Kisvarda FC hosts Debreceni VSC in Hungary: NB I, with the away team's recent form storyline worth noting, as they're coming off a 1-5 loss to FC Copenhagen. However, the Pythia prediction model favours Debreceni VSC to win, with a 44% chance of taking all three points. The overall shape of the match is expected to be an open one, with an average of 3 goals expected. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.1% probability.
Debreceni VSC has struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.6, while Kisvarda FC averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home. The model's selection for the match result is an away win. In suggested picks, the model selects Over 1.5 goals with an 81.5% probability and Over 21.5 fouls with an 81% probability. The home win percentage is 30%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 44%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Debreceni VSC, slipped into a 0-0 draw, a shock that left the model’s prediction of an away win wrong. The match finished level, with both sides coming off recent draws and neither scoring. The model’s selection of an away win, at 44 % probability, proved incorrect. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.8 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.1 %, Under 6.5 at 96.5 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.5 %, and Under 5.5 at 91.4 %. The outcome confirmed the model’s confidence in a low-scoring affair.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kisvarda FC win✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.16
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.47
1xBet
3.30
888Sport
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
William Hil
3.20
Draw✓ Hit
26.0%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.35
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.47
Dafabet
3.45
Betano
3.45
Debreceni VSC win✗ Miss
44.5%
Avg Implied 43.5% · @ 2.11
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.20
Betano
2.18
Dafabet
2.18
SBO
2.15
10Bet
2.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kisvarda FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.43
1.31
1.19
1.00
1.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.50
1.00
1.25
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.42
1.42
1.17
1.17
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.50
1.29
1.29
1.69
1.77
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.50
0.00
2.50
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.62
1.35
1.47
1.13
1.82
1.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.5%
@ 1.22+5.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
@ 3.86-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.22
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
888Sport
3.90
Superbet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.1%
@ 1.74+4.3%
Under 2.5
41.9%
@ 2.02-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.75
888Sport
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
2.08
SBO
2.08
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.7%
@ 2.79+2.5%
Under 3.5
64.3%
@ 1.39-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.95
10Bet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
888Sport
2.80
Under
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.2%
@ 1.61+3.7%
No
38.8%
@ 2.17-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.63
888Sport
1.62
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
No
888Sport
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%@ 6.09+5.0%
1-2
9.2%@ 7.72+3.6%
2-1
7.4%@ 10.01+3.0%
0-1
7.1%@ 7.88+1.6%
0-2
6.9%@ 10.04+2.6%
2-2
6.2%@ 10.98+2.2%
0-0 ✓
6.0%@ 10.70+1.9%
1-0
5.4%@ 9.94+1.1%
Kisvarda FC goals ↓
Debreceni VSC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
7.1%
6.9%
3.9%
1.6%
1
5.4%
12%
9.2%
5.2%
2.2%
2
4.4%
7.4%
6.2%
3.5%
1.5%
3
2.0%
3.3%
2.8%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kisvarda FC goals (down), columns = Debreceni VSC goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Kisvarda FC and Debreceni VSC are level in average points per game (both 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Kisvarda FC is 0.17 goals better than Debreceni VSC in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Kisvarda FC is 0.17 goals better than Debreceni VSC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Kisvarda FC is 12.8 percentage points worse than Debreceni VSC in terms of average possession (42% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kisvarda FC
For 3.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 11.5 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Debreceni VSC
For 6.4 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 14.4 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kisvarda FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.1
9.0
2.3
2.4
2.1
24.3
23.5
25.4
vs Stronger (6)
11.0
11.7
10.0
3.3
3.0
4.0
25.8
25.0
27.0
vs Similar (43)
9.3
9.8
8.8
2.2
2.4
2.0
24.0
23.2
25.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
62%
54%
28%
27%
29%
62%
56%
69%
% under line
41%
38%
46%
72%
73%
71%
38%
44%
31%
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.2
9.2
3.5
3.3
3.6
27.4
28.1
26.7
vs Stronger (5)
9.4
9.0
10.0
2.6
2.3
3.0
29.6
31.3
27.0
vs Similar (45)
9.7
10.4
9.1
3.6
3.5
3.7
27.0
27.4
26.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
47%
40%
44%
48%
40%
85%
89%
80%
% under line
56%
53%
60%
56%
52%
60%
15%
11%
20%
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
10.3
Ujpest
10.0
Puskas Academy
9.8
Gyori ETO FC
9.8
Debreceni VSC
9.7
Kisvarda FC
9.6
MTK Budapest
9.6
Budapest Honved
9.4
Ferencvarosi TC
9.4
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.0
Vasas
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Paks
5.1
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Vasas
5.0
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.7
Ferencvarosi TC
4.6
MTK Budapest
4.3
Budapest Honved
4.3
Kisvarda FC
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
28.5
Debreceni VSC
28.0
Puskas Academy
27.5
Ferencvarosi TC
27.5
Ujpest
26.2
MTK Budapest
24.8
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
Gyori ETO FC
24.3
Kisvarda FC
24.0
Budapest Honved
23.3
Vasas
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.6%
@ 1.96-1.8%
Under 9.5
54.4%
@ 1.76+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Superbet
1.88
Unibet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.1%
Under 3.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.5%
Under 21.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kisvarda FC or Draw✓ Hit
55.5%
Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.66
Edge
-0.2%
30%
26%
44%
covers Kisvarda FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.70
William Hil
1.70
888Sport
1.70
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Kisvarda FC or Debreceni VSC✗ Miss
74.0%
Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.26
Edge
+0.6%
30%
26%
44%
covers Kisvarda FC + Debreceni VSC
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Draw or Debreceni VSC✓ Hit
70.5%
Avg Implied 70.8% · @ 1.31
Edge
-0.4%
30%
26%
44%
covers Draw + Debreceni VSC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.8%
@ 1.32+3.4%
Under
26.2%
@ 3.13-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.15
888Sport
3.10
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.7%
@ 2.55+2.3%
Under
61.3%
@ 1.46-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.72
888Sport
2.63
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.2%
@ 5.95-0.4%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.10+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.50
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.00
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Kisvarda FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 15.06-1.6%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.02+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
81.4%
@ 1.19+3.6%
Under
18.6%
@ 4.16-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
888Sport
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
4.20
Betano
4.10
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.1%
@ 1.95+2.4%
Under
49.9%
@ 1.77-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.98
Pinnacle
1.97
888Sport
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.8%
@ 3.96+0.5%
Under
76.2%
@ 1.20-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
Pinnacle
4.10
Unibet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
888Sport
4.00
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Debreceni VSC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 9.38-1.0%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.04+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
10.00
1xBet
9.40
Superbet
8.70
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kisvarda FC, so a minus line means Kisvarda FC give that many goals of a start and Debreceni VSC receive them. At -1, Kisvarda FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kisvarda FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kisvarda FC)Actual: Debreceni VSC
Kisvarda FC -2
4.7%
@ 13.67-2.0%
Draw -2
8.7%
@ 8.50-1.9%
Debreceni VSC +2
86.6%
@ 1.09+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Unibet
13.00
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
8.00
Away
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Handicap -1 (Kisvarda FC)Actual: Debreceni VSC
Kisvarda FC -1
13.4%
@ 6.28-0.8%
Draw -1
16.1%
@ 4.75-2.6%
Debreceni VSC +1
70.5%
@ 1.33+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Unibet
6.10
Superbet
5.90
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.85
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.25
Handicap +1 (Kisvarda FC)Actual: Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC +1
55.5%
@ 1.66+2.1%
Draw +1
20.5%
@ 3.80-2.8%
Debreceni VSC -1
23.9%
@ 3.81+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.70
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.75
Handicap +2 (Kisvarda FC)Actual: Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC +2
76.1%
@ 1.22+2.8%
Draw +2
13.8%
@ 5.85-1.5%
Debreceni VSC -2
10.2%
@ 7.83-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Unibet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Away
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kisvarda FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.44
0.69
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.33
0.25
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.58
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.53
0.53
0.77
0.77
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.62
0.60
0.47
0.91
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.0%
@ 1.32+3.0%
Under 0.5
27.0%
@ 3.08-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.32
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.5%
@ 2.53-2.0%
Under 1.5
65.5%
@ 1.46+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.63
Betano
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 5.86-3.0%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.10+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.6%
@ 2.15+3.6%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.62-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Under
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
Unibet
1.61
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 6.90-1.4%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.07+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 20.50-2.8%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.8%
@ 1.84-3.6%
Under
53.2%
@ 1.87+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Unibet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 5.09-4.1%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.13+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.10
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.05
Superbet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 14.00-3.8%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kisvarda FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.88
0.50
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.17
0.75
0.25
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.75
0.92
0.58
0.67
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.76
0.76
0.92
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
0.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.73
0.87
0.67
0.91
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
80.3%
@ 1.19+2.5%
Under 0.5
19.7%
@ 4.16-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
Superbet
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.6%
@ 1.92+4.5%
Under 1.5
47.4%
@ 1.78-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.98
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.8%
@ 3.83-4.3%
Under 2.5
80.2%
@ 1.22+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Betano
3.75
Marathonbet
3.68
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
49.9%
@ 1.81-1.2%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.89+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 4.95-3.3%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.14+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 12.62-4.6%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.6%
@ 1.57-1.3%
Under
42.4%
@ 2.26+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Superbet
2.22
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.3%
@ 3.67-3.9%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.24+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.80
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Under
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 9.50-4.3%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.03+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.10
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.6%
1.09
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.13
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.10
10Bet
1.09
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.5%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+5.5%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
81.4%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.18
+3.6%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
81.2%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
888Sport
1.14
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
+2.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
1.27
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+4.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
76.2%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
76.1%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Unibet
1.20
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.0%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
73.8%
1.32
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.0%
1.32
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
70.5%
1.31
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
70.5%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.25
+3.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kisvarda FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christián Herc60%
Ákos Ésik25%
Marko Matanović20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun50%
Dominik Soltész40%
Anatoliy Nuriev33%
Levente Szőr33%
Gennadiy Szikszai33%
Marko Matanović20%
Bogdan Melnyk20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Christián Herc0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Soltész40%
Jasmin Mešanović25%
Marko Matanović20%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Christián Herc0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tonislav Yordanov50%
Christián Herc20%
Bogdan Melnyk20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Marko Matanović0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Debreceni VSC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Balázs Dzsudzsák43%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes20%
Adrián Guerrero17%
Ákos Szendrei14%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Josua Mejías0%
Rotem Keller0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Flórián Cibla0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Shedrach Kaye0%
Blaž Bošković0%
Sohan Baldoni0%
Leon Myrtaj0%
Balázs Sain0%
Dávid Patai0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josua Mejías57%
Blaž Bošković50%
Balázs Dzsudzsák43%
Leon Myrtaj33%
Dávid Patai33%
Sohan Baldoni25%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes20%
Shedrach Kaye20%
Flórián Cibla14%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Adrián Guerrero0%
Ákos Szendrei0%
Rotem Keller0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Balázs Sain0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ákos Szendrei29%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Balázs Dzsudzsák0%
Josua Mejías0%
Adrián Guerrero0%
Rotem Keller0%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Flórián Cibla0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Shedrach Kaye0%
Blaž Bošković0%
Sohan Baldoni0%
Leon Myrtaj0%
Balázs Sain0%
Dávid Patai0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Flórián Cibla29%
Balázs Dzsudzsák14%
Josua Mejías14%
Ákos Szendrei14%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Adrián Guerrero0%
Rotem Keller0%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Shedrach Kaye0%
Blaž Bošković0%
Sohan Baldoni0%
Leon Myrtaj0%
Balázs Sain0%
Dávid Patai0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Kisvarda FC's squad is €2m less valuable than Debreceni VSC's (€6m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Kisvarda FC and Debreceni VSC have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Kisvarda FC and Debreceni VSC have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Kisvarda FC's defence is €2m less valuable than Debreceni VSC's (€2m vs €4m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC
MTK Budapest
Vasas
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
Budapest Honved
Zalaegerszegi TE