The match between Kortrijk and Zulte Waregem feels razor-thin, with the model favouring an away win at 40% versus a 34% chance for the hosts and a 26% draw. The expected total of 3.1 goals sits comfortably above the most likely total of 2, which carries a 23% chance. The single score the model deems most probable is 1-1, with an 11.8% probability, a tidy mid-range result that reflects both sides’ balanced attacking output. Kortrijk, at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 2.38 goals scored and 1.23 conceded, while Zulte Waregem on the road against similar opposition averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The suggested selections underline a low-scoring affair: Under 7.5 (98.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.1% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (96.1% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.8% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (93.7% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (91.7%) and Away under 3.5 goals (91.7% with a 1% edge).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kortrijk win
33.8%
Avg Implied 32.3% · @ 2.89
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.00
1xBet
2.97
Betano
2.92
Marathonbet
2.90
Dafabet
2.90
Draw
25.9%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.47
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.56
Betano
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Zulte Waregem win
40.3%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.29
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.35
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.33
William Hil
2.30
10Bet
2.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kortrijk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.37
2.27
1.27
0.67
1.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.62
1.21
2.50
1.25
0.75
1.17
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.67
2.00
0.50
1.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.47
1.71
1.29
1.50
1.62
vs Stronger (10)
1.20
2.20
1.75
2.50
0.83
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.80
1.10
1.70
0.80
1.90
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.7%
@ 1.22+6.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
@ 3.88-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Under
Unibet
4.10
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.1%
@ 1.76+6.2%
Under 2.5
39.9%
@ 2.06-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.07
Unibet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.04
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.7%
@ 2.84+4.9%
Under 3.5
62.3%
@ 1.39-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.95
10Bet
2.95
Unibet
2.85
1xBet
2.72
Marathonbet
2.72
Under
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
63.2%
@ 1.59+5.2%
No
36.8%
@ 2.20-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
No
Unibet
2.25
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.21
William Hil
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%@ 6.15+4.8%
1-2
8.8%@ 7.87+3.3%
2-1
8.0%@ 9.02+3.2%
2-2
6.5%@ 10.57+2.4%
0-1
6.2%@ 8.08+0.8%
0-2
5.9%@ 10.71+1.9%
0-0
5.5%@ 11.32+1.7%
1-0
5.5%@ 9.25+0.9%
Kortrijk goals ↓
Zulte Waregem goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
6.2%
5.9%
3.2%
1.3%
1
5.5%
12%
8.8%
4.8%
1.9%
2
4.9%
8.0%
6.5%
3.5%
1.4%
3
2.4%
3.9%
3.2%
1.7%
0.7%
4
0.9%
1.5%
1.2%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kortrijk goals (down), columns = Zulte Waregem goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Kortrijk is 0.17 points worse than Zulte Waregem in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Kortrijk is 0.27 goals worse than Zulte Waregem in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Kortrijk is 0.12 goals worse than Zulte Waregem in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kortrijk
For 5.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zulte Waregem
For 5.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 14.9 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kortrijk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.7
9.6
2.9
3.0
2.8
25.3
26.0
24.7
vs Stronger (6)
9.5
12.5
8.0
3.0
2.5
3.2
20.7
18.0
22.0
vs Similar (38)
10.1
10.4
9.9
3.1
3.1
2.9
26.3
27.2
25.4
vs Weaker (6)
11.0
10.5
12.0
1.7
2.3
1.0
25.3
25.5
25.0
% over line
51%
56%
47%
40%
40%
40%
70%
72%
68%
% under line
49%
44%
53%
60%
60%
60%
30%
28%
32%
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.9
10.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
23.0
23.0
23.0
vs Stronger (15)
9.4
9.3
9.6
3.1
3.1
3.1
23.4
23.4
23.4
vs Similar (33)
10.2
10.1
10.2
3.7
4.3
3.0
23.2
22.8
23.6
vs Weaker (2)
9.5
-
9.5
3.0
-
3.0
17.0
-
17.0
% over line
52%
58%
46%
42%
50%
35%
58%
54%
62%
% under line
48%
42%
54%
58%
50%
65%
42%
46%
38%
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
Charleroi
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Anderlecht
10.3
Kortrijk
10.1
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Standard Liege
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.8
St. Truiden
9.8
Lommel United
9.8
SK Beveren
9.7
Genk
9.6
Antwerp
9.2
Union St. Gilloise
9.0
RAAL La Louvière
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.2
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.8
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.2
Lommel United
4.1
Antwerp
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.7
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Club Brugge KV
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
24.9
Anderlecht
24.9
RAAL La Louvière
24.6
Antwerp
24.1
Lommel United
23.9
Kortrijk
23.5
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Genk
22.2
Standard Liege
22.1
Charleroi
21.9
KV Mechelen
21.9
Union St. Gilloise
21.8
Gent
21.2
St. Truiden
21.2
Club Brugge KV
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.4%
@ 1.67+5.4%
Under 9.5
39.6%
@ 2.04-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.67
Under
Unibet
2.04
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
42.3%
Under 3.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
58.2%
Under 21.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kortrijk or Draw
59.7%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.60
Edge
+0.9%
34%
26%
40%
covers Kortrijk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.64
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Kortrijk or Zulte Waregem
74.1%
Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.28
Edge
+0.6%
34%
26%
40%
covers Kortrijk + Zulte Waregem
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw or Zulte Waregem
66.2%
Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.39
Edge
-1.5%
34%
26%
40%
covers Draw + Zulte Waregem
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kortrijk over/under 0.5
Over
77.2%
@ 1.28+5.2%
Under
22.8%
@ 3.30-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Unibet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Kortrijk over/under 1.5
Over
43.5%
@ 2.42+4.9%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.52-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
Unibet
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Kortrijk over/under 2.5
Over
18.6%
@ 5.57+2.0%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.11-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.65
Unibet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Kortrijk over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
@ 9.75-3.3%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.03+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5
Over
80.4%
@ 1.21+3.8%
Under
19.6%
@ 3.95-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Under
Unibet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5
Over
48.5%
@ 2.06+3.2%
Under
51.5%
@ 1.71-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Under
Marathonbet
1.73
Unibet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5
Over
22.4%
@ 4.38+1.2%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.18-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Zulte Waregem over/under 3.5
Over
8.3%
@ 9.40-1.6%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.04+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Unibet
9.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kortrijk, so a minus line means Kortrijk give that many goals of a start and Zulte Waregem receive them. At -1, Kortrijk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kortrijk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kortrijk)
Kortrijk -2
6.2%
@ 14.00-0.2%
Draw -2
10.2%
@ 8.25-0.7%
Zulte Waregem +2
83.6%
@ 1.08+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
15.00
Unibet
13.00
Draw
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Away
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Handicap -1 (Kortrijk)
Kortrijk -1
16.4%
@ 5.88+1.2%
Draw -1
17.4%
@ 4.48-2.5%
Zulte Waregem +1
66.2%
@ 1.37+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Away
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Handicap +1 (Kortrijk)
Kortrijk +1
59.7%
@ 1.60+3.8%
Draw +1
19.3%
@ 3.94-3.4%
Zulte Waregem -1
21.0%
@ 4.16-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.63
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.80
Away
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
3.95
Handicap +2 (Kortrijk)
Kortrijk +2
79.0%
@ 1.17+2.8%
Draw +2
12.4%
@ 6.37-1.6%
Zulte Waregem -2
8.6%
@ 9.07-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Draw
Marathonbet
6.60
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.00
Away
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Unibet
8.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kortrijk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.87
0.60
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.54
1.00
0.67
0.42
0.42
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.64
0.71
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.55
0.90
0.40
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.6%
@ 1.33+1.6%
Under 0.5
28.4%
@ 3.10-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Under
Betfair
3.20
Unibet
3.10
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.4%
@ 2.55+0.9%
Under 1.5
62.6%
@ 1.46-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Unibet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.7%
@ 5.90-1.0%
Under 2.5
85.3%
@ 1.09+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.00
Betano
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.80
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kortrijk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.8%
@ 2.08-9.7%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.67+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Unibet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Unibet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Kortrijk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.9%
@ 6.64-6.1%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.08+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.85
Unibet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Kortrijk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 17.50-4.3%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.9%
@ 1.87+8.4%
Under
42.1%
@ 1.83-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
Unibet
1.86
1xBet
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5 HT
Over
21.4%
@ 5.52+4.7%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.11-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Betano
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
Unibet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5 HT
Over
8.0%
@ 14.25+1.4%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.01-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kortrijk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
1.40
0.67
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.67
1.50
0.58
0.33
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
1.50
0.50
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
1.07
0.57
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.20
1.75
1.00
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.55
0.80
0.40
1.10
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.3%
@ 1.18+3.3%
Under 0.5
18.7%
@ 4.19-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Under
Unibet
4.40
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.6%
@ 1.95+2.7%
Under 1.5
49.4%
@ 1.79-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.95
Unibet
1.89
Under
Betano
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
William Hil
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.5%
@ 3.92-1.1%
Under 2.5
77.5%
@ 1.21+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Betano
3.80
Unibet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kortrijk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.9%
@ 1.76-10.7%
Under
58.1%
@ 1.95+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Kortrijk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.0%
@ 4.79-6.3%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.15+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Kortrijk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
@ 12.50-5.6%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.9%
@ 1.62+7.7%
Under
35.1%
@ 2.17-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.22
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5 2H
Over
24.7%
@ 4.00+1.6%
Under
75.3%
@ 1.20-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.4%
@ 10.00-1.9%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.6%
Under 6.5
96.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.7%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+6.1%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
92.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-1.4%
Away under 3.5 goals
91.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.02
-
-
+1.6%
Under 5.5
90.5%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+0.3%
Under 5.5 cards
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+6.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
+1.0%
Away +2 handicap
83.6%
1.08
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-
+0.9%
Over 1.5
82.7%
1.22
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
+6.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
81.4%
1.11
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-2.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.3%
1.18
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+3.3%
Away over 0.5 goals
80.4%
1.21
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
+3.8%
Under 4.5
79.7%
1.13
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-2.5%
Home +2 handicap
79.0%
1.17
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
-
-
+2.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
78.6%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Unibet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-4.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
77.6%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-1.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
+1.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
77.2%
1.28
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
+5.2%
Under 4.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
75.3%
1.20
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-1.6%
Home or Away
74.1%
1.28
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+0.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
72.2%
1.40
Unibet
1.40
-
-
-
-
+6.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.33
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
+1.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kortrijk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Shandre Campbell33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Thierry Ambrose0%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
M. Ilić0%
G. Ruyssen0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Rudy Kohon0%
J. Ndjeungoue0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rudy Kohon67%
G. Ruyssen33%
J. Ndjeungoue33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Thierry Ambrose0%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
M. Ilić0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Shandre Campbell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thierry Ambrose33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
M. Ilić0%
G. Ruyssen0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Rudy Kohon0%
J. Ndjeungoue0%
Shandre Campbell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Goduine Koyalipou67%
Shandre Campbell33%
Brecht Dejaegere0%
J. Van Landschoot0%
Thierry Ambrose0%
M. Ilić0%
G. Ruyssen0%
K. Masui0%
N. Mehssatou0%
Rudy Kohon0%
J. Ndjeungoue0%
Zulte Waregem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Serxho Ujka33%
Marley Aké33%
Tobias Hedl33%
Anosike Ementa33%
Thomas Claes33%
István Átrok33%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anosike Ementa33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Marley Aké0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Tobias Hedl0%
Thomas Claes0%
István Átrok0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anosike Ementa67%
Tobias Hedl33%
Yannick Cappelle33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Marley Aké0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Thomas Claes0%
István Átrok0%
Franz Tangala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marley Aké33%
Tobias Hedl33%
István Átrok33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Anosike Ementa0%
Thomas Claes0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Kortrijk's squad is €2m less valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€18m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Kortrijk and Zulte Waregem have a similar attack value (both €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Kortrijk and Zulte Waregem have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Kortrijk's defence is €4m less valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€5m vs €9m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven