PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Kolkheti Poti vs Dinamo Batumi Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 0-1
Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti
Vs
28%
23%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kolkheti Poti winβœ— Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawβœ— Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi winβœ“ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D00D31W21W03L00D02L26L23L22DA·DIL02/06A·DIN04/08A·SAM10/08H·GAG17/08A·SAM24/08H·TEL31/08A·TOR14/09H·SAB22/09A·DIN27/09H·DIL01/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.631.862.000.881.31
vs Stronger (15)1.272.131.713.140.881.25
vs Similar (12)1.251.252.001.000.501.50
vs Weaker (3)2.000.672.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D00D12L11D03L11D21W12LA·DEČ30/07H·KOL04/08A·GAG10/08H·SAM18/08A·TEL24/08H·TOR01/09A·SAB14/09H·DIN23/09A·DIL27/09H·SAM01/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.201.071.071.071.33
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.000.001.003.00
vs Similar (14)0.931.431.291.570.571.29
vs Weaker (14)1.210.930.860.711.571.14
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.5%
Under 1.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.1%
Under 2.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.9%
Under 3.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.7%
No
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-3
4.8%
0-1 βœ“
4.7%
Kolkheti Poti goals ↓
Dinamo Batumi goals →
01234
03.5%4.7%5.7%4.0%2.1%
13.3%9.4%8.9%6.1%3.2%
23.2%6.7%6.9%4.8%2.5%
31.7%3.4%3.6%2.5%1.3%
40.6%1.3%1.4%1.0%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kolkheti Poti goals (down), columns = Dinamo Batumi goals (across).

πŸ’ͺ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

πŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo
2.08
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.94
Dila
1.89
Dinamo Batumi
1.53
Rustavi
1.50
Samgurali
1.22
Kolkheti Poti
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.08
Gagra
1.05
Sioni
1.00
Telavi
0.97
Samtredia
0.75
Kolkheti Poti is 0.39 points worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.53).

βš”οΈ Attack

Goals scored / game
Saburtalo
2.06
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.61
Dila
1.61
Samgurali
1.42
Kolkheti Poti
1.33
Dinamo Batumi
1.17
Gagra
1.00
Rustavi
1.00
Sioni
1.00
Samtredia
0.92
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.92
Telavi
0.89
Kolkheti Poti is 0.17 goals better than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.17).

πŸ›‘οΈ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dila
0.83
Rustavi
1.00
Sioni
1.00
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.11
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Telavi
1.18
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.22
Saburtalo
1.28
Samgurali
1.36
Gagra
1.45
Kolkheti Poti
1.61
Samtredia
1.69
Kolkheti Poti is 0.47 goals worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (15)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (32)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)6.06.06.00.10.20.022.0-22.0
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (25)6.06.06.00.20.30.022.0-22.0
vs Weaker (23)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%2%4%0%100%-100%
% under line100%100%100%98%96%100%0%-0%
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

πŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

πŸ₯… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

βš–οΈ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D20W11D01L00D00D22D20W00DA·DIL02/06A·DIN04/08A·SAM10/08H·GAG17/08A·SAM24/08H·TEL31/08A·TOR14/09H·SAB22/09A·DIN27/09H·DIL01/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.501.070.750.38
vs Stronger (15)0.600.800.431.430.750.25
vs Similar (12)0.580.750.670.830.500.67
vs Weaker (3)1.000.000.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D11D00D10W10W01L10W00D10WA·DEČ30/07H·KOL04/08A·GAG10/08H·SAM18/08A·TEL24/08H·TOR01/09A·SAB14/09H·DIN23/09A·DIL27/09H·SAM01/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.430.600.270.470.60
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.360.500.710.290.000.71
vs Weaker (14)0.710.290.430.291.000.29
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

πŸ₯… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D11D10W02L00D02L04L03L22DA·DIL02/06A·DIN04/08A·SAM10/08H·GAG17/08A·SAM24/08H·TEL31/08A·TOR14/09H·SAB22/09A·DIN27/09H·DIL01/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.931.360.930.120.94
vs Stronger (15)0.671.331.291.710.121.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.501.330.170.000.83
vs Weaker (3)1.000.672.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D02L01L02L01L21W02LA·DEČ30/07H·KOL04/08A·GAG10/08H·SAM18/08A·TEL24/08H·TOR01/09A·SAB14/09H·DIN23/09A·DIL27/09H·SAM01/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.470.800.600.73
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.570.930.571.290.570.57
vs Weaker (14)0.500.640.430.430.570.86
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Poti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

πŸ₯… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Poti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

πŸ”₯ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.5%-------βœ— Miss
Over 2.570.1%-------βœ— Miss

πŸ’° 14. Squad value

πŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
RUS (22)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
SAM (4)
€0m
Kolkheti Poti's squad is €6m less valuable than Dinamo Batumi's (€0m vs €6m).

βš”οΈ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
RUS (8)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Kolkheti Poti's attack is €3m less valuable than Dinamo Batumi's (€0m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
RUS (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
Kolkheti Poti's midfield is €1m less valuable than Dinamo Batumi's (€0m vs €1m).

πŸ›‘οΈ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
RUS (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
KP (1)
€0m
Kolkheti Poti's defence is €2m less valuable than Dinamo Batumi's (€0m vs €2m).

🀝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
KP wins
2
Draws
1
DB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kolkheti Poti vs Dinamo Batumi · H/A from KP
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/24ADinamo Batumi Vs KP0-0
20/04/24HKP Vs Dinamo Batumi2-2
01/03/24ADinamo Batumi Vs KP1-0

Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/24HKP Vs Dila2-2
27/09/24ADinamo Tbilisi Vs KP3-2
22/09/24HKP Vs Saburtalo2-6
14/09/24ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs KP2-0
31/08/24HKP Vs Telavi0-0
24/08/24ASamgurali Vs KP3-0
17/08/24HKP Vs Gagra2-1
10/08/24ASamtredia Vs KP1-3
04/08/24ADinamo Batumi Vs KP0-0
02/06/24ADila Vs KP1-1

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/24HDB Vs Samtredia1-2
27/09/24ADila Vs DB1-2
23/09/24HDB Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-1
14/09/24ASaburtalo Vs DB3-0
01/09/24HDB Vs Torpedo Kutaisi1-1
24/08/24ATelavi Vs DB2-1
18/08/24HDB Vs Samgurali0-0
10/08/24AGagra Vs DB1-1
04/08/24HDB Vs Kolkheti Poti0-0
30/07/24ADečiΔ‡ Vs DB0-0

πŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Kolkheti Poti
Kolkheti Poti
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.62
HomeDWDLD2.08
AwayDWLLL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%62%27%
AVG goals3.003.382.65
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %52%67%38%
Over 3.5 %32%38%27%
Scored1.722.041.42
Conceded1.281.331.23
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.52
HomeDDDDL1.56
AwayDDLLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.742.562.92
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %54%44%64%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.561.561.56
Conceded1.181.001.36
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners6.006.006.00
Cards4.004.00-

πŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SaburtaloSaburtalo3675
64%
2.1
7446+28
3.3
86%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3222.11.3
-
2Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3670
58%
1.9
5840+18
2.7
69%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.61.1
-
3DilaDila3668
53%
1.9
5830+28
2.4
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.60.8
-
4Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3655
42%
1.5
4241+1
2.3
61%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.21.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3644
31%
1.2
5149+2
2.8
72%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.4
-
6Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3641
25%
1.1
4858-10
2.9
83%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
7GagraGagra3840
29%
1.1
3855-17
2.4
76%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
8Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3639
25%
1.1
3344-11
2.1
67%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3130.91.2
-
9TelaviTelavi3837
24%
1.0
3445-11
2.1
55%
39%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
10SamtrediaSamtredia3627
14%
0.8
3361-28
2.6
75%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
11RustaviRustavi23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
12SioniSioni22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

← all matches