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Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2026
Time: 20:00
Final 1-0
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Vs
21%
26%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilmarnock win✓ Hit
21.3%
Avg Implied 19.8% · @ 4.70
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.81
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian win✗ Miss
53.2%
Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.67
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L11D12L04L30W15L43W23L11D15LH·HIB03/01A·LIV10/01H·DUN17/01A·MOT24/01H·ABE31/01A·RAN04/02H·ST 11/02H·CEL15/02A·DUN21/02A·FAL28/02
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.031.251.750.932.36
vs Stronger (9)0.783.000.802.800.753.25
vs Similar (21)1.241.621.451.271.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W11D22D30W01L10W24L10W10WA·DUN11/01H·ST 14/01H·FAL17/01H·CEL25/01A·DUN31/01A·ST 03/02H·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02H·FAL21/02H·ABE28/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.871.800.671.671.07
vs Stronger (6)2.171.502.331.332.001.67
vs Similar (14)1.570.791.500.621.671.00
vs Weaker (10)1.700.602.000.251.500.83
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.8%
@ 1.78+1.6%
Under 2.5
46.2%
@ 1.95-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
0-3
5.5%
Kilmarnock goals ↓
Heart Of Midlothian goals →
01234
07.0%9.4%9.3%5.5%2.5%
15.1%12%9.8%5.8%2.6%
23.3%5.8%5.2%3.1%1.4%
31.2%2.0%1.8%1.1%0.5%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kilmarnock goals (down), columns = Heart Of Midlothian goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Kilmarnock is 1.05 points worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 2.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Kilmarnock is 0.45 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Kilmarnock is 0.89 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Kilmarnock is 10.9 percentage points worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of average possession (42% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 4.4 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

1302336679411073125753575913131110312812A·FALA·DUNH·CELH·ST A·RANH·ABEA·MOTA·LIVH·HIBA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

7023411313313431443425544473576A·FALA·DUNH·CELH·ST A·RANH·ABEA·MOTA·LIVH·HIBA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

320159997810197101610181416121313171224181529172632282629A·FALA·DUNH·CELH·ST A·RANH·ABEA·MOTA·LIVH·HIBA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

For 4.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

12074843748276223546731112101296481010H·ABEH·FALA·RANH·HIBA·ST A·DUNH·CELH·ST A·DUNH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 3.4 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

10035133432115371112384733610233H·ABEH·FALA·RANH·HIBA·ST A·DUNH·CELH·ST A·DUNH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 15.4 · Total 25.1

⚠️ Fouls

3507169101317101881911121322712141351523193028272335192720H·ABEH·FALA·RANH·HIBA·ST A·DUNH·CELH·ST A·DUNH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.210.43.94.23.623.824.323.3
vs Stronger (15)10.49.811.13.94.43.421.723.020.1
vs Similar (35)9.58.910.13.94.23.724.925.024.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%36%68%54%59%48%64%68%59%
% under line48%64%32%46%41%52%36%32%41%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.49.73.53.33.823.523.124.0
vs Stronger (8)10.912.89.04.45.03.823.924.023.8
vs Similar (20)9.19.48.64.03.84.525.626.524.5
vs Weaker (22)10.810.511.02.82.23.421.118.523.6
% over line57%64%50%44%41%48%57%50%65%
% under line43%36%50%56%59%52%43%50%35%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.2
ST Mirren
11.0
Rangers
10.8
Aberdeen
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.7
Hibernian
10.7
Falkirk
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Partick
10.2
Dundee
10.2
Kilmarnock
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.8
Dunfermline
9.6
Motherwell
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.8
Livingston
4.5
Hibernian
4.4
Motherwell
4.4
Partick
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Dundee Utd
4.1
ST Mirren
3.8
Dunfermline
3.7
Celtic
3.6
Dundee
3.4
Arbroath
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Livingston
26.0
Motherwell
25.6
Rangers
25.2
Aberdeen
24.4
Falkirk
23.8
Kilmarnock
23.6
Heart Of Midlothian
23.2
Hibernian
22.2
ST Mirren
21.8
Dundee Utd
21.7
Dundee
21.4
Celtic
21.2
Dunfermline
21.1
Arbroath
20.7
Partick
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.8%
Under 9.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.5%
Under 3.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.0%
Under 21.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W02L20W01L21W20W00D13LH·HIB03/01A·LIV10/01H·DUN17/01A·MOT24/01H·ABE31/01A·RAN04/02H·ST 11/02H·CEL15/02A·DUN21/02A·FAL28/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.750.560.430.93
vs Stronger (9)0.330.670.400.600.250.75
vs Similar (21)0.710.760.910.550.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D01L20W00D00D22D10W10WA·DUN11/01H·ST 14/01H·FAL17/01H·CEL25/01A·DUN31/01A·ST 03/02H·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02H·FAL21/02H·ABE28/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.730.270.730.67
vs Stronger (6)1.170.671.000.671.330.67
vs Similar (14)0.640.500.620.250.670.83
vs Weaker (10)0.600.300.750.000.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W02L02L10W14L22D03L11D02LH·HIB03/01A·LIV10/01H·DUN17/01A·MOT24/01H·ABE31/01A·RAN04/02H·ST 11/02H·CEL15/02A·DUN21/02A·FAL28/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.300.501.190.501.43
vs Stronger (9)0.442.330.402.200.502.50
vs Similar (21)0.520.860.550.730.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W11D21W10W01L10W02L00D00DA·DUN11/01H·ST 14/01H·FAL17/01H·CEL25/01A·DUN31/01A·ST 03/02H·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02H·FAL21/02H·ABE28/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.401.070.400.930.40
vs Stronger (6)1.000.831.330.670.671.00
vs Similar (14)0.930.290.880.381.000.17
vs Weaker (10)1.100.301.250.251.000.33
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls85.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners74.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls74.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joe Hugill40%
Tyreece John-Jules33%
Djenairo Daniels29%
Findlay Curtis29%
Nicky Cleșcenco20%
Greg Kiltie12%
Bruce Anderson11%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen11%
George Stanger10%
David Watson9%
Scott Tiffoney8%
Marcus Dackers8%
Marley Watkins7%
Ben Brannan6%
Robbie Deas6%
Tom Lowery5%
Liam Polworth3%
Bradley Lyons3%
Kelle Roos0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
Kyle Magennis0%
James Brown0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kyle Magennis33%
Robbie Deas33%
George Stanger30%
Bradley Lyons29%
Djenairo Daniels29%
David Watson24%
Aaron Tshibola21%
Joe Hugill20%
Jamie Brandon17%
Marcus Dackers17%
Dominic Thompson16%
Tom Lowery14%
James Brown13%
Jack Thomson12%
Lewis Mayo12%
Greg Kiltie12%
Ben Brannan12%
Liam Polworth10%
Bruce Anderson9%
Findlay Curtis7%
Tyreece John-Jules6%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen6%
Ethan Brown6%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Max Stryjek0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Greg Kiltie21%
James Brown13%
Joe Hugill13%
Tyreece John-Jules11%
Scott Tiffoney8%
Marley Watkins7%
Findlay Curtis7%
Bruce Anderson6%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen6%
Robbie Deas6%
Dominic Thompson5%
Tom Lowery5%
Liam Polworth3%
Bradley Lyons3%
David Watson3%
Kelle Roos0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
George Stanger0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Djenairo Daniels0%
Marcus Dackers0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
Ben Brannan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Findlay Curtis43%
Tyreece John-Jules22%
Joe Hugill20%
Djenairo Daniels14%
Marcus Dackers12%
David Watson6%
Bruce Anderson6%
Greg Kiltie3%
Tom Lowery0%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
George Stanger0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen0%
James Brown0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Robbie Deas0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
Ben Brannan0%
Heart Of Midlothian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lawrence Shankland52%
Cláudio Braga32%
Craig Halkett13%
Pierre Landry Kaboré12%
Stuart Findlay12%
Tomas Magnusson11%
Alexandros Kyziridis11%
Islam Chesnokov10%
Stephen Kingsley10%
Blair Spittal8%
Marc Leonard8%
Cameron Devlin7%
Oisin McEntee7%
Frankie Kent5%
Harry Milne3%
Craig Gordon0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Beni Baningime0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Craig Halkett30%
Harry Milne27%
Marc Leonard23%
Cameron Devlin21%
Christian Borchgrevink20%
Oisin McEntee18%
Stuart Findlay15%
Ageu14%
Lawrence Shankland14%
Alexandros Kyziridis13%
Michael Steinwender12%
Blair Spittal12%
Tomas Magnusson11%
Frankie Kent10%
Islam Chesnokov10%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Beni Baningime8%
Alan Forrest8%
Jordi Altena6%
Cláudio Braga5%
Jamie McCart5%
Stephen Kingsley5%
Craig Gordon0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Rogers Mato0%
James Wilson0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marc Leonard23%
Harry Milne20%
Alexandros Kyziridis18%
Sabah Kerjota11%
Oisin McEntee11%
Lawrence Shankland10%
Blair Spittal8%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Cláudio Braga8%
Michael Steinwender6%
Jordi Altena6%
Stephen Kingsley5%
Beni Baningime4%
Stuart Findlay3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Frankie Kent0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Islam Chesnokov0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lawrence Shankland45%
Cláudio Braga39%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Marc Leonard8%
Harry Milne7%
Alexandros Kyziridis5%
Stuart Findlay3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Frankie Kent0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
Beni Baningime0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Blair Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Oisin McEntee0%
Islam Chesnokov0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Kilmarnock's squad is €15m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€7m vs €22m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Kilmarnock's attack is €10m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€3m vs €12m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Kilmarnock's midfield is €2m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€2m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Kilmarnock's defence is €3m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€3m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
KIL wins
3
Draws
3
HOM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kilmarnock vs Heart Of Midlothian · H/A from KIL
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL1-1
18/10/25HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-3
18/05/25HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-1
25/01/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL3-2
15/12/24HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-0
30/10/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL1-2
27/04/24HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-0
30/03/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs KIL1-1

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26AFalkirk Vs KIL5-1
21/02/26ADundee Utd Vs KIL1-1
15/02/26HKIL Vs Celtic2-3
11/02/26HKIL Vs ST Mirren4-3
04/02/26ARangers Vs KIL5-1
31/01/26HKIL Vs Aberdeen3-0
24/01/26AMotherwell Vs KIL4-0
17/01/26HKIL Vs Dundee1-2
10/01/26ALivingston Vs KIL1-1
03/01/26HKIL Vs Hibernian1-3

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26HHOM Vs Aberdeen1-0
21/02/26HHOM Vs Falkirk1-0
15/02/26ARangers Vs HOM4-2
10/02/26HHOM Vs Hibernian1-0
03/02/26AST Mirren Vs HOM1-0
31/01/26ADundee Utd Vs HOM0-3
25/01/26HHOM Vs Celtic2-2
17/01/26HHOM Vs Falkirk1-1
14/01/26HHOM Vs ST Mirren2-0
11/01/26ADundee Vs HOM0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.02
HomeLLWWL1.41
AwayDLLDL0.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%41%9%
AVG goals3.082.963.22
Over 1.5 %80%78%83%
Over 2.5 %60%59%61%
Over 3.5 %42%37%48%
Scored1.241.520.91
Conceded1.841.442.30
BTTS56%52%61%
Clean Sheet24%30%17%
Corners9.829.2310.41
Cards4.284.563.95
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW2.06
HomeDDWWW2.22
AwayLWWLL1.87
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%67%57%
AVG goals2.702.672.74
Over 1.5 %74%74%74%
Over 2.5 %54%48%61%
Over 3.5 %32%33%30%
Scored1.841.931.74
Conceded0.860.741.00
BTTS46%48%43%
Clean Sheet44%44%43%
Corners10.0510.419.65
Cards4.124.054.19

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches