This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
0.95
1.82
0.82
2.00
1.10
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
1.91
1.09
1.86
0.86
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (6)
2.17
0.67
2.50
0.50
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
38% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.7%
Under 1.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.5%
Under 2.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.5%
Under 3.5
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.4%
No
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.3%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
13.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
5.2%
2-1 ✓
4.6%
Kryvbas KR goals ↓
Dnipro-1 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
15%
11%
5.2%
1.8%
1
7.7%
14%
8.4%
3.9%
1.3%
2
3.3%
4.6%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
3
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kryvbas KR goals (down), columns = Dnipro-1 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Kryvbas KR is 0.87 points worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 2.23).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Kryvbas KR is 1.17 goals worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of goals scored per game (0.87 vs 2.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Kryvbas KR is 0.10 goals worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.90).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Kryvbas KR is 4.8 percentage points worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of average possession (51% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kryvbas KR
For 3.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dnipro-1
For 4.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 11.6 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kryvbas KR
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
10.0
10.0
-
0.2
0.3
0.0
22.0
22.0
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
10.0
10.0
-
0.5
2.0
0.0
22.0
22.0
-
vs Weaker (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
-
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
-
% under line
0%
0%
-
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
7.6
8.6
6.6
1.6
1.2
2.0
20.9
21.4
20.2
vs Stronger (4)
7.7
9.0
5.0
1.8
2.5
1.0
21.3
22.0
20.0
vs Similar (11)
8.8
8.0
9.3
2.2
1.1
4.0
22.2
25.0
20.3
vs Weaker (6)
4.5
9.0
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.5
13.0
13.0
-
% over line
40%
40%
40%
24%
18%
30%
44%
60%
25%
% under line
60%
60%
60%
76%
82%
70%
56%
40%
75%
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
12.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
10.2
Kryvbas KR
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.6
Minai
9.2
Oleksandria
9.0
Inhulets
8.8
Metal Kharkiv
8.0
Kolos Kovalivka
7.8
Dnipro-1
7.6
Ruh Lviv
7.0
Chornomorets
6.0
Vorskla Poltava
5.7
Lviv
5.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
10.0
Kolos Kovalivka
6.2
Lviv
6.0
Dynamo Kyiv
5.7
Inhulets
5.3
Metal Kharkiv
5.0
Oleksandria
4.5
Minai
4.4
Vorskla Poltava
4.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.2
Zorya Luhansk
3.8
Veres Rivne
3.8
Chornomorets
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.4
Dnipro-1
3.3
Kryvbas KR
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lviv
29.8
Inhulets
28.5
Ruh Lviv
28.5
Kolos Kovalivka
25.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
25.2
Vorskla Poltava
25.0
Dynamo Kyiv
24.6
Veres Rivne
24.4
Metal Kharkiv
23.3
Minai
22.8
Chornomorets
22.3
Oleksandria
22.0
Kryvbas KR
22.0
Dnipro-1
20.9
Zorya Luhansk
19.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
37.0%
Under 9.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.7%
Under 3.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.7%
Under 21.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kryvbas KR
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.15
0.69
0.00
0.50
0.29
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (7)
0.00
0.14
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
54% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.48
0.64
0.36
1.20
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (11)
1.00
0.64
0.71
0.43
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.17
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
62% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kryvbas KR over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kryvbas KR
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.46
0.50
0.17
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.43
0.60
0.20
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
62% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.48
1.18
0.45
0.80
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.45
1.14
0.43
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kryvbas KR over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kryvbas KR over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kryvbas KR · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yehor Tverdokhlib43%
Gleiker Mendoza29%
Maksym Zaderaka25%
Carlos Paraco25%
Assane Seck20%
Bar Lin14%
Yaroslav Shevchenko14%
Giovany Herbert14%
Artur Mykytyshyn12%
Bakary Konate12%
Volodymyr Mulyk10%
Oleksandr Kamenskyi9%
Volodymyr Vilivald6%
Volodymyr Makhankov0%
Jan Jurčec0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Ante Bekavac0%
Carlos Rojas0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Araujo Andrusw0%
Jhoel Isaac Maya Zambrano0%
Joseph Jones0%
Matviy Bodnar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yehor Tverdokhlib29%
Araujo Andrusw29%
Bakary Konate25%
Jan Jurčec18%
Carlos Rojas17%
Gleiker Mendoza14%
Yaroslav Shevchenko14%
Carlos Paraco12%
Yvan Dibango7%
Maksym Zaderaka6%
Volodymyr Makhankov0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Ante Bekavac0%
Artur Mykytyshyn0%
Assane Seck0%
Volodymyr Mulyk0%
Bar Lin0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Jhoel Isaac Maya Zambrano0%
Oleksandr Kamenskyi0%
Giovany Herbert0%
Joseph Jones0%
Matviy Bodnar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gleiker Mendoza21%
Assane Seck20%
Yehor Tverdokhlib14%
Yvan Dibango14%
Ante Bekavac12%
Carlos Paraco12%
Artur Mykytyshyn12%
Volodymyr Mulyk10%
Araujo Andrusw7%
Bar Lin7%
Yaroslav Shevchenko7%
Maksym Zaderaka6%
Jan Jurčec6%
Volodymyr Makhankov0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Carlos Rojas0%
Bakary Konate0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Jhoel Isaac Maya Zambrano0%
Oleksandr Kamenskyi0%
Giovany Herbert0%
Joseph Jones0%
Matviy Bodnar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gleiker Mendoza36%
Carlos Paraco25%
Yehor Tverdokhlib14%
Bar Lin14%
Giovany Herbert14%
Artur Mykytyshyn12%
Yaroslav Shevchenko7%
Maksym Zaderaka6%
Volodymyr Vilivald6%
Volodymyr Makhankov0%
Jan Jurčec0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Ante Bekavac0%
Carlos Rojas0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Araujo Andrusw0%
Assane Seck0%
Volodymyr Mulyk0%
Bakary Konate0%
Jhoel Isaac Maya Zambrano0%
Oleksandr Kamenskyi0%
Joseph Jones0%
Matviy Bodnar0%
Dnipro-1
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Artem Dovbyk57%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok25%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Artem Gromov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Busanello0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Gromov33%
Volodymyr Tanchyk29%
Domingo Blanco25%
Ruslan Babenko25%
Busanello20%
Volodymyr Adamyuk17%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak17%
Max Walef12%
Oleksandr Svatok12%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Eduard Sarapiy12%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Busanello40%
Artem Dovbyk29%
Volodymyr Adamyuk17%
Volodymyr Tanchyk14%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Artem Gromov0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artem Dovbyk43%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok25%
Oleksandr Nazarenko17%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Artem Gromov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Igor Kogut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Yanis Hamache0%
Busanello0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Metal Kharkiv
Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya