	5	+6	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	1.2	58%
4	Harrogate	5	10	60%	2.0	13	9	+4	4.4	100%	100%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	1	0	2.6	1.8	-
5	F Fylde	5	10	60%	2.0	11	7	+4	3.6	100%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.4	-
6	Southend	5	10	60%	2.0	9	6	+3	3.0	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.8	1.2	52%
7	Eastleigh	5	10	60%	2.0	7	5	+2	2.4	60%	40%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.4	1.0	41%
8	K Kidderminster	4	8	50%	2.0	6	3	+3	2.2	75%	25%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	0.8	-
9	Aldershot	5	8	40%	1.6	6	4	+2	2.0	60%	20%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	0.8	54%
10	Boston Utd	4	6	50%	1.5	4	3	+1	1.8	50%	25%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	0.8	-
11	Hartlepool	4	6	50%	1.5	4	3	+1	1.8	50%	25%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	0.8	47%
12	Altrincham	5	6	40%	1.2	5	7	-2	2.4	60%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.4	52%
13	Carlisle	3	5	33%	1.7	6	4	+2	3.3	100%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.3	49%
14	Wealdstone	4	5	25%	1.2	6	6	+0	3.0	100%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.5	57%
15	Scunthorpe	5	4	20%	0.8	8	10	-2	3.6	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	2.0	49%
16	Woking	4	4	25%	1.0	4	8	-4	3.0	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.0	50%
17	Halifax	4	3	25%	0.8	8	9	-1	4.2	100%	100%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	2.2	48%
18	Gateshead	5	3	20%	0.6	4	8	-4	2.4	80%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.6	50%
19	Forest Green	4	3	25%	0.8	4	9	-5	3.2	100%	75%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	2.2	53%
20	Barrow	4	2	0%	0.5	4	7	-3	2.8	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	1	1	1.0	1.8	-
21	Tamworth	4	1	0%	0.2	7	12	-5	4.8	100%	100%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	3.0	38%
22	Solihull	5	0	0%	0.0	5	16	-11	4.2	100%	80%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.2	48%

England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches

Kidderminster vs Aldershot Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KKidderminster

Aldershot

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KKidderminster

Aldershot

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KKidderminster

Aldershot

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

KKidderminster

Aldershot

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature

K
Kidderminster

K
Kidderminster

K
Kidderminster

K
Kidderminster