The contest between Kryvbas KR and Kolos Kovalivka is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win as the most likely outcome. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, yet the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.6% chance. Kryvbas, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded, while Kolos, on the road, also averages 1.17 in both categories. The probabilities for the match result are 41% for a Kryvbas victory, 27% for a draw and 32% for a Kolos win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Under 6.5 (97.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.0%) and Home under 3.5 goals (92.7%). Both sides have recently drawn their last matches, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kryvbas KR win
40.3%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.04
Edge
+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.12
Dafabet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
3.00
Draw
26.9%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.21
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.29
Dafabet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.20
Kolos Kovalivka win
32.8%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.27
Edge
-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.29
Dafabet
2.29
Superbet
2.27
Betano
2.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kryvbas KR
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.60
1.93
1.73
1.40
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
2.25
3.75
3.50
4.50
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.24
1.29
1.33
1.33
1.12
1.25
vs Weaker (9)
2.22
1.22
2.50
1.25
2.00
1.20
Clean sheet %
20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.90
0.64
0.64
1.12
1.12
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.87
0.64
0.55
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.0%
@ 1.37+12.9%
Under 1.5
20.0%
@ 2.79-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Under
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
1xBet
2.83
Superbet
2.82
Marathonbet
2.74
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.9%
@ 2.17+13.3%
Under 2.5
44.1%
@ 1.61-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Under
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Betfair
1.60
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.5%
@ 3.87+9.7%
Under 3.5
66.5%
@ 1.21-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.99
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
Under
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Both teams to score
Yes
59.9%
@ 1.89+11.4%
No
40.1%
@ 1.79-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
No
Betfair
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 5.50+6.0%
2-1
8.9%@ 10.06+5.2%
1-2
7.9%@ 8.12+3.4%
1-0
7.2%@ 7.42+2.3%
0-0
6.5%@ 7.47+1.6%
2-0
6.4%@ 13.12+3.7%
0-1
6.3%@ 6.10+0.3%
2-2
6.1%@ 13.69+3.4%
Kryvbas KR goals ↓
Kolos Kovalivka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
6.3%
5.1%
2.3%
0.8%
1
7.2%
13%
7.9%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.4%
8.9%
6.1%
2.8%
1.0%
3
3.3%
4.6%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.3%
1.8%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kryvbas KR goals (down), columns = Kolos Kovalivka goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Livyi Bereh
2.00
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Polessya
1.97
Dynamo Kyiv
1.90
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.70
Kolos Kovalivka
1.63
Kryvbas KR
1.60
Zorya Luhansk
1.53
Karpaty
1.37
Chornomorets
1.36
Bukovyna
1.29
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.03
Obolon'-Brovar
0.97
Kudrivka
0.94
Kryvbas KR is 0.03 points worse than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.20
Kryvbas KR
1.77
Polessya
1.70
Zorya Luhansk
1.40
Karpaty
1.33
LNZ Cherkasy
1.30
Chornomorets
1.23
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.20
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.20
Bukovyna
1.17
Kudrivka
1.06
Kolos Kovalivka
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Veres Rivne
0.87
Obolon'-Brovar
0.86
Kryvbas KR is 0.77 goals better than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livyi Bereh
0.50
LNZ Cherkasy
0.57
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.63
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Polessya
0.70
Kolos Kovalivka
0.83
Karpaty
1.03
Zorya Luhansk
1.20
Dynamo Kyiv
1.20
Chornomorets
1.24
Bukovyna
1.30
Veres Rivne
1.33
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.50
Kryvbas KR
1.53
Kudrivka
1.56
Obolon'-Brovar
1.69
Kryvbas KR is 0.70 goals worse than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
68%
Dynamo Kyiv
62%
Livyi Bereh
58%
Polessya
57%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
52%
Kolos Kovalivka
49%
Kudrivka
49%
Karpaty
49%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
48%
Kryvbas KR
48%
LNZ Cherkasy
44%
Veres Rivne
43%
Obolon'-Brovar
42%
Kryvbas KR is 1.4 percentage points worse than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of average possession (48% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kryvbas KR
For 4.9 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kolos Kovalivka
For 3.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kryvbas KR
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.5
9.3
2.0
1.7
2.3
24.5
23.8
25.2
vs Stronger (7)
10.3
9.0
13.0
1.9
2.5
1.0
22.0
24.5
17.0
vs Similar (28)
11.4
12.9
9.7
1.9
1.4
2.5
24.1
23.2
25.1
vs Weaker (15)
8.5
9.3
8.0
2.2
2.0
2.4
26.1
24.7
27.0
% over line
42%
62%
23%
26%
20%
32%
77%
77%
77%
% under line
58%
38%
77%
74%
80%
68%
23%
23%
23%
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
7.6
8.5
1.9
2.0
1.8
25.7
26.5
25.0
vs Stronger (14)
8.2
8.6
7.8
2.3
2.6
2.0
24.3
28.0
19.8
vs Similar (36)
8.0
6.9
8.8
1.8
1.8
1.8
26.4
25.4
27.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
31%
33%
29%
28%
25%
31%
77%
83%
71%
% under line
69%
67%
71%
72%
75%
69%
23%
17%
29%
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zorya Luhansk
10.5
Kryvbas KR
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.8
Veres Rivne
9.8
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.7
Polessya
9.5
Kudrivka
9.4
Livyi Bereh
9.2
Obolon'-Brovar
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.1
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.9
Chornomorets
8.8
Kolos Kovalivka
8.6
Karpaty
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Karpaty
4.9
Obolon'-Brovar
4.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.6
LNZ Cherkasy
4.5
Veres Rivne
4.4
Chornomorets
4.4
Livyi Bereh
4.4
Polessya
4.2
Zorya Luhansk
4.1
Dynamo Kyiv
4.0
Kolos Kovalivka
3.9
Kudrivka
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.8
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.9
Livyi Bereh
26.2
Kudrivka
25.1
Kryvbas KR
24.6
Karpaty
24.2
Kolos Kovalivka
24.0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
23.7
LNZ Cherkasy
23.0
Veres Rivne
22.8
Chornomorets
22.4
Zorya Luhansk
22.0
Dynamo Kyiv
21.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.2
Polessya
20.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.1%
Under 9.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
44.3%
Under 3.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.6%
Under 21.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kryvbas KR or Draw
67.2%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.58
Edge
+8.3%
40%
27%
33%
covers Kryvbas KR + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
Betfair
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Kryvbas KR or Kolos Kovalivka
73.1%
Avg Implied 71.7% · @ 1.30
Edge
+1.5%
40%
27%
33%
covers Kryvbas KR + Kolos Kovalivka
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
Draw or Kolos Kovalivka
59.7%
Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.34
Edge
-9.8%
40%
27%
33%
covers Draw + Kolos Kovalivka
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.33
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kryvbas KR over/under 0.5
Over
78.7%
@ 1.42+13.7%
Under
21.3%
@ 2.64-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.64
Superbet
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Kryvbas KR over/under 1.5
Over
45.7%
@ 3.06+15.5%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.32-15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
10Bet
2.95
Under
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Kryvbas KR over/under 2.5
Over
20.3%
@ 7.50+7.9%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.06-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
6.99
Under
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Kryvbas KR over/under 3.5
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5
Over
74.7%
@ 1.30+3.7%
Under
25.3%
@ 3.19-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5
Over
40.0%
@ 2.44+2.0%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.49-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Superbet
2.45
Betano
2.40
Under
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5
Over
16.1%
@ 5.53-0.7%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.11+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.65
Superbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Under
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kryvbas KR, so a minus line means Kryvbas KR give that many goals of a start and Kolos Kovalivka receive them. At -1, Kryvbas KR must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kryvbas KR win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kryvbas KR)
Kryvbas KR -2
8.2%
Draw -2
12.4%
Kolos Kovalivka +2
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Kryvbas KR)
Kryvbas KR -1
20.6%
@ 6.38+6.6%
Draw -1
19.8%
@ 4.33-0.7%
Kolos Kovalivka +1
59.7%
@ 1.35-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
Draw
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Handicap +1 (Kryvbas KR)
Kryvbas KR +1
67.2%
@ 1.56+10.7%
Draw +1
17.5%
@ 3.69-6.4%
Kolos Kovalivka -1
15.3%
@ 4.50-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Away
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Handicap +2 (Kryvbas KR)
Kryvbas KR +2
84.7%
@ 1.14+10.0%
Draw +2
9.8%
@ 5.47-5.7%
Kolos Kovalivka -2
5.5%
@ 8.65-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Betfair
11.00
Marathonbet
6.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kryvbas KR
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.33
0.53
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.75
2.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.41
1.11
0.33
0.38
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.56
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.40
0.29
0.29
0.31
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.57
0.67
0.33
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (23)
0.26
0.35
0.18
0.27
0.33
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.45+7.9%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 2.56-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.65
1xBet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.56
Superbet
2.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.5%
@ 3.12+5.8%
Under 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.32-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.10
10Bet
2.95
Under
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 7.85+0.6%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.05-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.90
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.70
Under
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kryvbas KR over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.8%
@ 2.40+12.3%
Under
49.2%
@ 1.50-12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.35
Under
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Kryvbas KR over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.8%
@ 8.85+2.4%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.03-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Under
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Kryvbas KR over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.5%
@ 2.08-4.8%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.65+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.1%
@ 6.97-2.1%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.06+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.95
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kryvbas KR
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.97
0.60
1.20
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.00
1.50
3.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.88
0.22
1.00
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.36
0.36
0.81
0.62
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.43
0.00
0.67
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.52
0.45
0.27
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kryvbas KR) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.8%
@ 1.29+6.1%
Under 0.5
22.2%
@ 3.28-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.28
Superbet
3.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.9%
@ 2.35+6.6%
Under 1.5
54.1%
@ 1.52-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.34
Betano
2.27
Under
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 5.28+3.8%
Under 2.5
78.8%
@ 1.12-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Marathonbet
5.15
Under
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kryvbas KR over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.1%
@ 2.00+10.1%
Under
43.9%
@ 1.71-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
Kryvbas KR over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.8%
@ 6.25+5.1%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.08-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.20
Under
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Kryvbas KR over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.8%
@ 1.80-1.6%
Under
50.2%
@ 1.90+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.4%
@ 4.97-3.1%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.13+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
4.90
Under
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.4%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
-2.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.06
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+2.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.05
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-0.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-
-2.4%
Under 5.5 cards
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
84.7%
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
+10.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
+3.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
83.9%
1.11
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+0.7%
Under 4.5
82.8%
1.05
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-5.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
-
-5.1%
Over 1.5
80.0%
1.37
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
+12.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
79.7%
1.06
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-7.9%
Away +2 handicap
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.12
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-3.8%
Home over 0.5 goals
78.7%
1.42
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
+13.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.8%
1.29
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+6.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
74.7%
1.30
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
+3.7%
Under 4.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.1%
1.30
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
+1.5%
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.45
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
10Bet
1.42
+7.9%
Over 8.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kryvbas KR · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yehor Tverdokhlib43%
Gleiker Mendoza29%
Maksym Zaderaka25%
Carlos Paraco25%
Assane Seck20%
Bar Lin14%
Yaroslav Shevchenko14%
Giovany Herbert14%
Artur Mykytyshyn12%
Bakary Konate12%
Volodymyr Mulyk10%
Oleksandr Kamenskyi9%
Volodymyr Vilivald6%
Volodymyr Makhankov0%
Jan Jurčec0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Ante Bekavac0%
Carlos Rojas0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Araujo Andrusw0%
Jhoel Isaac Maya Zambrano0%
Joseph Jones0%
Matviy Bodnar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yehor Tverdokhlib29%
Araujo Andrusw29%
Bakary Konate25%
Jan Jurčec18%
Carlos Rojas17%
Gleiker Mendoza14%
Yaroslav Shevchenko14%
Carlos Paraco12%
Yvan Dibango7%
Maksym Zaderaka6%
Volodymyr Makhankov0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Ante Bekavac0%
Artur Mykytyshyn0%
Assane Seck0%
Volodymyr Mulyk0%
Bar Lin0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Jhoel Isaac Maya Zambrano0%
Oleksandr Kamenskyi0%
Giovany Herbert0%
Joseph Jones0%
Matviy Bodnar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gleiker Mendoza21%
Assane Seck20%
Yehor Tverdokhlib14%
Yvan Dibango14%
Ante Bekavac12%
Carlos Paraco12%
Artur Mykytyshyn12%
Volodymyr Mulyk10%
Araujo Andrusw7%
Bar Lin7%
Yaroslav Shevchenko7%
Maksym Zaderaka6%
Jan Jurčec6%
Volodymyr Makhankov0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Carlos Rojas0%
Bakary Konate0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Jhoel Isaac Maya Zambrano0%
Oleksandr Kamenskyi0%
Giovany Herbert0%
Joseph Jones0%
Matviy Bodnar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gleiker Mendoza36%
Carlos Paraco25%
Yehor Tverdokhlib14%
Bar Lin14%
Giovany Herbert14%
Artur Mykytyshyn12%
Yaroslav Shevchenko7%
Maksym Zaderaka6%
Volodymyr Vilivald6%
Volodymyr Makhankov0%
Jan Jurčec0%
Oleksandr Kemkin0%
Ante Bekavac0%
Carlos Rojas0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Araujo Andrusw0%
Assane Seck0%
Volodymyr Mulyk0%
Bakary Konate0%
Jhoel Isaac Maya Zambrano0%
Oleksandr Kamenskyi0%
Joseph Jones0%
Matviy Bodnar0%
Kolos Kovalivka · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anton Salabay23%
Yurii Klymchuk19%
Arinaldo Rrapaj14%
Elias Telles13%
Ilir Krasniqi12%
Ardit Tahiri12%
Mykyta Burda11%
Eduard Kozik7%
Andriy Tsurikov6%
Ibrahim Kane6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Nika Gagnidze0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Oleksandr Demchenko0%
Andriy Poniedielnik0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Husol60%
Zurab Rukhadze33%
Anton Salabay31%
Arinaldo Rrapaj29%
Valeriy Bondarenko22%
Elias Telles20%
Luka Stankovski17%
Nika Gagnidze15%
Ivan Pakholiuk13%
Andriy Poniedielnik12%
Mykyta Burda11%
Oleksandr Demchenko8%
Danyil Alefirenko8%
Eduard Kozik7%
Andriy Tsurikov6%
Yurii Klymchuk6%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleksandr Demchenko15%
Arinaldo Rrapaj14%
Andriy Tsurikov12%
Ardit Tahiri12%
Nika Gagnidze8%
Eduard Kozik7%
Elias Telles7%
Yurii Klymchuk6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Mykyta Burda0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Andriy Poniedielnik0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Artem Husol0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arinaldo Rrapaj29%
Anton Salabay15%
Artem Husol14%
Yurii Klymchuk12%
Oleksandr Demchenko8%
Andriy Poniedielnik6%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Taras Stepanenko0%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Mykyta Burda0%
Nika Gagnidze0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Andriy Tsurikov0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Elias Telles0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Eduard Kozik0%
Luka Stankovski0%
Ilir Krasniqi0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Zurab Rukhadze0%
Ivan Pakholiuk0%
Artem Husol0%
Daniil Yuriyovych Denisenko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KAR (28)
€13m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
BUK (25)
€9m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
KUD (24)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
Kryvbas KR's squad is €2m less valuable than Kolos Kovalivka's (€11m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
KUD (8)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
Kryvbas KR's attack is €2m less valuable than Kolos Kovalivka's (€3m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KAR (5)
€2m
KK (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
KUD (6)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
Kryvbas KR and Kolos Kovalivka have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KAR (15)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
KUD (10)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
Kryvbas KR and Kolos Kovalivka have a similar defence value (both €6m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
Bukovyna
Veres Rivne
LNZ Cherkasy
Livyi Bereh
Chornomorets
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka