Konyaspor are favoured to win, with a 44% chance of triumph, a 30% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of a Kocaelispor victory. The model expects 2.3 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 14.2%. Konyaspor, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.4 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, while Kocaelispor, on the road, average 0.54 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.5% with a 2% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Under 5.5 (98.2% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.1% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6% with a 4% edge) and Away under 2.5 goals (96.7% with a 6% edge). The recent form shows Konyaspor on a five-match losing streak, while Kocaelispor comes off a win.
Results analysis
The upset came as Konyaspor, the pre-match favourite with a 43% chance of triumph, fell short, losing 1-2 to Kocaelispor. The model’s call was wrong, and the final result was an away win. The model had also predicted a 2-goal total, but the match produced three goals, a 30% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of an away victory. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.5%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1%, Under 5.5 hit at 98.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.6%, and Away under 2.5 goals hit at 96.7%. The home side’s form had been a five-match losing streak, while the visitors were on a two-game winning run.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Konyaspor win✗ Miss
43.0%
Avg Implied 47.1% · @ 1.99
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.05
SBO
2.04
1xBet
2.03
Unibet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Draw✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.24
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Unibet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.32
1xBet
3.32
Kocaelispor win✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.91
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.31
1xBet
4.21
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Konyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.20
1.29
0.64
1.44
1.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
1.80
1.00
1.00
0.83
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.60
0.90
1.40
0.50
1.80
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kocaelispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kocaelispor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.00
1.07
0.80
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.12
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.95
1.44
0.67
0.54
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.0%
@ 1.39+1.9%
Under 1.5
31.0%
@ 2.84-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Under
10Bet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.88
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.4%
@ 2.25-0.7%
Under 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.64+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.39
1xBet
2.36
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.32
Betfair
2.30
Under
SBO
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.8%
@ 4.15-1.7%
Under 3.5
79.2%
@ 1.21+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.50
Pinnacle
4.47
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.20
Under
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.9%
@ 1.96+0.5%
No
52.1%
@ 1.77-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.10
BetVictor
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
No
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 5.95+6.7%
1-0
11.6%@ 5.85+4.0%
0-0
11.0%@ 7.57+5.1%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.13+3.1%
2-0
8.6%@ 8.14+3.1%
0-1
8.4%@ 8.98+3.4%
1-2 ✓
6.5%@ 12.58+2.9%
0-2
4.8%@ 18.62+2.5%
Konyaspor goals ↓
Kocaelispor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.4%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.5%
2.2%
0.5%
2
8.6%
8.6%
4.3%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.8%
3.8%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Konyaspor goals (down), columns = Kocaelispor goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Konyaspor is 0.09 points better than Kocaelispor in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Konyaspor is 0.50 goals better than Kocaelispor in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 0.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Konyaspor is 0.35 goals worse than Kocaelispor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Konyaspor is 1.9 percentage points better than Kocaelispor in terms of average possession (52% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Konyaspor
For 3.4 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 9.4 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kocaelispor
For 3.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Konyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.5
10.2
4.3
4.4
4.2
25.0
23.6
26.5
vs Stronger (15)
11.1
12.3
10.1
4.2
4.8
3.8
24.7
23.0
26.0
vs Similar (33)
9.1
8.2
10.2
4.5
4.5
4.5
25.4
24.1
26.8
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
11.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
19.0
19.0
-
% over line
51%
41%
62%
62%
64%
60%
77%
73%
81%
% under line
49%
59%
38%
38%
36%
40%
23%
27%
19%
This opponent (Kocaelispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kocaelispor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.4
7.9
4.1
3.9
4.2
27.8
26.0
29.5
vs Stronger (12)
8.1
8.0
8.2
2.9
2.5
3.3
27.1
25.6
28.3
vs Similar (34)
7.8
8.2
7.5
4.6
4.6
4.5
28.9
27.3
30.2
vs Weaker (4)
10.8
10.0
13.0
3.2
3.0
4.0
21.5
20.7
24.0
% over line
33%
36%
30%
54%
46%
62%
89%
82%
96%
% under line
67%
64%
70%
46%
54%
38%
11%
18%
4%
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Beşiktaş
10.3
Samsunspor
9.8
Başakşehir
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Trabzonspor
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Gaziantep FK
9.5
Göztepe
9.4
Rizespor
9.3
Çorum FK
9.2
Amed
9.0
Eyüpspor
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.8
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.7
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Konyaspor
5.1
Göztepe
5.1
Çorum FK
5.0
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Eyüpspor
5.0
Alanyaspor
4.9
Amed
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.7
Samsunspor
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Galatasaray
4.5
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Kocaelispor
27.3
Alanyaspor
27.0
Başakşehir
26.9
Göztepe
26.7
Trabzonspor
26.4
Eyüpspor
26.4
Rizespor
26.1
Samsunspor
25.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.5
Beşiktaş
25.4
Fenerbahçe
25.1
Konyaspor
24.9
Galatasaray
23.8
Erzurumspor FK
23.5
Çorum FK
23.0
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.3%
@ 2.13-5.0%
Under 9.5
61.7%
@ 1.63+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.23
Pinnacle
2.14
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.60
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.4%
@ 1.33-0.1%
Under 3.5
31.6%
@ 2.91+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.30
Under
Betano
2.95
Superbet
2.87
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.6%
Under 21.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Konyaspor or Draw✗ Miss
82.2%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.23
Edge
+6.3%
43%
30%
27%
covers Konyaspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Konyaspor or Kocaelispor✓ Hit
69.4%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.31
Edge
-2.1%
43%
30%
27%
covers Konyaspor + Kocaelispor
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Draw or Kocaelispor✓ Hit
48.4%
Avg Implied 52.6% · @ 1.78
Edge
-4.2%
43%
30%
27%
covers Draw + Kocaelispor
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Konyaspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.2%
@ 1.24-0.5%
Under
25.8%
@ 3.67+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.06
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Konyaspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.2%
@ 2.22-3.0%
Under
60.8%
@ 1.62+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
1xBet
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Betano
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Konyaspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 4.82-3.7%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.15+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Konyaspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 10.83-3.9%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Kocaelispor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
49.9%
@ 1.55-10.3%
Under
50.1%
@ 2.34+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Under
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.50
Unibet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Pinnacle
2.35
Kocaelispor over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
15.3%
@ 3.70-10.0%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.25+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.22
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
BetVictor
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Under
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Kocaelispor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 9.85-6.2%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.03+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
9.60
Under
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Kocaelispor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
@ 22.50-3.7%
Under
99.5%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Bet365
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Konyaspor, so a minus line means Konyaspor give that many goals of a start and Kocaelispor receive them. At -1, Konyaspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Konyaspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Konyaspor)Actual: Kocaelispor
Konyaspor -2
9.6%
@ 8.04-1.5%
Draw -2
16.0%
@ 5.58-0.0%
Kocaelispor +2
74.3%
@ 1.23+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.40
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.55
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Unibet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Handicap -1 (Konyaspor)Actual: Kocaelispor
Konyaspor -1
25.7%
@ 3.67+1.4%
Draw -1
25.9%
@ 3.48+0.3%
Kocaelispor +1
48.4%
@ 1.77-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Unibet
3.65
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Away
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
Handicap +1 (Konyaspor)Actual: Draw
Konyaspor +1
82.2%
@ 1.25+10.4%
Draw +1
12.6%
@ 5.10-5.0%
Kocaelispor -1
5.2%
@ 8.44-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.15
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Konyaspor)Actual: Konyaspor
Konyaspor +2
94.8%
@ 1.05+7.4%
Draw +2
4.2%
@ 10.75-4.4%
Kocaelispor -2
1.1%
@ 22.50-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
10Bet
8.50
Away
Bet365
26.00
10Bet
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Konyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.64
0.21
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.90
0.50
0.25
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.30
0.70
0.20
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Kocaelispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kocaelispor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.67
0.27
0.27
0.47
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.32
0.78
0.22
0.31
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.4%
@ 1.48+3.3%
Under 0.5
33.6%
@ 2.52-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Under
10Bet
2.65
Unibet
2.63
William Hil
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.4%
@ 3.25+1.7%
Under 1.5
69.6%
@ 1.31-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Under
Pinnacle
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.8%
@ 8.56-2.1%
Under 2.5
91.2%
@ 1.05+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
BetVictor
9.50
William Hil
9.50
Betfair
9.00
Superbet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Konyaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.8%
@ 1.98-0.2%
Under
53.2%
@ 1.75+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Unibet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.72
Konyaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 5.90-4.1%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.09+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.80
Superbet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Konyaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 15.38-3.8%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Kocaelispor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 2.71-1.4%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.42+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.00
Betano
2.77
1xBet
2.76
Marathonbet
2.76
Superbet
2.65
Under
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.45
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Kocaelispor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 10.09-2.9%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.03+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Superbet
9.90
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Kocaelispor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 45.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Konyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.64
0.43
1.00
0.94
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.90
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.60
0.70
0.30
1.30
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kocaelispor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kocaelispor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.63
0.40
0.53
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.62
0.00
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.64
0.67
0.44
0.23
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.29+1.7%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 3.33-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Under
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.30
Marathonbet
3.22
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.9%
@ 2.33-0.1%
Under 1.5
60.1%
@ 1.55+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.40
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.39
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.9%
@ 5.26-1.7%
Under 2.5
84.1%
@ 1.12+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Konyaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
58.7%
@ 1.69+4.1%
Under
41.3%
@ 2.04-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
Konyaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.2%
@ 4.28-2.4%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.18+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Konyaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 11.25-3.5%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Kocaelispor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
37.7%
@ 2.25-3.3%
Under
62.3%
@ 1.57+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Under
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Kocaelispor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
8.5%
@ 7.40-4.0%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.06+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Kocaelispor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 19.25-3.1%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Betfair
1.01
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
94.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
-
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
94.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.5%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.2%
1.05
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
84.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.25
+10.0%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.4%
1.21
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
82.2%
1.23
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
82.2%
1.25
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
+10.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.2%
1.21
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Unibet
1.22
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
74.3%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.2%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.8%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.2%
1.37
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Konyaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ebrima Colley33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enis Bardhi33%
Chidozie Awaziem33%
Deniz Türüç33%
Adil Demirbağ33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yhoan Andzouana33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Melih İbrahimoğlu33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Kocaelispor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Massadio Haïdara33%
Metehan Altunbaş33%
Berkan Kutlu33%
Show0%
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel0%
Makana Baku0%
Dan Agyei0%
Uğur Kaan Yıldız0%
Tanguy Zoukrou0%
Serhat Öztaşdelen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dan Agyei33%
Tanguy Zoukrou33%
Show0%
Massadio Haïdara0%
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel0%
Makana Baku0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Uğur Kaan Yıldız0%
Berkan Kutlu0%
Serhat Öztaşdelen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Show33%
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel33%
Uğur Kaan Yıldız33%
Massadio Haïdara0%
Makana Baku0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Dan Agyei0%
Berkan Kutlu0%
Tanguy Zoukrou0%
Serhat Öztaşdelen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Show0%
Massadio Haïdara0%
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel0%
Makana Baku0%
Metehan Altunbaş0%
Dan Agyei0%
Uğur Kaan Yıldız0%
Berkan Kutlu0%
Tanguy Zoukrou0%
Serhat Öztaşdelen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Konyaspor's squad is €9m more valuable than Kocaelispor's (€33m vs €24m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Konyaspor's attack is €4m more valuable than Kocaelispor's (€13m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Konyaspor's midfield is €5m less valuable than Kocaelispor's (€4m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Konyaspor's defence is €10m more valuable than Kocaelispor's (€16m vs €7m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK