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Kom vs Lovćen Result & Analysis

Date: 24/09/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-0
Kom
Kom
Vs
32%
32%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lovćen
Lovćen
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kom win✓ Hit
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lovćen win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KomKom

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-822D11D08L01L20W00D01L11D02L14LA·MLA14/05H·GRB18/05A·IGA24/05A·IGA16/08H·INT23/08A·MLA29/08H·RUD06/09A·ISK10/09H·BER14/09A·GRB20/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.631.361.000.622.19
vs Stronger (23)0.961.651.560.780.572.21
vs Similar (7)1.001.571.001.401.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-434L00D04L10W12L02L03L10W10W11DH·ISK24/05H·ARS30/05A·ARS04/06A·MLA16/08H·ISK23/08A·GRB31/08H·OTR06/09A·INT10/09H·RUD14/09A·BER20/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.371.531.731.201.00
vs Stronger (19)1.371.581.502.101.221.00
vs Similar (11)1.361.001.601.001.171.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.2%
Under 1.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.8%
Under 2.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.7%
Under 3.5
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.3%
No
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
11.7%
1-0 ✓
11.0%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
Kom goals ↓
Lovćen goals →
01234
013%12%7.1%2.6%0.7%
111%15%7.4%2.7%0.7%
26.4%7.0%3.8%1.4%0.4%
32.2%2.4%1.3%0.5%0.1%
40.6%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kom goals (down), columns = Lovćen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.06
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Berane
1.39
Kom
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Zeta
1.00
Igalo
0.89
Internacional Podgorica
0.64
Brskovo
0.00
Kom is 0.06 points better than Lovćen in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.25
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Internacional Podgorica
0.86
Igalo
0.58
Zeta
0.50
Brskovo
0.50
Kom is 0.36 goals better than Lovćen in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Otrant-Olympic
0.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Igalo
1.55
Internacional Podgorica
2.11
Brskovo
3.50
Kom is 0.06 goals better than Lovćen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KomKom

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L01L10W00D00D01L00D02LA·MLA14/05H·GRB18/05A·IGA24/05A·IGA16/08H·INT23/08A·MLA29/08H·RUD06/09A·ISK10/09H·BER14/09A·GRB20/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.700.640.360.121.00
vs Stronger (23)0.300.650.670.220.070.93
vs Similar (7)0.570.860.600.600.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D03L00D00D01L02L10W10W00DH·ISK24/05H·ARS30/05A·ARS04/06A·MLA16/08H·ISK23/08A·GRB31/08H·OTR06/09A·INT10/09H·RUD14/09A·BER20/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.800.670.600.33
vs Stronger (19)0.680.580.700.800.670.33
vs Similar (11)0.730.361.000.400.500.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Kom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KomKom

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D11D05L00D10W00D01L10W02L12LA·MLA14/05H·GRB18/05A·IGA24/05A·IGA16/08H·INT23/08A·MLA29/08H·RUD06/09A·ISK10/09H·BER14/09A·GRB20/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.710.640.501.19
vs Stronger (23)0.651.000.890.560.501.29
vs Similar (7)0.430.710.400.800.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L00D01L10W12L01L01L00D00D11DH·ISK24/05H·ARS30/05A·ARS04/06A·MLA16/08H·ISK23/08A·GRB31/08H·OTR06/09A·INT10/09H·RUD14/09A·BER20/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.731.070.600.67
vs Stronger (19)0.681.000.801.300.560.67
vs Similar (11)0.640.640.600.600.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Kom and Lovćen have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (4)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Kom and Lovćen have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (1)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (5)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Kom and Lovćen have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
KOM wins
1
Draws
5
LOV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kom vs Lovćen · H/A from KOM
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25HKOM Vs Lovćen0-0
24/03/25ALovćen Vs KOM2-1
03/11/24HKOM Vs Lovćen1-3
11/09/24ALovćen Vs KOM3-0
07/04/24ALovćen Vs KOM2-1
03/12/23HKOM Vs Lovćen4-2
04/10/23ALovćen Vs KOM2-1
12/08/23HKOM Vs Lovćen3-1

KomKom

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25AGrbalj Vs KOM4-1
14/09/25HKOM Vs Berane0-2
10/09/25AIskra (Montenegro) Vs KOM1-1
06/09/25HKOM Vs Rudar (Montenegro)0-1
29/08/25AMladost Lješkopolje Vs KOM0-0
23/08/25HKOM Vs Internacional Podgorica2-0
16/08/25AIgalo Vs KOM1-0
24/05/25AIgalo Vs KOM8-0
18/05/25HKOM Vs Grbalj1-1
14/05/25AMladost DG Vs KOM2-2

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ABerane Vs LOV1-1
14/09/25HLOV Vs Rudar (Montenegro)1-0
10/09/25AInternacional Podgorica Vs LOV0-1
06/09/25HLOV Vs Otrant-Olympic0-3
31/08/25AGrbalj Vs LOV2-0
23/08/25HLOV Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-2
16/08/25AMladost Lješkopolje Vs LOV0-1
04/06/25AArsenal Tivat Vs LOV4-0
30/05/25HLOV Vs Arsenal Tivat0-0
24/05/25HLOV Vs Iskra (Montenegro)3-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kom
Kom
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL0.90
HomeDDWLL1.26
AwayLLDDL0.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%35%15%
AVG goals2.722.432.96
Over 1.5 %68%61%74%
Over 2.5 %48%35%59%
Over 3.5 %26%30%22%
Scored1.061.220.93
Conceded1.661.222.04
BTTS40%39%41%
Clean Sheet22%30%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Lovćen
Lovćen
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.42
HomeLDLLW1.48
AwayLWLWD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.522.762.28
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %46%52%40%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.261.441.08
Conceded1.261.321.20
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3674
64%
2.1
8131+50
3.1
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.9
-
2GrbaljGrbalj3667
58%
1.9
6342+21
2.9
86%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3664
47%
1.8
5134+17
2.4
64%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
4Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3851
37%
1.3
5449+5
2.7
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
5BeraneBerane3650
33%
1.4
4536+9
2.2
72%
36%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6KomKom3650
42%
1.4
4743+4
2.5
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LovćenLovćen3648
39%
1.3
3445-11
2.2
56%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
8Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3647
36%
1.3
3946-7
2.4
53%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9IgaloIgalo3834
21%
0.9
2259-37
2.1
63%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
10Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3623
14%
0.6
3176-45
3.0
86%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11ZetaZeta22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
12BrskovoBrskovo20
0%
0.0
17-6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.5
-
Montenegro: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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