Defensive solidity will shape this low-scoring encounter, with both sides averaging fewer than one goal per match against comparable opposition. The model favours a home win, assigning a 49 % chance, while a draw sits at 34 % and an away win at 17 %. The expected total is 1.8 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Kolos Kovalivka, a 19 % probability. Kolos, playing at home, scores an average of 0.7 goals and concedes 0.6 against similar teams; Obolon-Brovar, on the road, nets 1.0 and gives up 1.12. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (100 %), Under 6.5 (99.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.7 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2 %), Under 5.5 (99.1 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.0 %), Away under 2.5 goals (97.8 %), and Home under 3.5 goals (96.9 %). Kolos’ recent form shows a 2-game losing streak, while Obolon-Brovar returns from a draw, setting the stage for a tight, defensive battle.
Results analysis
The draw shocked the pundits, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, was wrong. Kolos Kovalivka and Obolon-Brovar finished 0-0, a result that extended both sides’ recent streaks of draws. The model had given Kolos a 47% chance of victory, 34% for a draw and 18% for an away win, and it called a home win. That call was incorrect. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (100%), Under 6.5 (99.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.4%), Under 5.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (97.7%), and Home under 3.5 goals (97.2%). The match delivered a tight, low-scoring stalemate that defied the model’s expectations.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kolos Kovalivka win✗ Miss
47.3%
Avg Implied 55.0% · @ 1.66
Edge
-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Dafabet
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Draw✓ Hit
34.3%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.34
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.61
Marathonbet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.49
Dafabet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Obolon'-Brovar win✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied 17.6% · @ 5.20
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.63
10Bet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kolos Kovalivka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.93
0.71
0.71
1.12
1.12
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.00
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.91
0.70
0.60
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Obolon'-Brovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Obolon'-Brovar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.73
0.86
1.86
0.75
1.62
vs Stronger (16)
0.62
2.38
0.75
2.62
0.50
2.12
vs Similar (14)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.00
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
53.0%
@ 1.41-12.4%
Under 1.5
47.0%
@ 2.67+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Under
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.78
Pinnacle
2.74
Superbet
2.67
Marathonbet
2.62
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.2%
@ 2.29-15.3%
Under 2.5
74.8%
@ 1.56+15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.31
Unibet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Bet365
1.65
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.56
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
9.9%
@ 4.21-12.0%
Under 3.5
90.1%
@ 1.18+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Under
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
31.9%
@ 2.19-10.3%
No
68.1%
@ 1.60+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
No
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0 ✓
18.8%@ 6.82+13.1%
1-0
18.8%@ 4.83+10.7%
1-1
13.2%@ 6.22+7.0%
2-0
11.3%@ 6.25+5.1%
0-1
9.4%@ 10.41+5.7%
2-1
6.8%@ 7.97+1.9%
3-0
4.3%@ 11.83+1.0%
1-2
3.6%@ 16.61+1.3%
Kolos Kovalivka goals ↓
Obolon'-Brovar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
19%
9.4%
3.2%
0.6%
0.1%
1
19%
13%
3.6%
0.7%
0.1%
2
11%
6.8%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
3
4.3%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
4
1.2%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kolos Kovalivka goals (down), columns = Obolon'-Brovar goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Livyi Bereh
2.00
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Polessya
1.97
Dynamo Kyiv
1.90
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.70
Kolos Kovalivka
1.63
Kryvbas KR
1.60
Zorya Luhansk
1.53
Karpaty
1.37
Chornomorets
1.36
Bukovyna
1.29
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.03
Obolon'-Brovar
0.97
Kudrivka
0.94
Kolos Kovalivka is 0.67 points better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.20
Kryvbas KR
1.77
Polessya
1.70
Zorya Luhansk
1.40
Karpaty
1.33
LNZ Cherkasy
1.30
Chornomorets
1.23
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.20
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.20
Bukovyna
1.17
Kudrivka
1.06
Kolos Kovalivka
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Veres Rivne
0.87
Obolon'-Brovar
0.86
Kolos Kovalivka is 0.14 goals better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livyi Bereh
0.50
LNZ Cherkasy
0.57
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.63
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Polessya
0.70
Kolos Kovalivka
0.83
Karpaty
1.03
Zorya Luhansk
1.20
Dynamo Kyiv
1.20
Chornomorets
1.24
Bukovyna
1.30
Veres Rivne
1.33
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.50
Kryvbas KR
1.53
Kudrivka
1.56
Obolon'-Brovar
1.69
Kolos Kovalivka is 0.86 goals better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
68%
Dynamo Kyiv
62%
Livyi Bereh
58%
Polessya
57%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
52%
Kolos Kovalivka
49%
Kudrivka
49%
Karpaty
49%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
48%
Kryvbas KR
48%
LNZ Cherkasy
44%
Veres Rivne
43%
Obolon'-Brovar
42%
Kolos Kovalivka is 6.8 percentage points better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of average possession (49% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kolos Kovalivka
For 3.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Obolon'-Brovar
For 4.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kolos Kovalivka
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
7.6
8.5
1.9
2.1
1.8
25.7
26.5
25.0
vs Stronger (15)
8.2
8.6
7.8
2.1
2.6
1.8
24.3
28.0
19.8
vs Similar (35)
8.0
6.9
8.8
1.8
1.9
1.8
26.4
25.4
27.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
31%
33%
29%
28%
26%
30%
77%
83%
71%
% under line
69%
67%
71%
72%
74%
70%
23%
17%
29%
This opponent (Obolon'-Brovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Obolon'-Brovar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.5
8.4
2.1
2.4
1.9
25.9
26.4
25.4
vs Stronger (25)
8.2
8.9
7.5
2.3
2.2
2.5
23.6
23.6
23.6
vs Similar (25)
10.1
10.3
9.8
1.9
2.8
1.3
29.2
30.0
28.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
43%
38%
34%
39%
30%
89%
93%
85%
% under line
59%
57%
62%
66%
61%
70%
11%
7%
15%
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zorya Luhansk
10.5
Kryvbas KR
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.8
Veres Rivne
9.8
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.7
Polessya
9.5
Kudrivka
9.4
Livyi Bereh
9.2
Obolon'-Brovar
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.1
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.9
Chornomorets
8.8
Kolos Kovalivka
8.6
Karpaty
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Karpaty
4.9
Obolon'-Brovar
4.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.6
LNZ Cherkasy
4.5
Veres Rivne
4.4
Chornomorets
4.4
Livyi Bereh
4.4
Polessya
4.2
Zorya Luhansk
4.1
Dynamo Kyiv
4.0
Kolos Kovalivka
3.9
Kudrivka
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.8
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.9
Livyi Bereh
26.2
Kudrivka
25.1
Kryvbas KR
24.6
Karpaty
24.2
Kolos Kovalivka
24.0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
23.7
LNZ Cherkasy
23.0
Veres Rivne
22.8
Chornomorets
22.4
Zorya Luhansk
22.0
Dynamo Kyiv
21.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.2
Polessya
20.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.1%
@ 2.62-1.9%
Under 9.5
66.9%
@ 1.41+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.63
Superbet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Under
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.4%
Under 3.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.4%
Under 21.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kolos Kovalivka or Draw✓ Hit
81.6%
Avg Implied 82.7% · @ 1.12
Edge
-1.1%
47%
34%
18%
covers Kolos Kovalivka + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Kolos Kovalivka or Obolon'-Brovar✗ Miss
65.7%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.27
Edge
-7.5%
47%
34%
18%
covers Kolos Kovalivka + Obolon'-Brovar
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Draw or Obolon'-Brovar✓ Hit
52.7%
Avg Implied 44.1% · @ 2.10
Edge
+8.6%
47%
34%
18%
covers Draw + Obolon'-Brovar
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.20
1xBet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Betano
2.10
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.8%
@ 1.21-8.9%
Under
32.2%
@ 3.97+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.75
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.3%
@ 2.01-14.9%
Under
68.7%
@ 1.72+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 4.20-11.5%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.19+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
3.95
Under
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 8.97-7.5%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.03+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
8.40
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 1.80-5.8%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.88+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.90
10Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Under
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 5.06-6.1%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.14+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.75
Under
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 11.55-5.8%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.20
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
@ 21.00-99.7%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kolos Kovalivka, so a minus line means Kolos Kovalivka give that many goals of a start and Obolon'-Brovar receive them. At -1, Kolos Kovalivka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kolos Kovalivka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Obolon'-Brovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Obolon'-Brovar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.43
0.64
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
0.94
0.38
0.88
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.21
0.50
0.33
0.75
0.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.1%
@ 1.48+6.8%
Under 0.5
30.9%
@ 2.45-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Under
William Hil
2.62
Betfair
2.55
1xBet
2.52
Pinnacle
2.51
Superbet
2.47
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.7%
@ 3.32+3.7%
Under 1.5
68.3%
@ 1.29-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.27
Superbet
3.25
Under
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 8.61+0.4%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.04-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
William Hil
9.00
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
8.10
1xBet
8.05
Under
1xBet
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.1%
@ 1.86+4.1%
Under
45.9%
@ 1.85-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.80
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 5.92+1.3%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.10-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Under
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.8%
@ 3.19+5.0%
Under
66.2%
@ 1.29-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 11.75-94.2%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
Under
No market prices yet.
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kolos Kovalivka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.36
0.43
0.81
0.62
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.50
0.00
0.75
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.55
0.50
0.30
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Obolon'-Brovar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Obolon'-Brovar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.13
0.43
1.21
0.25
1.06
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
1.44
0.38
1.75
0.25
1.12
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.79
0.50
0.50
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
74.7%
@ 1.32+4.5%
Under 0.5
25.3%
@ 3.13-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
1xBet
3.29
Marathonbet
3.16
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.8%
@ 2.48+2.4%
Under 1.5
60.2%
@ 1.48-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Superbet
2.52
William Hil
2.45
1xBet
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
William Hil
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.8%
@ 5.88-0.0%
Under 2.5
84.2%
@ 1.11+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
5.65
1xBet
5.42
Marathonbet
5.35
Under
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
59.5%
@ 1.60+1.8%
Under
40.5%
@ 2.19-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.15
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.6%
@ 3.81-2.6%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.22+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.9%
@ 2.66+3.2%
Under
62.1%
@ 1.42-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
Under
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 10.85-0.3%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.20
Marathonbet
10.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
99.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.7%
1.02
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
96.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Betfair
1.02
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.8%
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
90.1%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
+12.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.4%
1.19
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
+11.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.04
1xBet
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
87.7%
1.14
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.9%
1.06
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+1.5%
-
Over 19.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.2%
1.11
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.0%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
81.6%
1.12
1xBet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
81.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.1%
1.31
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.27
-
+12.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.7%
1.21
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.16
-
-
+2.5%
-
Under 2.5
74.8%
1.56
Bet365
1.65
1xBet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.56
+15.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.7%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
+4.5%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kolos Kovalivka · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anton Salabay23%
Yurii Klymchuk19%
Arinaldo Rrapaj14%
Elias Telles13%
Ilir Krasniqi12%
Ardit Tahiri12%
Mykyta Burda11%
Eduard Kozik7%
Andriy Tsurikov6%
Ibrahim Kane6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Nika Gagnidze0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Oleksandr Demchenko0%
Andriy Poniedielnik0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Husol60%
Zurab Rukhadze33%
Anton Salabay31%
Arinaldo Rrapaj29%
Valeriy Bondarenko22%
Elias Telles20%
Luka Stankovski17%
Nika Gagnidze15%
Ivan Pakholiuk13%
Andriy Poniedielnik12%
Mykyta Burda11%
Oleksandr Demchenko8%
Danyil Alefirenko8%
Eduard Kozik7%
Andriy Tsurikov6%
Yurii Klymchuk6%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleksandr Demchenko15%
Arinaldo Rrapaj14%
Andriy Tsurikov12%
Ardit Tahiri12%
Nika Gagnidze8%
Eduard Kozik7%
Elias Telles7%
Yurii Klymchuk6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Mykyta Burda0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Andriy Poniedielnik0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arinaldo Rrapaj29%
Anton Salabay15%
Artem Husol14%
Yurii Klymchuk12%
Oleksandr Demchenko8%
Andriy Poniedielnik6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Mykyta Burda0%
Nika Gagnidze0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Andriy Tsurikov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Elias Telles0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Eduard Kozik0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Obolon'-Brovar · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Denys Ustymenko29%
Vasyl Kurko17%
Taras Liakh17%
Oleh Slobodian15%
Maksym Tretyakov14%
Roman Volokhatyi14%
Vladyslav Pryimak10%
Maksym Chekh9%
Serhiy Sukhanov7%
Dmytro Semenov0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Nazariy Fedorivskyi0%
Yegor Prokopenko0%
Yevgen Shevchenko0%
Igor Medynskyi0%
Ruslan Chernenko0%
Oleh Illin0%
Taras Moroz0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Valeriy Dubko0%
Denys Teslyuk0%
Andrii Lomnytskyi0%
Kostiantyn Bychek0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Oleksandr Feshchenko0%
Denys Marchenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Valeriy Dubko50%
Yevgen Shevchenko47%
Maksym Chekh45%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko33%
Vladyslav Pryimak30%
Yegor Prokopenko20%
Taras Liakh17%
Oleh Slobodian15%
Serhiy Sukhanov14%
Roman Volokhatyi14%
Dmytro Semenov12%
Artem Kulakovskyi12%
Igor Medynskyi7%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Vasyl Kurko0%
Nazariy Fedorivskyi0%
Ruslan Chernenko0%
Oleh Illin0%
Taras Moroz0%
Denys Teslyuk0%
Andrii Lomnytskyi0%
Kostiantyn Bychek0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Oleksandr Feshchenko0%
Denys Marchenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleh Illin33%
Maksym Tretyakov14%
Vladyslav Pryimak10%
Ivan Nesterenko8%
Yevgen Shevchenko7%
Dmytro Semenov6%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Vasyl Kurko0%
Nazariy Fedorivskyi0%
Yegor Prokopenko0%
Igor Medynskyi0%
Oleh Slobodian0%
Ruslan Chernenko0%
Maksym Chekh0%
Serhiy Sukhanov0%
Taras Moroz0%
Roman Volokhatyi0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Valeriy Dubko0%
Denys Teslyuk0%
Andrii Lomnytskyi0%
Kostiantyn Bychek0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Taras Liakh0%
Oleksandr Feshchenko0%
Denys Marchenko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Denys Ustymenko21%
Maksym Chekh9%
Serhiy Sukhanov7%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Dmytro Semenov0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Vladyslav Pryimak0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Vasyl Kurko0%
Nazariy Fedorivskyi0%
Yegor Prokopenko0%
Yevgen Shevchenko0%
Igor Medynskyi0%
Oleh Slobodian0%
Ruslan Chernenko0%
Oleh Illin0%
Taras Moroz0%
Roman Volokhatyi0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Valeriy Dubko0%
Denys Teslyuk0%
Andrii Lomnytskyi0%
Kostiantyn Bychek0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Taras Liakh0%
Oleksandr Feshchenko0%
Denys Marchenko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KAR (28)
€13m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
BUK (25)
€9m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
KUD (24)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
Kolos Kovalivka's squad is €6m more valuable than Obolon'-Brovar's (€13m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
KUD (8)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
Kolos Kovalivka's attack is €3m more valuable than Obolon'-Brovar's (€5m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KAR (5)
€2m
KK (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
KUD (6)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
Kolos Kovalivka's midfield is €2m more valuable than Obolon'-Brovar's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KAR (15)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
KUD (10)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
Kolos Kovalivka's defence is €2m more valuable than Obolon'-Brovar's (€5m vs €3m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
Bukovyna
Veres Rivne
Kryvbas KR
LNZ Cherkasy
Livyi Bereh
Chornomorets
Kudrivka