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Krka vs Bilje Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 1-0
Krka
Krka
Vs
34%
25%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krka win✓ Hit
33.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bilje win✗ Miss
41.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KrkaKrka

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W03L11D02L00D12L05L10W22D12LH·TRI01/03A·BIS09/03H·ILI15/03A·GOR22/03H·FUŽ29/03A·PRI07/04H·TAB12/04A·BEL19/04H·TOL27/04A·BRI04/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.731.271.931.131.53
vs Stronger (10)1.101.601.401.400.801.80
vs Similar (20)1.251.801.202.201.301.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L13L00D20W15L02L21W02L22D00DH·PRI02/03A·TAB09/03H·BEL16/03A·TOL23/03H·BRI30/03A·TRI07/04A·RUD12/04H·NAF20/04A·DEK28/04H·DRA04/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.771.271.671.731.87
vs Stronger (12)1.081.920.501.831.672.00
vs Similar (18)1.781.671.781.561.781.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.2%
Under 2.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.5%
No
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
1-0 ✓
4.9%
Krka goals ↓
Bilje goals →
01234
04.9%5.6%5.7%3.3%1.4%
14.9%11%8.8%5.0%2.2%
24.5%7.8%6.7%3.9%1.7%
32.3%4.0%3.5%2.0%0.9%
40.9%1.5%1.3%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Krka goals (down), columns = Bilje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Primorje
2.00
Nafta
1.93
Beltinci
1.87
Gorica
1.77
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Triglav
1.60
Bistrica
1.47
Rudar
1.23
Dekani
1.20
Bilje
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Dravinja
1.13
Krka
1.10
Tabor Sežana
1.00
Ilirija
1.00
Fužinar
0.80
Krka is 0.03 points worse than Bilje in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nafta
1.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Gorica
1.70
Beltinci
1.63
Primorje
1.63
Bistrica
1.50
Bilje
1.47
Triglav
1.47
Krka
1.33
Tabor Sežana
1.27
Dekani
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Fužinar
1.10
Rudar
1.10
Ilirija
1.03
Dravinja
0.97
Krka is 0.13 goals worse than Bilje in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Beltinci
0.80
Primorje
0.83
Gorica
0.93
Nafta
1.03
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Dekani
1.23
Dravinja
1.40
Ilirija
1.47
Tolmin
1.50
Bistrica
1.53
Krka
1.63
Rudar
1.63
Bilje
1.70
Tabor Sežana
1.97
Fužinar
2.03
Krka is 0.07 goals better than Bilje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KrkaKrka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W01L00D00D02L10W21W11DH·TRI01/03A·BIS09/03H·ILI15/03A·GOR22/03H·FUŽ29/03A·PRI07/04H·TAB12/04A·BEL19/04H·TOL27/04A·BRI04/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.600.670.400.60
vs Stronger (10)0.400.600.600.600.200.60
vs Similar (20)0.550.650.600.700.500.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D10W03L01L20W00D00D00DH·PRI02/03A·TAB09/03H·BEL16/03A·TOL23/03H·BRI30/03A·TRI07/04A·RUD12/04H·NAF20/04A·DEK28/04H·DRA04/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.730.870.730.80
vs Stronger (12)0.330.830.170.670.501.00
vs Similar (18)1.000.831.111.000.890.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Krka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KrkaKrka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W02L01L01L00D12L03L00D01L01LH·TRI01/03A·BIS09/03H·ILI15/03A·GOR22/03H·FUŽ29/03A·PRI07/04H·TAB12/04A·BEL19/04H·TOL27/04A·BRI04/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.100.671.270.730.93
vs Stronger (10)0.701.000.800.800.601.20
vs Similar (20)0.701.150.601.500.800.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L12L00D10W12L01L01L02L22D00DH·PRI02/03A·TAB09/03H·BEL16/03A·TOL23/03H·BRI30/03A·TRI07/04A·RUD12/04H·NAF20/04A·DEK28/04H·DRA04/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.930.530.801.001.07
vs Stronger (12)0.751.080.331.171.171.00
vs Similar (18)0.780.830.670.560.891.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Krka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
Krka and Bilje have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Krka and Bilje have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Krka and Bilje have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Krka and Bilje have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
KRK wins
1
Draws
0
BIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Krka vs Bilje · H/A from KRK
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/23ABilje Vs KRK0-2
08/04/23ABilje Vs KRK1-1
23/09/22HKRK Vs Bilje3-1

KrkaKrka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs KRK2-1
27/04/24HKRK Vs Tolmin2-2
19/04/24ABeltinci Vs KRK0-1
12/04/24HKRK Vs Tabor Sežana0-5
07/04/24APrimorje Vs KRK2-1
29/03/24HKRK Vs Fužinar0-0
22/03/24AGorica Vs KRK2-0
15/03/24HKRK Vs Ilirija1-1
09/03/24ABistrica Vs KRK3-0
01/03/24HKRK Vs Triglav3-1

BiljeBilje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24HBIL Vs Dravinja0-0
28/04/24ADekani Vs BIL2-2
20/04/24HBIL Vs Nafta0-2
12/04/24ARudar Vs BIL1-2
07/04/24ATriglav Vs BIL2-0
30/03/24HBIL Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-5
23/03/24ATolmin Vs BIL0-2
16/03/24HBIL Vs Beltinci0-0
09/03/24ATabor Sežana Vs BIL3-1
02/03/24HBIL Vs Primorje1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.16
HomeWDDLD1.08
AwayLLLWL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%25%31%
AVG goals2.782.962.62
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored1.301.331.27
Conceded1.481.621.35
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet24%21%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDD1.04
HomeLDLLD0.83
AwayLWLWD1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%17%35%
AVG goals3.003.003.00
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %62%54%69%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored1.281.211.35
Conceded1.721.791.65
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet22%12%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PrimorjePrimorje3060
57%
2.0
4925+24
2.5
70%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.60.8
-
2NaftaNafta3058
60%
1.9
5531+24
2.9
77%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
3BeltinciBeltinci3056
57%
1.9
4924+25
2.4
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
4GoricaGorica3053
50%
1.8
5128+23
2.6
67%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
5Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3052
50%
1.7
5235+17
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.2
-
6TriglavTriglav3048
47%
1.6
4435+9
2.6
80%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7BistricaBistrica3044
43%
1.5
4546-1
3.0
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
8RudarRudar3037
33%
1.2
3349-16
2.7
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.11.6
-
9DekaniDekani3036
30%
1.2
3437-3
2.4
60%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.2
-
10BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
4451-7
3.2
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.7
-
11TolminTolmin3034
27%
1.1
3445-11
2.6
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12DravinjaDravinja3034
30%
1.1
2942-13
2.4
63%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
13KrkaKrka3033
30%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
80%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.6
-
14IlirijaIlirija3030
23%
1.0
3144-13
2.5
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.5
-
15Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3030
23%
1.0
3859-21
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.32.0
-
16FužinarFužinar3024
20%
0.8
3361-28
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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