The clash between Korona Kielce and Wisła Kraków is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win. The probability of a Korona victory sits at 36%, a draw at 28%, and a Wisła win also at 36%. The expected total goals is 2.7, with the most likely total of two goals at 26%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 13.5% chance.
Korona, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Wisła, on the road against a comparable side, averages 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. This suggests a balanced contest with both sides capable of scoring but also vulnerable to conceding.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (97.2% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.7% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (94.2% with a 3% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (94.2% with a 5% edge), and Under 5.5 (92.8% with a 2% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Korona Kielce win
35.6%
Avg Implied 41.9% · @ 2.21
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.29
Superbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.26
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.25
Draw
28.6%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.44
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.58
BetVictor
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Wisla Krakow win
35.8%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 2.97
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.09
Dafabet
3.05
Betano
3.00
Superbet
3.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Korona Kielce
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.13
1.15
1.23
1.18
1.06
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.71
1.00
2.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.27
0.95
1.22
0.89
1.31
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.13
2.07
1.00
1.31
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.67
1.67
1.75
0.75
1.60
2.40
vs Weaker (21)
1.67
0.90
2.20
1.10
1.18
0.73
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Korona Kielce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.3%
@ 1.20-2.1%
Under 1.5
24.7%
@ 4.12+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.44
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
BetVictor
4.20
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.70-6.1%
Under 2.5
50.8%
@ 2.10+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Bet365
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.3%
@ 2.69-7.2%
Under 3.5
72.7%
@ 1.42+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Betfair
2.70
Superbet
2.67
Under
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Both teams to score
Yes
55.0%
@ 1.58-3.8%
No
45.0%
@ 2.25+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.57
No
10Bet
2.35
BetVictor
2.30
Betfair
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Betano
2.27
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.47+6.7%
0-0
8.4%@ 11.88+4.6%
1-2
8.2%@ 9.91+3.7%
2-1
8.2%@ 8.36+2.8%
0-1
8.2%@ 10.41+3.9%
1-0
8.2%@ 8.81+3.1%
0-2
6.2%@ 15.51+3.3%
2-0
6.2%@ 11.31+2.2%
Korona Kielce goals ↓
Wisla Krakow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
8.2%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.2%
14%
8.2%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.2%
8.2%
5.4%
2.4%
0.8%
3
2.7%
3.6%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Korona Kielce goals (down), columns = Wisla Krakow goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Korona Kielce is 0.07 points worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Korona Kielce is 0.80 goals worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Korona Kielce is 0.87 goals better than Wisla Krakow in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Korona Kielce is 4.2 percentage points worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Korona Kielce
For 3.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 13.3 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wisla Krakow
For 5.2 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Korona Kielce
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.9
10.3
3.3
3.6
3.1
25.5
26.2
24.9
vs Stronger (12)
9.3
9.6
9.0
2.4
3.0
1.6
24.3
24.9
23.6
vs Similar (37)
10.4
10.0
10.7
3.7
3.8
3.6
25.9
26.8
25.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
48%
43%
52%
40%
39%
41%
72%
74%
70%
% under line
52%
57%
48%
60%
61%
59%
28%
26%
30%
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.3
10.0
0.5
0.4
0.6
25.7
26.0
25.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
10.7
11.3
10.0
1.7
1.5
1.9
25.7
26.0
25.3
vs Weaker (36)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
67%
33%
6%
4%
7%
83%
100%
67%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
94%
96%
93%
17%
0%
33%
This opponent (Korona Kielce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
10.7
Wieczysta Kraków
10.4
Pogon Szczecin
10.3
Lech Poznan
10.3
Zaglebie Lubin
10.2
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Radomiak Radom
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Cracovia Krakow
10.1
Piast Gliwice
10.0
GKS Katowice
9.9
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.4
Widzew Łódź
9.2
Legia Warszawa
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.2
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.8
Raków Częstochowa
4.7
Slask Wroclaw
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.6
Jagiellonia
4.6
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Pogon Szczecin
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Wisla Plock
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
Wisla Krakow
3.7
GKS Katowice
3.7
Piast Gliwice
3.6
Wieczysta Kraków
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.9
Wieczysta Kraków
26.6
Jagiellonia
26.6
Widzew Łódź
26.4
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Wisla Krakow
25.7
Korona Kielce
25.6
Cracovia Krakow
25.3
Motor Lublin
25.2
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Zaglebie Lubin
24.7
Slask Wroclaw
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.2
Lech Poznan
24.1
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
GKS Katowice
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.8
Wisla Plock
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.2%
@ 1.75-4.1%
Under 9.5
50.8%
@ 1.99+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Unibet
2.15
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.94
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.3%
@ 1.56-0.5%
Under 3.5
41.7%
@ 2.22+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
Under
Superbet
2.22
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.0%
Under 21.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Korona Kielce or Draw
63.4%
Avg Implied 68.8% · @ 1.35
Edge
-5.4%
36%
29%
36%
covers Korona Kielce + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Korona Kielce or Wisla Krakow
72.8%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.27
Edge
-0.5%
36%
29%
36%
covers Korona Kielce + Wisla Krakow
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw or Wisla Krakow
63.8%
Avg Implied 57.9% · @ 1.61
Edge
+5.9%
36%
29%
36%
covers Draw + Wisla Krakow
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.67
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.65
William Hil
1.62
1xBet
1.60
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Korona Kielce over/under 0.5
Over
76.2%
@ 1.20-1.6%
Under
23.8%
@ 4.17+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Korona Kielce over/under 1.5
Over
42.0%
@ 1.98-5.1%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.76+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Unibet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Korona Kielce over/under 2.5
Over
17.5%
@ 4.08-5.3%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.20+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.22
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Korona Kielce over/under 3.5
Over
5.8%
@ 9.13-4.5%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.05+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
8.60
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5
Over
76.3%
@ 1.28+3.9%
Under
23.7%
@ 3.37-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.57
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5
Over
42.2%
@ 2.40+3.4%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.52-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.39
BetVictor
2.38
Under
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5
Over
17.7%
@ 5.36+0.4%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.12-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Wisla Krakow over/under 3.5
Over
5.9%
@ 12.58-1.7%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.03+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Korona Kielce, so a minus line means Korona Kielce give that many goals of a start and Wisla Krakow receive them. At -1, Korona Kielce must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Korona Kielce win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Korona Kielce)
Korona Kielce -2
6.5%
@ 8.40-4.1%
Draw -2
11.0%
@ 6.15-3.5%
Wisla Krakow +2
82.5%
@ 1.19+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
8.40
Superbet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Unibet
8.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Unibet
5.75
Away
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Handicap -1 (Korona Kielce)
Korona Kielce -1
17.5%
@ 4.00-4.8%
Draw -1
18.7%
@ 4.00-3.6%
Wisla Krakow +1
63.8%
@ 1.61+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Superbet
3.90
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Away
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Superbet
1.63
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Handicap +1 (Korona Kielce)
Korona Kielce +1
63.4%
@ 1.35-2.5%
Draw +1
18.8%
@ 4.70-0.2%
Wisla Krakow -1
17.7%
@ 5.93+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Away
Unibet
6.25
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
Superbet
5.55
Handicap +2 (Korona Kielce)
Korona Kielce +2
82.3%
@ 1.10+0.5%
Draw +2
11.1%
@ 8.00-0.2%
Wisla Krakow -2
6.6%
@ 13.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
10Bet
7.50
Away
Bet365
13.00
10Bet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Korona Kielce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.62
0.69
0.65
0.35
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.50
1.50
0.33
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.41
0.67
0.33
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
1.21
0.36
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.78
0.75
0.25
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (21)
1.00
0.38
1.40
0.40
0.64
0.36
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Korona Kielce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.32+3.3%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 3.13-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Under
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.5%
@ 2.47-0.0%
Under 1.5
62.5%
@ 1.48+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 5.79-1.2%
Under 2.5
85.2%
@ 1.10+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.80
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Korona Kielce over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.6%
@ 1.83+4.9%
Under
44.4%
@ 1.88-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Unibet
1.85
Korona Kielce over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.3%
@ 5.19-2.6%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.13+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.60
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Korona Kielce over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.8%
@ 13.25-4.4%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.1%
@ 2.07-2.6%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.68+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.69
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.65
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.7%
@ 6.53-4.5%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.08+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.10
Marathonbet
7.10
Superbet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 16.88-4.3%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Korona Kielce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.54
0.54
0.53
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.50
0.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.55
0.56
0.56
0.54
0.54
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.86
0.64
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.89
1.00
0.50
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (21)
0.67
0.52
0.80
0.70
0.55
0.36
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Korona Kielce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.0%
@ 1.18+1.6%
Under 0.5
20.0%
@ 4.28-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Under
10Bet
4.60
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
51.1%
@ 1.90+2.3%
Under 1.5
48.9%
@ 1.81-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.98
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Under
10Bet
1.91
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.0%
@ 3.76-0.6%
Under 2.5
76.0%
@ 1.23+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.90
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.75
1xBet
3.68
Under
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Korona Kielce over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.6%
@ 1.60+6.4%
Under
35.4%
@ 2.22-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Korona Kielce over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.4%
@ 3.74-3.4%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.23+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.82
Betano
3.80
1xBet
3.70
10Bet
3.55
Under
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Korona Kielce over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.5%
@ 9.38-4.5%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.04+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.3%
@ 1.76-2.4%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.96+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.74
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.9%
@ 4.68-2.9%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.15+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.9%
@ 12.12-3.9%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.3%
Under 6.5
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.2%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
-
-
+4.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
94.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+1.7%
Under 5.5
92.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
+3.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+4.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.2%
1.10
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+1.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.7%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+2.6%
Under 4.5
83.6%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+2.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.15
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+2.9%
Home under 2.5 goals
82.5%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
+5.3%
Away +2 handicap
82.5%
1.19
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
+7.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
82.3%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
-0.4%
Home +2 handicap
82.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
-
-
-
+0.5%
Over 21.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
+1.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.23
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+3.4%
Over 2.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
77.2%
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+6.8%
Away over 0.5 goals
76.3%
1.28
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+3.9%
Home over 0.5 goals
76.2%
1.20
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
-1.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.0%
1.23
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
+0.6%
Over 1.5
75.3%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
-2.1%
Under 11.5 corners
74.1%
1.36
Unibet
1.44
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+6.5%
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.6%
1.32
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
+3.3%
Home or Away
72.8%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-0.5%
Under 3.5
72.7%
1.42
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
+7.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Korona Kielce
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mariusz Stępiński75%
Morgan Fassbender25%
Constantinos Sotiriou0%
Wiktor Długosz0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Nono0%
Patrik Hellebrand0%
Martin Remacle0%
Ariel Mosór0%
Marcel Pięczek0%
Xavier Dziekoński0%
Kamil Jakubczyk0%
Daniel Bąk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kamil Jakubczyk50%
Slobodan Rubežić33%
Wiktor Długosz25%
Patrik Hellebrand25%
Morgan Fassbender25%
Constantinos Sotiriou0%
Mariusz Stępiński0%
Nono0%
Martin Remacle0%
Ariel Mosór0%
Marcel Pięczek0%
Xavier Dziekoński0%
Daniel Bąk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wiktor Długosz50%
Martin Remacle25%
Constantinos Sotiriou0%
Mariusz Stępiński0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Nono0%
Patrik Hellebrand0%
Ariel Mosór0%
Marcel Pięczek0%
Morgan Fassbender0%
Xavier Dziekoński0%
Kamil Jakubczyk0%
Daniel Bąk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mariusz Stępiński50%
Wiktor Długosz25%
Morgan Fassbender25%
Constantinos Sotiriou0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Nono0%
Patrik Hellebrand0%
Martin Remacle0%
Ariel Mosór0%
Marcel Pięczek0%
Xavier Dziekoński0%
Kamil Jakubczyk0%
Daniel Bąk0%
Wisla Krakow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordi Sánchez83%
Marko Božić33%
Elie Youan20%
Ángel Rodado17%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maxence Maisonneuve60%
Alan Uryga33%
Kacper Duda33%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Jordi Sánchez17%
Marko Božić17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Ángel Rodado0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafał Mikulec33%
Raoul Giger25%
Maxence Maisonneuve20%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Alan Uryga17%
Marko Božić17%
Ángel Rodado17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Jordi Sánchez0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordi Sánchez50%
Marko Božić33%
Ángel Rodado33%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Korona Kielce's squad is €2m more valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€16m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Korona Kielce's attack is €3m less valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€3m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Korona Kielce's midfield is €5m more valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€7m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Korona Kielce and Wisla Krakow have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa