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Krka vs Tabor Sežana Prediction & Stats

Date: 03/10/2026
Time: 22:00
Krka
Krka
Vs
17%
22%
61%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Krka’s recent slump, marked by three straight defeats, meets Tabor Sežana’s five-game winning streak, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair. The model favours an away win, with a 61% chance, followed by a 22% draw and a 17% home win. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively match, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.1% probability. Krka averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home against similarly ranked opponents, while Tabor Sežana nets 1.5 and concedes 1.83 on the road against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.6%), Under 6.5 (95.4%), Away +2 handicap (93.5%), Home under 2.5 goals (90.5%), Under 5.5 (89.1%), Away over 0.5 goals (88.4%) and Over 1.5 (84.1%). These picks reflect the expectation of a balanced, moderately high-scoring contest.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krka win
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana win
60.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KrkaKrka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L01L14L40W32W34L00D03L23L23LH·ILI24/04A·DRA30/04H·GOR06/05A·KRŠ10/05H·JES15/05A·DEK23/05H·BIS07/08A·RUD14/08H·SLO21/08A·PRI28/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.700.931.801.331.60
vs Stronger (7)1.001.860.502.501.671.00
vs Similar (21)1.001.710.901.501.091.91
vs Weaker (2)3.001.003.002.003.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L02L12L01L15L20W30W10W60W10WA·BIL26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI06/05H·TRI10/05A·SLO17/05H·RUD23/05A·JES08/08H·TRI14/08A·KRŠ23/08H·BRE28/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.101.000.601.931.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.251.291.000.751.501.83
vs Weaker (6)2.330.331.000.003.670.67
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.6%
Under 2.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.4%
Under 3.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
7.6%
1-3
7.1%
0-3
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
Krka goals ↓
Tabor Sežana goals →
01234
04.9%7.6%9.2%6.6%3.5%
13.4%10%9.9%7.1%3.8%
22.3%4.9%5.3%3.8%2.0%
30.8%1.8%1.9%1.4%0.7%
40.2%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Krka goals (down), columns = Tabor Sežana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Primorje
1.70
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Brežice
1.38
Dren Vrhnika
1.38
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Jesenice
0.60
Krka is 0.70 points worse than Tabor Sežana in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Beltinci
1.83
Primorje
1.73
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Brežice
1.41
Dren Vrhnika
1.41
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Krka is 0.17 goals worse than Tabor Sežana in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Beltinci
0.83
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Primorje
1.15
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Brežice
1.41
Dren Vrhnika
1.41
Dravinja
1.47
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Ilirija
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Krka is 0.60 goals worse than Tabor Sežana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.10).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Krka or Draw
39.1%
Avg Implied -
17%
22%
61%
covers Krka + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Krka or Tabor Sežana
78.1%
Avg Implied -
17%
22%
61%
covers Krka + Tabor Sežana
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Tabor Sežana
82.8%
Avg Implied -
17%
22%
61%
covers Draw + Tabor Sežana
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Krka over/under 0.5
Over
65.9%
Under
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5
Over
88.4%
Under
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5
Over
63.3%
Under
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5
Over
36.4%
Under
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 3.5
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Krka, so a minus line means Krka give that many goals of a start and Tabor Sežana receive them. At -1, Krka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Krka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Krka)
Krka -2
1.9%
Draw -2
4.7%
Tabor Sežana +2
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Krka)
Krka -1
6.5%
Draw -1
10.6%
Tabor Sežana +1
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Krka)
Krka +1
39.1%
Draw +1
22.1%
Tabor Sežana -1
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Krka)
Krka +2
61.2%
Draw +2
18.6%
Tabor Sežana -2
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KrkaKrka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D11D10W12L31W00D00D11D21WH·ILI24/04A·DRA30/04H·GOR06/05A·KRŠ10/05H·JES15/05A·DEK23/05H·BIS07/08A·RUD14/08H·SLO21/08A·PRI28/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.600.800.800.47
vs Stronger (7)0.710.710.500.751.000.67
vs Similar (21)0.670.570.600.700.730.45
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D02L00D01L10W20W00D50W10WA·BIL26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI06/05H·TRI10/05A·SLO17/05H·RUD23/05A·JES08/08H·TRI14/08A·KRŠ23/08H·BRE28/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.470.270.930.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.460.540.500.330.420.75
vs Weaker (6)1.670.170.330.003.000.33
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Krka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KrkaKrka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L30W20W03L00D03L12L02LH·ILI24/04A·DRA30/04H·GOR06/05A·KRŠ10/05H·JES15/05A·DEK23/05H·BIS07/08A·RUD14/08H·SLO21/08A·PRI28/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.070.331.000.531.13
vs Stronger (7)0.291.140.001.750.670.33
vs Similar (21)0.331.140.300.800.361.45
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L10W01L14L10W10W10W10W00DA·BIL26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI06/05H·TRI10/05A·SLO17/05H·RUD23/05A·JES08/08H·TRI14/08A·KRŠ23/08H·BRE28/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.630.530.331.000.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.790.750.500.421.081.08
vs Weaker (6)0.670.170.670.000.670.33
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Krka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.6%-------
Under 6.595.4%-------
Away +2 handicap93.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals90.5%-------
Under 5.589.1%-------
Away over 0.5 goals88.4%-------
Over 1.584.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals82.9%-------
Draw or Away82.8%-------
Away +1 handicap82.8%-------
Home or Away78.1%-------
Under 4.577.6%-------
Home under 1.5 goals70.7%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Krka and Tabor Sežana have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Krka and Tabor Sežana have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Krka and Tabor Sežana have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Krka and Tabor Sežana have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
KRK wins
1
Draws
3
TS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Krka vs Tabor Sežana · H/A from KRK
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/25HKRK Vs Tabor Sežana0-3
09/08/25ATabor Sežana Vs KRK0-0
18/05/25ATabor Sežana Vs KRK0-1
10/11/24HKRK Vs Tabor Sežana0-1
12/04/24HKRK Vs Tabor Sežana0-5
23/09/23ATabor Sežana Vs KRK0-2

KrkaKrka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26APrimorje Vs KRK3-2
21/08/26HKRK Vs Slovan Ljubljana2-3
14/08/26ARudar Vs KRK3-0
07/08/26HKRK Vs Bistrica0-0
23/05/26ADekani Vs KRK4-3
15/05/26HKRK Vs Jesenice3-2
10/05/26AKrško Vs KRK0-4
06/05/26HKRK Vs Gorica1-4
30/04/26ADravinja Vs KRK1-0
24/04/26HKRK Vs Ilirija1-4

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HTS Vs Brežice1-0
23/08/26AKrško Vs TS0-6
14/08/26HTS Vs Triglav1-0
08/08/26AJesenice Vs TS0-3
23/05/26HTS Vs Rudar2-0
17/05/26ASlovan Ljubljana Vs TS5-1
10/05/26HTS Vs Triglav0-1
06/05/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs TS2-1
02/05/26HTS Vs Beltinci0-2
26/04/26ABilje Vs TS2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.02
HomeLLWDL1.12
AwayLWLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%29%15%
AVG goals2.522.672.38
Over 1.5 %68%75%62%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.021.001.04
Conceded1.501.671.35
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet34%29%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.80
HomeLLWWW1.96
AwayLLLWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals2.542.083.00
Over 1.5 %70%60%80%
Over 2.5 %44%24%64%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.521.321.72
Conceded1.020.761.28
BTTS46%32%60%
Clean Sheet44%48%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana412
100%
3.0
110+11
2.8
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.80.0
-
2IlirijaIlirija49
75%
2.2
102+8
3.0
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.50.5
-
3Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana49
75%
2.2
87+1
3.8
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
4JeseniceJesenice47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.2
-
5BistricaBistrica47
50%
1.8
67-1
3.2
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
6TriglavTriglav36
67%
2.0
52+3
2.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.7
-
7BeltinciBeltinci46
50%
1.5
86+2
3.5
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.5
-
8RudarRudar46
50%
1.5
75+2
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.81.2
-
9Dren VrhnikaDren Vrhnika46
50%
1.5
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
10BiljeBilje46
50%
1.5
710-3
4.2
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.82.5
-
11PrimorjePrimorje46
50%
1.5
58-3
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
12KrškoKrško45
25%
1.2
38-5
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.0
-
13DekaniDekani44
25%
1.0
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.80.8
-
14KrkaKrka41
0%
0.2
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.02.2
-
15BrežiceBrežice30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
16DravinjaDravinja40
0%
0.0
210-8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.52.5
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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