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Kidderminster vs Barrow Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
K
Kidderminster
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Barrow
Barrow
England: National League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Kidderminster are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with the model favouring a home win and an expected 2.6 goals in the match. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.5% chance, while the average total goals is two. Kidderminster have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.2 at home against similar opposition, whereas Barrow have struggled away, scoring 1.29 and conceding 2.57 against comparable teams. The home side’s recent form includes a win over Southend, while Barrow return after a defeat to Yeovil. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.3% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.4% with a 6% edge), Under 5.5 (95.0% with a 4% edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (93.4%). The probabilities for the match outcomes are 45% for a home win, 28% for a draw and 27% for an away win.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Kidderminster, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s pick incorrect. The model had given Kidderminster a 45% chance of winning, but the game ended in a stalemate. The upset was highlighted by the high-confidence selections: Under 7.5 (99.5%) hit, Under 6.5 (98.3%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.4%) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.9%) hit, Under 5.5 (95.0%) hit, and Home under 3.5 goals (93.4%) hit. Kidderminster’s recent form, a draw-heavy run, and Barrow’s similar pattern of draws set the stage for a surprising finish.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kidderminster win✗ Miss
45.0%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.42
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Pinnacle
2.50
Betano
2.47
William Hil
2.45
Draw✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.27
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Unibet
3.35
Barrow win✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.66
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.81
William Hil
2.75
Betano
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.66

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

K
Kidderminster

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L14L21W11D20W01L13L10W11D31WH·EAS13/04A·BAR20/04H·LEE14/09A·BUX28/09H·BUX01/10H·GUI12/10A·AFC13/09H·EAS15/08H·ALD22/08A·SOU28/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.231.061.251.211.21
vs Stronger (4)1.001.251.000.501.002.00
vs Similar (11)1.361.181.401.201.331.17
vs Weaker (15)1.001.270.891.441.171.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Barrow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BarrowBarrow

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L23L32W13L03L12L02L22D12LA·MIL03/04H·CHE06/04A·BAR11/04H·OLD14/04H·WAL18/04A·CAM25/04H·NEW02/05A·HAR08/08A·HAR22/08H·YEO28/08← League TwoNational League →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.930.791.431.192.38
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (26)1.082.040.831.421.292.57
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Kidderminster) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
@ 1.25+0.8%
Under 1.5
25.4%
@ 3.53-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Unibet
3.85
Pinnacle
3.61
Superbet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.4%
@ 1.83-2.5%
Under 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.90+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Under
Unibet
2.00
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.93
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.6%
@ 3.06-3.7%
Under 3.5
73.4%
@ 1.33+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Pinnacle
3.15
10Bet
3.10
Under
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
@ 1.64-2.8%
No
46.7%
@ 2.10+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.70
William Hil
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
No
Betfair
2.20
Unibet
2.15
BetVictor
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Superbet
2.10

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.5%@ 6.00+6.2%
1-0
9.8%@ 7.94+4.3%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.44+4.0%
0-0
8.6%@ 9.40+4.0%
2-0
8.3%@ 11.43+4.5%
0-1
6.9%@ 8.40+1.8%
1-2
6.8%@ 8.98+1.9%
2-2
5.1%@ 11.55+1.3%
Kidderminster goals ↓
Barrow goals →
01234
08.6%6.9%4.5%1.7%0.5%
19.8%13%6.8%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.2%5.1%1.9%0.5%
34.1%4.6%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.5%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kidderminster goals (down), columns = Barrow goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Kidderminster is 0.80 points worse than Barrow in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 2.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Kidderminster is 0.85 goals worse than Barrow in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 2.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Kidderminster is 0.54 goals worse than Barrow in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kidderminster or Draw✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied 65.9% · @ 1.40
Edge
+7.2%
45%
28%
27%
covers Kidderminster + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Kidderminster or Barrow✗ Miss
71.8%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.1%
45%
28%
27%
covers Kidderminster + Barrow
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Draw or Barrow✓ Hit
55.0%
Avg Implied 62.1% · @ 1.48
Edge
-7.1%
45%
28%
27%
covers Draw + Barrow
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kidderminster over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.7%
@ 1.25+3.8%
Under
22.3%
@ 3.54-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
Pinnacle
3.68
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Kidderminster over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.2%
@ 2.23+2.8%
Under
55.8%
@ 1.58-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Superbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Kidderminster over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.1%
@ 5.01+0.6%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.14-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.85
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Kidderminster over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 12.08-1.3%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.03+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Barrow over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.0%
@ 1.29-4.9%
Under
33.0%
@ 3.29+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.40
Betano
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Barrow over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.4%
@ 2.38-8.4%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.51+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
Unibet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Barrow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 5.50-6.7%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.11+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Barrow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 11.88-5.3%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.03+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.50
Betano
10.00
Under
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kidderminster, so a minus line means Kidderminster give that many goals of a start and Barrow receive them. At -1, Kidderminster must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kidderminster win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kidderminster)Actual: Barrow
Kidderminster -2
9.1%
@ 11.07+1.0%
Draw -2
13.9%
@ 6.86+0.8%
Barrow +2
77.0%
@ 1.15-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.30
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Superbet
6.70
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (Kidderminster)Actual: Barrow
Kidderminster -1
23.0%
@ 4.56+3.9%
Draw -1
21.9%
@ 3.99-0.0%
Barrow +1
55.0%
@ 1.49-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
Handicap +1 (Kidderminster)Actual: Kidderminster
Kidderminster +1
73.2%
@ 1.40+10.8%
Draw +1
15.9%
@ 4.21-4.8%
Barrow -1
10.9%
@ 5.17-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.30
Unibet
3.60
Away
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
5.00
Unibet
4.10
Handicap +2 (Kidderminster)Actual: Kidderminster
Kidderminster +2
89.1%
@ 1.12+9.5%
Draw +2
7.6%
@ 7.06-5.0%
Barrow -2
3.3%
@ 11.36-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.45

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

K
Kidderminster

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L00D10W00D01L00D10W01LH·HAL06/04H·EAS13/04A·BAR20/04A·BUX28/09H·BUX01/10H·GUI12/10A·AFC13/09H·EAS15/08H·ALD22/08A·SOU28/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.600.470.800.200.40
vs Stronger (4)0.250.250.500.000.000.50
vs Similar (11)0.270.730.251.250.290.43
vs Weaker (15)0.400.600.560.780.170.33
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Barrow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BarrowBarrow

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D00D02L01L10W01L11D00DA·MIL03/04H·CHE06/04A·BAR11/04H·OLD14/04H·WAL18/04A·CAM25/04H·NEW02/05A·HAR08/08A·HAR22/08H·YEO28/08← League TwoNational League →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.140.500.751.00
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.000.000.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.500.850.170.580.791.07
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kidderminster) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.3%
@ 1.36-0.7%
Under 0.5
32.7%
@ 2.90+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.09
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.0%
@ 2.64-3.0%
Under 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.42+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Betano
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Under
Unibet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 6.65-2.7%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.08+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
1xBet
6.25
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.06

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kidderminster over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.7%
@ 1.98+2.1%
Under
51.3%
@ 1.73-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Under
Unibet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Kidderminster over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 6.24-0.5%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.08+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.15
Superbet
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Kidderminster over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 15.88-3.8%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Barrow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.4%
@ 2.05-8.4%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.66+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.09
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Under
Superbet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
Barrow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 6.67-5.4%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.08+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.70
Betano
6.30
Superbet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Barrow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 16.50-2.6%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

K
Kidderminster

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D12L11D10W01L12L10W01L30WH·HAL06/04H·EAS13/04A·BAR20/04A·BUX28/09H·BUX01/10H·GUI12/10A·AFC13/09H·EAS15/08H·ALD22/08A·SOU28/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.530.470.930.80
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.500.501.001.50
vs Similar (11)0.910.451.000.000.860.71
vs Weaker (15)0.600.670.330.671.000.67
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Barrow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BarrowBarrow

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L12L32W11D02L02L01L11D12LA·MIL03/04H·CHE06/04A·BAR11/04H·OLD14/04H·WAL18/04A·CAM25/04H·NEW02/05A·HAR08/08A·HAR22/08H·YEO28/08← League TwoNational League →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.170.640.930.441.38
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.581.190.670.830.501.50
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kidderminster) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
76.2%
@ 1.21-0.1%
Under 0.5
23.8%
@ 3.88+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Under
Betano
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
William Hil
3.80
Marathonbet
3.78
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.6%
@ 2.00-2.7%
Under 1.5
56.4%
@ 1.72+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Betano
2.02
Under
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.9%
@ 4.19-4.2%
Under 2.5
82.1%
@ 1.19+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kidderminster over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.3%
@ 1.71-0.9%
Under
46.7%
@ 2.02+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Kidderminster over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.1%
@ 4.41+0.1%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.17-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Kidderminster over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 11.25-0.9%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Barrow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.2%
@ 1.76-10.4%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.96+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.91
Barrow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 4.66-8.4%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.15+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.60
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Barrow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 11.33-5.4%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.3%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
--+2.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.8%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+3.8%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.4%1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-+5.3%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.2%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
--+5.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals96.9%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+2.6%✓ Hit
Under 5.595.0%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.4%1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
--+1.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals92.6%1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
---+0.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.5%1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-+5.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals89.9%1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+6.7%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.1%1.12
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
-+9.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals88.8%1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.06
+2.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals88.6%1.15
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-+8.4%✓ Hit
Under 4.587.6%1.10
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.11
+3.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals85.7%1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-+0.5%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.7%--------
Under 2.5 2H goals82.1%1.19
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.16
+4.2%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals80.9%1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
-0.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals78.9%1.17
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
--0.1%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals77.7%1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
10Bet
1.25
+3.8%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap77.0%1.15
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
--1.8%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals76.2%1.21
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
-0.1%✗ Miss
Over 1.574.6%1.25
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
+0.8%✓ Hit
Under 3.573.4%1.33
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Bet365
1.33
+3.7%✓ Hit
Home or Draw73.2%1.40
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
+7.2%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap73.2%1.40
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
+10.8%✓ Hit
Home or Away71.8%1.28
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.29
-0.1%✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards70.6%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Barrow · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Gordon26%
Isaac Fletcher23%
Danny Rose19%
Charlie McCann15%
Lewis Shipley12%
Ben Whitfield11%
Tyler Walker9%
Jovan Malcolm8%
Niall Canavan7%
Rekeem Harper6%
Scott Smith3%
Jack Earing3%
Charlie Raglan3%
Connor Mahoney3%
Elliot Newby2%
Ben Jackson2%
Sam Foley0%
David Worrall0%
Kane Hemmings0%
Regan Booty0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
MJ Williams0%
Innes Cameron0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Joseph Anderson0%
Jack Thompson0%
Brandon Powell0%
Wyll Stanway0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Freddie Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Freddie Anderson50%
Scott Smith33%
Josh Gordon32%
Jack Thompson30%
Niall Canavan21%
Joseph Anderson21%
Danny Rose19%
Regan Booty18%
Charlie McCann18%
MJ Williams16%
Angus MacDonald15%
Rekeem Harper15%
Kane Hemmings14%
Isaac Fletcher13%
Lewis Shipley12%
Charlie Raglan11%
Elliot Newby10%
Ben Jackson9%
Tom Barkhuizen9%
Wyll Stanway7%
Tyler Walker5%
Ben Whitfield4%
Connor Mahoney3%
Sam Foley0%
David Worrall0%
Jack Earing0%
Innes Cameron0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Jovan Malcolm0%
Brandon Powell0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ben Whitfield11%
Tom Barkhuizen9%
Angus MacDonald8%
Kane Hemmings7%
Niall Canavan7%
Joseph Anderson7%
Jack Earing6%
Isaac Fletcher6%
Connor Mahoney5%
Elliot Newby5%
Danny Rose5%
MJ Williams4%
Rekeem Harper3%
Charlie McCann3%
Charlie Raglan3%
Tyler Walker0%
Sam Foley0%
David Worrall0%
Regan Booty0%
Josh Gordon0%
Innes Cameron0%
Ben Jackson0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Scott Smith0%
Jovan Malcolm0%
Lewis Shipley0%
Jack Thompson0%
Brandon Powell0%
Wyll Stanway0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Freddie Anderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Freddie Anderson25%
Josh Gordon16%
Isaac Fletcher10%
Charlie McCann9%
Danny Rose5%
MJ Williams4%
Scott Smith3%
Rekeem Harper3%
Charlie Raglan3%
Connor Mahoney3%
Tyler Walker0%
Sam Foley0%
Ben Whitfield0%
David Worrall0%
Kane Hemmings0%
Regan Booty0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
Jack Earing0%
Niall Canavan0%
Elliot Newby0%
Innes Cameron0%
Ben Jackson0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Joseph Anderson0%
Jovan Malcolm0%
Lewis Shipley0%
Jack Thompson0%
Brandon Powell0%
Wyll Stanway0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KID wins
0
Draws
0
BAR wins

Head-to-head

Kidderminster vs Barrow · H/A from KID
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

K
Kidderminster

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ASouthend Vs KID1-3
22/08/26HKID Vs Aldershot1-1
15/08/26HKID Vs Eastleigh1-0
13/09/25AAFC Telford United Vs KID3-1
12/10/24HKID Vs Guiseley AFC0-1
01/10/24HKID Vs Buxton2-0
28/09/24ABuxton Vs KID1-1
14/09/24HKID Vs Leek Town2-1
20/04/24ABarnet Vs KID4-1
13/04/24HKID Vs Eastleigh0-1

BarrowBarrow

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HBAR Vs Yeovil1-2
22/08/26AHarrogate Vs BAR2-2
08/08/26AHartlepool Vs BAR2-0
02/05/26HBAR Vs Newport County1-2
25/04/26ACambridge Vs BAR3-0
18/04/26HBAR Vs Walsall1-3
14/04/26HBAR Vs Oldham3-2
11/04/26ABarnet Vs BAR3-2
06/04/26HBAR Vs Chesterfield0-1
03/04/26AMilton Keynes Dons Vs BAR0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

K
Kidderminster
England: National League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.10
HomeWWLWD1.08
AwayWLDLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%27%29%
AVG goals2.282.152.42
Over 1.5 %68%65%71%
Over 2.5 %42%35%50%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored0.980.961.00
Conceded1.301.191.42
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards3.624.003.24
Barrow
Barrow
England: National League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.82
HomeLWLLL0.79
AwayDLLLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%21%19%
AVG goals2.722.253.15
Over 1.5 %74%58%88%
Over 2.5 %64%50%77%
Over 3.5 %34%21%46%
Scored1.040.791.27
Conceded1.681.461.88
BTTS58%46%69%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners10.1310.1310.14
Cards3.223.263.18

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SuttonSutton512
80%
2.4
73+4
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.6
54%
2YeovilYeovil511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
47%
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood410
75%
2.5
115+6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.2
58%
4HarrogateHarrogate510
60%
2.0
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.61.8
-
5
F
Fylde		510
60%
2.0
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
6SouthendSouthend510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.2
52%
7EastleighEastleigh510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.0
41%
8
K
Kidderminster		48
50%
2.0
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
9AldershotAldershot58
40%
1.6
64+2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
54%
10Boston UtdBoston Utd46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.8
-
11HalifaxHalifax56
40%
1.2
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
48%
12HartlepoolHartlepool56
40%
1.2
44+0
1.6
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
47%
13AltrinchamAltrincham56
40%
1.2
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
52%
14CarlisleCarlisle35
33%
1.7
64+2
3.3
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
49%
15WealdstoneWealdstone45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
57%
16ScunthorpeScunthorpe54
20%
0.8
810-2
3.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
49%
17WokingWoking44
25%
1.0
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
50%
18GatesheadGateshead53
20%
0.6
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
50%
19Forest GreenForest Green43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
53%
20BarrowBarrow42
0%
0.5
47-3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
21TamworthTamworth41
0%
0.2
712-5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.83.0
38%
22SolihullSolihull50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
48%
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

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