This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
1.76
0.67
1.73
0.57
1.79
vs Stronger (19)
0.53
1.95
0.50
1.90
0.56
2.00
vs Similar (10)
0.80
1.40
1.00
1.40
0.60
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.6%
Under 1.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.8%
Under 2.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.4%
Under 3.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.9%
No
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0 ✓
12.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.4%
Kolos Kovalivka goals ↓
Lviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.0%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
6.0%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.3%
8.8%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.3%
4.0%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kolos Kovalivka goals (down), columns = Lviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Kolos Kovalivka is 0.77 points better than Lviv in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Kolos Kovalivka is 0.17 goals better than Lviv in terms of goals scored per game (0.77 vs 0.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Kolos Kovalivka is 0.53 goals better than Lviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.73).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Kolos Kovalivka is 0.7 percentage points better than Lviv in terms of average possession (47% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kolos Kovalivka
For 4.1 · Against 7.2 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lviv
For 3.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 12.2 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kolos Kovalivka
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
10.3
10.4
10.2
3.2
2.7
3.6
25.4
24.4
26.1
vs Stronger (4)
12.3
14.5
8.0
4.2
3.5
5.0
27.3
26.5
29.0
vs Similar (22)
9.9
9.0
10.6
3.1
2.8
3.4
24.8
23.7
25.6
vs Weaker (3)
10.0
-
10.0
2.3
0.0
3.5
28.0
-
28.0
% over line
55%
62%
50%
52%
43%
60%
79%
75%
82%
% under line
45%
38%
50%
48%
57%
40%
21%
25%
18%
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
8.0
8.7
7.0
3.1
3.7
2.4
26.6
27.5
25.5
vs Stronger (19)
8.8
9.9
7.2
3.3
3.8
2.7
26.5
25.2
28.4
vs Similar (10)
6.2
5.7
6.7
2.7
3.6
1.8
27.0
33.3
20.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
32%
45%
12%
41%
47%
36%
79%
82%
75%
% under line
68%
55%
88%
59%
53%
64%
21%
18%
25%
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
10.7
Kolos Kovalivka
10.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.2
Oleksandria
10.2
Metal Kharkiv
10.2
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
Vorskla Poltava
9.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.7
Dynamo Kyiv
9.3
Ruh Lviv
9.3
Chornomorets
9.2
Minai
9.2
Inhulets
8.8
Dnipro-1
8.7
Lviv
8.0
Kryvbas KR
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
5.8
Vorskla Poltava
5.5
Dynamo Kyiv
4.9
Inhulets
4.9
Metal Kharkiv
4.9
Lviv
4.7
Kolos Kovalivka
4.6
Chornomorets
4.6
Veres Rivne
4.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.3
Minai
4.3
Kryvbas KR
4.3
Oleksandria
4.3
Zorya Luhansk
4.2
Dnipro-1
3.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vorskla Poltava
28.1
Lviv
26.6
Inhulets
26.3
Dynamo Kyiv
25.5
Kolos Kovalivka
25.4
Ruh Lviv
25.1
Minai
24.1
Metal Kharkiv
23.9
Dnipro-1
23.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22.6
Chornomorets
22.0
Zorya Luhansk
22.0
Kryvbas KR
21.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.6
Veres Rivne
21.4
Oleksandria
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.3%
Under 9.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.5%
Under 3.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.8%
Under 21.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kolos Kovalivka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.55
0.43
0.64
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.64
0.45
0.73
0.45
0.55
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
55% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.24
0.72
0.27
0.60
0.21
0.86
vs Stronger (19)
0.11
0.89
0.10
0.70
0.11
1.11
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
45% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kolos Kovalivka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.69
0.50
0.50
0.27
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.75
0.00
2.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.59
0.55
0.18
0.27
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
62% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
1.03
0.40
1.13
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (19)
0.42
1.05
0.40
1.20
0.44
0.89
vs Similar (10)
0.30
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
31% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kolos Kovalivka · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anton Salabay23%
Yurii Klymchuk19%
Arinaldo Rrapaj14%
Elias Telles13%
Ilir Krasniqi12%
Ardit Tahiri12%
Mykyta Burda11%
Eduard Kozik7%
Andriy Tsurikov6%
Ibrahim Kane6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Nika Gagnidze0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Oleksandr Demchenko0%
Andriy Poniedielnik0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Husol60%
Zurab Rukhadze33%
Anton Salabay31%
Arinaldo Rrapaj29%
Valeriy Bondarenko22%
Elias Telles20%
Luka Stankovski17%
Nika Gagnidze15%
Ivan Pakholiuk13%
Andriy Poniedielnik12%
Mykyta Burda11%
Oleksandr Demchenko8%
Danyil Alefirenko8%
Eduard Kozik7%
Andriy Tsurikov6%
Yurii Klymchuk6%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleksandr Demchenko15%
Arinaldo Rrapaj14%
Andriy Tsurikov12%
Ardit Tahiri12%
Nika Gagnidze8%
Eduard Kozik7%
Elias Telles7%
Yurii Klymchuk6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Mykyta Burda0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Andriy Poniedielnik0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arinaldo Rrapaj29%
Anton Salabay15%
Artem Husol14%
Yurii Klymchuk12%
Oleksandr Demchenko8%
Andriy Poniedielnik6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Mykyta Burda0%
Nika Gagnidze0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Andriy Tsurikov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Elias Telles0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Eduard Kozik0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
CHO (21)
€5m
MK (17)
€3m
LVI (9)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Kolos Kovalivka's squad is €11m more valuable than Lviv's (€13m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
LVI (4)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Kolos Kovalivka's attack is €4m more valuable than Lviv's (€5m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
LVI (1)
€0m
Kolos Kovalivka's midfield is €3m more valuable than Lviv's (€3m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
INH (4)
€1m
LVI (4)
€1m
Kolos Kovalivka's defence is €5m more valuable than Lviv's (€5m vs €1m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Dnipro-1
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Metal Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya