This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.20
1.40
1.00
1.20
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.33
1.11
1.40
1.00
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
KRC Genk II goals ↓
Liège goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
8.2%
8.1%
4.7%
2.0%
1
5.3%
12%
9.6%
5.6%
2.4%
2
3.8%
6.6%
5.7%
3.3%
1.4%
3
1.5%
2.6%
2.3%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KRC Genk II goals (down), columns = Liège goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
KRC Genk II is 0.40 points worse than Liège in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
KRC Genk II is 0.10 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
KRC Genk II is 0.37 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
KRC Genk II is 5.2 percentage points better than Liège in terms of average possession (50% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
KRC Genk II
For 3.8 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 15.8 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
For 6.0 · Against 6.8 · Total 12.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KRC Genk II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
10.4
10.0
10.7
0.7
0.6
0.9
28.2
26.0
29.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
10.4
10.0
10.7
0.9
0.7
1.1
28.2
26.0
29.7
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
80%
50%
100%
10%
10%
10%
80%
50%
100%
% under line
20%
50%
0%
90%
90%
90%
20%
50%
0%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (10)
12.8
13.5
12.3
2.8
2.6
3.0
25.0
22.5
26.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
12.8
13.5
12.3
3.1
2.6
3.8
25.0
22.5
26.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
80%
100%
67%
40%
40%
40%
60%
50%
67%
% under line
20%
0%
33%
60%
60%
60%
40%
50%
33%
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
K. Lierse S.K.
13.8
Liège
12.8
Deinze
12.2
Club Brugge II
11.6
Beerschot VA
11.0
RSC Anderlecht II
10.8
SK Beveren
10.4
Lommel United
10.4
KRC Genk II
10.4
Oostende
10.0
Zulte Waregem
10.0
Seraing United
9.8
Standard Liège II
9.6
Dender
9.6
Patro Eisden
9.4
Francs Borains
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
K. Lierse S.K.
7.6
RSC Anderlecht II
7.6
Dender
7.2
Seraing United
6.2
KRC Genk II
6.0
Francs Borains
5.6
Liège
5.6
Patro Eisden
5.6
Beerschot VA
4.8
Standard Liège II
4.8
Oostende
4.6
Lommel United
4.6
Deinze
4.6
Zulte Waregem
4.2
SK Beveren
4.2
Club Brugge II
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Patro Eisden
32.0
Dender
30.8
RSC Anderlecht II
28.8
Seraing United
28.6
K. Lierse S.K.
28.4
Deinze
28.4
KRC Genk II
28.2
Francs Borains
27.8
SK Beveren
25.4
Beerschot VA
25.1
Liège
25.0
Standard Liège II
24.2
Oostende
23.9
Lommel United
23.0
Zulte Waregem
22.5
Club Brugge II
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
66.9%
Under 9.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.3%
Under 3.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
87.8%
Under 21.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
KRC Genk II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.73
0.87
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.79
0.67
0.92
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.44
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
KRC Genk II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.33
1.07
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.67
1.08
0.33
1.17
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.67
0.80
0.60
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (KRC Genk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KRC Genk II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KRC Genk II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
KRC Genk II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Konstantinos Karetsas33%
Victory Beniangba30%
Thomas Claes26%
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg20%
Robin Mirisola17%
Nolan Martens12%
Naoki Kumata11%
Faissal Al Mazyani10%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura10%
Wilson Da Costa8%
Cedric Nuozzi6%
Christian Akpan5%
Kelvin John0%
Alfred Caicedo0%
Mike Penders0%
Kamiel Van De Perre0%
Deniz Arabaci0%
Adnane Abid0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Saidou Toure0%
Zaid Bafdili0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Juwensley Onstein0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Kenan Haroun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kenan Haroun75%
Alfred Caicedo45%
Thomas Claes35%
Kamiel Van De Perre33%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura29%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo27%
Saidou Toure25%
Juwensley Onstein25%
Zaid Bafdili20%
Faissal Al Mazyani19%
Wilson Da Costa15%
Konstantinos Karetsas13%
Cedric Nuozzi12%
Deniz Arabaci10%
Victory Beniangba10%
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg10%
Christian Akpan10%
Adnane Abid7%
Brad Manguelle7%
Kelvin John0%
Mike Penders0%
Nolan Martens0%
Naoki Kumata0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Robin Mirisola0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kelvin John25%
Konstantinos Karetsas20%
Kamiel Van De Perre14%
Robin Mirisola11%
Wilson Da Costa8%
Adnane Abid7%
Cedric Nuozzi6%
Nolan Martens6%
Alfred Caicedo5%
Victory Beniangba5%
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg5%
Faissal Al Mazyani5%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura5%
Mike Penders0%
Deniz Arabaci0%
Thomas Claes0%
Naoki Kumata0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Saidou Toure0%
Zaid Bafdili0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Christian Akpan0%
Juwensley Onstein0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Kenan Haroun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Konstantinos Karetsas27%
Noah Adedeji-Sternberg25%
Kelvin John12%
Robin Mirisola11%
Deniz Arabaci10%
Victory Beniangba10%
Faissal Al Mazyani10%
Thomas Claes9%
Wilson Da Costa8%
Adnane Abid7%
Cedric Nuozzi6%
Kamiel Van De Perre5%
Alfred Caicedo0%
Mike Penders0%
Nolan Martens0%
Naoki Kumata0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Brad Manguelle0%
Michiel Cauwel0%
Saidou Toure0%
Zaid Bafdili0%
Matthias Pieklak0%
Christian Akpan0%
Juwensley Onstein0%
Eddien Lazar0%
Kenan Haroun0%
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adriano Bertaccini42%
Benoit Bruggeman22%
Benoit Nyssen21%
Abian Arslan17%
Yanick Loemba13%
Alessio Cascio12%
Damien Mouchamps11%
Zakaria Atteri10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Jordan Bustin9%
Ryan Merlen9%
Maxime Cavelier6%
Benjamin Lambot4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benoit Nyssen33%
Yanick Loemba30%
Zakaria Atteri30%
Reno Wilmots27%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Jordan Bustin22%
Benjamin Lambot17%
Adriano Bertaccini17%
Alessio Cascio16%
Ryan Merlen13%
Maxime Cavelier12%
Kevin Debaty12%
Jérémie Lioka10%
Abian Arslan8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Mohamed Mouhli4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benoit Nyssen21%
Maxime Cavelier19%
Ryan Merlen17%
Reno Wilmots9%
Benjamin Lambot9%
Yanick Loemba9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Abian Arslan8%
Alessio Cascio8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Benoit Bruggeman6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Adriano Bertaccini0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adriano Bertaccini33%
Benoit Bruggeman28%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Alessio Cascio16%
Mohamed Mouhli13%
Benoit Nyssen8%
Abian Arslan8%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Reno Wilmots5%
Yanick Loemba4%
Ryan Merlen4%
Benjamin Lambot0%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
SK Beveren
Oostende
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II